Wk 5 NCAAF

[WildBillPicks7]

Picked up 1/10th of my units lost back last week, not enough, but chopping away at the deficit!!

Early leans (NOT OFFICIAL PLAYS YET):

Ga Tech -7 1/2 - Tech can run and Vad Lee is not a bad passer, Va Tech has no offense at all, have GT winning by 26?

Purdue +4 - N Ill barely beat Idaho? Purdue can score some points and trade them vs N Ill, who defensively arent' stopping anyone, E Illini almost beat them, Purdue is at home - 87% public on NIll

Buffalo +3 - U Conn off two tough home games now going into the MAC to play Buffalo on their turf, Buffalo can score and they put up a good fight vs Ohio St, Buffalo straight up possibly.

UAB +20 1/2 - Vandy can score, UAB can score, UAB live dog here, should keep it to 14 pts.

Minnesota +1 - Gophers can score and they have home field here vs Iowa team who put away W Mich rather easily and Iowa St on the road, Big10 time is a lil different

USC +6 1/2 - ASU got thumped at Stanford and should have lost to Wisky, USC played decent "D" all year thus far and put the Devil away last year by 21 at home, this year, should come down to 3-4 pt game

LaTech pk - Army tough running club, LaTech seeking a win put up a decent battle at NC State and at KU last wk, this time Skip's forces get a home red neck win in Ruston.

Colorado +11 - Buffs improved over last year, had an emotional wk off due to flooding in Boulder area, now Mac's club travel far west to play the Beavers who lost at home vs E Wash and barely beat the Aztecs.

W Kentucky +3 - Naval academy can score, they put up some pts vs Indiana and tough in the air this year, however, now on the road to redneckville Bowling Green KY-Jellyville might be too much for them to overcome, WK got a home win easy last wk to lowly Morgan St. Antonio Andrews is a beast.

S Carolina -7 - Gamecocks go into Orlando to face UCF who went on the road and beat Penn St, with lil problem, Bartles is real, Gamecock "D" is as good as expected and Shaw is ok, running game is there, this could be upset city or a blowout in Orlando.

Idaho +7 1/2 - Vandals have home field adv here and Owls on the road to that part of the country might be recipe for Vandals first home win.

Again these are not official plays, just leans.

Totals will be up later this week, which are hitting at 37% for me thus far :facepalm:

GLE!!

Time to study!!

:0003

1 unit...16-14, +.60
2 unit... 15-14-1, -.80
3 unit...3-7, -14.1
4 unit...3-3, -1.2
5 unit...5-7, -13.65
6 1/2 pt teaser:...
7 pt teaser:...0-1, -1.3
Round robins...
Parlay.....
ML.....11-5, +11.1
10 pt teaser....0-1, -5.0
13 pt teaser...0-4, -15.6
WON.......53....LOSS.....56....-39.2 units

 

[capping-guru]

Purdue, buff, USC and cu are nive live dogs! GL

 

[WildBillPicks7]

The Plays

The Plays

Ok, finally put the numbers together for last 5 days and this is what I've played this wk!! GLE!

Sept 26-28

CENTRAL FLORIDA +7 (1 unit) Decided on UCF basically becuz I don't trust the "D" of S Car stopping the run that the Knights have and Bartles could do some damage passing the ball and he's got some gifted receivers, I see this as a FG type game.

SMU +19 1/2 (2 units) TCU with BU QB in, Boykin, Ponies lost only 24-16 LY, with Boykin at QB for TCU, cross town game, should stay under the number, TCU by 17.

SOUTH ALABAMA +20 1/2 (1 unit) Tenn off two toughies, out west vs Oregon and last wk vs FLA, this time they have Georgia on tap next and USA can score folks, they shut down WK which has an explosive offense, albeit one dimensional with their RB, but USA can spread the ball around and UT "D" doesn't stop anyone from scoring although they beat WK at home, USA will put up a fight here.

EAST CAROLINA +12 (1 unit) ECU is 0-6 L6 ATS vs UNC, ECU can score even though VT shut them down at home, this is a 60 mile drive to Chapel Hill and should come down to a 10 pt game.

COLORADO +11 (1 unit) Buffs had over a wk to prepare even with the floodling that occured during the last 10 days in Boulder area, Mac should have his troops focused here as they travel to Corvallis, Oregon State off two wins and lost at home vs E Wash, well Buffs offense can put up points and can match what E Wash did offensively and OSU isn't stopping anyone from scoring. 7 pt game

OVER 67 1/2 TROY ST/DUKE (1 unit) Neither team has a defense - LW 113 pts at Duke scored and Troy gave up 62 to Miss St, total pts was 69 in that fiasco.

