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  1. Smitty

    Gotta Do it

    might as well finish off the horrendous weekend with one more loser... st Louis (+13) 2 units. continuing what I started yesterday - playing against the cbs "experts" when all 8 agree on the same side.
  2. Smitty

    Sunday

    absolutely terrible day yesterday. if the "experts" at cbssports.com have a good day today, then i'm going down in flames again. so far this season, when all 8 agree on a game, they are 1-7. when 7 of 8 are on the same side, they are 6-10. and when 6 out of 8 are on the same side, they are...
  3. Smitty

    Saturday

    boston college (+6) 1 unit. i'm expecting a big letdown from unc after narrowly missing a big win against Miami. bc/unc over (59.5) 2 units. I think that letdown will manifest itself primarily on defense. also, bc is coming off their 2nd bye of the season. off their last bye, they scored 34...
  4. Smitty

    Sunday

    jets (+3) 1 unit. if brady and gronk have their timing back already, well then i'll tip my cap and fork over some cash. Houston (+6.5) 2 units. what can I say? I love playing rookie qbs making their first start. on the road. in a hostile environment. against an undefeated team. it's my...
  5. Smitty

    Tuesday!

    it's been at least a few weeks since I've submitted a drunken pick, but after a shitty day at work, today is the day!!! I won the only other time this season I handicapped drunk, so clearly i'll hit this one. and isn't it nice to have Tuesday night football back? Lafayette (+3) 2 units. I've...
  6. Smitty

    Sunday

    running late... no time for write-ups. philly (-3) 2 units. no vick, no problem. (ok, one quick write-up) Cleveland (+2) 2 units Carolina (+2.5) 2 units buffalo (+5.5) 1 unit Washington (+5.5) 3 units wash/dallas over (51.5) 1 unit
  7. Smitty

    Saturday

    texas (+11) 1 unit. ugh. I can offer no rational explanation for how the horns can stay somewhat close in this game. BUT... the line opened at 13.5 with the whole world on Oklahoma (jumping on that line before it hit 14, no doubt). and the line has dropped instead. still treading lightly...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday

    philly (+1.5) 2 units. sure, the eagles are bad, but the giants are even worse. no way the giants should be favored over anybody right now. well, maybe Jacksonville, but they don't really count. anyway, the giants are 27th in run defense and the eagles are not only leading the league in...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday

    Eastern Michigan (+13) 2 units. obviously we were getting great value with the bulls last week, after UConn nearly beat Michigan. now the shoe is on the other foot (which sounds uncomfortable), and we're getting great value going against the bulls. that team is so bad that if you lose to...
  10. Smitty

    Sunday

    pitt (-3) 1 unit. seriously? how the hell is pitt laying points? does anybody really believe ponder to cassel is a dropoff? this is just begging for minny money. Houston (+1) 1 unit. if the seahawks win this one, i'll be a believer that they can win on the road. but if you just bet the...
  11. Smitty

    Saturday

    posting early.... I have a lot of work to do to get ready for the big day at Belmont. Virginia (+5.5) 2 units. I think Virginia's win over byu is more impressive than anything pitt has done this year. a lot of love for the panthers today, but the line has dropped. Virginia/pitt under (50.5)...
  12. Smitty

    Sunday

    det/wash under (48) 2 units. I was very surprised to see a total less than 50 on this game. the linesmakers are begging for money on the over, and they are getting it (74%). so I gotta take the under. Cleveland (+6) 1 unit. I think the line movement is an overreaction to losing Richardson...
  13. Smitty

    Saturday

    troy (+13.5) 2 units. the Trojans catch the bulldogs between auburn and lsu. there's no guarantee Mississippi st will even score 2 tds. Utah st (+6.5) 3 units. absolutely love the aggies here. may even throw a little on the money line. Utah st/usc under (50) 2 units. should be a close...
  14. Smitty

    Friday

    fresno (-4) 2 units. not much to say about this one, except: a) this line is practically begging for boise money. b) I think this is a good year to fade boise. over their incredible run this millennium, there were 2 things you could count on from boise. 1) they would be more physical than...
  15. Smitty

    Sunday

    great day yesterday, until I got backdoored by the badgers*. oh well. moving on to sunday. as usual, week two is the opportunity to take advantage of overreactions to week one. Cleveland (+6.5) 2 units. the browns have covered 3 straight visits to Baltimore. they will be better this year...
  16. Smitty

    Saturday

    UL Monroe (+2.5) 2 units. Alabama (-9) 2 units. admittedly, I was on the tide last year in this matchup. but let's remember - the week prior to that game, alabama came back to win at lsu with less than 1 minute to go. so they were primed for a letdown. and I really don't think they took...
  17. Smitty

    Thursday Night

    i'm pretty hammered right now, but fuck it.... one play... Tulane (+7) 2 units. la tech is a completely different team this year. as bad as Tulane is, they may pull off the win tonight.
  18. Smitty

    Saturday

    hello, week 2. usually my favorite week, thanks to everybody overreacting to week 1. gotta post quick, because i'm heading out to the ommegang brewery to drink belgian beer all day. south florida (+23.5) 2 units. let me get this straight... USF gets blown out at home (and I mean blown out)...
  19. Smitty

    NC

    i'm probably staying off this game, but there are a couple factors in michigan's favor: louisville frequently plays a 2-3 zone. michigan spent all last week preparing to play syracuse. they didn't have to spend too much extra time yesterday on how to attack the zone (not that they did a great...
  20. Smitty

    Attention Madjackers

    i haven't posted any plays since early in the season. as you can see below, i got off to a really hot start. and, well, nobody likes to keep posting losers. the season never got any better. and i have finally decided to allow all of you to benefit from my terrible, terrible handicapping...
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