- Mar 18, 2009
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NBA Tues 121509 early thoughts - value hunting
- Thread starter grindstone
- Start date
AX if i supplied you numbers on what I am coming up with--would you compare to what your using to see how accurate or close to accurate I am capping.
you got a sheet or something bro? FYI though, it's not really the numbers but ow each of us subjectively reads it. Will be glad to take a peek, I'll be doing some capping tonight anyway.
- Mar 18, 2009
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Will never forget that day Sir and now he is watching over me. Man I miss them both. What a day it was.
- Mar 18, 2009
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AX sent an email Sir. I'll wait another 15 min and then it's
:mj18: for me. If you can answer great if not no worries Sir.l
:mj18: for me. If you can answer great if not no worries Sir.l
Been running numbers during MNF-- had SF:00hour but the over as well
.. this is what I have come up with Im just curious as to how comparable to what you are using.
Clev -17 total 190
Char -1 total 199
Miami -2 total 198
LAL -12 total 191
Hou- 7 total 195
SA -1 total 203
Port -6 total 199
.. this is what I have come up with Im just curious as to how comparable to what you are using.Clev -17 total 190
Char -1 total 199
Miami -2 total 198
LAL -12 total 191
Hou- 7 total 195
SA -1 total 203
Port -6 total 199
- Mar 18, 2009
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All is good brother we'll do it all again tomorrow. I'm ready to go. Man that would be a blast the most exciting 2 mins in sports. "AND DOWN THE STRETCH THEY COME"
Good Night Pare
Fairly close Mac. Do you track your picks and the numbers you come up with against the number? e.g. If I were to ask you how you do picking CLE games, can you tell me? What if I asked how you do when you call a game that's 6 points off a number? I hope that makes sense.
I'll take your your CHA number as an example. You call the game CHA -1. Line is CHA -5 This gives you a 4 point cushion on a NYK play. What is your record when you call games with 4 points cushions? If your record is 5-1 then this would be a play. If you're 1-5 calling NYK games then this would change things a bit. Hope I'm not being confusing. :shrug:
All is good brother we'll do it all again tomorrow. I'm ready to go. Man that would be a blast the most exciting 2 mins in sports. "AND DOWN THE STRETCH THEY COME"
Good Night Pare
'nite pare, my work is just beginning.
Truthfully I know in my mind who is a sore thumb(so to speak) teams I struggle with. I am fairly new to the NBA capping.. Ive never had any interest until your "crew of bad influences" showed up on the scene. So Ive been capping since last year in NBA- so the short answer would be no. I can tell you this with the NBA i am only seeking value on the underdogs. And totals ..i.e. tonight I had Phi-GS at 195 yet total opened at 210.5(tons of value) but the line continued to creep after an initial drop--50/50 on o/u so why did it do that my opinion was sharps moving kinda like your satement regarding the Celts tonight.. Any chance you could email me a copy of what your sheets look like--if not I understand I am a working stiff trying to make life a lil easier thats all. Thanks for giving me some of your time.:toast:
not even impressed anymore. you're the best NBA capper i know but you can't call an NFL game to save your life. hahahahaha won't be able to hook up with you when your home for xmas and new year. i'm out of town. it sucks. you gonna bet during your vacation??? i don't know who's gonna take your action in town pare. you still gonna post? i'm quittin postin play. i suck at it.
OH and I know we are new to each other so the statement about "crew of bad influences" was a joke..LOL
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Total expenditure EVER in slot machines in Vegas -
$ 5.00
Given that didn't see any return, elected to quit right there and then.
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Expect bulk of $ to come in on Lakers versus Bulls at 9.5 spread; unlike last year though, Chicago depleted, beat up, Del Negro on the hot seat, and team in utter disarray. Lakers w/ nothing to prove other than leave town w/ a W - an absolute shellacking? Not sure that the Lakers despise the Bulls to that extent.
San Antonio - will be interesting to see them on back-to-back/4-in-5 situations; b/c of the day of rest they've enjoyed b/w hammering the Clippers and the Phoenix game, they ought to be somewhat refreshed. The older legs they sport likely will be of consequence when the window of recovery isn't as forgiving as this situation.
San Antonio - will be interesting to see them on back-to-back/4-in-5 situations; b/c of the day of rest they've enjoyed b/w hammering the Clippers and the Phoenix game, they ought to be somewhat refreshed. The older legs they sport likely will be of consequence when the window of recovery isn't as forgiving as this situation.
Mac,
My advice would be to start tracking ALL of your picks, not just your action. After the end of each day, you have to go back and make notes. Things like why you made the play and why you were right and why you were wrong. I know it's a lot of work, trust me, I know. But this is what's going to get you over the juice. There is value in every side so long as you figure out how the NBA is playing at the time. Last year, 90% of my action was on the under. That's how the NBA was, Last Year. This year, so far, I'm playing dogs. It'll change in a heartbeat so you have to stay on top of it.
As far as my capping sheets/notes. It would not make any sense at all. It doesn't predict games but instead paints a picture so I can see what's going on. I've never shared these with anyone before Grindstone. It's going to take some time for him to learn the full routine. I'm only doing this because I might be getting out of this game soon and I made a promise to pass it along just as it was given to me. Sorry Mac.
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Addendum -> Spurs...
Will take mental notes when the season is 2/3 or 3/4 in and see how the big 3 of Duncan, Parker, and Ginobili are holding up; although Parker hasn't hit 30 like the other 2, b/c of the amount of competitive basketball he's played since a teenager in France means that his body likely reflects more wear and tear than a comparable 27 year old.
Will take mental notes when the season is 2/3 or 3/4 in and see how the big 3 of Duncan, Parker, and Ginobili are holding up; although Parker hasn't hit 30 like the other 2, b/c of the amount of competitive basketball he's played since a teenager in France means that his body likely reflects more wear and tear than a comparable 27 year old.