UNDER 67 1/2 TOLEDO/BALL ST (1 unit) Rockets 4 straight unders to start the year, MAC tilt, LY had 61 pts score in Toledo, Rockets "D" is much improved over last year.

TOLEDO +3 (1 unit) Rockets could get the upset here if Owens is on his game.

BUFFALO pk (2 units) Buff started out +2 1/2, will take the home squad here.

FLORIDA ST -21 1/2 (2 units) Jameis is good for 4 TDs here and FSU "D" should shut down BC "O".

MINNESOTA +1 (1 unit) Gophers SU is the play, Hawkeyes have played who?

UTEP +14 (1 unit) CSU off tough beat at Bama, now come home to face Miner program that can put up pts, I wouldn't be surprised if UTEP wins SU.

GEORGIA -2 1/2 (1 unit) OK, tons of LSU love, why? I just don't get it, but I could be wrong here, just feel the senior leadership of Murray, two tough runners and special teams will give Dawgs the edge here to pull out a nice 7-10 pt win vs LSU, LSU off win vs Auburn and Georgia did exploit S Carolina a bit, just feel home cookin will help in this tilt with Murray having one of them great senior days! GA 37 LSU 28.

HOUSTON -3 (2 units) Cougars can rack up pts and TSA off some tough non-conf games, face an equal matchup here, but offensively Cougars can run with the roadrunners and win by 7.

UNDER 55 1/2 ARMY/LA TECH (1 unit) Road trip for Army and LaTech off some tough non-conf games haven't really put any offense together, this looks like a 21-17 type game for LaTech to win.

LOUISIANA TECH +2 (1 unit)

IDAHO +8 1/2 (2 units) Vandals in an upset at home for first win? Maybe, but have this as a 7 pt game either way.

OVER 57 TULANE/UL MONROE (3 units) Neither defense will stop the others' offense. ULM got torched by Baylor and Tulane by Syracuse LW. Something will give here. ULM racked up over 60 LY vs Green Wave.

TULANE +13 1/2 (1 unit)

WYOMING -11 (1 unit) Cowboys QB can amass a bunch of running and passing yds quickly and the Cowboy "D" is playing better, have Wyoming winning by 14.

OVER 64 AZ/WASH (1 unit) AZ won this one easily at home LY vs Huskies, Huskies in revenge mode, however the line is way too lopsided in my opinion, ZONA puts up 44 and gives just 9 and UW 43 and 10, it's a pick em line for me and should end up 38-34, UW.

ARIZONA +10 (1 unit)

ALA BIRMINGHAM +21 (2 units) Blazers should be able to score on Vandy and visa versa, 10-17 pt type game.

NEW MEXICO +2 1/2 (2 units) UNLV sucks!

WASHINGTON ST +10 (1 unit) Cougars playing better in yr 2 for Leach-ball. Stanford won at home 24-17 LY, perhaps the Cougars get the SU upset? The road team has covered the L4, Stanford 4-0 SU in those L4.

OVER 56 SO MISS/BOISE ST (3 units) Don't see either "D" stopping the other's offense.

CALIFORNIA +36 1/2 (2 units) Bears should be able to claw their way to keep this one respectable, LY Ducks won by 42 giving 32 1/2 away at Cal, Dykes should keep the Bears "O" motivated in this tilt, Oregon hasn't played anyone other than Tennessee and Tenn offense isn't very good. Cal averaging 34 pts thus far. DUCKS 49 CAL 30.

USC +6 1/2 (1 unit) ASU tough last 2 games, beating Wisky by a blow officiating call and then got thumped by Stanford, this time they face a "D" in the Trojans that should keep this one interesting in the Valley of the Sun, Kessler is due to wake up offensively here, but USC shut down USU LW, this looks like a 24-21 type game on paper.





