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  1. Smitty

    Sunday

    first nfl plays of the year. one unit each. buffalo (+12.5) the pack has a monday night game at chicago on deck. balt/cincy under (39.5) flacco still sucks on the road. cincy may have a more competent pass offense to take advantage of baltimore's defensive secondary, but i can't trust palmer...
  2. Smitty

    Saturday

    after hitting what will likely be my biggest play of the season on southern miss last night, i'm looking forward to giving it back today. kent st (+21) 2 units. starting off by going against my team. this line just feels too low and it's not moving, despite 90% on psu. while i expected psu...
  3. Smitty

    Friday

    wish i grabbed this one when the lines came out. southern miss (-6) 4 units. at first look, this line is ridiculous. kansas just beat a ranked georgia tech team. southern miss got blown out by south carolina to start the year. even 4 points seemed high. and now it's been driven up to 6...
  4. Smitty

    Week One

    treading very lightly today. maybe just one play (i was going to play uconn/mich, but am probably staying off it now for reasons below. fresno (-2.5) 2 units. no kelly for cincinnati. the bearcats struggled with physical teams, and if there's one characteristic of fresno st under pat hill...
  5. Smitty

    Opening Night

    holy shit, it's time for football again. welcome back, everybody. and hello to the new guys. playing more than i expected tonight, but isn't that always the way? marshall (+28) 1 unit. mtsu (+1) 2 units. was going to absolutely hammer mtsu until the incident with dasher. the line...
  7. Smitty

    Friday Hoops

    just a few plays tonight... vermont (+15.5) 2 units. this line seemed a little low to start with for a #1 seed... onuaku's injury is nothing new... there's no way people are pounding vermont... and yet the line is dropping. how strange. first ever 16 seed to beat a 1 seed? florida st (-1.5)...
  8. Smitty

    Monday Hoops

    old dominion (-9) 2 units. after a big comeback against a team that had owned them recently, then a hard-fought win over a very physical northeastern team, i have to believe bill & mary will hit the wall tonight. for just two people (including one female) they have done well to get this far...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday Hoops

    is it really the last weekend of the regular season? wvu (+3) 1 unit. 'nova still not playing particularly well. they blew a huge lead late in their game against cincinnati. wvu under (152) 1 unit. if this game is close down the stretch, you won't see a flurry of points from the FT line in...
  10. Smitty

    Thursday Hoops

    just one play tonight... dayton (+4) 2 units. i don't know how much richmond can have left in the tank after that game at xavier. i think they really played about as well as they can. early on, i'm sure they'll catch a boost from senior night, but after that... i expect a big dropoff. when...
  11. Smitty

    Wednesday Hoops

    sorry for the late post.... alabama (+4) 1 unit. would have been a bigger play, but the late line movement scares me. kansas (-8) 3 units. geez, after the uproar i created yesterday when i said syracuse isn't that good, i'm almost afraid to say this... but i've said for awhile now... k...
  13. Smitty

    Tuesday Hoops

    st johns (+13.5) 2 units. first of all, syracuse is not very good. let's get that right out there. this is not a very good basketball team, especially with johnson struggling. syracuse's only 2 losses this year were at home. and the #1 ranked team hasn't exactly fared well this year. if...
  14. Smitty

    Sunday Hoops

    sorry, i know y'all missed my fades. it didn't feel right to deprive you any longer. so here are my plays today. penn state (-2) 2 units. playing a terrible team right off the bat here. it's crazy, but psu owns northwestern, winning 7 of the last 8 and covering all 8. xavier (-7.5) 1 unit...
  15. Smitty

    Saturday Hoops

    just like every saturday, way too many plays. still slumping. no time for write-ups today. providence (+2.5) 1 unit virginia (-4) 1 unit richmond (-1) 2 units memphis (-4.5) 1 unit odu/vcu over (132) 1 unit miami oh (-3) 1 unit unlv (-1.5) 2 units unlv over (146.5) 2 units michigan...
  16. Smitty

    Sunday Hoops

    on a terrible run right now. probably smart to fade these until i get this going in the right direction. virginia tech (+2) 1 unit. miami is awful this year, with their lone conference win coming by one point over wake. they are also 1-5 ATS in conference, with the one win at bc. they've...
  17. Smitty

    Saturday Hoops

    lasalle (+11.5) 2 units. miami oh (-8) 2 units. redhawks have been on a tear at home, covering all 4 conference games. also, they've covered 3 straight and 8 out of 10 in this matchup. but even when they're winning, they're terrible in the first half, so... eastern michigan first half...
  19. Smitty

    Thursday Hoops

    st johns (+8.5) 1 unit north texas/western kentucky over (142.5) 1 unit davidson (7.5) 2 units
  20. Smitty

    Sunday Hoops

    i'm sinking fast.... florida st (-4) 2 units. unranked team favored over a ranked team. louisville (-8.5) 1 unit. cincinnati has already lost at st johns and seton hall. they rely a lot on a freshman (stephenson) who now has a bad ankle. seton hall (-2.5) 2 units. another unranked fav...
  21. Smitty

    Saturday Hoops

    as always, way too many games minnesota (-1) 2 units st johns (+7) 1 unit alabama (-1) 2 units wright st (-1.5) 1 unit miami OH (-6.5) 1 unit southern ill (-2) 1 unit uconn (+2) 2 units. i wonder if people will ever realize how much better this team is with blaney coaching. central...
  22. Smitty

    Thursday Hoops

    seton hall (+2) 1 unit. penn state (-10) 3 units. the nittany lions were favored by too many points to start with... then the line went up. hmmmm.... arkansas (-1) 2 units. more 'interesting' line movement. make no mistake, arkansas is bad this year. but the line opened low, and now...
  23. Smitty

    Wednesday Hoops

    uconn (-8.5) 1 unit. originally i liked st johns in this spot. but blaney is such a better game coach than calhoun... i've done well the last few years taking uconn without calhoun. south florida (+9.5) 1 unit. i don't know, maybe this is too logical. south florida has covered 5 straight...
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