Wrong Team Favored ???

Clem D

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Morris.
I will have my thoughts on the game later in the week. How far are you from the track? Caroline Street? How about putting up a friend for a week during the meet?

J/k

but I will be there in August lets meet for a cocktail
 

ctownguy

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Scott-Atlanta said:
I also was almost sure that Seattle would be the favorite.

Maybe they are trying something funny.

Agree, the ole trap play. Take Seattle getting points "can't believe they are the underdog" type thinking and then watch Pittsburgh win by 20 points.

Favorite or not I can't see Pitt losing this game, just my humble opinion. :clap:
 

Clem D

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ctownguy said:
Agree, the ole trap play. Take Seattle getting points "can't believe they are the underdog" type thinking and then watch Pittsburgh win by 20 points.

Favorite or not I can't see Pitt losing this game, just my humble opinion. :clap:


ctown.. Friday Books said no matter what outcome of the championships Afc would open -3.5 over nc for super bowl. Here is what I founfd interesting. Most books at the same time were offering Seattle as the favorite to win the superbowl at 8to5.

Very strange signals they are sending.
 

maverick2112

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Clem D said:
ctown.. Friday Books said no matter what outcome of the championships Afc would open -3.5 over nc for super bowl. Here is what I founfd interesting. Most books at the same time were offering Seattle as the favorite to win the superbowl at 8to5.

Very strange signals they are sending.


Dont think so............everybook I checked ......about 20 of them.............Had Denver the favorite ............with Seattle and Pitt pretty even as the second and third choice...... and then Carolina..........

Didnt see anywhere where Seattle was favored over Denver.............
 

THE KOD

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recognizing trap plays is the first step to winning wagers.

There is no way that the Steelers should be favorites over Seattle.

Something smells stinky.
 

blgstocks

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Steerlers stepped all over denver and should have done the same with the colts except for a freak play.
Seattle on the other hand didnt look as good against anybody but Carolina.

I know the Seahakws have been a better team all year and they will beat Steelers. There was ALOT of people saying the books were trying to bait Texas money by not lowering the line on SC game after Big12 had a much more impressive showing in the bowls, and so they took SC. Who didnt really ever have a chance in the game of covering -7

That being said, I though Seattle would be favorites too, and I will be taking the present the books are giving me. And if I lose it wont be because Vegas "tricked" me, it would be because the better team all year lost to a wld card that went on a hot streak at the right time.
 

AR182

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i don't know why people are saying that the wrong team is favored....

it was said all year that the afc was better than the nfc.....

going into the playoffs....it was thought that cin., indy, & denver were all better teams than seattle....so pitt. beat all 3 teams on the road, rather convincingly & now are a 4 point favorite, in neutral territory.....imo no surprise...
 

Sun Tzu

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Cincy lost their QB on the first play of the game. I really think Cincy wins that game with Palmer.

Indy was better than Seattle but ripe. I thought Denver was crap all year.

To me Indy was the only team better than Seattle.

And while he has won 3 so far this year, I dont think BIll COwher can ever be trusted when it counts.'

I really expected a PK "blind." I probably would bet on either team getting the points ,and more thana fg is a gift.
 

DerekNJND

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Clem D said:
ctown.. Friday Books said no matter what outcome of the championships Afc would open -3.5 over nc for super bowl. Here is what I founfd interesting. Most books at the same time were offering Seattle as the favorite to win the superbowl at 8to5.

Very strange signals they are sending.

There is a school of thought that the AFC is simply the better conference these days. I thought Pittsburgh could open up as high as -5 for the game, but no way less than -3 because the AFC has won 3 of the last 4.

The last AFC team to lose the big game was the Raiders, who ironically remind me of this year's Seattle team. Also, Seattle played very poorly in their two road games against AFC opponents this season, BARELY going 1-1 in those games. Teams much weaker than the Steelers I might add.

But considering the NFC went 29-33 against the AFC this year, (seahags 3-1) I am not factoring that much into my decision. What I may factor in is Pitt's 4-0 record against the NFC this year.

I think Seahags being 8-5 to win the superbowl BEFORE their win last week was simply because they and Denver shared NFL's best records among remaining teams.
 

DerekNJND

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Sun Tzu said:
Cincy lost their QB on the first play of the game. I really think Cincy wins that game with Palmer.

Indy was better than Seattle but ripe. I thought Denver was crap all year.

To me Indy was the only team better than Seattle.

And while he has won 3 so far this year, I dont think BIll COwher can ever be trusted when it counts.'

I really expected a PK "blind." I probably would bet on either team getting the points ,and more thana fg is a gift.

I agree with your analysis. Talent wise could be a pick, but the AFC bias as the better conference deems ANY AFC team favored in this game. I think the early superbowl line was -10 for the AFC at one point, obviously based on Indy representing the AFC. Thinking in those terms, that Pitt beat a team that woulda been 10 point favorites over ANYONE, I think 3 is a justifiable line.
 

socrstud

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This is why they win

1)Bettis is going home running game is going to be solid.
2) This is a home game 4 Pitt, expect Seattle to look like a visitor in the SuperBowl
3) Their is a reason why they have gotten to the super bowl and are favored.....And usually it is the superbowl favs that come out the winner
4) Seattle is going to a different time zone, and do not play well against east coast teams out of thier time zone.
5) NFC stands for NO FREAKING CHANCE

GL
 

DerekNJND

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socrstud said:
This is why they win

1)Bettis is going home running game is going to be solid.
2) This is a home game 4 Pitt, expect Seattle to look like a visitor in the SuperBowl
3) Their is a reason why they have gotten to the super bowl and are favored.....And usually it is the superbowl favs that come out the winner
4) Seattle is going to a different time zone, and do not play well against east coast teams
5) NFC stands for NO FREAKING CHANCE

GL

Agreed, especially about the favored team usually winning. I would love to see some ATS #'s for favorites when the line is less than 7. I would think the favorite cashes in at a pretty high clip.
 

Sun Tzu

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time zone? come on..that is a factor when teams get there saturday for a sunday game. Seattle will be in Detroit for a week before the game. that isnt remotely a factor...

and I would not San Francisco won the other Super Bowl in Detroit
 
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