WNBA: Sunday

superbook

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Here's what I posted at the other place.

Yesterday: 1-0
YTD 36-17

Sunday's card looks good. I'm going with the revenge factor tomorrow:

BEST BET: Seattle -5.5 (majorbetting.com)

If you remember last Thursday, I made SEA my BEST BET to cover at SAC. The Storm were up 31-30 at the half and then fell apart in the second half to lose 72-64.

I'm sure SEA has revenge on their mind and I definitely do as I'm going back to the well and backing the Storm again on Sunday.

The more that I thought about that game, and reflecting upon comments made by the Valuist at MJs, the more I'm convinced that SEA was the victim of some bad breaks in last Thursday night's game.

Today's easy win by Utah at Sacramento and Friday night's win by SEA over IND has further convinced me of this.

In their first match-up, SEA shot 38% from the field including 6-20 from Lauren Jackson and 3-9 from Sue Bird. Kamila Vodichkova should have owned the paint, but she played most of the game with foul trouble.

SAC Center Yolando Griffith is out for a month but it looks like point guard Ticha Penicheiro, who leads the team with 5.3 rpg and 8.1 assists, will probably also be out vs SEA.

Penicheiro didn't play in Saturday's game vs Utah and she was on the bench in dress clothes. She is listed as doubtful for Sunday's game with a strained right shoulder. If I was the coach, I would rest her so she's ready for next Tuesday's big home game vs. WA.

In their last game vs SEA, Penicheiro had 10 points, 6 rebounds, 10 assists and 3 steals. She is obviously a loss for SAC if she doesn't play.

SAC plays this game having played Saturday; SEA got Saturday off after playing three games in the previous four days so they should be a little better rested.

SEA shot well in their win vs IND and should be coming into this game with a lot of confidence.

FWIW, SAC is 7-0 all-time vs SEA, but I think this streak ends on Sunday. SEA is offering its fans a money-back guarantee; I'm not offering the same but I think this is a good play.

- Jon
 

acehistr8

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3-0 Saturday brings it to 29-14-1 on the year.

Right now leans are Houston and Washington. No plays yet, may not get any in today, but these are the leans so far.

Good luck everyone.
 

JJP

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SB--

I'm with you on it. I also like Washington a bit. They dominated Cleveland on the boards the last time these two teams met and with this game in Wash, I don't see that changing.
 

Meestermike

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WNBA ~ June 23rd... w/ MeesterM

WNBA ~ June 23rd... w/ MeesterM

Had a great day Friday to bring the YTD $ balance back into the black. WHEW!!!

RESULTS from FRI. JUNE 21st...
WAS\MIA UN 138 -110 ** WIN
ORL -2.5 -110 ** WIN
ORL\DET UN 142 -110 * WIN
CLE -3 -110 * WIN
NY\CLE OV 125.5 -110 * WIN
PHX +6.5 -110 ** LOSS
PHX\HOU OV 122.5 -110 * LOSS
SEA\IND UN 141 -110 * WIN
LA -8 -110 ** WIN

Some 1/2 Time Extras...
ORL PK 2nd half -110 *** WIN

WNBA GMS RECORD YTD: 45\43\1
basket.gif


TODAY's TILTS ~
CLE +5.5 -107 *
ORL -3 -107 **
PHX -1.5 1st Half -110 *
PHX -2.5 -107 **
CLE\WAS OV 139.5 -107 *
MIN\PHX UN 130.5 -110 *


May play the other late game...SAC\SEA when lines come up.

GL
 

Theboundbook

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I just called my casino because I couldn't find a line on Sea game. The reason they pulled the line is because Sac's main guard is questionable and a game time decision; thus furthering the reasoning on Sea even more. Do you guys still have lines on this game?
 

Spock

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will tail and make small play on Seattle .. first bet for WNBA .. obviously not my research but lookin at what superbook says .. lets go seattle ..

Cheers !!!
Spock
 

TIME TO MAKE $$$

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I received an email about 20 minutes ago as to why I liked PHX -2, when trends had Minn +2 all over it.

Here are my reasons:


Key performance records for MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 3-6 after a division game this season. (19-31 over the last 3 seasons.)
MINNESOTA is 4-6 in all games this season. (31-43 over the last 3 seasons.)
MINNESOTA is 3-5 in June games this season. (15-16 over the last 3 seasons.)
MINNESOTA is 4-6 in May, June, or July games this season. (24-37 over the last 3 seasons.)
MINNESOTA is 2-4 in road games this season. (15-23 over the last 3 seasons.)
MINNESOTA is 2-4 off a loss against a division rival this season. (13-20 over the last 3 seasons.)
MINNESOTA is 6-4 on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons. (7-5 since 1997.)
MINNESOTA is 3-6 vs. division opponents this season. (17-34 over the last 3 seasons.)
MINNESOTA is 0-3 when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (11-26 over the last 3 seasons.)

Key performance records for PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 3-2 after a division game this season. (25-24 over the last 3 seasons.)
PHOENIX is 5-3 in all games this season. (38-36 over the last 3 seasons.)
PHOENIX is 5-1 in home games this season. (26-13 over the last 3 seasons.)
PHOENIX is 5-2 in June games this season. (17-13 over the last 3 seasons.)
PHOENIX is 5-3 in May, June, or July games this season. (33-26 over the last 3 seasons.)
PHOENIX is 2-0 off a loss against a division rival this season. (17-11 over the last 3 seasons.)
PHOENIX is 1-0 on Sunday games this season. (1-8 over the last 3 seasons.)
PHOENIX is 0-1 versus good defensive teams - allowing <=65 points/game this season. (5-6 over the last 3 seasons.)
PHOENIX is 1-1 versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=65 points/game this season. (8-5 over the last 3 seasons.)
PHOENIX is 2-3 vs. division opponents this season. (21-28 over the last 3 seasons.)
PHOENIX is 2-0 when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (22-6 over the last 3 seasons.)


Looking at all this info, I decided Phx had the numbers on their side.

Luckily, it came through
 

superbook

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Time To Make $$$ --

FWIW I don't really consider many of those historical numbers to be relevant in capping WNBA.

It's a new league where new and better players can make a real impact in their first year.

Some of these teams have only been around for a couple of years, but with a couple of first round draft picks they're a totally different team than they were in their first year.

For example, SAC was 7-0 all-time vs SEA.

SEA got #1 draft picks in 2000 (Lauren Jackson) and 2001 (Sue Bird). I don't think it's fair to go back to looking at their performance from the 2000 season to judge their current team.

Just my thoughts.

- Jon
 

Valuist

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Agree 100%. I do stand by my position that any emotional factor is magnified in the WNBA. I had to laugh when I heard the Houston coach complain that his team hadn't gotten to face any teams in the 2nd of back to backs. Can you imagine an NBA coach saying that?
 
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