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  1. M

    AFL Rd. 14.

    Geelong -24.5 Too much of a line over-reaction after Geelong were belted last week in Adelaide, and Carlton kept it reasonably close @ Brisbane...But the Carlton result was far from the 'truth', with the Blues allowing 13 more inside 50's and 31 scoring shots, but Brisbane wasted them by...
  2. M

    Washington/Cavs?

    Why don't the Wizzers have home court in this one since they won the series 3-1? Clips have home court over Denver despite finishing lower... :shrug: Anyway, pretty tempted with the 2.60 on offer for Washington to win the series.
  3. M

    Sunday Conspiracy Theory....

    ...well, Sunday and Tuesday really... Clips and Memphis...who actually wants to win a game and get the 5th seed? I can only imagine that both teams would rather play Denver than Dallas in the first round. Obviously playing each other on Tuesday complicates things even further, but without...
  4. M

    AFL Rd. 2.

    St. Kilda -32.5 Maybe I've over thought this one, but the more I look, the more I think that it's the sucker bet of the week. Like I said last week, I don't think they can kick enough goals!...Kositchski is a BIG hole...Gehrig not 100%, Riewoldt playing more up the grounbd and struggling with...
  5. M

    Total jump in LAC?

    Any "real" reason for the 3-4 point jump that anyone knows of? Thought it was kinda high for a CLips total to start with... :shrug:
  7. M

    NAB Cup. Rd. 1. (AFL)

    Anyone?! Bit tough obviously with the lines appearing late, but there may be a decent game or two to get on. ...Having said that, I don't think it will be today! Brisbane/Essendon...neither team been known to take the pre-season comp. all that seriously...On the Gold Coast, tight in...
  8. M

    Ilgauskas??

    I mentioned in the game v. Golden State that Big Z was likely to cop a one game suspension for being ejected @ Washington... ...But apparently the League office doesn't work weekends!! So....Is he likely to be out for this game on Monday?? You'd have to think he'd be a huge loss v. Duncan and...
  9. M

    Rashard Lewis, anyone??

    Any Seattle natives know the likelyhood of him playing tonight? Thanks. (Seriously considering the under if he's out)
  10. M

    Conference Finals...

    ...gunna start with a prop bet... Plummer under 20.5 completions Just going with the %'s in this one... In 17 games, he has completed over 20 passes in just 3 games; 22/48 in wk. 1...a loss @ Miami. 23/37 in wk. 2...v. San Diego. 22/35 in wk. 8...v. Philli. All have worst %'s allowed and more...
  11. M

    Ray Allen??

    Anyone watching this game? Is Allen ok? Just seems that he is spending an awful lot of time on the bench with just the single point?
  13. M

    Denver v. New England

    I see a lot of talk about how good the Pats D has been over the last 2 months...But look who they've played... Jax...hobbled at both RB and QB Miami, lost. Jets, rubbish. TB, terrible offense, esp. on the road. Buff, rubbish. @ KC, lost. NO, rubbish. Throughout the season they have played 5...
  14. M

    Carolina @ Giants...

    ...This game has me scratching my head so bad!! But...I was still pretty convinced that the Panthers running game is VERY over-rated, so I went through their schedule. They played only 3 teams all season who had a positive differential in their yards per carry!! ** (ie. Chicago gain 4.3...
  15. M

    Some rambling Wildcard thoughts...

    Tough week imo. Washington @ Tampa....2 months ago this game went 35-36!!...Why is the total ~37 for this one?? What was interesting in that game was that Washington out-rushed TB big-time despite TB allowing just 3.5 ypc over the season (2nd best). Can they do it again? Really, you'd have to...
  16. M

    Wk. 16 musings....

    Trends.... League: 18-3 over (Av. total 43.9...av. score 53.9!) home 10+ fav, off a 10+ ats win as away 7+ fav. [Cinci] 10-1 over (11-0 this no...av. total 46.1...av. score 60.1!!) if opp is off any ats loss. 26-7 over (Av. total 43.6...av. score 51.6) home 10+ fav off any ats win as away 7+...
  17. M

    Wk. 15...

    ...well, at least I can't go .55 playing 5 games!... San Diego ML (3.89) This is the best, most balanced team that Indi has faced all season by a long way. Indi haved played just 3 teams in the top 15 for total offense...Cinci scored 37, NE scored 21, St. L scored 28 (were up 17-0 before...
  19. M

    Wk. 14....

    ..of 50/50 action.... KC @ Dallas under 43.5 League: 4-11 under (Av. total 39.3...av. score 36.0) any away dog, off a SU win as home 3- dog, if opp was last a 3- dog. [KC] 1-5 under (Av. totao 43.4...av. score 37.7) if total 40+ League: 9-20-1 under (Av. total 39.2...av. score 35.4) any home...
  20. M

    Winsday...

    NO -2 Since 95, League is: 24-17 (Av. win 3.6) home fav of 4 or less, no rest off a 10- ats loss as away 5+ dog. [NO] ...becomes 7-1 (8-0 SU Av. win 8.0) if their opp is off a 10+ ats loss. Shows that if their opposition is playing badly, then they don't tend to turn it around over-night...
  21. M

    Sunday evening...

    Lakers -5.5 (2 units) League: 37-29-2 (Av. win 9.4) home 5+ favs, 1 day off a 10- ats loss as home 4- dogs. [LAL] 8-2 (Av. win 12.7) if opp won ats but lost SU away. 6-0 (Av. win 15.2) if total is 190+ League: 132-134-3 (Av. loss 9.7) away 5+ dog, 1 day off a 10- ats win as away 5+ dog...
  22. M

    Wed 30th

    Memphis -5 League: 16-4-2 (Av. win 9.3) any away fav, any rest, off a 20+ ats win as away 5+ dog. [Mem] This is the same situation Memphis were in when they won @ Utah as -5.5 favs...And it basically says that this team is playing some great basketball, and there's no reason why it won't...
  23. M

    Wk. 13.

    I'm not even going to bother showing my record, because it hasn't been above +2 or below -2 all year!! :cursin: (Yep! I'm the definanition of a .500 bettor :clap: ) Atlanta @ Carolina under 43 League: 4-16 under (Av. total 39.4...av. score 31.4) any away dog, off a 14+ ats win as any away...
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