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  1. Smitty

    Sunday

    kc/wash over (44.5) 3 units. will the chiefs really be focused on this game today? consider the 3-game stretch they're coming off of, and their last 3 to finish the year are against Oakland, indy, and san diego. they gotta figure they can just show up today and beat the horrible redskins...
  2. Smitty

    Saturday

    I say the same thing every year, but the season just flew by. rice (+6.5) 2 units. getting another crack at marshall will have the owls fired up. talk about unfinished business. last year, rice scored 10 points in the last 4 minutes to take marshall to OT, before losing in double OT. and on...
  3. Smitty

    Friday Night Maction

    these could be 2 of the worst plays I've made. everything screams to play northern ill and the over. the argument being made for bowling green is that they have such a good defense. well, looking at their opponents belies that. here's the national ranking (in scoring offense) for all 11 (i'm...
  4. Smitty

    Thursday

    under (49) 3 units. both teams' defenses have been very, very good. especially against the run. I don't see either team getting in much of a rhythm offensively.
  5. Smitty

    Thursday

    I've posted the jags on the money line the last two weeks, and I don't see any reason not to take another shot. Jacksonville (ML) 2 units to win 2.8. i'll start with the only positive I see for Houston tonight - they are finally out of Houston. 3 games ago, the Texans' fans were so fed up...
  7. Smitty

    Sunday

    the cbs "experts" have 3 unanimous selections this week. they are 3-16 when they all agree on a play. the 3 are new england, tennessee, and the ny giants. I love the texans and redskins. I'm going to have a hard time playing the colts, but I gotta do it. indy (-4) 1 unit. it makes it a...
  8. Smitty

    Saturday

    well, there's no way I'm having back-to-back perfect days, so tread lightly on these. UConn (+2.5) 2 units. starting right off the bat with the huskies. ugh. but the fact that the line has crossed 3 tells me the huskies are very live today. after a solid start to the season, Rutgers really...
  9. Smitty

    Friday

    the last few weeks have eaten into my profits, so fading these may not be a bad idea. iowa (+2) 2 units. ah, the traditional Hy-Vee Heroes Game. the huskers haven't beaten a conference opponent with a winning record in the big 10/12. the hawkeyes' losses are to the #3, #11, #14, & #15 teams...
  10. Smitty

    Thursday

    Happy Thanksgiving Madjackers!! miss st (+4) 1 unit. throw out the records in the egg bowl!! ok, if this game was Saturday, I wouldn't be playing it. I don't think there's a huge difference between these two teams and ole miss hasn't played a road game since 10/5. the rebels are 0-2 in...
  11. Smitty

    Sunday

    sadly, the cbs "experts" don't have any unanimous picks this week, so that record will remain a stellar 3-16. 7 out of 8 were on NO on Thursday and 7 of 8 are on Carolina today. including Thursday, they are now 10-16 when 7 of 8 are on the same side. not nearly as strong as when it's...
  13. Smitty

    Saturday

    Memphis/Louisville under (43) 1 unit. Louisville's offense hasn't exactly been lighting it up lately, I don't see the tigers scoring many points today either. should be a low-scoring defensive game. strong lean to the tigers plus the points, too. Kansas st (-5.5) 3 units. news flash - bob...
  14. Smitty

    Sunday

    tampa (-1) 2 units. the more i look at this game, the more i like tampa. Atlanta is 0-4 ATS on the road. statistically speaking, tampa dominated the first matchup 4 weeks ago. they had 8 more first downs, 46 more total yards, 15 minutes more in time of possession, AND THEY HELD ATLANTA TO 18...
  15. Smitty

    Saturday

    Rutgers (-1.5) 1 unit. in case you are unfamiliar with how weak Cincinnati's schedule has been, this is the first time all year that they are an underdog. rutgers' 3 losses this year are to fresno, Houston, and Louisville. both teams could be looking past this game - Cincinnati finishes the...
  16. Smitty

    Sunday

    tough card today. buffalo (+2.5) 2 units. other than Jacksonville and tb, pitt shouldn't be favored over anyone right now. they can't run the ball and they can't stop the run. the latter will prove to be the problem today. against a tough kc defense last week, spiller and Jackson combined...
  17. Smitty

    Saturday

    SMU (+7.5) 2 units. dammit, the line is dropping fast. smu has finally found their rhythm offensively the last 3 games. after beating purdue in the season opener, here's a list of the teams Cincinnati has beat: northwestern st Miami, oh temple UConn Memphis they also lost to a terrible...
  19. Smitty

    Thursday

    Baylor (-16.5) 2 units. obviously this line is begging for ok money. Baylor has beaten up a bunch of tomato cans and now they're playing the mighty Oklahoma sooners. as soon as the bears get up by a couple scores, and bell has to throw the ball, the sooners are done. next week and the week...
  20. Smitty

    Sunday

    Carolina (-9) 2 units. Atlanta is 0-3 ATS on the road, and they've shown no signs of life yet. Minnesota (+9) 1 unit. coming off a tough loss at Detroit and with a prime time game at new orleans on deck, I think the cowboys will find a way to keep Minnesota in this game. san diego (+1) 2...
  21. Smitty

    Saturday

    hoping to bounce back from just a brutal day last Saturday. temple (+12) 2 units. Rutgers is coming off a tough loss at Louisville, then a week off, then a blowout loss at home to Houston. I don't think they'll be too focused on the lowly owls today. as bad as temple has been, they have...
  22. Smitty

    Saturday BC

    decided i'd post these as a public service. it should be safe to toss all these horses. 1) starting out with a 15-1 shot. i'm using the 7 over the 5,6,8,9 2) no surprise here - i'm using the 1. i'll probably use the 5 a little, too. 3) mostly using the 3 & 8, which should make for a decent...
  23. Smitty

    Friday BC

    I hope you guys are doing better than I am. after the early double, I haven't sniffed a win. bombs away here in the 9th. I really like granny mc's kitten. i'm gonna use her on top of the 11 and 6, with the 2 & 3 a little deeper on the ticket.
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