SUPER BOWL 2009 - Pittsburgh Vs Arizona - KOD

THE KOD

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Football - Sunday, February 01, 2009

Pittsburgh Steelers Spread -7 (even) Game


7777/7777


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KOD

 

THE KOD

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One of my big concerns with this Super Bowl play was if Hines Ward would be able to contribute. I have come to the conclusion that even if Ward does not play, the Steelers will still win this game convincingly.

The Pittsburgh defense will be dominant.

Turnovers destroy what little chance Arizona has to build any kind of a lead.

This is pretty much my entire bankroll I have left.

Jack, before you ask - I am talking TITFD !

I am talking slam it down and I mean hard !



KOD
 
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THE KOD

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Today I am driving down the expressway and my thoughts are drifting back and forth as usual.
It is rush hour and the five lanes are full as I travel along.

My thoughts are about the Super Bowl coming up this Sunday evening. I think about the Steelers defense and how I have watched them dismantle teams this year. I am focusing on the -7 cover number the Steelers will need to win this wager.
I want to make this wager but I hesitate.

My mind drifts to a small stone contractor company that I did work for a few years ago. I wondered if they were still in business and if the owner named Alex was doing ok. A company of less than 10 employees total with 3 vehicles in the good years.

I continue driving along and I look over to the right and there is a truck marked with this small companys logo on it passing me on the right side. The chance of that happening is probably a million to 1. The KOD lightbulb goes on.

This is what usually happens to me when I am able to select winning plays. Its like a parallelogram
with everything being equal.

One problem though is that being psychic is only a few letters from psycho.


GO STEELERS !

KOD
 
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THE KOD

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Updated: January 28, 2009

TAMPA, Fla. -- Troy Polamalu, one of the most disruptive players in the NFL, is so soft-spoken you have to lean forward and focus intently to understand him.

Frankly, Polamalu dislikes questions about his hair, which hasn't been cut in seven years, going back to his senior season at USC.

He is a deeply spiritual man who practices the Greek Orthodox faith and prays daily. The stoic Polamalu prefers to let his super-sized game speak for him.

The Arizona Cardinals, who meet the Steelers in Super Bowl XLIII on Sunday, have a trio of dangerous receivers -- Larry Fitzgerald alone has produced 23 catches for an NFL-record 419 yards and five touchdowns in three playoff games, plus Anquan Boldin and Steve Breaston both topped the 1,000-yard mark in the regular season. Polamalu, a mere 5-foot-10, 207 pounds, might play the most pivotal role in keeping Kurt Warner's passing game in check.

Polamalu's winding interception return in the AFC title game displayed his athleticism.According to defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau, the safety has never played better. Polamalu, believe it or not, has been more successful than the Steelers envisioned when they drafted him No. 16 overall in 2003 draft. He has now been voted to five straight Pro Bowls and, in terms of pure production, compares favorably to Baltimore's Ed Reed and Indianapolis' Bob Sanders.

Polamalu is a true genetic oddity. He runs a 4.35-second 40, benches 405 pounds, has a vertical leap of more than 38 inches and has rare instinct coupled with hand-eye coordination. Along with Patriots linebackers Adalius Thomas and Mike Vrabel and Cardinals safety Adrian Wilson, he is one of the league's most versatile players.

"There's no longer those 6-5, 250-pound safeties," Polamalu said Monday, "because you also have to have a safety that is able to cover guys like Larry Fitzgerald, but also be able to tackle guys like Brandon Jacobs."

After missing five games with rib and knee injuries in the 2007 season, Polamalu has played in all 18 of the Steelers' games this season. In five previous seasons, Polamalu had 10 interceptions; this year alone he had seven.

Polamalu launched the Steelers into Super Bowl XLIII with an interception of Baltimore quarterback Joe Flacco and a spectacular 40-yard return for a touchdown late in the game.

When Baltimore tight end Todd Heap stayed in to block blitzing linebackers James Harrison and LaMarr Woodley, Polamalu "freelanced" into coverage and followed Flacco's rookie eyes to the ball intended for Derrick Mason.

