You guys SUCK!!!!! Week 8 Card ( Oct 21-23)
- Thread starter Irish
- Start date
Best of Luck iIrish. Have only been able to post a few College plays on here.Just haven't been able to get them distributed in time. Been more active in the Pros on here. Always read and value your opinion alot.
Thanks Missy, Jiji and Clem!!
WVU (-14) over Cuse
The fact that Pitt was able to put the wood to Cuse speaks volumes of the Orange defense. Normally when talking about WVU we are talking about offense but not this time. The WVU defense has just flat out played better than average. They have held teams in the last two games to 16 and they rank up there in defense in NCAA. WVU has won the last eight and they have proven to just be too fast and too strong for Cuse in every aspect of the game. The WVU offense needs to get the running game going because they just have not had it. I blame the o-line and I am sure Devine does as well. Still Noel is now a bit healthier and tomorrow he should be able to get to the edge on this team. The best aspect of this game is what one team can do to the other. WVU can pass on Cuse and pass all day. This means points and more points WVU gets on top the less Cuse can run and then they are in trouble just like last week. The Orange offense had to throw for over 200 and only rushed for 70 plus and that made the offense just go flat. I love the way WVU plays at home. What I hate in this play is Steart believes that he should not run it up and rather just win. Silly rabbit that will get you in the picanni fruit basket bowl. Hey Bill you need some style points because the big east is down this year. It is home coming in morgantown so expect the fans to have tailgated for about 3 hours and be rowdy and ready and Cuse just can not keep up.
UNC (+6.5) over Miami
Miami has the home field advat=ntage but that is not something I think will play big into this game. I think the bigger question is can UNC score points when Harris gives them the ball (and he will). UNC has won the last four in this series and they are playing well of late. They have shown a bit more from the offensive line and started to get a better running game going.Miami defense giving up an average of 19.7 points and ranks fourth in the Football Bowl Subdivision in passing yards allowed at 150.7 per game. can Yates mix up the pass and run enough to continue to move the ball and score points? I think if they can get within fourty Barth is a big factor in the kicking game. I really hope Sturdavant gets back but the UNC defense has gotten better because of the adversity they have played against. Look at the stats, these teams are VERY even with one exception. Yates has 1 pick on the season and Harris has 9, while both have 11 TD passes. Harris has the confidence of his teammates, they expect him to make the turnover. The Canes have good WR but if you blanket Hankerson then UNC will have four picks tomorrow. Harris goes to him even if the coverage is there because he knows that he has the best hands of the group. I do not think the Miami offensive line can keep Harris upright, he gets rushed and that turnovers. Plus he is not the biggest kid. Hit him a few times and he will get banged up and then he will struggle to move the offense. Should be a good game but I think they are too close for Miami to spot this many points. Both teams get solid recruits so the edge goes to noone in that department. This means what team is better at limiting the mistakes.... thats the heels.
BC (-4) over Maryland
OK I have learned the terps are bad and BC has a great defense. BC learned a lot last week about Rittig and I think he makes a bit of a step up in the passing department. I think he has been playing timid and if you watched last week once he just stopped thinking the kid was moving the ball on a VERY good FSU defense. He stood tall and he took some shots. This gets his team to believe and that is a BIG advantage. BC has lost its edge because of offensive mistake. They are a good team if they do not give the other team the game. You can see that the running game can open holes and they have a back that can take advantage so they should be in the second level all day against the terps. BC has the better defence and the far better o-line. The eagles have all the advantage with the exception of excerience at the QB postion. This would be a big problem but the Terps offense is just bad. They have ONE player on offense and thats Smith. They dont even start the best option at running back in magget. The terps QB completes about 50% of his passes so I think he will be in for a long day against the BC defense and the defensive mind Spags coaching. Kids the Terps have the 98 offense in NCAA and thats against FIU, DUKE, NAVY, MORGAN CLEMSON and WVU. The two road games have not been kind to Maryland either losing both of them by more than 14 each. stat a bit off because that was against Clemson and WVU which are the two good teams the terps have seen. How about this though... VT, FSU, ND, NC ST all loses right, but they still have the 30th ranked defense and those are some of the better teams offensively. Better in the trenches, better defense, better coach, home field advantage and home coming.
