Zamo week#8

Zamo

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CURRENT POSTED NFL YTD RECORD (Thru 4 PM Games) :

48-25-6 +57.5 Units (average unit bet is 2 units)
4x Unit plays 2-0
Prop Bets 4-3 +1 Units
WTF Parlays 0-2 -2 Units

Week#8 plays "just edited this post in order to keep my plays on top of thread"

3x Detroit -3 EASY $ W
2x Minn +4 W
1.5x Rams +14 W
1.5x Jax +10 Late FG :mad: PUSH
1.5x Miami +10 W
1.5x Indy +10 L
1.5 Zona +13 W
1.5 Cleveland +9 Late FG :mad: L
1x Prop Antonio Brown over 3 catches Tailed Joeyz3 W

*** My system this week is to take top dogs and risk same units as I STRONGLY feel that majority...not all...but majority covers so I have a solid chance of winning units which is what it is all about******* :0074 :0074 :0074


I am going to start off by saying I have absolutely KILLED IT the past 3 weeks in the NFL!! Best 3 week stretch I can remember. The first 4 weeks were "okay" (+7) units roughly) but got some real REAL bad breaks early and knew I was due to cash!! All of my NFL plays are posted here on Madjacks in my weekly threads! If you have followed my threads:

Week #5 8-2 +20 Units :0074
Week #6 6-1-1 +11 Units :0074
Week #7 6-1-1 +12 Units :0074

I greatly appreciate the support of all of you fellow Madjackers!!!

:toast: :toast:


With that being said.....and getting back to business...I have started doing some preliminary research on this weeks games and the lines are real spooky for this upcoming Halloween!! :scared :scared

Of 12 NFL GAMES:-Not counting Den/DET Game currently not posted

6 Lines (5 home) are HEAVILY favored by -9 to-13.5
5 Lines (2 home) hovering right around -3 to -3.5
1 Line (Home) Bills -6 off a bye

Vegas got some $$ back come Monday night but overall it "seems" they have been getting hit hard as certain heavy favs are covering, over totals hitting, and prime time games helping the public! Not my area of expertise knowing what Vegas is winning or not...and to be honest I don't give a shit!! I bet on instinct, momentum, injuries and common sense philosophy. I have tried to find 2011 NFL YTD record of favs covering and cant find...love for someone to post if they have it! :shrug:

Looking at my preliminary research (injury reports, teams with momentum, bye schedules, upcoming schedule vs last 2 weeks performances etc etc) I see and project:

A BIG WEEK FOR DOGS DOGS AND MORE DOGS!!!!!

I think many of these lines are very much inflated!! I think by FAR this is the hardest week thus far in the NFL to project YTD! I am willing to guess if you bet the same units across the board on EVERY dog...you will make $$ this week! :0corn

I typically have 3-4 bets in thus far...but haven't pulled the trigger on one bet yet...and may be my lightest weekly action YTD. There is not one line I am in love with yet. I just have a "feeling" the dogs are going to bark this week...and bark loud!!!


More to come.........
 
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VMANIA

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I agree buddy....taking a HARD look at Jags + 9.5 Colts +10 and Steelers +3.....think it will be a 60-65% underdog weekend, glad we are on the same wavelength!!!!! ALso will probably throw a sheckle or 2 on KC ML Monday Night as i think they will beat the soft overrated Chargers asses...btw, any Bolts fans on here???? Is Rivers hurt or something, what is his deal this year??
 

Zamo

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Will always go with my gut on and of course do my research!! Like I posted above, I am leaning on the dogs this week....the BIG dogs... and risking 1.5 units on my picks. I am NOT risking regular 2-3 units...but thinking 1.5 is just right! :0074

"Most" of the lines I bought the hook, so I m buying roughly -120 to -125 juice on these picks.

Surprisingly....My biggest bet however is Detroit...a road Favorite against Denver. This team will come out HUNGRY after back to back losses! This is a big momentum spot for them. I love the Tebow story, but I feel this is a TERRIFIC spot for Detroit and will risk 3x on this bet.

