NBA Tues 121509 early thoughts - value hunting

[pfj]

Bookmaker's line on SAS is +1.

hmmmmm

hey whats going on everyone. new to the thread but good stuff going on here so ill add on to what ax is saying. Line movement is going opposite public at this time for sas ....I think we won't see the +3 for sas for the rest of the day IMO. The knicks line and movement a lil closer with public %. Currently this is how the public trends are reading:

Sas 32% Spread
Phx 68 % spread

NYK 55% Spread
Char 45% Spread

 

[pfj]

IMHO like ax said the Dogs have been ruling the book...tonight maybe not.

The Nets are not worthy of my money nor are the Bulls right now...

I lean to the Rapt's and am looking at the Knicks

But my 2 favs are Houston and Portland.

I will NOT play a game that has 90+ public support...

Im showing 3 90% and higher....lakers, heat, pistons.

 

[40seven]

what's the square play Forty?

Laker so far. Unless i am missing something.

 

[axp59]

I think we won't see the +3 for sas for the rest of the day IMO. :sadwave: :sadwave: :sadwave: BYE BYE value We hardly knew you at 3


The knicks line and movement a lil closer with public %. Currently this is how the public trends are reading:

Sas 32% Spread
Phx 68 % spread

NYK 55% Spread
Char 45% Spread

Good point

 

[axp59]

Im showing 3 90% and higher....lakers, heat, pistons.

I'm thinking one of the dogs here covers. waiting.....

 

[pfj]

Good point

lol pretty much

 

[axp59]

I'm starting to get updated intel and this day is setting up to be a letdown day. I started out with a few plays and now ZERO.


FWIW:
If you've been winning, be careful today. If you've been losing, this day could be advantageous to your style of capping.

 

[JBrilman]

you seeing something different in Vegas Forty?

-2 for SAS is what I just saw at the SouthPoint

 

[JBrilman]

I'm thinking one of the dogs here covers. waiting.....

I think 2 do

Detroit
Toronto

 

[axp59]

-2 for SAS is what I just saw at the SouthPoint

I'm a f*cking idiot for not jumping all over this last night. :banghead:

 

[pfj]

I'm starting to get updated intel and this day is setting up to be a letdown day. I started out with a few plays and now ZERO.


FWIW:
If you've been winning, be careful today. If you've been losing, this day could be advantageous to your style of capping.

I wouldnt say all value. Has anyone looked into any 1Q stats or games this year. I have looked at Cleveland 1st Quarter at home games. They have only lost 1 home game 1st Q this season SU and from what I see it has been 8-2-1 ats.:shrug:

 

[40seven]

So a one point move

So a one point move

I'm a f*cking idiot for not jumping all over this last night. :banghead:

I do not understand?

 

[JBrilman]

I'm a f*cking idiot for not jumping all over this last night. :banghead:

My BAD Ax +2:SIB

 

[JBrilman]

I'm a f*cking idiot for not jumping all over this last night. :banghead:

MY BAD!!!

+2 SAS

 

[JBrilman]

I'm a f*cking idiot for not jumping all over this last night. :banghead:

MY BAD

+2 SAS

 

[pfj]

I'm starting to get updated intel and this day is setting up to be a letdown day. I started out with a few plays and now ZERO.


FWIW:
If you've been winning, be careful today. If you've been losing, this day could be advantageous to your style of capping.

I wouldnt say all value. Has anyone looked into any 1Q stats or games this year. I have looked at Cleveland 1st Quarter at home games. They have only lost 1 home game 1st Q this season SU and from what I see it has been 8-2-1 ats.:shrug:

 

[JBrilman]

I'm a f*cking idiot for not jumping all over this last night. :banghead:

MY BAD

+2 SAS

 

[JBrilman]

I'm a f*cking idiot for not jumping all over this last night. :banghead:

MY BAD AX

+2 SAS

 

[BillyBatts]

Updated leans

Updated leans

delete

 

[BillyBatts]

Updated leans

Updated leans

delete