Baylor (-6) over K State
Well the only reason to take K State is when they play at home because they are a tough out. Not so much on the road. Baylor has the 8th ranked offense in NCAA. They have the better QB, they have a good homefield advantage and a mismatch in a big department. The spread offense will kill the K State defense. We all saw how bad K state was when playing angels against Nebraska, now put the spread into it. Bad news for Baylor backers is Texas is on deck but honestly with a few loses it is not the time to look ahead. Now we all saw how Martinez was able to run all day, well griffin is a much better passer and it will be VERY hard for the K St defenders to stay home. The play action will be a big favor for Baylor and the Bears have a big advantage at WR in both size and speed. K state has one option when playing offense and it is the run game. The QB or the running back. Chances are those guys will be 80 plus the production for K State. You shut them down and K State is not going to beat you throwing. How will the Baylor Bears defense stack up? More than likely, not too well. They are going to give K State everything they want on offense, but they will take more when they are on offense. This game is a track meet and I don't mean scoring but in the yardage department. I think K State will move the ball but in the red zone Baylor can get a little tigher and that could muddy running room. Settle for FGs and Baylor can settle for big plays. Should be a tough enviorment for K State, like the offense of Baylor to score more than k State. I say it like that because I think Baylor puts more plays in the endzone, and makes more big plays and K St cannot run and keep up.
Cheers
Irish
WVU (-14) over Cuse
The fact that Pitt was able to put the wood to Cuse speaks volumes of the Orange defense. Normally when talking about WVU we are talking about offense but not this time. The WVU defense has just flat out played better than average. They have held teams in the last two games to 16 and they rank up there in defense in NCAA. WVU has won the last eight and they have proven to just be too fast and too strong for Cuse in every aspect of the game. The WVU offense needs to get the running game going because they just have not had it. I blame the o-line and I am sure Devine does as well. Still Noel is now a bit healthier and tomorrow he should be able to get to the edge on this team. The best aspect of this game is what one team can do to the other. WVU can pass on Cuse and pass all day. This means points and more points WVU gets on top the less Cuse can run and then they are in trouble just like last week. The Orange offense had to throw for over 200 and only rushed for 70 plus and that made the offense just go flat. I love the way WVU plays at home. What I hate in this play is Steart believes that he should not run it up and rather just win. Silly rabbit that will get you in the picanni fruit basket bowl. Hey Bill you need some style points because the big east is down this year. It is home coming in morgantown so expect the fans to have tailgated for about 3 hours and be rowdy and ready and Cuse just can not keep up.
UNC (+6.5) over Miami
Miami has the home field advat=ntage but that is not something I think will play big into this game. I think the bigger question is can UNC score points when Harris gives them the ball (and he will). UNC has won the last four in this series and they are playing well of late. They have shown a bit more from the offensive line and started to get a better running game going.Miami defense giving up an average of 19.7 points and ranks fourth in the Football Bowl Subdivision in passing yards allowed at 150.7 per game. can Yates mix up the pass and run enough to continue to move the ball and score points? I think if they can get within fourty Barth is a big factor in the kicking game. I really hope Sturdavant gets back but the UNC defense has gotten better because of the adversity they have played against. Look at the stats, these teams are VERY even with one exception. Yates has 1 pick on the season and Harris has 9, while both have 11 TD passes. Harris has the confidence of his teammates, they expect him to make the turnover. The Canes have good WR but if you blanket Hankerson then UNC will have four picks tomorrow. Harris goes to him even if the coverage is there because he knows that he has the best hands of the group. I do not think the Miami offensive line can keep Harris upright, he gets rushed and that turnovers. Plus he is not the biggest kid. Hit him a few times and he will get banged up and then he will struggle to move the offense. Should be a good game but I think they are too close for Miami to spot this many points. Both teams get solid recruits so the edge goes to noone in that department. This means what team is better at limiting the mistakes.... thats the heels.
BC (-4) over Maryland
OK I have learned the terps are bad and BC has a great defense. BC learned a lot last week about Rittig and I think he makes a bit of a step up in the passing department. I think he has been playing timid and if you watched last week once he just stopped thinking the kid was moving the ball on a VERY good FSU defense. He stood tall and he took some shots. This gets his team to believe and that is a BIG advantage. BC has lost its edge because of offensive mistake. They are a good team if they do not give the other team the game. You can see that the running game can open holes and they have a back that can take advantage so they should be in the second level all day against the terps. BC has the better defence and the far better o-line. The eagles have all the advantage with the exception of excerience at the QB postion. This would be a big problem but the Terps offense is just bad. They have ONE player on offense and thats Smith. They dont even start the best option at running back in magget. The terps QB completes about 50% of his passes so I think he will be in for a long day against the BC defense and the defensive mind Spags coaching. Kids the Terps have the 98 offense in NCAA and thats against FIU, DUKE, NAVY, MORGAN CLEMSON and WVU. The two road games have not been kind to Maryland either losing both of them by more than 14 each. stat a bit off because that was against Clemson and WVU which are the two good teams the terps have seen. How about this though... VT, FSU, ND, NC ST all loses right, but they still have the 30th ranked defense and those are some of the better teams offensively. Better in the trenches, better defense, better coach, home field advantage and home coming.