I also have 2x Units on Minn +4. I think they keep this game close if not win! Love love love Cam...and they got the W they desperately needed last week which I knew they would get...why I risked 4 units. Not saying a let down for them, but Minn will be playing hard...really hard for Ponder an this play is worth 2 units


CHEERS EVERYONE!!!!

:toast: :toast: :toast:
 
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Madterrier

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Oct 8, 2011
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Agree w dog theory.
"dey bookies givith, and dey bookies taketh back 10-fold"
Haha
Mt
 

VMANIA

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Keep killin it Zamo

Keep killin it Zamo

Im with you on Colts, Jags and Rams....and Im taking a solo plunge on the Steelers.........also, will back off the Cam Train for one Sunday, but man, that looks like such a plush ride LMFAO

GLTU
 

joeyz3

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Oct 23, 2011
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Zamo!!!!!!!!!

Zamo!!!!!!!!!

keep killing em buddy! I like your thinking here as favorites (especially he ones the public loves) have seem to covered all season!

Just be careful with Detroit. Stafford is the key and his injury is still a mystery :shrug:

Go Zamo and BARK OUT LOUD IF YOU LIKE THE DOGS!!!!! :mj07:
 

Vicc Inzagio

viccer
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Feb 19, 2003
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soy de Monterrey cabrones !!
I have tried to find 2011 NFL YTD record of favs covering and cant find...love for someone to post if they have it! :shrug: ....

well, i used to post favs-dogs and totals week by week, but not anymore? any way i do like to get close on this every year, fundamental for me....

---------------------
http://www.madjacksports.com/forum/showthread.php?t=306795
---------------------

so far 2011 according the opening line

week #1
Favs - 7
Dogs - 9

over - 12 :eek:
under ? 4

week #2
Favs - 8
Dogs - 7
PK - 1

over - 11 :eek:
under ? 4
PK - 1

week #3
Favs - 4
Dogs - 12 :eek:

over - 6
under ? 10

week #4
Favs - 8
Dogs - 8

over - 8
under ? 8

week #5
Favs - 6
Dogs - 7

over - 10 :eek:
under ? 3

week #6
Favs - 6
Dogs - 5
PK - 2

over - 3
under ? 10

week #7
Favs - 5
Dogs - 7
PK - 1

over - 6
under ? 7


2011
Favs - 44
Dogs- 55
PK - 4

over - 56
under - 46
PK ? 1


hope this information helps.... GL this week Z....


vicc
 

Zamo

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DOGS ARE BARKING!!!!!!! JUST LIKE I THOUGHT!!!!



4-1-1 +5 UNITS THUS FAR!!!




WOOF WOOF WOOF!!!!!!!

:00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour
 

joeyz3

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Oct 23, 2011
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ZAMO!!!!!!!!!!!!!

ZAMO!!!!!!!!!!!!!

by far the f'ing hottest handicapper on the site!!!!!! Keep KILLING IT BABY!!!!!!!!! :0002
 

Zamo

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6-2-1 +7.5 UNITS!!!

Another great week!! A couple late FG covers in Jax game, Cle game and Indy ran out of time.....

Just like I thought...I wasn't going to hit all big dog plays....but I did know I would win units by making these plays!! :0074 :0074

Detroit was exactly what I thought...wish I had it is a 4x play...but happy to make my 3x and knew Minn was the right side in this one!!!

Very happy to cash 7.5 units this week and keep the momentum going!! On to week #9


LETS GO COWBOYS!!!!!! No play....just a fan wanting a big win!!!

AND...... one of 3 left in Survivor pool!! :00hour :00hour


Cheers Madjackers!!!!
 
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golfnut16

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Jan 27, 2010
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Zamo kills it again..

I thought it was your week to cool down but I was wrong you are still on fire!!

Keep it rolling!!
 
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