1 unit...16-14, +.60
2 unit... 15-14-1, -.80
3 unit...3-7, -14.1
4 unit...3-3, -1.2
5 unit...5-7, -13.65
6 1/2 pt teaser:...
7 pt teaser:...0-1, -1.3
Round robins...
Parlay.....
ML.....11-5, +11.1
10 pt teaser....0-1, -5.0
13 pt teaser...0-4, -15.6
WON.......53....LOSS.....56....-39.2 units

:0003

 

[WildBillPicks7]

added: Thursday Night Play

13 pt tease: -120 (1 unit), Georgia Tech +6, Iowa State vs. Tulsa Over 42, Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Tech Over 30, Iowa State +16 :sadwave:

:0003

 

[WildBillPicks7]

ARKANSAS +16 (3 units) A&M just 1-7 L8 ATS vs Ark, new HC with new scheme and future NFL stud in Freshman, Collins, also home crowd should help a lil in this tilt. Have A&M winning by 8, Ark should get the cover

OHIO ST -260 (2 units) Miller probably going to QB this weekend, it don't matter who is the QB, Buckeyes at home don't lose often, neither does Urban Meyer at home, should be toughest challenge OSU has had this year but Wisky comes up a fg short here.

GL!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Friday Night 9-27

Friday Night 9-27

BYU -22 1/2 (2 units) :00hour Middle Tenn off a game which they had 5 turnovers given to them by FAU last wk now travel to Mile High Country area and play a BYU cougar "D" which shut down Texas rather easily, or was that Texas shutting themselves down? Anyways, I feel the 2nd half will become a runaway for BYU, I have this game as BYU winning by 3, but strength of schedule and home field may give the Cougars a bit of a better edge, plus the altitude!!

57% on Middle Tenn - line steamed up though from -21 to -24 at some places since OL!

I like my chances here, but what do I know? I'm negative in foots this season so far!!

GL!

:0corn

 

[BOBBYW]

Thanx & gl Brother Bill & I hope you kick some football ass on Sat...

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Thanx & gl Brother Bill & I hope you kick some football ass on Sat...

Thanks Bobby!! BYU comes thru even with giving up the ball in the end zone and goal line twice for scores. Wasn't even close!!

Northwest part of US with Major Storm coming thru, line on Cal/Oregon total dropped 4 pts in less than 2 days!!

BW on USC, moved line from +7 to +3 now and ML changed big on that one as well. BK is on this one as one of his top games, he don't lose too often!! BK = Bookillr from ol' AOL days!!

GL!

:toast:

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Ok, finally put the numbers together for last 5 days and this is what I've played this wk!! GLE!

Sept 26-28

CENTRAL FLORIDA +7 (1 unit):00hour Decided on UCF basically becuz I don't trust the "D" of S Car stopping the run that the Knights have and Bartles could do some damage passing the ball and he's got some gifted receivers, I see this as a FG type game.

SMU +19 1/2 (2 units):sadwave: TCU with BU QB in, Boykin, Ponies lost only 24-16 LY, with Boykin at QB for TCU, cross town game, should stay under the number, TCU by 17.

SOUTH ALABAMA +20 1/2 (1 unit):00hour Tenn off two toughies, out west vs Oregon and last wk vs FLA, this time they have Georgia on tap next and USA can score folks, they shut down WK which has an explosive offense, albeit one dimensional with their RB, but USA can spread the ball around and UT "D" doesn't stop anyone from scoring although they beat WK at home, USA will put up a fight here.

EAST CAROLINA +12 (1 unit):00hour ECU is 0-6 L6 ATS vs UNC, ECU can score even though VT shut them down at home, this is a 60 mile drive to Chapel Hill and should come down to a 10 pt game.

COLORADO +11 (1 unit):sadwave: Buffs had over a wk to prepare even with the floodling that occured during the last 10 days in Boulder area, Mac should have his troops focused here as they travel to Corvallis, Oregon State off two wins and lost at home vs E Wash, well Buffs offense can put up points and can match what E Wash did offensively and OSU isn't stopping anyone from scoring. 7 pt game

OVER 67 1/2 TROY ST/DUKE (1 unit) :00hour Neither team has a defense - LW 113 pts at Duke scored and Troy gave up 62 to Miss St, total pts was 69 in that fiasco.

UNDER 67 1/2 TOLEDO/BALL ST (1 unit):00hour Rockets 4 straight unders to start the year, MAC tilt, LY had 61 pts score in Toledo, Rockets "D" is much improved over last year.

TOLEDO +3 (1 unit):sadwave: Rockets could get the upset here if Owens is on his game.

BUFFALO pk (2 units):00hour Buff started out +2 1/2, will take the home squad here.

FLORIDA ST -21 1/2 (2 units):sadwave: Jameis is good for 4 TDs here and FSU "D" should shut down BC "O".