Baylor (-6) over K State
Well the only reason to take K State is when they play at home because they are a tough out. Not so much on the road. Baylor has the 8th ranked offense in NCAA. They have the better QB, they have a good homefield advantage and a mismatch in a big department. The spread offense will kill the K State defense. We all saw how bad K state was when playing angels against Nebraska, now put the spread into it. Bad news for Baylor backers is Texas is on deck but honestly with a few loses it is not the time to look ahead. Now we all saw how Martinez was able to run all day, well griffin is a much better passer and it will be VERY hard for the K St defenders to stay home. The play action will be a big favor for Baylor and the Bears have a big advantage at WR in both size and speed. K state has one option when playing offense and it is the run game. The QB or the running back. Chances are those guys will be 80 plus the production for K State. You shut them down and K State is not going to beat you throwing. How will the Baylor Bears defense stack up? More than likely, not too well. They are going to give K State everything they want on offense, but they will take more when they are on offense. This game is a track meet and I don't mean scoring but in the yardage department. I think K State will move the ball but in the red zone Baylor can get a little tigher and that could muddy running room. Settle for FGs and Baylor can settle for big plays. Should be a tough enviorment for K State, like the offense of Baylor to score more than k State. I say it like that because I think Baylor puts more plays in the endzone, and makes more big plays and K St cannot run and keep up.
Cheers
Irish
Zona (-6) over Washington
This is a nice area for a Zona backer. The reason is the line is a low home line because the injury to Foles. Well the defense is still intact and they are a good unit. They have to get on locker and the huskies have limited offense. Polk just cannot find running room because folks are playing the run with Locker. Lets look at some averages, Arizona allowing about 13 points over the last few and Washington giving up over 30 in the last few. Say what you want about the Zona QB being out but Scott is a good QB and was in a battle with Foles a few years ago. This kid has a good arm but he can move and I would thinbk the Zona coaching staff has told him all week make a read look check and then run. He will not be called on to pass over Washington but to hand off to a stable of talent at back or run himself. He is going to surprise some folks with what he can do and if the staff sets his ability to run into some roll outs and boot he could have a VERY nice statistical game. The Zona defense is way too strong to let one guy beat them. They have the slot play and running game to take a ton of pressurte of Scott and the kid makes dome good plays with his feet. Yes locker is on Mels big board but his team is not and as it goes you can see him looking to run no and not pass. He has lost more and more confidence over the past few games in this team and he will try to win on his own and will not be able to do that against this defense on the road.
Cal (-3) over Arizona St
Cal is again a very strong home team and a terrible road team. They were flat out embarased last week against USC. Average amount of victory at home is fourty plus. Now Arizona is a good team and they have played well against good teams. Two of the three loses were opn the road. The question is can the ASU o-line protect with the defensive blitz package Cal will bring. They have good speed on the ends and at linebacker and they like to get home during a game. The Cal offense is predictable, the run Vereen and if he strugles so do the Bears. This is really odd because Tedford has a history of putting QB on the field in college. Riley is completely hot and cold however he has been hotter when he has played at home. This will be a game of energizing running backs but I like Cals over the freashman Lewis. I like Cal to win this game but it will be a hard cover. I do not think ASU gets shut out so it will be up to Cal to out play. I like them getting exposed last week to get a little bounce back and at home they run and play better defense and turn drives into seven not three. Cal has to watch special teams but they do at home.
ND (-6.5) over Navy
Well navy is having a done year. I do not think ND is a great team and I think it will be a shoot out on the score board but ND has smart players and they can play assignment defense. The ND offense is the better unti and the Irish have a few years of revenge on tap.
Stanford (-34.5) over Wash St
I have to pull this because Wash is a terrible road team and bad team overall. Stanford is emotionally spent a bit but they are a good home team and they just drive over Washington state.