And yet, his over-the-top stop of Flacco on fourth-and-1 at the end of the first quarter might have been just as critical.

Lined up wide of the left tackle and several yards off of the line of scrimmage, Polamalu veered sharply to his left just before the snap and rushed into the gap between left guard and center. He vaulted over the head of 6-3, 315-pound guard Ben Grubbs and slapped a headlock on Flacco, who never got to the line of scrimmage.

"He's so versatile," said Matt Williamson of Scouts, Inc. "They ask him to do so much."

Sometimes, Polamalu will float close to the line of scrimmage, then backpedal frantically, either into the deep middle or on an angle toward the sideline. He can run as much as 35 to 40 yards before the snap -- and that's not including the times he races back toward the line of scrimmage and blitzes the quarterback.

"No one else in the league can do that," Williamson said. "His anticipation and flat-out speed? As good as he is, I think he's underrated."

Scouts say Polamalu has as much freedom within the context of the defense than perhaps any player since Giants linebacker Lawrence Taylor. This is among the reasons Harrison and Woodley combined for 27? sacks this season.

"We always know where he's going," LeBeau said. "But we're not always sure how he's going to get there."

Polamalu, always humble, gives credit to free safety Ryan Clark for allowing him to tear around the field.

"Maybe I'm his alter-ego," Polamalu said. "He's the serene one. I'm the crazy guy that always makes the mistakes."

Palamala , either knocking somebody else out or knocking himself out."
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:00hour :0corn :00hour
 
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THE KOD

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What jumps off the page about postseason stats? Pittsburgh's rushing defense. The Hypocycloids have given up just 44 rushing yards per game. And though divisional-round opponent San Diego was down big in the second half and abandoned the run, the Pittsburgh-Baltimore AFC Championship Game was close until midway through the fourth quarter. Pittsburgh also was the second-best team in the NFL against the run in the regular season. The Steelers' defense can bring a rushing game to a halt, and against Pittsburgh, staying with the run and continuing to pound the ball doesn't seem to work. Unless Arizona breaks a couple of runs in the first half, the Cardinals may have little choice but to go pass-wacky. Pittsburgh is also first in the postseason against the pass.

? With Warner, Arizona has often been careless with the football; Warner threw four interceptions and fumbled twice in the Cards' losses to the Eagles and Giants during the regular season, for instance. In the current postseason, Arizona is plus-11 in turnovers. Being plus-11 is a big reason for the Cards' surprise Super Bowl run. But luck is a huge factor in turnovers, and luck has a way of changing. In three postseason games, Warner has thrown just two interceptions, and has not fumbled. In the NFC Championship Game, Philadelphia's defenders were trying to slam Warner hard -- several times after the whistle -- to rattle him and make him careless. The Steelers will almost surely try to put the hurt on Warner, too. Let's hope the officials enforce the late-hit rules more strictly than they did in the NFC Championship Game. :scared

? During the regular season, the Steelers' defense was best in least yards allowed and points allowed; the Cardinals' defense was 19th and 28th, respectively. That is a gap you could drive John Madden's bus through.
.................................................................

Luck for Arizona is about to change in this game.

When that happens the Steelers will cover.

Holy shitballs

:00hour
 

THE KOD

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thanks guys.

There is one thing that happened in the Philly game I will point out. I believe it was in the third quarter. Kurt Warner got very upset with something that happened on the field and he was jawing at Haley on the sidelines. It looked like Haley told him to calm down and shut up. Kurt walked away.

That emotion when things do not go his way is part of Kurt and could be his downfall.

Big Ben does not have that from what I have seen.

Also , had Philly not played absolutely horrid in the first half of the game Arizona would not even be in the playoffs. Once Philly started bringing the heat in the second half , Kurt lost his confidence and Arizona barely hung on to win.

I like the feeling of gambling. I enjoy risk.

