wk 8 ncaafb

Cie

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6-5 +1.49U last week

33-29 +7.56U ytd

I will look closely at fading these teams next week:


L'ville
WVA
A&M
Tulsa
Oregon St
South FL
Vandy
Rutgers
AF
Cal
BC

GLTA:weed:
 

Cie

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I will preface by saying that despite how closely I follow the program, I have lost a number of plays on and against LSU this season.

LSU lost to Tenn last season after dominating the 1st half in the wake of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. It was apparent that the Tigers ran out of gas in the 2H after several emotionally grueling weeks of dealing w/ the disaster. These guys are chomping at the bit to get after the Vols following the bye week after the Fresno game this weekend.

Given that LSU has lost both games this season vs. Top15 competition (and have heard about it from fans, media, etc), they are that much more excited about the opportunity to get after the Vols in Knoxville.

I feel Fresno stays w/in the number Saturday night. This may be a very large play for me. Still looking at a couple of factors.

GL:weed:
 

Cie

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I feel LSU may be overvalued for the following reasons:

-The #1 ranked LSU D has played extremely well in all games this season, including losses @ Fla and @ Aub.
-LSU O has lit up every poor to mediocre defense it has faced this season, including 49-0 LW vs Kentucky.
-Fresno was lit up by Hawaii LW and has multiple BAD losses this season.

GL:weed:
 

Cie

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Thx guys. I like the over as well.

Played 1 small:

SC -3 [-119] x.5 I felt the need to fade Vandy off their HUGE road win.


I am having second thoughts on Zona as a x3 play. I'm waiting for a better price to buy back 1 or 1.5 units.


GL:weed:
 

Irish

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Leaning toward LSU and SC... good luck to you this weekend.

Cheers
Irish
 

Cie

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UGA un39 x1 (-105)
ND un49 x1 (-102)

Okie St -3 x1.5
Col +14 x1.5
Pitt -6 x1

GLTA:weed:
 
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