GT (+6) over Clemson
Really not thrilled about this play but I do not think the tiger defense will stay controlled and it is going to let GT score points. I think Clemson has the better defense and they can stop GT but I think the yellow jackets have a good group on the o-line and can mix it up enough to make a game of it.
Auburn (-6) over LSU
Yes LSU has a fast defense but they have not been impressive on offense. I think Auburn has a defense that can play well but they give up way too much. Coming off an emotional win last week means LSU is coming in and looking to get Aub urn while they are down a bit. I know Cam Newton is the better QB here and as the season goes on this kid just keeps getting better and better and I think he makes a lot happen with his feet tonight.The LSU run defense has allowed more than 100 yards just twice, giving up 152 to Mississippi State and 101 last week against McNeese State. LSU has gotten pretty lucky this year in route to their record. They have had the tougher games at home and they have looked like a team that has relied way to much on the defense to win the game. Both the WVU and UNC games were a win because the clock ran out, give those games 5 more min and a better start to the game and those are loses. The vols, hahaha, thats a joke in itself and Miss St just beat them up. Yes they beat Florida, I am not impressed. LSU is one dimension and they run. Last week Auburn had to play pass and run and the defense still made plays. This week they get to play run more so and the defense looks a little better. They have the home field advantage and I think the better offensive line. I give the edge to LSU on defense because of the secondary being better but I like the Auburn Linebackers. WR is a push and running backs go to LSU because Auburn is a bit banged up. QB big advantage for Auburn and overall I think they outplay LSU and not have to play with them. You start slow and it is trouble but you play your game and it will be a convincing win for Auburn.
Okie St (+6) over Nebraska
Play based on a trend I saw... Conference undefeated team coming off an underdog straight up win at home in conference is 13-1-1 over the past few years. Worth a value trend play.
Georgia (-3.5) over Kentucky
The wildcats off an emotional come from behind win. Georgia playing VERY well of late. Watching the Kentucky game last week if Lattimore does not go down it is a different game. Also I think Kentucky is a bit overrated after all they were hammered by Florida. Geogia is not over looking anyone and they are the better team. They have faith in the youngster at QB they have the top WR back and they are going to go in and start heavy because they need conference wins.
Cheers
Irish
This is a nice area for a Zona backer. The reason is the line is a low home line because the injury to Foles. Well the defense is still intact and they are a good unit. They have to get on locker and the huskies have limited offense. Polk just cannot find running room because folks are playing the run with Locker. Lets look at some averages, Arizona allowing about 13 points over the last few and Washington giving up over 30 in the last few. Say what you want about the Zona QB being out but Scott is a good QB and was in a battle with Foles a few years ago. This kid has a good arm but he can move and I would thinbk the Zona coaching staff has told him all week make a read look check and then run. He will not be called on to pass over Washington but to hand off to a stable of talent at back or run himself. He is going to surprise some folks with what he can do and if the staff sets his ability to run into some roll outs and boot he could have a VERY nice statistical game. The Zona defense is way too strong to let one guy beat them. They have the slot play and running game to take a ton of pressurte of Scott and the kid makes dome good plays with his feet. Yes locker is on Mels big board but his team is not and as it goes you can see him looking to run no and not pass. He has lost more and more confidence over the past few games in this team and he will try to win on his own and will not be able to do that against this defense on the road.
Cal (-3) over Arizona St
Cal is again a very strong home team and a terrible road team. They were flat out embarased last week against USC. Average amount of victory at home is fourty plus. Now Arizona is a good team and they have played well against good teams. Two of the three loses were opn the road. The question is can the ASU o-line protect with the defensive blitz package Cal will bring. They have good speed on the ends and at linebacker and they like to get home during a game. The Cal offense is predictable, the run Vereen and if he strugles so do the Bears. This is really odd because Tedford has a history of putting QB on the field in college. Riley is completely hot and cold however he has been hotter when he has played at home. This will be a game of energizing running backs but I like Cals over the freashman Lewis. I like Cal to win this game but it will be a hard cover. I do not think ASU gets shut out so it will be up to Cal to out play. I like them getting exposed last week to get a little bounce back and at home they run and play better defense and turn drives into seven not three. Cal has to watch special teams but they do at home.
