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  1. Smitty

    NC

    Well, the adjusted lines are available now, but selling Indiana to -9.5 offers absolutely zero value. And the total has dropped a point to 47.5. I was just about to buy Indiana down to 7.5 (-126), but I'll wait to see if I get a boost. Assuming Bad Carson Beck doesn't suddenly reappear, I...
  2. Smitty

    CJ Stroud Splits

    just some info... i haven't played a side yet. thinking about something stupid, like pitt 1st half and houston for the game. it's hard to imagine pittsburgh having any success against this defense. but houston's offense ain't anything to write home about either (kids, ask your parents if...
  3. Smitty

    Semis

    Full disclosure: historically, I've done worse on the playoff games than on the bowl games. I mentioned previously that I like Miami and Indiana. Last week, not long after the lines came out, I bet these two parlays: Miami (ML)/Indiana (ML) 4 to win 6.4 Miami (-3)/Indiana (-4) 4 to win...
  4. Smitty

    FCS Championship

    Awfully quiet in here, 3 hours before the big championship game. :) I'm not going to make this an official play, but I am going to continue betting the Redbirds. As I mentioned before, they've won every game away from home this year, including at the Fargodome. Maybe they're better in road...
  5. Smitty

    Smitty's PSA

    just gonna consolidate this in its own thread. my lifetime record on NFL season wagers that come down to the final day is 0-246. i had SF to win the division. we know how that went yesterday. here's what will be decided today. pittsburgh under 9.5 and to miss the playoffs atlanta over 7.5...
  7. Smitty

    Ad

    Apparently Celtic sweaters are different than regular sweaters.
  8. Smitty

    Jack, I have some bad news

    I can see the future. And the Steelers are going to win on Sunday. You may say "Smitty, you're full of shit. You can't see the future. Nobody can." Well, I can. Wanna know how I know what will happen? I have these wagers pending. Yup, I've seen this story before. Now, I can change...
  9. Smitty

    1/2 Bowl Games

    Armed Forces Bowl Just wanted to get this one out of the way. Sorry, I'm not wasting time on it. Couple notes, and then right to it. Both teams are missing their best Jenkins. QB Chase Jenkins for Rice and RB/KR Jaylen Jenkins for the Bobcats. Chase Jenkins had an efficient year for the...
  10. Smitty

    1/1 Playoff Games

    "Orange Bowl" As expected, running late. I'll try to keep it brief. First off, I think TT is legit. Especially the defense. First year DC Shiel Wood has done a hell of a job. They give up 2.3 yards/rush, second in the country. Last year, they allowed 4.8. That's an incredible improvement...
  11. Smitty

    Just throwing this out there...

    Fuck the NFL. Sure, we all know they're greedy cocksuckers. Nothing new there. But just in principle, this pisses me off. First of all, obviously there's no reason for Saturday games this week (or any week). But they could put a couple meaningless games there and people would still watch...
  13. Smitty

    12/31 Bowls

    ReliaQuest bowl Kinda nice, almost nobody sitting this one out. Iowa is expecting TJ Hall back. He's their best CB and missed their last 2 games. Vanderbilt is missing the 2nd-biggest piece of their offense. TE Stowers is out. He is Pavia's security blanket. I'll go through the #s quickly...
  14. Smitty

    12/30 Bowls

    What? 12/30 already? Holy shit. Independence Bowl I hadn't even noticed before, but the Independence Bowl has really fallen off a cliff. Gonna be a beautiful day for football... upper 40s with almost no wind. Alright, let's try to figure out this nonsense. Coastal - QB Grayson McCall...
  15. Smitty

    Birmingham Bowl

    It's the rematch we've all been waiting for! I'm running late. It's already 1:00. Gonna have to get through this quickly. App St lost 5 of their last 6, finished 2-6 in the Sun Belt, and they got into a bowl game when a bunch of other teams said "nah." Not only did they only win 5 games...
  16. Smitty

    Stat

    Was looking at Jacksonville, and I got the brilliant idea to check how teams have done the week after playing at Denver. Teams are 0-7 ATS (1-6 SU) the week after playing at Denver.
  17. Smitty

    12/27 Bowls

    I'll try to stay ahead of these games, but I don't like my chances. I'm going to skip the Army game, because we can't bet NY teams here in NY. So that'll help. Hell, we might even lose power. We're getting a good amount of snow. Hopefully the GF doesn't want to go anywhere tomorrow, so I...
  19. Smitty

    12/26 Bowls

    I hope everyone had a lovely Christmas. We had a slight change in plans, so I don't know if I'll get to all 3 Saturday bowls. And I'm certainly fucked for Saturday, but we'll cross that bridge when we get to it. Anyway, our plan was to go see Zootopia today. But then the GF said she also...
  20. Smitty

    Hawai'i Bowl

    Hey, Merry Christmas, everyone! It feels like every year Hawai'i is bowl-eligible, they end up in... the Hawai'i Bowl. Go figure. Nick Rolovich, who probably wishes he never left Hawai'i for the Washington St job a few years ago, returns to Oahu as the interim HC for Cal. He is 2-1 in Bowl...
  21. Smitty

    12/23 Bowls

    Boca Raton Bowl Ok, first it was Macys, now it's... ETSY???!!! I mean, the algorithm knows how to get my attention. But this is getting ridiculous. And that's the highlight of my Boca Raton write-up. This game is a complete clusterfuck. There are just too many question marks to recommend...
  22. Smitty

    Potato Bowl

    Do not adjust your sets... the turf really IS blue. HAHAHAHAHAHAHA Classic. I'm a fan of Aggies coach Bronco Mendenhall. But it is his first year at Utah St. The Cougars brought in over 70 new players this year, but still only lost one PAC12 game this year and routed Oregon St in the PAC12...
  23. Smitty

    12/20 Playoff Games

    Quick reminder... not an official "posted" play, but i did bet illinois st tonight. grabbed 'em as early as i could and got +105. Ok, I'm getting a late start, but hopefully this won't take too long, as I already know who I'm on in this first game. Well, to be specific, I know who I'm betting...
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