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    The Limper NBA 2018/19 - 12/25-1/1

    The projections listed below are based on this season?s team and player data, but the point of the calculations in my model, is the Margin of Victory (MOV), and not the projected scores. Put another way, the posted scores are, for the most part, based on the projected MOV ? and not the other...
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 16

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    The Limper NBA 2018/19 - 12/18-12/14

    The projections listed below are based on this season?s team and player data, and, as a rule, at least 40 games worth of data is required to make the numbers reliable. However, I?ve been running the model since December 1st, and it?s doing well enough to start posting a bit early ? so here it...
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    The Limper NBA ? 2018 ? Test

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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 15

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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 14

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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 13

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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 12

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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 11

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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 10

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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 9

    A couple of nasty pick-flips due to closing lines cost the model a winning week, but that kind of thing usually evens out by the end. Since Week 5, the model has gone 48.3% ATS and 67.2% SU, which is nothing to write home about, but does show improvement when using 2018 data only. Clearly 2017...
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 8

    As I?ve said before, ATS Wins and Losses are based on Vegas Insider?s closing lines. The week?s ?final? MOV projections do not change; however, depending on line changes, the model can and does, occasionally flip the pick. Last Sunday is an example. For the DAL @ WSH game, the final MOV...
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 7

    Up until now, the Limper has acted like a blind man throwing darts at a moving dartboard. The results so far are right down there with the first couple of seasons when I hatched this model, and it?s hard ? but not impossible ? to explain. All statistical projections are based on prior...
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 6

    Final Projections for TNF
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 5

    Final Projections for MNF
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 4

    Week 4 is the final week?s projections tainted with old data ? not that this excuses the model?s weak performance so far. I do a ton of off-season massaging of data to try and anticipate performance changes in the new season ? but projecting things like Sunday?s Bills and Vikings game...
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 3

    Final Projections for Sunday's Games
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 2

    Final Projections for MNF
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    The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 1

    Final Projections for MNF
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    The Limper Line - Test

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