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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 9

    Going 8-8 ATS the past week is no comfort, given the previous 3 weeks; but, I’ll take it as a step in the right direction. The model has been picking too many dogs to cover – it just won’t look at the Vegas lines seriously - but it’s not really designed to do that, so picking winners remains the...
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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 8

    Hard to find the bright spot in the past three weeks of the model’s performance, and I suspect there isn’t one. Even with its continued solid straight-up performance, it’s lost way too many of its dog picks to blowouts, or 3 point favorites to 2 point wins. Today, I’m blaming the injury module...
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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 7

    Another crappy week, when the model went dog-crazy - a week that saw favorites win and cover at a rate of 85% ATS! At least the model managed a good showing SU, and got another positive pick-flip from week 5, so all is not lost. It just feels that way. GLTA
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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 6

    Believe it or not, the model’s had even worse ATS weeks before; but not like this lately, and not like this after Week 3. (There was even a closing line pick flip in the model’s favor and the week still turned out crappy.) It has also been projecting higher than normal scores, which I think is...
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