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  1. Smitty

    Sunday

    first nfl plays on the year. i was 43-26 last year, so probably a good idea to fade me this year. arizona (+4) 2 units. let me get this straight. the redskins are coming off a big win over the giants. next week they play the cowboys. on monday night, no less. i'd take 4 points in this...
  2. Smitty

    Saturday

    there's one game i've loved all week, and now i'm also really liking another. clemson (-3.5) 4 units. i love this game so much, it scares me. this line jumped off the page at me when i first saw it on monday. this is a crazy line, right? tell me they couldn't make auburn a 3-point fav and...
  3. Smitty

    The Joy of Living in Upstate NY

    i get to watch buffalo take on kansas city, while the rest of you chumps get stuck with pittsburgh/baltimore. SUCKERS!!! :0002 looks like i'll be mowing the lawn this afternoon.
  4. Smitty

    Saturday

    so much for discipline... starting with 2 plays i did not expect to make. army (+9.5) 2 units. tough spot for san diego st. traveling west for a noon start. and their next four games are: washington st, at michigan, TCU, and at air force. you think they're focused on the cadets...
  5. Smitty

    Friday

    long-time followers know there's only one way for me to go on this one... arizona st (-10) 2 units. i was hoping to get this in before it hit 10. oh well. crazy line movement, right? and we all saw last night how much better the big 12 is compared to the pac 10 or 12 or however many teams...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday

    welcome back to college football. i'm going to try something new, at least in week one. it's called discipline. let's see how long it lasts. so... one game today (always subject to change). LSU (+3.5) 3 units. it's nice to see oregon is trying something different this year - playing a team...
  8. Smitty

    When's The Last Time We Had a Final Four Without a #1 Seed?

    anyone? :shrug:
  9. Smitty

    Saturday

    duquesne (+3.5) 2 units. wow, no logical reason to play the dukes here. i mean, none whatsoever. they only have one win over a top a-10 team, and that was a home win against temple almost 2 months ago. richmond has covered 6 straight against duquesne. easy win for richmond, right? they...
  10. Smitty

    Tuesday

    ok st (-2) 1 unit. this falls under the 'the harder it is to play a team, the more likely they are to win' category. the cowboys are really struggling. the home team has covered 8 straight in this matchup though. virginia (-1.5) 2 units. another tough one to pull the trigger. i lost a big...
  11. Smitty

    Sunday

    solid day yesterday. the way i've been running lately, that means i'll give it back today. south alabama (+1.5) 2 units. yup, i love the jaguars today. (did i really just type that?) FAU has nothing to play for, near as i can tell. south alabama has covered 7 of the last 8 matchups between...
  13. Smitty

    Saturday

    virginia (-2.5) 2 units. i hit the big one with miami at bc a few days ago, and i'm going to come right back with another anti-bc play. the 'bc is on the bubble' talk was absolutely laughable. virginia may be playing their best ball of the year. they've covered 5 of their last 6, with the...
  14. Smitty

    Wednesday

    i've been treading water at best for a while now. depaul (+13.5) 1 unit. as a general rule, any time a team that has been bad for a long time has a good season, they still struggle as a favorite. it's just a role they are not used to. depaul has covered 4 straight games, i believe, so...
  15. Smitty

    Tuesday

    mississippi (-1.5) 2 units. sc has dropped 4 straight home games, SU and ATS. plus they may feel like they have a little unfinished business against georgia, and they get a rematch with the bulldogs in their next game. northern iowa (-6) 1 unit. it's damn near impossible to play uni here...
  16. Smitty

    Sunday

    so far, just two plays. clemson (+1) 1 unit. hard to trust the tigers on the road, but miami is 0-6 ATS at home in conference. purdue (-1) 2 units. if craft had gone through crunch time in the big 10 before, i would love ohio state's chances here. i think he's going to be a very good...
  17. Smitty

    Saturday

    remember when the BB started, it was teams that were legitmately on the bubble? now it includes sacramento st against se missouri st and jacksonville st against eastern michigan (and, yes, i'm playing one of those games). progress! all games 1 unit, unless otherwise noted. oh, and way, way...
  19. Smitty

    Thursday

    temple (-6) 2 units. the line seems just a bit higher than necessary, doesn't it? two 9-2 teams in the a-10. it's very difficult to make a case for temple laying 6. so i gotta do it. denver (-13.5) 2 units. i'm mad at myself for never looking at this until now, but it makes sense that as...
  20. Smitty

    Wednesday

    georgetown (+2.5) 1 unit. maybe this is a little too easy. georgetown is on a roll right now, and their style should frustrate the young huskies. illinois (-9.5) 1 unit. the home team has covered 17 of the last 20 matchups between these two.
  21. Smitty

    Tuesday

    well, now that i've been called a "fucking genius", i got some pressure on me. to alleviate the pressure, i've drunk (drank?) quite a bit of 'death's door' gin. good stuff, but a bit harsh. anyway. on to tonight's losers. sorry, that's too negative. on to tonight's selections.... one unit...
  22. Smitty

    Monday

    i can't believe i'm doing this, but... kansas st (+3.5) 3 units. what an insane line. it opened at 4.5 and already got bet down to 3.5? seriously? k st is so bad... that team has zero heart to begin with (pullen saying a month ago that if they go to the NIT, he won't play? really?), they...
  23. Smitty

    Saturday

    st louis (+10) 2 units. richmond is not the kind of team that blows anyone out. they have lost at least 4 straight home games ATS when favored by 9 or more. maryland (-2.5) 2 units. maryland is 4-0 ATS in conference road games. vanderbilt (-1) 1 unit. UK is 1-4 SU and ATS on the...
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