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  1. Smitty

    Wednesday

    emu (ML) 4 units to win 4. as both of my loyal followers know, i've been riding emu for a while now. they've covered 7 of their last 8. and they're riding high after overcoming a disastrous start last tuesday at ball state. tonight we have 2 teams going in completely opposite directions...
  2. Smitty

    Sunday

    jacksonville (-2.5) 2 unit. dammit, i never realized what a masochist i was until i started betting on the jags seemingly every week. they finally got chris ivory going last week, and for some stupid reason i'm hoping they will continue to do that against a houston d that allows 4.4...
  3. Smitty

    Saturday

    nw/purdue over (58) 3 units. purdue is giving up 44 points/game in big ten play. and they're even worse at home. in two conference home games, they've allowed 49 and 62 to iowa and penn state. on the other side of the ball, northwestern has been beaten up the last 2 games by ohio st and...
  4. Smitty

    Thursday

    cleveland (+7.5) 2 units cleveland (ML) 1 unit to win 3. the ravens are bad enough that they can lose this game if they overlook the mighty browns. i don't think it's likely, but i think it's worth a shot on the ML.
  5. Smitty

    Sunday

    detroit (+6) 2 units detroit (ML) 1 unit to win 2.1. sam bradford is finally looking like... sam bradford. and the vikings o-line isn't opening any holes. minnesota has scored 2 tds the last 2 weeks, and both were in the 4th quarter when the game was out of reach. i have to take nearly a td...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday

    busiest gambling day of the year... college football and the breeders cup. feels like i've been pretty bad on the noon games, but maybe an 11:30 game will be ok. notre dame (-7) 1 unit. maybe the line is inflated because it's nd, but -7 is practically begging for navy money. navy/nd over...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday

    atlanta (-3) 3 units. green bay has played 2 road games. they squeaked out a win at jacksonville and lost at minnesota. the pack are giving up 7.9 yards per pass attempt. should be a big game for matt ryan. and here's a list of the teams green bay has beat this year: jacksonville detroit...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday

    emu (-7) 2 units. interesting game to start with. emu has really turned things around. they are 5-3 one season after going 1-11. and they have covered 6 straight games. and now they find themselves laying a td to a team that has won 2 straight after starting 0-6. i like the eagles to...
  10. Smitty

    Thursday

    jacksonville (+3) 2 units. dammit, i knew this was going to happen. i called it on sunday. i keep finding myself compelled to play the jags. but tennessee is 4-19 SU their last 23 home games (granted, 2 of those wins are the last 2 years against jacksonville). they are 3-19-4 ATS their last...
  11. Smitty

    There's a rumor

    that the indians are bringing in steve bartman to throw out the first pitch. go tribe!!
  13. Smitty

    Sunday

    jacksonville (-1) 2 units. dammit, i'm on the jags again. amazingly, they are 5-1 ATS their last 6 games off a bye. the raiders are probably just looking forward to a week in florida (they are at tampa next week, so i'm assuming they will stay in florida). ny jets (-2) 2 units. dammit, i...
  14. Smitty

    Saturday

    UCF (-4) 1 unit. it's time for the hottest rivalry in sports... the civil conflict! or maybe not. hard to say how ucf will respond to their last-second loss to temple. but they have won and covered both of their road games after the blowout at michigan. if they can put the temple game...
  15. Smitty

    Sunday

    i had a flurry of last-minute losses yesterday, so my good run is probably over. miami (+7) 3 units. pittsburgh is 2-8 ATS their last 10 games as a road favorite of more than a fg. they've lost 5 of those games SU. they also may be looking ahead to their next two games against baltimore and...
  16. Smitty

    Saturday

    emu (+7) 3 units emu (ML) 1 unit to win 2.3. emu has suddenly become competitive. they have covered 4 straight games, including SU wins in their last 2 road games. and they may catch ohio looking ahead to kent. the aggregate score of the last 4 ohio games the week before they play kent? the...
  17. Smitty

    Sunday

    tennessee (ML) 4 units to win 5.4. just one of those matchups of 2 bad teams that will come down to the wire. the titans will have a chance to win this in the 4th quarter. for miami's only win of the season, they needed a kicker who joined the team that morning to miss a fairly easy fg at the...
  19. Smitty

    Saturday

    byu (+4.5) 2 units byu (ML) 1 unit to win 1.7. i'm going to keep wagering against michigan st until they improve. this would be a larger play, except byu has to start wearing down at some point. this has been their schedule so far: at arizona at utah ucla at west virginia toledo they...
  20. Smitty

    Sunday

    not finding a lot of games i really like today. new england (-3.5) 2 units. well, new england is 3-0 ATS this season, as bettors continue to overvalue tom brady's value to this team. i'm pretty sure bill belichick could put a tuna sandwich at qb and beat rex ryan by at least 4 points. i...
  21. Smitty

    Saturday

    memphis (+16) 2 units memphis (ML) 1 unit to win 5.8. obviously it's going to be tough for the tigers to repeat their big win from last year. this is their first road game of 2016. they've beaten up on 3 bad football teams. but this is a huge game every year for memphis, and they'll have...
  22. Smitty

    Sunday

    cincinnati (-3.5) 2 units. siemians' first road start. i think it's very telling that this line is sitting at 3.5 instead of 3. oakland (-1.5) 3 units. the titans are 0-14 at home the last 2 seasons against teams other than jacksonville. arizona (-4.5) 2 units. yeah, i'm playing both west...
  23. Smitty

    Saturday

    central michigan (-5) 2 units. wow, starting right off with road chalk. but virginia is reeling, losing their first 3 games under bronco mendenhall. last week, they gave up 10 unanswered points in the 4th quarter to lose at uconn. and they drove down to the 3 at the end of the game, only to...
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