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  1. Smitty

    Tuesday

    xavier (+4) 1 unit. pretty basic here - i just think xavier is the better team. i am unsure of the motivation though... 10-15 years ago, a team like xavier would have been very fired up to get a chance against a middle-of-the-pack SEC team. now though? xavier has made a habit of making the...
  2. Smitty

    Monday Night Maaction

    "monday night maaction" is copyrighted, so you need my permission to use it. :0008 loyola (+4) 2 units. wow, how often can i go to the 'bet against siena at home' well? as long as they keep failing to cover, i reckon. siena hasn't covered as a favorite since 2010. the road team has...
  3. Smitty

    Saturday

    james madison (-2.5) 1 unit. let me get this straight... a 7-5 team in conference is laying points to a 10-2 team, and the line is rising? hmmmm.... northwestern (-1) 2 units. yeah, it looks like everybody is on them, and i hate that. but i love the angle of a team favored (even by a...
  4. Smitty

    Friday Night Degenerate Special

    who's ready for a night of really bad basketball? maac fever... catch it. manhattan (+12) 2 units. god help me. manhattan is so very, very bad. but this siena team has no business laying 12 to anybody. manhattan is 4-0 ATS on the conference road, and they've covered at least 5 straight...
  5. Smitty

    Thursday

    somebody's gotta do it... georgia tech (+5.5) 1 unit. as bad as GT is, miami has turned losing close games into an art form. they have now lost 4 straight games, all by 4 points or less. they are 0-2 ATS in conference as a favorite and 0-3 ATS in conference at home.
  7. Smitty

    Wednesday

    just two tonight, and both were very overrated until they got exposed in conference play. based on these lines, it looks like both of them should right the ship tonight. syracuse (+3) 2 units. really? syracuse is basically getting the same number they got at marquette 5 days ago? that's...
  8. Smitty

    Monday

    the lines on both big games seem to be begging you to take the road teams. so naturally i'm on: georgetown (-5) 1 unit texas a&m (+1.5) 2 units. this line is crazy. texas is 6-0 in conference, including wins over mizzou and kansas. a&m just lost to nebraska. they easily could have made...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday

    after a perfect night on thursday, i can't wait to see how much i give back today. mississippi st (+5.5) 2 units. let's start with this crappy team. this is more of an anti-florida play. tough spot for the gators. coming off that OT game at georgia, and they have a revenge game against...
  10. Smitty

    Thursday

    a few games where the line just looks out of whack. file these under 'if it looks too good to be true, it probably is'. vcu (-8.5) 2 units. both teams are 8-1 in conference. why the hell is the line so high? ul lafayette (+4) 1 unit. north texas is 16-4. the ragin' cajuns are 5-14. la...
  11. Smitty

    Saturday

    i'm on fire - a 1-game win streak! virginia (-1.5) 2 units. georgia tech hasn't proven they can win on the road yet. st marys (+5) 2 units. i know, i know.... an unranked team is laying points to a ranked team. i hate playing against an angle that has won me so much money over the years...
  13. Smitty

    Thursday

    i am at the point where i really, really hate when my team gets out to a big early lead. that is the kiss of death. southern miss up 25-9 yesterday. i knew they were fucked. nevada (-3) 2 units. this line seems kinda crazy, doesn't it? a 5-13 (2-3 in conference) team laying 3 to a team...
  14. Smitty

    Wednesday

    southern miss (-6.5) 3 units. memphis finally snapped their string of 83 straight losses to the spread (roughly) with their blowout of marshall. but they are still very suspect on the road. the golden eagles have given the tigers a few good battles the last couple years, but haven't broken...
  15. Smitty

    Sunday Big East

    st johns (-3) 2 units. crazy line, isn't it? johnnies just got beat down by 'cuse. and they lost by 15 to the fighting irish just last week. how could you possibly play st johns laying points in this game? well, nd is 0-2 on the conference road, both SU and ATS. and it looks like atkins is...
  16. Smitty

    Saturday

    1 unit each marshall (+4) memphis hasn't covered a game since 12/4 duquesne (-1) vandy (+1.5) lasalle (+2.5) texas a&m (-5) wisconsin (-5.5) nc st/fsu over (135) southern miss (-3) indiana (-3) michigan coming off a very tough stretch. hoosiers have covered 11 of the last 14 meetings and 7 of...
  17. Smitty

    Sunday

    BREAKING NEWS Various Wire Reports - The Kansas City Chiefs have announced that they are suiting up a new fullback today for their playoff game against the Baltimore Ravens. None other than offensive supergenius and departing offensive coordinator Charlie Weis. Unconfirmed sources are...
  19. Smitty

    The Kraft Fight Hunger With Cheap Macaroni and Cheese Bowl

    boston college (+8) 1 unit. likely my last college game of the year, since i have no opinion on tomorrow night's crap fest (what can i say? i like defense.) the more i look at bc, the lower this play gets. i liked them because they have the #1 ranked rush defense in the country. yup, you...
  20. Smitty

    Compass Bowl

    ah, nothing screams 'championship level football' like the BBVA Compass Bowl on january 8. pitt (-4) 2 units. all the distractions around the program.... sec vs big east.... and line line is rising? while i hate betting against a back-up qb, this is a big advantage for pitt. UK is going from...
  21. Smitty

    I Hope

    the people who run the godaddy.com bowl are very thankful for us degenerate gamblers. because, seriously, who else will be watching this game?
  22. Smitty

    Sugar Bowl

    ohio st (-3) 1 unit. the sec is vastly superior to the big 10. for the last 3 weeks, i expected to play arkansas in this game. this afternoon, i expected to play arkansas in this game. but my gambler's intuition started to kick in. and it's telling me you can't trust ryan mallett in a big...
  23. Smitty

    Orange Bowl

    virginia tech (+4) 2 units. i lost my write-up. i'll sum it up the best i can. i think stanford is pretty overrated, as is the whole pac 10. what is stanford's biggest win this year? arizona? usc? stanford played one team with a defense in the top 20 in scoring defense, and oregon shut...
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