Here's what I posted across the street. Wasn't sure if you guys wanted me posting in your threads or not. Some guys are picky about that, especially if I'm going the other way on a play.
All plays will count against my record. Lines from Majorbetting and Olympic at the time I made my play.
BEST BET: New York -4.5
IND beat NY on June 8th in Indianapolis by a score of 71-62. Why New York will win and cover tonite:
1. Revenge. The Liberty will be better prepared for Catchings this time around. The last game was the first time the Liberty had played against her.
2. IND is tired after nearing a long month on the road. IND starts an 8 game homestand on July 6th. But in the first 30 days of the season, the Fever will have played 15 games, 10 of which will have been on the road.
3. NY needs to win tonite at home. New York plays well at home and is in the first of five at home. The Liberty , the preseason favorite, have fallen into third place in the Eastern Division.
And perhaps most importantly:
4. NY will get the calls at home. New York's tough zone D gets them called for a lot of fouls on the road. It's hard to win when the other team gets 20 more foul shots.
At home this season, The Liberty are averaging 2.75 more fouls shots per game than their opponents.
On the road this season, their opponents are averaging 7.3 more foul shots per game than The Liberty.
The worst two cases of this was in their last game at ORL (the Miracle got 19 more FTs than NY) and the last game vs IND (the Fever shot 28 more FTs than NY).
New York had 38 fouls called on them in that game vs IND on 6/9 and despite only shooting 10 FTs themselves they only lost by 9!!!
The rest of my plays:
Utah -7
WA -7.5
PHO +11
gl
All plays will count against my record. Lines from Majorbetting and Olympic at the time I made my play.
BEST BET: New York -4.5
IND beat NY on June 8th in Indianapolis by a score of 71-62. Why New York will win and cover tonite:
1. Revenge. The Liberty will be better prepared for Catchings this time around. The last game was the first time the Liberty had played against her.
2. IND is tired after nearing a long month on the road. IND starts an 8 game homestand on July 6th. But in the first 30 days of the season, the Fever will have played 15 games, 10 of which will have been on the road.
3. NY needs to win tonite at home. New York plays well at home and is in the first of five at home. The Liberty , the preseason favorite, have fallen into third place in the Eastern Division.
And perhaps most importantly:
4. NY will get the calls at home. New York's tough zone D gets them called for a lot of fouls on the road. It's hard to win when the other team gets 20 more foul shots.
At home this season, The Liberty are averaging 2.75 more fouls shots per game than their opponents.
On the road this season, their opponents are averaging 7.3 more foul shots per game than The Liberty.
The worst two cases of this was in their last game at ORL (the Miracle got 19 more FTs than NY) and the last game vs IND (the Fever shot 28 more FTs than NY).
New York had 38 fouls called on them in that game vs IND on 6/9 and despite only shooting 10 FTs themselves they only lost by 9!!!
The rest of my plays:
Utah -7
WA -7.5
PHO +11
gl
