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  1. Smitty

    Texas Tech vs. TCU

    I just spent a stupid amount of time on this game, and I thought I'd share my findings. When handicapping sports, you can't look at one game in a vacuum. You gotta know who they just played and who they are playing next. ESPECIALLY with college kids. So this week we have Texas Tech at TCU...
  2. Smitty

    Sunday 10/23

    was starting to think i wouldn't have time to post again, but now i'm waiting for betmgm to figure out that i am, in fact, in ny. apparently they are having issues. fantastic. detroit 1H +4 2 units detroit 1H ML 1 unit to win 2 detroit ML 1 to win 2.4 atl/cincy over 47 2 units nyg/jax over...
  3. Smitty

    Sunday 10/9

    Hope everyone is well. Finally had a few minutes to post my plays, and I find not only what looks like a brand new site, but we're having some issues this morning. Oh well, here goes nothing... Atl/TB under 47 2 units Miami/NYJ under 44.5 2 units Detroit/NE over 45.5 1 unit Tenn/Wash over...
  4. Smitty

    NC

    almost forgot to post this. georgia (-3) 6 units georgia 1st Half (-1.5) 2 units. let me be clear.... i am betting too much on this game simply because it's the NC. i don't like georgia in this game anywhere near as much as i did against michigan. but i'm a donkey and it's the NC. more of a...
  5. Smitty

    Texas Bowl

    of course i'm betting on this stupid game. k st TT under (26.5) 4 units. short and sweet... k st points every game away from home... 24 20 25 35 (this was at kansas, so does it even really count?) 17 it will take some weird things to happen for them to reach 27 against LSU.
  6. Smitty

    Saturday 1/1

    Outback Bowl arkansas (ML) 4 units to win 4.4. this is one of the games i bet 3 weeks ago. with dotson and brisker sitting out for psu, the line has shifted a little. anyway, huge motivational edge here to the razorbacks. psu had early wins against wisconsin and auburn. but they have lost...
  7. Smitty

    Friday 12/31

    Gator Bowl RU 1st Half (+7.5) 1 unit. yeah, that's it. even that is a forced play, due to my commitment to bet every bowl game. rutgers has absolutely nothing to lose, and maybe they'll hang around for a half. Sun Bowl CMU (ML) 4 units to win . for the life of me, i can't tell what the...
  8. Smitty

    Thursday 12/30

    Mayo Bowl UNC (-9.5) 1 unit. another game i wish i had the discipline to stay off. but two factors led me to unc... 1) it's shane beamer's first year at SC 2) this is how sam howell announced he was playing in this game.... "Last week, North Carolina quarterback Sam Howell took to...
  9. Smitty

    Wednesday 12/29

    Pinstripe Bowl VT (ML) 1 unit to win 1.4 over (54.5) 1 unit. hate myself for betting on this game. and i completely flip-flopped on the side and total. maryland has pretty much won the games they were supposed to win. and VT is down to their 3rd string qb, who has completed 7 passes this...
  10. Smitty

    Tuesday 12/28

    Birmingham Bowl houston (ML) 1 unit to win 1. over (51.5) 3 units. went back and forth on the side a few times. houston feels like the "easy" pick, because who the hell knows if auburn will show up. they've dropped 5 straight, including the OT loss in the iron bowl. and houston has had a...
  11. Smitty

    Monday 12/27

    Quick Lane Bowl western mich (-6.5) 6 units. i'll start with the negative.... i may have mentioned a few times that i HATE betting on bowl teams basically playing home games. and there are some huge unknowns in this game. in case you missed it, nevada's head coach fled to colorado st. they...
  12. Smitty

    Saturday 12/25

    Merry Christmas!!! Camellia Bowl Sponsored by Joe Camel time for that annual christmas tradition... opening presents... getting drunk (and full) on egg nog.... and telling the kids we're all watching the camellia bowl BECAUSE DADDY WORKS HARD SO HE CAN AFFORD A 65" TV AND YOU DAMN BETTER...
  13. Smitty

    Friday 12/24

    Hawaii Bowl memphis (-8.5) 3 units under (55.5) 4 units. i'm assuming cordeiro isn't playing. he's leaving the program, as apparently a lot of players are not happy with todd graham. hard to believe. :142smilie anyway, i hate betting against backup qbs in their first start. but i'll make...
  14. Smitty

    Thursday 12/23

    Frisco Football Classic, definitely NOT the Frisco Bowl North Texas (ML) 4 units to win 4.6. i hate that this is basically a home game for the mean green, but i like their ground game against a mediocre miami run defense. UNT is 3rd in the country in rushing yards/game, behind only AF & Army...
  15. Smitty

    Wednesday 12/22

    Armed Forces Bowl Army (-4) 2 units over (57) 4 units. i don't normally like playing the service academies in bowl games because you get extra time to prepare for the option. however, mizzou is 125th in the country, giving up 229 yards/game on the ground. hard to imagine army won't rack up...
  16. Smitty

    Tuesday 12/21

    Potato Bowl wyoming (-3) 3 units over (59) 4 units. ok, i'm getting a little crazy with that over. but it's practically begging for under money. ok, first of all, wyoming's head coach is craig bohl. craig BOHL. not surprisingly, craig BOHL is 3-0 ATS in bowl games. including a blowout win...
  17. Smitty

    Monday 12/20

    Ye Olde Myrtle Beach Bowl tulsa (-8.5) 3 units. under (52.5) 2 units. 1st Half under (27.5) 2 units. is a golden hurricane just a really aggressive golden shower? asking for a friend. anyway, both teams run the ball more than they throw it, which is a rarity these days. and both defenses...
  18. Smitty

    Saturday 12/18

    Boca Raton Bowl app st (ML) 3 units to win 2. my first forced play of the bowl season. don't really like the side or total. but all app st does is win bowl games. so this is one of the extremely rare times i'm playing a fav on the ML. New Mexico Bowl utep 1st Half (+6.5) 2 units utep 1st...
  19. Smitty

    Friday 12/17

    gonna try to post the bowl games again. as usual, i'll probably bet every single one of them. Bahamas Bowl[U] MTSU (ML) 2 units to win 5.8 under (52) 3 units. no, i'm not going to try to convince you the blue raiders are sneaky good or anything like that. they're not. they can't run the...
  20. Smitty

    Sunday 12/12

    haven't posted in about 2 months, but i have a little time so here goes... atlanta (ML) 6 units to win 7. atl/car under (42) 4 units car TT under (21.5) 2 units. atlanta has been decent on the road, going 4-2. but these bets really boil down to two words. cam. newton. seriously, who...
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