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  1. M

    NFLX Wk. 3.

    5-3 Dallas -2.5 Historically in the 3rd week of NFLX, home 'dogs with 1 win are a bad bet, going 4-10. 0-1 last year (although technically, NO weren't exactly at home.) It makes sense...the road team are favs as they are clearly the better team, but the home team has shown a willingness to...
  2. M

    AFL Rd. 20.

    2-1 last week. 16-8-1 in own thread. 26-17-1 since first posting in Rd. 10. Looks like it will be a very quite weekend coming up for me... ...a few totals will hopefully present, but side-wise...end of season sucks. :nono: Collingwood have been just awful in the last month. Melbourne showed...
  3. M

    NFLX Wk. 2.

    3-0 KC v. Miami under 34.5 KC are going to be a great under team all year...only 3 of their points last week came from the offense. A fumble (really a backward pass) was picked up and returned for a TD, and they got a safety late in the game. They threw for a dismal 132 yards, and their second...
  4. M

    NFLX wk. 1.

    Buffalo @ New Orleans under 37 All reports out of Buffalo is that they are very pleased with the play of the defense. They have regularly been breaking up plays in inter-club scrimmages. ...The defense has been getting their hands on a lot of balls, recording numerous interceptions and pass...
  5. M

    AFL Rd. 19.

    4-1 last week. 14-7-1 in own thread. 24-16-1 since first posting in Rd. 10. Collingwood have dropped right off in their last 5. Gone from av'ing +0 I50's to -5, and defense has gone from 2.03 to 1.95. Richmond habe dropped away too (if that's possible!) Scoring gone from 2.03 to 2.25, and they...
  6. M

    AFL Rd. 18.

    0-4 last week. 10-6-1 in own thread. 20-15-1 since first posting in Rd. 10. Never force bets on a week when you know bad things are going to happen... (Genuinely surprised about Brisbane's scoring explosion tho!! :scared ) St. Kilda look decentvalue @ 1.30 on Friday night...although taking...
  7. M

    AFL Rd. 17.

    3-0 last week. 10-2-1 in own thread. 20-11-1 since first posting in Rd. 10. ok...off the bat (er ball?) to me this looks like a really shitty week to get involved in... I couldn't possibly take the Eagles as big road favs... The av. -4 I50's per game on the road this season, and their once...
  8. M

    AFL Rd. 16.

    7-2-1 in own thread. 17-11-1 since first posting in Rd. 10. As I said last week, stats a bit pointless as far as Geelong are concerned. Best at just about everything, but also skewed a fair bit by the Richmond game still. Doggies have won 7 of last 11 v. Geelong... One of those wins was by a...
  9. M

    AFL Rd. 15 Preview

    6-1-1 posted plays. Last 5 games for the Saints and Crows are interesting...almost identical I50's (52-49 each), almost identical scoring (2.29 - 2.27), but St. Kilda defense has fallen away (1.89) whereas the Crows has stepped up to 2.35. (Interesting to see that they've played 3 common teams...
  10. M

    AFL Rd. 14 Preview.

    3-1 last week. Geelong -21.5 Like this one. As mentioned, Essendon lucky to sneak the win last week. Geelong are a far better team...holding their opp to 44 I50's (+11) in their last 5...av 61 I50's (+11) in the dome this season. Their defense has been outstanding all season, and I still...
  11. M

    AFL Rd. 13.

    After a few weeks of hijaking PAWA's system thread, I think it's about time for me to post some thoughts and plays on the upcoming week on my own... The important one straight up!! Dogs v. Kangas...Virtually identical...Dogs actually have better number in their last 5, but they do score less...
  12. M

    In search for Zaqawi...

    ...very good doco. Watched it lat night, pretty sure it was on Nat Geo?... ...anyway, gives a pretty solid perspective of what's been really happening in Iraq as US (and UK) forces have tracked down and killed the "Prince of Al-Qaeda"... ...took them 3 years (not that that's unreasonable at...
  13. M

    Last plays of 2006!

    Firstly I'll chuck up some trends...Now, not really sure how much stock we can put in these, given it's the last week and there are some funny lines out... ...but there are some very strong calls this week...(and luckily enough, I guess, I do happen to agree with most if not all! :p) 1) League...
  14. M

    Week 16.

    Oakland +7 (1.99) League: 7-17-1 (av. LOSS 7.4!) away, off a 3- ats loss as away 7+ dog. [Oak] (0-4-1 as a fav) 1-10 SU!! (Av. LOSS 12.7!!) if total is <37. It's extremely hard to bounce back from a close ats loss as a big 'dog when on the road again...esp. as a fav...and I don't think this KC...
  15. M

    Week 15.

    Atlanta +3.5 League: 12-3 (Av. WIN 2.9) home 7- dog, off a 7+ ats win as away 7- fav. [Atl] 5-0 SU! (Av. WIN 10.8!!) if opp is off any ats loss. Atlanta sure have been inconsistant, but a couple of good wins in a row might get them back on track...but realistically this one is all about...
  16. M

    Week 13.

    Minni +9.5 I'm still trying to get over how easy the Bears' schedule has been...now I have to come to grips with how lucky they were last week to even get close!! The 2 INT's were lucky...the first was caught but popped up in the air as the receiver was hit, which then landed in the arms of a...
  17. M

    Week 12 Sunday

    Took most of these eariler in the week... SF +6 League: 8-24-1 (Av. win 2.5) home 3+ fav, off a 7+ ats loss as away 3+ dog, if opp is off any ats win and total >40.5 [SL] 2-16! (Av. win 1.1) if total >42.5 0-7 (Av. LOSS 2.7) if total >44.5 Exactly the same deal as last week, going against the...
  18. M

    Chris Webber?

    What's going on with him? Injured?...activly seeking a trade? (Which was denied only days ago...not that that means much!)...benched?...or just spat it and refusing to play? Thought it was strange getting no minutes last 2 games, but can't find any news...:shrug: TIA :toast:
  19. M

    Wk. 10.

    Atlanta team total over 25 (1.90) Atlanta are in a very strong trend spot (14-3 ats) that suggests they will score big and win. (Av. 28.4 ppg). Also the physical nature of this game has the number one rushing team, av. over 200 y/g @ 5.8 per carry, going against the NFL's 4th worst rushing D...
  20. M

    Wk. no. 9, no. 9, no. 9, no. 9...

    21-21-2 (-1.92) Dallas -3 (1.91) League: 8-3 (9-1-1 this no...av. win 9.9) any away fav, off a 21+ ats win as away 7- dog. [Dal] Washington aren't a very good team! Just 2-5 so far, with one of the wins being against Houston. Not sure how they score herre, Moss out takes away any deep threat...
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