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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 5

    Road dogs are killing it thus far this season, going 57.8% ATS. The model continues its struggle ATS, but straight-up it’s about where it should be. Key player injuries, especially among QBs, is going to make a muddle of the Limper’s projections, but that’s what I pay my staff for. GLTA
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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 4

    The Offensive/Defensive ranks need no explanation. However, the model produces two Power Rankings: the one on the left is pretty conventional, using the averages of the win/loss record, strength of opposition, and statistical ranking, combined in a C-Average – used to rank the teams. The Power...
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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 4

    Such a relief to be done with year old data. Not that I expect the model to suddenly take off, but it’s a lot of work to squeeze in that third game of numbers from last season, it feels like a burden lifted. If you’ve been paying close attention: in addition to performing sweeps of various...
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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 3

    Last week was Upset City and the model responded with a big whiff. I’m sure Vegas sportsbooks cleaned up, with the public all in on DAL, BAL, SF and PHI; and the model seems to suffer from recency bias, going for the dogs in a big way, and, for some reason, higher scoring than we saw in the...
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