System plays with 2 year winning percenatage

provenwinner

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 8, 2007
21
0
0
North Carolina
Ok im excited that im finally going to start posting these system plays but first let me tell all how i get the plays and exactly when i know what unit they get. First i run two computer programs my buddy set up for me that does the mathematics when you enter in all the data that it required and give you a percentage of a team winning. Now you say to yourself, well you never know what a pitcher can do but the program required you to enter in this information-- pitchers past 2 year record against team, pitchers past games going back to the beginning of the year, players hitting percentage against pitcher career wise, winning/losing streak of team, batting averages going into the game of both teams, bullpen stength. Alittle more detail but this thing actually been the best program i used to making money. Well this is an amazing investment stratgy for anyone just looking to make money during baseball season. But let me tell you what the program spits out to decide the percentage of the play and past 2 years percentage. When all information is enter(if anything doesnt add up or something from the data isnt entered correctly there will be an error message right away) it take 20 minutes to run and it gives 2 things, first it gives a percentage of the chance the game will win and then it gives you expected overall score. Now percentage wise this thing is absoluetly amazing. Here is what i do. when the computer is finished running the program it spits out the precentage of the game and the over/under total and when it gives me a percentage i will take that percentage and enter it into the unit class.
50-55%= no play
60-70%= 2 unit play
71-80%= 4 unit play
81-95%= 8 unit play

Because it takes a while to add the information and time it takes to go through the process i will be making limited plays. I will post only the strongest plays but you will be pretty impressed and how easy it is to make money off this little program of math. Any questions please ask if you want to ask a question i didn't answer! Im sure i missed alot of information. Also this thing adds in home field avantage. So i will run some plays today and shortly when the program is done running i will post the white sox/ oakland game, if it gives us a good percentage. So lets win some money.
 

TdotKelly

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 23, 2004
701
0
0
if you don't mind me asking what is the winning percentage over the last 2 years (by year if you got it).
 

provenwinner

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 8, 2007
21
0
0
North Carolina
if you don't mind me asking what is the winning percentage over the last 2 years (by year if you got it).

Well to avoid any negative responses but it hits close to the numbers i posted above. 2 unit plays around 60-70% and so on. I was not a gambler but i have dabbled in letting playstation play out to try and get a score lol but that never worked. My buddied took a year to perfect this program. But both sides and the totals that it spits out is just amazing. Hope that helps
 

TdotKelly

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 23, 2004
701
0
0
Oh maybe I wasn't understanding correctly, I thought if it gave pit out a probability of winning for a given team between 60-70% then that was a 2 unit play to you.

So if it tells you its an 8 unit play it hits 81-95% of the time? I am explaining it right or am i an idiot?
 

provenwinner

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 8, 2007
21
0
0
North Carolina
Oh maybe I wasn't understanding correctly, I thought if it gave pit out a probability of winning for a given team between 60-70% then that was a 2 unit play to you.

So if it tells you its an 8 unit play it hits 81-95% of the time? I am explaining it right or am i an idiot?

Actually its both. To my surprise to when i see it comes out at a probability 85% that would be a 8 unit play which also will hit between 81-95% on the season. You will see as the season goes on it will be an amazing surprise that the percentage will be around the same numbers as the probability. Its confusing until you see the system run for a month and then it will be clear to everyone.
 

TdotKelly

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 23, 2004
701
0
0
Actually its both. To my surprise to when i see it comes out at a probability 85% that would be a 8 unit play which also will hit between 81-95% on the season. You will see as the season goes on it will be an amazing surprise that the percentage will be around the same numbers as the probability. Its confusing until you see the system run for a month and then it will be clear to everyone.

well if its hits at those %'s all year I'm sure we'll all know it inside and out.:142smilie

Thanks for sharing and welcome aboard.
 

TdotKelly

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 23, 2004
701
0
0
at the risk of being a complete pain in the a$$ can I ask you one more question? how often would an 8 unit play come from the system or is that a pretty rare occurance?

thanks for answering my questions right away. this system (and those #'s you posted) obviously have caught my attention.
 

DU46

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 19, 2005
196
7
18
Omaha
Welcome aboard. Are there any more plays for today or is Oakland the only play? GL !
 

provenwinner

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 8, 2007
21
0
0
North Carolina
at the risk of being a complete pain in the a$$ can I ask you one more question? how often would an 8 unit play come from the system or is that a pretty rare occurance?

thanks for answering my questions right away. this system (and those #'s you posted) obviously have caught my attention.

Well since i got a program which can run up to 2 plays at a time but everytime i do that my computer shuts down. I been meaning to go get a new computer for this system alone since it's a money maker but i havent. So i just been putting in a game from just picking a low line game and run it. The only time i really throw a big money line is when im looking for a good over/under percentage to play. I wanna see a low line being a 90% rather then a -165. But i did throw in a boston game early on against KC and it actually gave me a 83% on KC and KC actually won.
 

provenwinner

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 8, 2007
21
0
0
North Carolina
Welcome aboard. Are there any more plays for today or is Oakland the only play? GL !

Actually there will be another play today as soon as i run the numbers. I will run the numbers at 6 so i can post around 6 30. If anyone can get a consesus together i will run that certain game. I will run some games and just give out the best overall percentage i find. Whether it be a total or side. But i can do the best for 7 o clock and the best for 10 o clock .
 

DU46

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 19, 2005
196
7
18
Omaha
Obviously running the program takes a lot of time, but have you thought of any efficient ways to run all games for each day? When the program runs, does it compute the winner and total, or do you have to run it twice to get each scenario?
 

provenwinner

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 8, 2007
21
0
0
North Carolina
Obviously running the program takes a lot of time, but have you thought of any efficient ways to run all games for each day? When the program runs, does it compute the winner and total, or do you have to run it twice to get each scenario?

no when you put in all the information it gives you both the percentage of the winner and percentage of the total. This program only takes 2 games at a time and it take 15 minutes to run. But i only do 1 team at a time so my computer doesnt shut down on me. My buddy said he would recommend me get a Mac computer rather then this HP piece of junk. But i will do my best to pick games i want to play. I dont have the MLB package so i will usually try to do games mainly on a major channel. But i will do all the games i possible can as right now i decided to try and do some 7 o clock games so i can get the best one possible.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top