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    The Limper - NBA 2019-20 ? 8/6/20 thru 8/12/20

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    The Limper - NBA 2019-20 ? 7/30/20 thru 8/5/20

    The Limper is a number-based projection model utilizing past-performance team and player data as well as current match-up variables. The algorithm used is based on an old marketing model I hawked around decades ago, and it took some doing, but I got it fit for basketball projections almost 20...
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    The Limper NBA ? 2019-2020 ? Team Standings & Stats

    Good getting this going again. Daily projections will start posting tomorrow, but still doing a lot of tweaking as I want to include as much available data as possible; but, being old as dirt, I?m bound to screw up here and there, so chime in when you spot an error.
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    The Limper NBA ? 2019-2020 ? TEST FRAME

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    The Limper NBA ? Week 2/11/20 - 2/13/20

    The model had a much better week than anticipated, the failure triggers have quieted, so rather than suspended posting now, I?ll continue posting until (and if?) the ATS win rate drops below 54% - which will happen, sooner or later. GLTA
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    The Limper NBA ? Week 2/4/20 - 2/10/20

    The triggers set for model failure have been going off like July 4th fireworks. Starter minutes are down, higher scores, as playoff-bound teams stop playing 4 quarter defense, are becoming the rule, and ?load management? ? resting stars when they have a bad hair day ? is more and more...
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    The Limper NBA ? Week 1/28/20 - 2/3/20

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    The Limper NFL ? 2020 ? Super Bowl

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    The Limper NBA ? On Picks and Grading

    FWIW ? There have been questions regarding the projected ATS picks posted on gameday, and final ATS picks posted the day after, especially when line changes result in a pick-flip. ? and today?s only game provides a perfect example. The point of posting a ?projected ATS pick? is NOT to provide...
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    The Limper NBA ? Week 1/21/20 - 1/27/20

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    The Limper NFL ? 2020 ? Conference Championships

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    The Limper NBA ? Week 1/14/20 - 1/20/20

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    The Limper NFL ? 2020 ? Divisionals

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    The Limper NBA ? Week 1/7/19 - 1/13/20

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    The Limper NFL ? 2020 ? Wild Cards

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    The Limper NBA ? Week 12/31/19 - 1/6/20

    The model had a miserable final week to 2019. Too many last minute player scratches, and way too many back-to-back sets where load-management concerns effect not only starting line-ups but how teams approach defensive aggressiveness. Hopefully, a new year means getting back on track. Happy New...
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    The Limper NBA ? Week 12/25/19 - 12/31/19

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    The Limper NFL ? Week 17

    This shapes up to be the worst regular season the model has ever experienced; and, depending on how things look under the hood ? when I do the offseason post mortem ? it may be the last. Three straight years of losing just may be enough. Each week, the algorithm sorts through nearly 80...
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    The Limper NFL ? Week 16

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    The Limper NBA ? Week 12/17/19 - 12/23/19

    A decent start last week ended with a dud. Hopefully, this week will have fewer last minute player scratches, and a better record overall. Also, to better clarify, the ?BTB (SU)? column below indicates the team?s straight-up win percentage in the 2nd game of back-to-back sets. The ?ATS? column...
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