Stock in Chelsea couldn't be higher right now. Just beat City and have group in hand in Europa. Great time to sell a few shares. Lineup will be mostly backups, and they couldn't care less about this game in Hungary. Average bettor will bet Chelsea as an auto bet, and the house is counting on...
No time for a decent post, but I'm on :
Draw +245 Galatasaray v Porto (half unit)
Home side has been floundering for awhile, don't think they can even beat an unmotivated Porto. Line has plummetted.
FA Cup
Wrexham +.5 -131 (1 unit)
First one that looks favorable is in The Netherlands / 830 EST
Groningen pk -126 @ VVV-Venlo (2 units)
Posting now, will hopefully wake up before match time to check the line. Stat driven play, team G is in much better form at the moment. Maybe we draw, that's fine pushes are acceptable...
245 EST / Scottish Championship
Inverness Caledonian +.5 -127 @ Ayr (2 units)
Should the first place team be getting any value at home? I think not. Also Inverness just put 6 in net in their previous cup game so plenty of positive vibes going into this one.
I love country cup plays. Plenty thanks to Kid for that angle, and I think I have a good feel for them. Filtering through tomorrow's matches, I think I've found something in Spain.
Mallorca +.5 +120 @ Real Valladolid (2 units)
A basic look at this game is thus: RV graduated to this year's...
Bournemouth -1 +130 vs Huddersfield (2 units)
This game should be a breath of fresh air for Bournemouth, coming off losses to City and Arsenal. Those two losses have skewed the recent form stat for them, meanwhile Huddersfield doesn't look so bad on paper recently, but they've played the...
1:00 EST / Romania
Astra Giurgiu +109 vs Botosani (1 unit)
2:30 / Italy Serie A
Atalanta +.5 - 144 vs Napoli (2 units)
Could be playing with fire going against Napoli here, but I think they're getting a touch too much value. Both teams in good form.
3:00 / Serie B
Foggia +107 vs Venezia...
Short on time today, so I'll just be putting up plays as they come to me
Two so far in The Championship
10:00 / QPR - ev vs Hull City (1 Unit)
12:30 / Aston Villa +.5 -130 @ Middlesbrough (2 Units)
U/2.5 -105 Swansea vs West Brom
This may wind up plus money by tomorrow as West Brom is very dynamic at this level with high scoring affairs, but I don't see Swansea getting gashed back to back at home. Norwich lit them up Saturday. Goal line is tight at a pick with both teams getting good...
The Championship
Draw +250 Norwich @ Hull City
Not betting on arguably the hottest team in English club soccer might seem stupid. It probably is, you're supposed to stay on the hot team until they lose. Yes yes, I know all this. But I ask you why on Earth is Norwich getting +120 in this...
Not much in the way of explanations today besides using my capping method on these plays. Was hitting well before the break, let's keep it going. Breaks stifle hot team's momentum at times, and visa versa. GL
England's The Championship
Brentford pk -145 vs Middlesbrough
Preston NE +120...
Not risking big money, because the lower you go, the more volatile things are, but having looked over these games, these two games have anomalous lines.
2:45 EST England
Bury -.5 +119 vs Fleetwood Town
League Two favored over League One, and even though Bury was awful in League One last...
9:15 EST: EPL
Everton +1.5 -125 @ Chelsea
Might be falling for one here, but Everton is in great form and playing with confidence. Also like o/3 and BTTS
11 EST: Russia
CSKA Moscow pk -130 vs Zenit St Pete
Another play against a first place team getting sucker value. Line has moved up...
1230 EST: England
West Brom pk -116 vs Leeds
Plenty of value to be had here on first place Leeds. Tantalizing, but no thank you. Good spot to consider playing West Brom say +.5 live if Leeds scores first.
Atlanta ML +110
Falcons coming off a bye, two weeks to prepare for a bottom third pass defense. Atlanta's skill players should shine in this game. Large play
2 EST: Turkish Super
Fenerbahce +5 -135 @ Galatasaray
Gala, last year's league champs sitting third in the table getting value at home against the slow starting Fenerbahce? Smells like fish.