Nice info Superbook - looking forward to watching another yr of yer college hoops too
Was really hoping I would get the NZers at double digits for this opener so I could make a play.
Here's why I like our hometown boys.
NZ qualified by knocking out Australia - a top 4 side at the Sydney Olympics - in the Oceania qualifiers when they won the home series 2-1. So it was no fluke - they dominated the last qtr of game one to win, should have clinched victory in two but lost a nervy match when a buzzer beater rimmed out then came from nine down in the 1st qtr to destroy the Aussies in the decider.
After that, NZ Basketball designed our most comprehensive ever programme to ensure we got to the world champs in the best shape possible.
We beat Hungary 4-1 in a 5-match series in NZ after losing 2-1 away to a Chinese side featuring Yao Ming and Mengke Bateer - NZ lost the opener 74-89, game 2 101-110 and then stunned the Chinese with a 100-85 Game 3 win.
Recently, NZ has been preparing in France. They took the Sydney 2002 silver medallists to OT before losing 92-97 and then lost the re-match 80-86.
This was followed by the most stunning win in our nation's basketballing history - an 81-79 win over world champs Yugoslavia. Also in the Super Cup, NZ went down 75-85 to the Lituanians, who pushed the US to within 2 pts at Sydney, and lost 74-83 to a German side featuring Dirk Nowitski. NZ shared a 2-game warm-up series last week with Canada and completed preparation with a low key 83-73 loss to Brazil this week as both sides rested their starters often.
So in their last 19 international matches; all against highly respectable opposition, NZ has only once lost by more than 11 pts.
Coached by ex Florida resident Tab Baldwin, the Kiwis will be undersized in Indy.
Our 3 biggest players are just 2.10m - former Buffalo product Ed Book, Miami Heat bench player Sean Marks and centre Rob Hickey.
So the Kiwis will look to run and gun whenever the get the chance. And why not when your point guard has electric heels. Some of you may remember Mark Dickel, who led the NCAAB in assists in his senior year with UNLV.
He'll push it down the court and look to find his long-range shooters open. NZ possess three dangerous trey-men - Wisconsin's Kirk Penney, sweet left-hander Phill Jones (both shooting guards) and forward Pero Cameron.
Watch for Cameron - he's about 1.93m but almost as wide. He has great court presence and vision, will occasionally even play the point and hits huge threes from well outside the top of the key - a very unique player and NZ's inspirational captain.
Watch also for Dillon Boucher - plays way above his height and weight, very quick hands, tremendous defender and athletic spark.
Baldwin was very surprised by Russia's recent loss to Canada 69-74. Even though they rested some big men, the Russians were beaten inside by Michael Meeks and Kevin Jobbity, who couldn't get to double figures in either game v NZ.
The Kiwis will fight like men possessed today. Baldwin and the players no longer settle for being competitive at this level like we would have even 4 yrs ago. They believe they can win v Russia and Venezuela and push Argentina hard to make the next rd.
Kirilenko should be Russia's star but they don't have the talent that saw them finish runner-up in '98 - they only just qualified as the 5th and final team from Europe.
I'm going to some Kiwi $ on the Kiwis!
I know the others are all chalk but here's why...
Spain will be without key guard Raul Lopez but are a solid team led by Gasol and qualified 3rd from Europe. Without Nash, McCulloch and Magloire, the Canadians are tradesmanlike at best and will struggle to match up here.
Argentina were totally dominant in the Sth Am champs and last yr's qualies. With Ruben Wolkowyski and Emanuel Ginobili in their offence, they should way too much firepower for Venezuela despite the presence of Oscar Torres and the vet Carl Herrera.
Brazil will be without centre Neno Hilario but have so much experience to draw on. Lebanon were a massive shock to qualify as they bt Sth Korea to make it thru but the Asian qualifiers weren't high quality and Lebanon's inexperience could be exposed here.
Yugoslavia are defending their title and are deep, with Divac, Stojakovic, Drobnjak, Radmanovic and Jaric. While Angola have dominated African basketball, they showed at the Olympics there is a big gap to this level.
Algeria were second to Angola in the qualies and lack height horrendously - they have no-one over 2.05m. While the US lack a big-scoring front-courter, they should dominate the boards while getting plenty of pts from the guard line-up like Andre Miller and Paul Pierce. I expect the home team to try and make a statement to the players that didn't suit up for selection and the rest of the teams in the tournament and the competition for places will help avoid a back-door cover on this big number.
PLAYING:
NZ +11 v Russia 2 units
NZ ML +600 1 units
Spain -6
Arg -15.5
Yugo -24
Brazil -22
US -38.5 all for one unit
GL all
