BEST BET: UT/MN Over 133
MN is just beginning a four game road trip and is still fresh. UT has 7-2 Center Dydek back from a one-game suspension and she should be eager to play after sitting on the bench for a game.
MN has the #2 D in the league while UT is #2 on O but #13 on D.
Minnesota is averaging 69 ppg against teams with poor D (ranked in the bottom half of the league).
The addition of Tamara Moore has helped the Lynx and Katie Smith is really playing well right now.
Utah is averaging 69 ppg against teams with good D (ranked in the top half of the league).
The only question mark here is that MN's star Tameka Williams is questionable for this game. She suffered a split lip from a shoe in Wednesday's 63-64 loss to WA and received 15 stitches. She's averaging 10.3 ppg and 8.2 rpg. She received the injury in the first half of that game and only played 12 minutes before leaving. But without her the Lynx didn't fold, losing a game to the Mystics they could have own. Not much press on this injury, which makes me think it's not that serious.
IMO she'll start tonight. I'm not a trainer but it should be better 48 hours after the accident.
MN will also play 6-6 Michelle Van Gorp and 6-5 Janell Burse more tonight in an attempt to stop Dydek, but IMO this won't be enough -- Dydek is #3 in the WNBA in rebounds with 9.8 rpg, but she has taken her game to a new level in the last 8 games, averaging 13.1 rpg.
I look for the Starzz to win tonight by leading a game in which they try to out-run and out-score Minnesota. MN may have the #2 D, but the best Houston (#1 D) could do was hold Utah to 67 in their last game. And that was without Dydek. Factoring out two games vs HOU, Utah scored 80 ppg in their L4.
I see the line is at 135 now, FWIW I've capped this game in the mid 140s.
- Jon