MINNESOTA +1 (1 unit) :sadwave: Gophers SU is the play, Hawkeyes have played who?

UTEP +14 (1 unit) :sadwave: CSU off tough beat at Bama, now come home to face Miner program that can put up pts, I wouldn't be surprised if UTEP wins SU.

GEORGIA -2 1/2 (1 unit):00hour OK, tons of LSU love, why? I just don't get it, but I could be wrong here, just feel the senior leadership of Murray, two tough runners and special teams will give Dawgs the edge here to pull out a nice 7-10 pt win vs LSU, LSU off win vs Auburn and Georgia did exploit S Carolina a bit, just feel home cookin will help in this tilt with Murray having one of them great senior days! GA 37 LSU 28.

HOUSTON -3 (2 units):00hour Cougars can rack up pts and TSA off some tough non-conf games, face an equal matchup here, but offensively Cougars can run with the roadrunners and win by 7.

UNDER 55 1/2 ARMY/LA TECH (1 unit):00hour Road trip for Army and LaTech off some tough non-conf games haven't really put any offense together, this looks like a 21-17 type game for LaTech to win.

LOUISIANA TECH +2 (1 unit) :sadwave:

IDAHO +8 1/2 (2 units):00hour Vandals in an upset at home for first win? Maybe, but have this as a 7 pt game either way.

OVER 57 TULANE/UL MONROE (3 units):sadwave: Neither defense will stop the others' offense. ULM got torched by Baylor and Tulane by Syracuse LW. Something will give here. ULM racked up over 60 LY vs Green Wave.

TULANE +13 1/2 (1 unit) :00hour

WYOMING -11 (1 unit) Cowboys QB can amass a bunch of running and passing yds quickly and the Cowboy "D" is playing better, have Wyoming winning by 14.

OVER 64 AZ/WASH (1 unit):sadwave: AZ won this one easily at home LY vs Huskies, Huskies in revenge mode, however the line is way too lopsided in my opinion, ZONA puts up 44 and gives just 9 and UW 43 and 10, it's a pick em line for me and should end up 38-34, UW.

ARIZONA +10 (1 unit) :sadwave:

ALA BIRMINGHAM +21 (2 units) Blazers should be able to score on Vandy and visa versa, 10-17 pt type game.

NEW MEXICO +2 1/2 (2 units) UNLV sucks!

WASHINGTON ST +10 (1 unit) Cougars playing better in yr 2 for Leach-ball. Stanford won at home 24-17 LY, perhaps the Cougars get the SU upset? The road team has covered the L4, Stanford 4-0 SU in those L4.

OVER 56 SO MISS/BOISE ST (3 units) Don't see either "D" stopping the other's offense.

CALIFORNIA +36 1/2 (2 units) Bears should be able to claw their way to keep this one respectable, LY Ducks won by 42 giving 32 1/2 away at Cal, Dykes should keep the Bears "O" motivated in this tilt, Oregon hasn't played anyone other than Tennessee and Tenn offense isn't very good. Cal averaging 34 pts thus far. DUCKS 49 CAL 30.

USC +6 1/2 (1 unit) ASU tough last 2 games, beating Wisky by a blow officiating call and then got thumped by Stanford, this time they face a "D" in the Trojans that should keep this one interesting in the Valley of the Sun, Kessler is due to wake up offensively here, but USC shut down USU LW, this looks like a 24-21 type game on paper.





1 unit...16-14, +.60
2 unit... 15-14-1, -.80
3 unit...3-7, -14.1
4 unit...3-3, -1.2
5 unit...5-7, -13.65
6 1/2 pt teaser:...
7 pt teaser:...0-1, -1.3
Round robins...
Parlay.....
ML.....11-5, +11.1
10 pt teaser....0-1, -5.0
13 pt teaser...0-4, -15.6
WON.......53....LOSS.....56....-39.2 units

:0003

Tracking. 1-1 thus far, +.80 units not counting today. Feel good about the late card plays, lines changed big time since last post on this card!

GL tonight everyone!! GO DAWGS!! GO HOGS!! AND GO BUCKEYES!! And put on your TROJANS if you are going out tonight looking for strange, boys!!!

:mj07:

 

[WildBillPicks7]

15-16 overall, -.20 units :facepalm:

No breaks and lots of lopsided scores in the Pac12!!

Better lineup for next week and conference action begins for most all FBS schools!!

GL!