ND (-6.5) over Navy
Well navy is having a done year. I do not think ND is a great team and I think it will be a shoot out on the score board but ND has smart players and they can play assignment defense. The ND offense is the better unti and the Irish have a few years of revenge on tap.
Stanford (-34.5) over Wash St
I have to pull this because Wash is a terrible road team and bad team overall. Stanford is emotionally spent a bit but they are a good home team and they just drive over Washington state.
GT (+6) over Clemson
Really not thrilled about this play but I do not think the tiger defense will stay controlled and it is going to let GT score points. I think Clemson has the better defense and they can stop GT but I think the yellow jackets have a good group on the o-line and can mix it up enough to make a game of it.
Auburn (-6) over LSU
Yes LSU has a fast defense but they have not been impressive on offense. I think Auburn has a defense that can play well but they give up way too much. Coming off an emotional win last week means LSU is coming in and looking to get Aub urn while they are down a bit. I know Cam Newton is the better QB here and as the season goes on this kid just keeps getting better and better and I think he makes a lot happen with his feet tonight.The LSU run defense has allowed more than 100 yards just twice, giving up 152 to Mississippi State and 101 last week against McNeese State. LSU has gotten pretty lucky this year in route to their record. They have had the tougher games at home and they have looked like a team that has relied way to much on the defense to win the game. Both the WVU and UNC games were a win because the clock ran out, give those games 5 more min and a better start to the game and those are loses. The vols, hahaha, thats a joke in itself and Miss St just beat them up. Yes they beat Florida, I am not impressed. LSU is one dimension and they run. Last week Auburn had to play pass and run and the defense still made plays. This week they get to play run more so and the defense looks a little better. They have the home field advantage and I think the better offensive line. I give the edge to LSU on defense because of the secondary being better but I like the Auburn Linebackers. WR is a push and running backs go to LSU because Auburn is a bit banged up. QB big advantage for Auburn and overall I think they outplay LSU and not have to play with them. You start slow and it is trouble but you play your game and it will be a convincing win for Auburn.
Okie St (+6) over Nebraska
Play based on a trend I saw... Conference undefeated team coming off an underdog straight up win at home in conference is 13-1-1 over the past few years. Worth a value trend play.
Georgia (-3.5) over Kentucky
The wildcats off an emotional come from behind win. Georgia playing VERY well of late. Watching the Kentucky game last week if Lattimore does not go down it is a different game. Also I think Kentucky is a bit overrated after all they were hammered by Florida. Geogia is not over looking anyone and they are the better team. They have faith in the youngster at QB they have the top WR back and they are going to go in and start heavy because they need conference wins.
Cheers
Irish
Small movement plays..
Vandy (+12.5) over S.Carolina
Play on 80% plus my book on the gamecocks and the line has not moved. The gamecocks are not the same team with an injured lattimore.
UConn (+2.5) over L'Ville
Again Over 80% on The cards and the line has not moved a lot however I did just see it went to 3. Value because UConn can run over L'Ville.
SJS (+19.5) over Fresno
Over 80% on the bulldogs the line has not moved. Really small cause I think SJS is bad.
Tenn (+16.5) over Bama
The tide are a LOT better than the the Vols, they are at home and over 80% is on them to roll. But the line has not moved since it opened.
Cheers
Irish
Vandy (+12.5) over S.Carolina
Play on 80% plus my book on the gamecocks and the line has not moved. The gamecocks are not the same team with an injured lattimore.
UConn (+2.5) over L'Ville
Again Over 80% on The cards and the line has not moved a lot however I did just see it went to 3. Value because UConn can run over L'Ville.
SJS (+19.5) over Fresno
Over 80% on the bulldogs the line has not moved. Really small cause I think SJS is bad.
Tenn (+16.5) over Bama
The tide are a LOT better than the the Vols, they are at home and over 80% is on them to roll. But the line has not moved since it opened.
Cheers
Irish
UPSET Pick....
Utah St (ML) over Hawaii
Like the home field and think the aggies have a good shot at this win. Tough to get TWO emotional wins for Hawaii against Fresno and Nevada and go to Utah St with the same edge. The aggies are a solid home team and want to has to take them over the Hawaii offense.
Cheers
Irish
Utah St (ML) over Hawaii
Like the home field and think the aggies have a good shot at this win. Tough to get TWO emotional wins for Hawaii against Fresno and Nevada and go to Utah St with the same edge. The aggies are a solid home team and want to has to take them over the Hawaii offense.
Cheers
Irish