I smell money and it smells green.
 
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THE KOD

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FX5101.jpg

Kurt Warner on his way to Super Bowl 2009 in Tampa .

From what I hear the Pittsburgh defense stinks ?


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THE KOD

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hey fellows listen to KOD,

the refs are going to help us out. forget bout it

this game is in the bag
 
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Nelson

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KOD, your reasoning has come up pretty well a number of times over the last couple years. In relation to this pick, aren't you worried at least a little that two cagey vets (Whisenhunt and Warner), one with huge emotional incentive, can figure a way to snake this game inside a TD?
 

THE KOD

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KOD, your reasoning has come up pretty well a number of times over the last couple years. In relation to this pick, aren't you worried at least a little that two cagey vets (Whisenhunt and Warner), one with huge emotional incentive, can figure a way to snake this game inside a TD?

.................................................................

I am not worried. I believe that Pittsburgh is going to lay a sound whipping on Arizona and the game will not be close.

Arizona will revert back to the way they played at the beginning of the year instead of these last 3 games.

Stuff the run and pressure Warner and this game is over. Its what the Steelers do.

If I could have one thing I would want it to snow like a bitch and be around 25 degrees in Tampa at kickoff.
 
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THE KOD

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1. Run off tackle

When healthy, Parker is flat out one of the fastest running backs in the NFL, and once he hits the open field, he can outrun defensive backs. He is at his best running off tackle where he doesn't have to run through as much contact. Once he gains the corner and makes his move upfield, he has great explosiveness. Look for Pittsburgh to attack the edges of the line of scrimmage with Parker and give him a running start at the defense.

2. Run the G-Power

Pittsburgh is a righthanded running team. They will pull the left guard and run either a power off-tackle play, or a straight lead inside depending on his block. If the front-side blockers can seal the defensive end inside, the pulling guard will lead the run off tackle, picking up the outside linebacker or the safety in the box to spring Parker to the second level. If they can't hook the end, they will kick him outside, and the guard will cut up inside the tackle and Parker will follow him through the hole.

3. Run behind Heath Miller

Tight end Heath Miller is the Steelers' best run blocker, and because Parker always tries to get to the outside, Miller is the key player at the point of attack in the run game. He uses his hands well and keeps his feet moving on contact. He is physical as a blocker and always gives great effort, which is why the Steelers primarily run to his side. Arizona will set up with an extra defender to Miller's side, looking to bring an unblocked player against the run. But he has the ability to dominate at the line and get Parker to the second level.

4. Incorporate the toss play

A great way to get Parker out on the edge is with the toss play. The design of the play gives Parker a jump towards the outside and allows the linemen to concentrate on blocking down at the point of attack. It puts Parker in space and will give him an opportunity to get up to top speed quickly while working in more space.

5. Fake the WR reverse

Look for the Steelers to confuse the Cards' defense by using receivers Santonio Holmes or Hines Ward on a fake reverse. This will loosen up the corner and create more space for Parker to run, when he does get the ball, on the perimeter where he's at his best.

6. Third-down draw plays

Ben Roethlisberger was one of the most-sacked QBs in the NFL on third down this season, suffering a sack once every eight pass attempts on third down. Expect the Cardinals to blitz on third-and-5 or more. That's when Pittsburgh should call the draw. This will allow the defense to come up field hard and leave Parker to dissect the remaining players left in the tackle box.

7. Don't force Parker

Though Parker has been reliable in recent games, the Steelers' best option for getting the ball out on the edge may be with Mewelde Moore as a receiver out of the backfield.

...............................................................

If Willie Parker gets rolling downhill early, this game
is going to be over

:00hour
 
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Senor Capper

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This is pretty much my entire bankroll I have left.

Jack, before you ask - I am talking TITFD !

I am talking slam it down and I mean hard !
KOD


just a play for me as I don't a strong "feel" for the game. I'll keep the vast majority of my winnings for next season :toast:

that being said..........

:director: GO CARDINALS !!!!
 
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