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  1. Smitty

    Sunday

    wrapping up a shitty nfl season.... tennessee (-3) 3 units. tom savage. titans should only need 2 safeties to cover this spread. jacksonville (ML) 2 units to win 4. had a feeling the jags would improve without bradley. they're used to having nothing to play for this late in the season...
  2. Smitty

    Saturday Bowl Games

    Citrus Bowl lsu (-3) 2 units. i'm going to start with a really scary question.... is ANYONE on louisville? crap. well, we'll all go down together. this is the time of year i normally can't pick a bowl game correctly to save my life. hopefully i won't give away ALL my profits. anyway, lsu...
  3. Smitty

    Alamo Bowl

    colorado (-3) 3 units. i'll start with my concerns that are keeping this from being an even bigger play. mike macintyre has never coached in a bowl game. colorado may have a "hangover" from the pac 12 championship game. and the game is on turf, which should help ok st's spread offense. all...
  4. Smitty

    Wednesday Bowl Games

    Russell Athletic Bowl wvu (ML) 3 units to win 4.8. purely a gut feeling. IF west virginia's defense comes to play, i love them to shut down kaaya. miami's offense should be a piece of cake after facing big 12 offenses all season.
  5. Smitty

    Monday Bowl Games

    Holiday Bowl minnesota (+8.5) 3 units. minnesota (ML) 1 unit to win 2.8. i'm probably overthinking this one. if not for the suspensions and the threatened boycott, i would have loved wazzou in this game. but all that crap makes it WAY too easy to take the cougars now. i have a strange...
  7. Smitty

    Monday Bowl Games

    St. Petersburg Bowl Over (58) 2 units. Hard to imagine the bulldogs' defense getting fired up for this game. I think they're going to give up a surprising amount of points today. On the other side of the ball, even an uninspired miss st offense should damn near be able to score at will...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday

    miami/buffalo under (42.5) 2 units. old fashioned defensive struggle in this one. tampa bay (ML) 2 units to win 3.2. tampa has been better on the road, and their pass defense has been terrific lately, especially against the saints 2 weeks ago, as they held them to 11 points.
  9. Smitty

    Hawai'i Bowl

    now that i'm an expert on hawai'i, i should nail this one... mtsu (-6.5) 1 unit. shouldn't matter who starts at qb for the blue raiders. hawai'i was 1-5 ATS at home this year. over (73) 3 units. hawai'i played 2 non-conference home games this year. total points in each: 77 vs tennessee...
  10. Smitty

    Friday Bowl Games

    Bahamas Bowl eastern michigan (+5.5) 4 units emu (ML) 2 units to win 3.6. normally the key in a game like this is motivation. who is enjoying their vacation in the bahamas and who is focused on winning a football game. today there may be no shortage of motivation as odu is playing in their...
  11. Smitty

    Potato Bowl

    colorado st (-16) 1 unit. what can i say? i'm a sucker for a high-scoring, balanced offense. the rams' were absolutely rolling at the end of the season. the break may hurt them, but i'm hoping they find their rhythm fairly quickly. i won't be shocked if the vandals keep this close for a...
  13. Smitty

    Poinsettia Bowl

    went back and forth a couple times on this one, but finally landed on.... byu (-10) 1 unit. this would be 2 units if not for byu's first year head coach. not because he's a bad coach, but because first year head coaches have such a terrible bowl record. when the matchups were announced, i...
  14. Smitty

    Del Boca Vista Bowl

    or something like that. interesting note, if you haven't noticed... all 6 bowl games have gone under so far. wku (-7) 2 units. going with my gut on this one. and betting against a first year coach in a bowl game. wku doesn't run the ball a lot, but they are very effective when they do...
  15. Smitty

    Miami Beach Bowl

    tulsa (-13) 2 units. the golden hurricane only lost 3 games this year. to ohio st, houston, and navy. no shame there. this is a terrific, well-balanced offense. tulsa came up just short in Philip Montgomery's first bowl game last year. i think they'll be fired up for a big performance...
  16. Smitty

    Sunday

    Just a note on the det/nyg game... are these the two worst 9-4 teams in nfl history? chicago (+4) 3 units chicago (ML) 1 unit to win 1.9. no surprise, the bears are 3-0 ATS since cutler was lost for the year. i gotta believe they're going to play their asses off today, and that will be enough...
  17. Smitty

    Offensive Coordinators

    can they be fired in the middle of a game? the fucking oc for utsa is killing them. first drive of the game, all runs down into the red zone. then they start throwing, and the drive stalls. 2nd drive, still going into a strong wind, 3 passes, they go 3-and-out. flash forward to the 3rd...
  19. Smitty

    Saturday Bowl Games

    New Mexico Bowl utsa (+9.5) 1 unit utsa (ML) 1 unit to win 3.3. ok, a lot of things are pointing at the lobos here. but i'm going with my gut and my gut tells me the roadrunners somehow get a win today. no real lack of motivation for either team, but there's a definite edge for utsa, playing...
  20. Smitty

    Sunday

    denver/tennessee under (44) 3 units. strong winds = emphasis on the ground game. both teams will be pounding the rock today. it will take 3 muffed punts or defensive scores for this game to go over the total. *best bet on the board* RGIII will get knocked out of the game before halftime...
  21. Smitty

    Monday

    Philadelphia (ML) 8.4 units to win 4. Not screwing around with the points on this one. Green Bay has quit on the season and it's their 3rd straight road game.
  22. Smitty

    Sunday

    tennessee (ML) 4 units to win 5. i love the titans to get their first win over indy since 2011. tennesse is really turning things around on the strength of their ground game. they are 2nd in the league, averaging 4.8 yards/rush. indy is 29th in the league, allowing 4.7 yards/rush. i like...
  23. Smitty

    Saturday

    northwestern (-2.5) 3 units. minnesota has 4 conference wins. against maryland, rutgers, purdue, and illinois. combined conference record of 5-23. wow. northwestern is 4-0 ATS on the road this year and 3-1 SU with the only loss by 4 at ohio st. wvu (+3.5) 2 units wvu (ML) 2 units to win...
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