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  1. Smitty

    Thursday NCAA

    hmmm... a big, prime-time game with a lot of people on the dog? only one thing to do... oregon (-9.5) 2 units. what is there to suggest the ducks should be laying this many points? absolutely nothing. the road dog has covered 3 straight in this matchup. this line really just doesn't seem...
  2. Smitty

    Thursday

    well, i said i was going to keep playing the bills after they got rid of jauron, so... buffalo (+3.5) 1 unit. treading lightly, because this seems almost too easy. i kept asking myself 'is this a legitmate line?' at first, it seemed a bit high... a bad jets team laying a fg on the road...
  3. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    JIM SORGI IS QUESTIONABLE FOR THE COLTS!! just thought everyone would like to know that. especially since payton manning has an ass injury... "Manning was limited in practice due to a backside injury but is expected to play Sunday against the Texans." anyway, i'm finally back over .500 in the...
  4. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    the run finally ended last week, but i hit my larger play with uconn, so it wasn't a total loss. still shooting for 60% on the year. oklahoma (-7.5) 2 units. doesn't really make sense, does it? 6-5 oklahoma favored by a touchdown over 9-2 oklahoma state? but keep in mind, oklahoma has...
  5. Smitty

    Monday Night

    i'm going to regret this play, but i went 3-0 yesterday, and i need to lose an nfl play this week to appease the gambling gods. so... tennessee (+3.5) 1 unit. for one thing, i said i was going to ride the titans (that doesn't quite sound right, does it?) until they drop one to the number. as...
  6. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    finally had a good sunday last week, so today is a great day to fade me. playing some bad, bad teams (so what else is new?) cleveland (+3.5) 2 units. did i just type that? dammit, i did. cleveland would struggle to score against some of the top college defenses. fortunately for them, they...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    finally had a big day to get into the black last saturday. time to give it back... minnesota (+11) 1 unit. here's iowa's home schedule this year... northern iowa W by 1 arizona W by 10 arkansas st W by 3 michigan W by 2 indiana W by 18 (but trailed in the...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    i've finally got it going in college, but i've been treading water in the nfl since my awful start. looking at the crappy teams i'm betting, it's no wonder i'm down for the year in the nfl. jacksonville (+6.5) 1 unit. here are the jets' last 6 games... miami L @ oakland W...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    i usually follow up a great week like last week with a clunker, so fading these may be a good idea. way too many plays. michigan/wisconsin over (55) 1 unit. maybe this is too obvious, but maybe not, since it is easily the highest total in this matchup in the last 10 years. other than...
  10. Smitty

    Friday Hoops

    normally i wait a few weeks to start playing college hoops, but these two games jumped out at me. st bonaventure (-1.5) 2 units. san diego (+1) 1 unit. hopefully i can hit around 60% again this year.
  11. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    time to give back my winnings from yesterday... cincinnati (+3) 1 unit. seems too easy... a 4-3 team favored on the road against a 5-2 team. but it looks like everybody is on baltimore. dammit, i gotta take the bungles. indianapolis (-8.5) 1 unit. whoa, everybody seems to be jumping off...
  12. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    after a decent run, i've been fairly mediocre the last few weeks. here goes... virginia (+13.5) 1 unit. i've downgraded this play, but i'm still throwing a unit on the cavs. more of an anti-miami play than anything. sewell is doubtful for virginia, but that's not really a bad thing. the...
  13. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    wow, just like yesterday, i really don't like this card. only a couple plays. both for one unit. SF (+13.5) wasn't it just a few weeks ago that everybody was jumping on the 49ers bandwagon? now that everybody is off, i think it's time to play the niners again. nyg/phil under (44.5) huh...
  14. Smitty

    Saturday NCAA

    dropped back below 60% with a mediocre day last saturday. don't really like the card today, so treading lightly. each play one unit. there are two 'double digit rushing dogs' today. nc st (+10) this is the first DD rushing dog. nc st rushes for 3.86 ypc, while allowing 2.80. fsu rushes for...
  15. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    just a few plays as i try to dig myself out of the huge hole i dug at the beginning of the season. all plays one unit. pitt (-6) reminds me of the sd/pitt game a few weeks ago. pitt has no business laying almost a td here. and yet the line has been going up all week. maybe today someone...
  16. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    hitting 60% and still down on the year. awesome money management right there. starting with some thoughts on uconn/wvu. not quite sure if i can pull the trigger. wvu has OWNED uconn, beating them by 24, 45, 26, 32, and 12 points the last 5 years. of course, this is not quite the same wvu...
  17. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    i've got my nfl record all the way up to 4-11! profitablity, here i come! figured i'd better post these before heading out the biergarten for my birthday brunch. that's right... how awesome is my girlfriend? she's taking me to sunday brunch at a biergarten. :toast: washington (-6) 2...
  18. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    the record is respectable, but my money management has apparently been awful. clemson (-7.5) 2 units. this is either a really dumb play or genius. i'm hoping for genius. clemson is just 2-3 on the year. they just lost to maryland, for crying out loud. they play at miami next week. and...
  19. Smitty

    Saturday Plays

    just a few plays today... mississippi (+4.5) 3 units. all i can say is wow. the whole world is on 'bama, but the line has dropped 2 points? huh. it's amazing to me how quickly how fast people gave up on the rebels this year. sure, they were overrated to start with, but this is still a...
  20. Smitty

    Some Thoughts on Monday Night

    question one... where does the notion that favre is 'out for revenge tonight' come from? how many people out there really believe the packers screwed favre over? they let him waffle for months before finally saying enough is enough. does favre himself really think they screwed him? i mean...
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