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  1. Smitty

    Wednesday 12/28 Bowl Games

    Military Bowl Both of these teams are led by dual-threat qbs who lead their team in rushing. Plumlee finally gave up on Ole Miss and has been good at UCF. He averages 7.7 yds/att and has thrown for 14 TDs and 7 INTs. His main value is with his legs. He's averaging 5.8 yards/carry. He is...
  2. Smitty

    Tuesday 12/27 Bowl Games

    Camellia Bowl Well, I can't bet it, so obviously I'm not going to spend any time on it. I did noticed that GASO is 127th in the country, allowing 5.7 yards/carry. A Pop Warner team could run on these guys. So far in the bowls, the MAC is 2-0 ATS as a dog and 0-2 as a fav. Most likely I'd be...
  3. Smitty

    Quick Lane Bowl

    Happy Boxing Day!! :toast: Two crap teams. My plan was to not spend much time on this game. Just bet the dog and the under and call it a day. And that's probably where I'm going to land. But let's spend some time with New Mexico St and Bowling Green. First, what a fun game to dig into...
  4. Smitty

    Hawai'i Bowl

    Merry Christmas, everyone! Let's get one more win so we don't have to sell the toys under the tree. Ok, the conventional wisdom is that SD St is the same as they are every year... outstanding defense and a crap offense that usually does just enough to win games. Well, y'all know Smitty doesn't...
  5. Smitty

    Friday 12/23 Bowl Games

    Independence Bowl I am really torn on this game. I want to bet against Houston. But this ULL team is not good. I know, I know, mediocre teams often beat unmotivated superior teams. I watched ULL against Southern Miss and was thoroughly unimpressed. And that was WITH Wooldridge, their...
  7. Smitty

    NFL Week 16

    updating my record with last night's picks that i posted in my week 15 thread jax (ML) 2 units to win 2.5 nyj tt under (19.5) 2 units updated sides 13-10 -0.1 units ML 9-13 +5.7 totals 19-17 +5.8 props 2-2 +2.8
  8. Smitty

    Armed Forces Bowl

    well, one night after that debacle we have my favorite game of the bowl season. I bet AF last week, luckily for me. No X's and O's for me on this one. Last year, Baylor bounced back from a horrible 2020 (2-7) by coming close to the playoffs and going to the Sugar Bowl. not sure how excited...
  9. Smitty

    Sugar Bowl! Whoops, it's the New Orleans Bowl.

    Sometimes getting bets in early can really bite you in the ass. Last week I bet USA. At -7.5. Not even knowing that Reed wasn't expected to play. Well, things changed and now the line is around 4. Oh well. Still debating whether or not to add more. I probably will. USA is a pretty solid...
  10. Smitty

    Tuesday 12/20 Bowl Games (aka mini-MACtion!)

    Potato Bowl I already wrote a little about this game in another thread, so i'm not going to repeat that. Basically San Jose St has been mediocre at best since the loss to Fresno. I'm certainly not betting on EMU here, i'm betting against San Jose St. Both coaches are looking for their first...
  11. Smitty

    Myrtle Beach Bowl

    There may be a reason they put this game on a Monday afternoon. Could be a tough one to watch. Ok, not much threat of a passing game from either team. Zero threat from UConn. Their qb averages 5.4 yds/att, which is brutally bad. Marshall is a little better with the redshirt freshman Fancher...
  13. Smitty

    NFL Week 15

    Indy (+3.5) 4 units Indy (ML) 1 unit to win 1.6 Over (47.5) 2 units. Yes, i'm going to just keep betting against minnesota. Seems like the logical thing to do. This line is BEGGING for Minny money. Baltimore (ML) 2 units to win 2.6. Under (38) 6 units. Again, losing Lamar is not a bad thing. As...
  14. Smitty

    Saturday 12/7 Bowl Games

    Whoops, that's supposed to be 12/17, of course. Fenway Bowl aka the Scott Satterfield Bowl I love that some people in Boston saw the Pinstripe Bowl and said "You know what? College football needs TWO bowl games in cold climates in stadiums that have no business hosting football games!"...
  15. Smitty

    Friday 12/16 Bowl Games

    Bowl Season again. A magical time. Let me start by stating the obvious.... not a snowball's chance in hell that I have a run through the Bowls like I did last year. Hopefully I'll still make my annual pre-New Year's profit. As usual, my plan is to bet every bowl game. Except the 2 that I...
  16. Smitty

    NFL Week 14

    NYJ (+9.5) 2 units NYJ under (44) 4 units Detroit (-1.5) 4 units Detroit under (51.5) 4 units Cleveland (+5.5) 1 unit. Jax (+3.5) 2 units Jax under (41) 2 units Baltimore (ML) 4 units to win 4.2. Baltimore under (37) 2 units Carolina (+3.5) 4 units sides 6-9 -20.0 units ML 6-9 +0.8 totals...
  17. Smitty

    NFL Week 13

    washington (-2.5) 4 units. gonna keep riding that heinicke train. and washington has been excellent at stopping the run. tennessee (+4.5) 4 units. still no respect for tennessee. hopefully they can get henry going again against a weak run defense. nyj (+3) 4 units nyj (ML) 2 to win 2.6. gonna...
  19. Smitty

    NFL Week 12

    happy thanksgiving, everyone! buffalo/det over (54) 4 units after opening the season with 8 straight unders, buffalo can't stop anyone. they were actually outgained by cleveland. and who knows where their focus will be tomorrow, after flying to detroit on sunday, flying home to buffalo...
  20. Smitty

    NFL Week 11

    let's try to turn it around after a shitty week last week. don't really love this card though. clev ML 1 unit to win 3 detroit +3.5 2.5 to win 2 indy +6.5 2 units atl TT over 26.5 4 units nyj/ne under 38 2 units LV ML 2 units to win 2.5 LV 1H +1.5 2 units LV TT over 19.5 2 units dallas -1.5 2...
  21. Smitty

    NFL Week 10

    As usual these days, running late. Here they are: Houston (+4.5) 4 units. +5 is now available, but i bet it at 4.5 yesterday. As miraculous as the gmen's season has been, they should not be laying points to anyone. Even a horrible Texans team. The gmen are already dreaming of being 8-2 before...
  22. Smitty

    PARLAY OF THE YEAR

    Welcome back to college hoops season. Morehead/Longwood/Oral roberts If you wanna get crazy, throw in Austin Peay and Linwood. Sure, the bet may lose, but think of the fun you'll have rooting for it! And, yes, I am a child. :0008 GL to all this season.
  23. Smitty

    NFL Week 9

    wash ML 2 units to win 3 Heinicke magic is alive and well indy (+5.5) 3 units indy over (40) 2 units (yes, this is insane) detroit (+4) 2 units detroit ML 1 unit to win 1.5 LA/Atl over 49.5 1 unit carolina/cincy over 42.5 2 units az TT 1H under 13.5 2.8 to win 2 units
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