Lots of 50/50 lines today. The most interesting line I saw today, I caught too late in The Championship. Boro was getting way too much value at home I thought, and as I mulled how much I wanted to put on Derby +.5, they scored and the opportunity was lost. Anyway, I digress....
A ml parlay...
1 PM EST: Denmark ALKA Superliga
Brondby -125 vs Odense
Last year's Danish darlings haven't won at home in league play since Aug 5, I like them today to right the ship.
Cardiff pk -130 vs Fulham
Cardiff has to win eventually, and no better time than at home against a fellow promoted squad that they're familiar with. Also, Int breaks have a way of resetting things
Watford +.5 @ Wolverhamptom
Wolves at -130 is too high IMO, take the half
Rolling with Bason on Barcelona.
Also:
Villareal +.5 -155/pk +130 @ Espanyol
Another situation where the home team is getting value when the line should be even or higher
EPL:
Not laying big money on this, but with this line listed as is, Burnley looks to be a sucker play. They should not be getting value at home over Huddersfield. Ergo...
Huddersfield +.5 -130
Looking for the right time to play United, but they are listless and Newcastle is desperate for a...
Opening weekend for The Championship, I liked a few lines involving relegated/promotion teams, ergo last one left today is....
1230 EST: Sheffield United -105 vs Swansea
Burnley at home needing a win to advance (1-1 aggregate) vs Scotland's Aberdeen. I expect Dyche's smothering defense to handle Aberdeen.
AZ at home vs Kazakhstan stalwart Kairat Almaty (KA leads 2-0 aggregate). AZ needs plenty of goals, look for them to win the match in this spot at a bare...
Hate laying big juice, but I really like Molinari in the final group matchup over Ancer. Molinari is a greens in reg machine and is doing his thing this week. Ancer is coming of a course record tying 62, prepare for his let down round. Molinari may not win, someone else may go low today, but...
Scrolling through the oodles of bets, one revealed itself to me as a solid wager.
Morocco, touted as real team, is in obvious desperation mode after the Iranian debacle. Desperation leads to physical play thus bookings are on the table. Everyone mugs CR7 and, cards don't come out so quickly...
12 EST:
AC Milan vs Lazio
Posting now, but waiting for the line to drop as it already has begun as Joe Pub is taking Lazio, who has a 31 goal advantage over Milan in GD. +185 is quite generous for Lazio. Thanks but no thanks...
On the Milan ML too
Found some time to post for a change...
Coupe de France:
Lorient +.5 -110 @ Montpellier This line is very tight for a road sub league team vs a Ligue 1 team. You know what to do....also like under 2.5 -135 very much. I see a scoreless draw in all honesty
Italy Serie A
Roma -.5 ev @...
Starting to hunker down for winter soccer capping now that the golf clubs are outta the trunk...
Analysis: Two high scoring teams = take shot at over
12 EST:
Beveren @ Brugge o/3.5 +126