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  1. Smitty

    Frisco Bowl

    sorry, i'm not digging into the numbers for this one. i'm betting on 12th-year senior frank harris. after he returned from (yet another) injury, utsa won 7 straight until the conference championship game. they covered 5 of their last 6 before that game, getting backdoored in the only one they...
  2. Smitty

    Not the Bahamas Bowl

    Imagine getting invited to the Bahamas Bowl... and it's not in the Bahamas this year!! What a kick in the dick. Looks like it should be dry in Charlotte tomorrow afternoon, but they are expecting wind gusts around 25 mph. Another crapshoot, as both teams are missing lots of key players...
  3. Smitty

    Week 15

    after all the bowl action, almost forgot about the boring-ass nfl. *yawn* NYJ (ML) 4 to win 12.4. what the hell? worth a shot at this price. zack wilson has another big day (hahaha) and suddenly fans aren't so sure they want aaron rodgers back. (holy shit, this line is plummeting)...
  4. Smitty

    Rose Bowl

    now this is hilarious. https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/39115037/alabama-hires-ex-michigan-assistant-ahead-cfp-source-says
  5. Smitty

    12/16 Bowls

    That time of year already. Hopefully we can turn a nice profit again. The plan is to start slow, because I don't have a great feel for a lot of these teams. One thing I've learned the last couple years is that it can be difficult to get accurate info re: who is sitting out the bowl games. So...
  7. Smitty

    Week 14

    heading to NC for the weekend tomorrow, where online wagering is still illegal (fucking heathens), so i'm putting in my bets now. TB (ML) 4 to win 4.2. really shows you how bad the falcons are, only laying 1.5 to tampa. c'mon, there's no way anyone in this division is going to be over .500...
  8. Smitty

    Week 13

    the shitty year continues. but the only way out of a hole is... to keep digging, right? Miami TT over (29.5) 4 units. after opening against Arizona, here's what Washington has given up at home.... 37 to Buffalo, 40 to Chicago(!), 38 to Philly, and 31 to the New York Football Giants. sure...
  9. Smitty

    Week 12

    NE (-4.5) 4 units. hate the line here, but the pats should roll. zappe was really good last year in 4 games. he completed 71% of his passes and averaged 8.5 yards/att. small sample size, but that's really good. 5 TDs and 3 INTs is ok for a rookie qb, but more impressively... on the road, he...
  10. Smitty

    Um, Kickserv?

    no jason voorhees selection on this one? really dropping the ball.
  11. Smitty

    Week 11

    Miami (-14) 2 units. guess i shoulda grabbed -11.5 earlier in the week. whoops. hopefully it won't matter. first time since the coaching change that the raiders have played a team capable of a forward pass. plus they have kc up next. Pittsburgh TT under (16.5) 2 units
  13. Smitty

    UCLA/USC

    just a heads up... apparently there are some rumors that caleb williams may not play. not due to any injury. just to protect his health. this would explain the drop in both the spread and the total. if this is true, it's just the next logical progression. first, top players skip lesser bowl...
  14. Smitty

    Interesting Line of the Week

    anyone else think it's odd that Oregon St is -2.5 over Washington? Did Penix break his arm? the game doesn't necessarily mean a lot to the Huskies. even if they lose, they just need to beat Washington St next week to reach the PAC 12 Championship game. But a win here locks them in. ok, ok...
  15. Smitty

    Surprising Stat for Tonight

    Denver is 2nd in the league, rushing for 4.8 yds/carry. Buffalo's defense is 3rd-to-last, allowing 4.9 yds/carry. of course, if denver falls behind by 17 in the 2nd quarter, that ain't gonna help.
  16. Smitty

    Thursday

    last year, i did a deep dive on tcu the week before they play texas. their record is awful, both 1st half and game. they happened to play tech last year in this same spot. tech covered the first half, but if i recall correctly, they got brutally screwed by the refs (on a punt return, i think)...
  17. Smitty

    Week 9

    getting a jump on this one. cincinnati (-1.5) 2 units. buffalo still has a lot of problems on defense, and cincinnati is starting to find their stride again. wouldn't be shocked to see this line go up to 3.
  19. Smitty

    Week 8

    washington (+7) 2 units washington ML 1 to win 2.6 LAR (+7) 2 units LAR ML 1 to win 2.4 (look ahead for both dallas and philly, as they play each other next week) GB ML 2 units (+100) NO (-2) 2 units
  20. Smitty

    Week 7

    one unit each LV/Chi over 37.5 Atl ML (+136) Atl/TB under 37.5 Miami/Phil over 52.5 and an alternate line parlay... Wash +3/under 41.5 (+110)
  21. Smitty

    Week 6

    Buffalo 1H (-8.5) 5 units. gmen are horrible in the 1st half (i mean, they're horrible, period. but especially in the 1st half). bills should be focused after the beatdown in london.
  22. Smitty

    Week 4

    Miami/Buffalo under 53.5 4 units. as i've said before, the harder it is to make a bet, the more likely it is to win. well, this is a tough one. Miami/Buffalo 1H under 26.5 2 units Tampa Bay TT under 17.5 1 unit Washington TT under 16.5 2 units LA Rams ML 2.2 to win 2 Cleveland -2.5 2 units...
  23. Smitty

    MLB Play of the Year!!!

    i mean, it's the only baseball play i've posted so, yeah, PLAY OF THE YEAR!!! tarik skubal under 1.5 ER (+115) skubal has been lights out at home. ERA 1.53 and WHIP 0.82. but there's more!! there is a decent chance of rain in the detroit area, should hit around the 3rd inning. so maybe...
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