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  1. Smitty

    Sunday

    jacksonville (-2.5) 3 units. wow, i've played the jags way too many times this year. but i see no reason not to play them today, other than a possible letdown coming off the trouncing of indy. but even that shouldn't be enough to help atlanta. the falcons haven't played well since 10/4 and i...
  2. Smitty

    12/19 Bowls

    Celebration Bowl... ha! just kidding. New Mexico Bowl new mexico (+9) 1 unit new mexico (ML) 1 unit to win 3. this feels almost too easy. i mean, the lobos haven't lost the new mexico bowl since 2006. they OWN this game. in fact, that's why they renamed it the new mexico bowl. little...
  3. Smitty

    Monday

    over (47.5) 2 units. for one thing, this line tells you just about all you need to know. seems to be set a couple points high for two teams that don't score a lot. but taking a closer look... the ball is going to be in the air a lot. last i knew, miami threw the ball on a higher percentage...
  4. Smitty

    Sunday

    one of these days, i'll play a favorite again. pittsburgh (ML) 3 units to win 3. the line says it all here. 10-2 cincinnati at home against 7-5 pittsburgh, and the line is less than 3? clearly pittsburgh is going to win. :) atl/car under (45) 3 units. atlanta's last 8 games have gone...
  5. Smitty

    Sunday

    jacksonville (ML) 2 units to win 2.7. tennessee has lost an impressive 11 straight home games. the jags have been better on the road. including the london game, jacksonville has won 2 of their last 3 games away from home, and covered all 3. houston (ML) 2 units to win 2.7. maybe this one is...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday

    Big shock. All doggies today. K. St. (ML) 2 units to win 4. after pretty much quitting on the season after blowing halftime leads against ok st and tcu, k st has beaten 2 bad teams. if anyone can get these guys ready for one more game, it's coach snyder. west virginia is a very mediocre...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday

    probably meaningless stat of the week... teams that played on thursday the previous week are 2-7-1 ATS the last 5 weeks. at least i hope it's meaningless, since i'll be on jacksonville today and maybe tennessee. and a question for the panel... is ANYBODY on atlanta today? minnesota (ML) 2...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday

    bryanz, any thoughts on whether the orange are going to play hard for coach shafer's last game? michigan (ML) 3 units to win 3. it's easy for the whole team to get along when you're winning, but you see their true character when they lose. and ohio st did not look good after last week...
  10. Smitty

    Friday

    wku (-10) 2 units. wow, this line is begging for marshall money. especially since the herd has gotta be looking for some revenge after the hilltoppers wrecked their perfect season last year. and statistically, marshall has the best pass defense in the country. but they haven't seen a passing...
  11. Smitty

    Monday

    one of the very few MNF games i've played this year. buffalo (+7) 2 units buffalo (ML) 1 unit to win 2.9. under (47.5) 2 units. i like the bills as much as i can possibly like any team led by tyrod taylor and coached by rex ryan. if they're going to stay in this game, it's going to be the...
  13. Smitty

    Sunday

    oakland (ML) 2 units to win 2. i think the raiders catch the lions in a bit of a letdown spot, after the big win over the pack. plus, the lions may be looking ahead to back-to-back thursday games, against philly and gb. detroit is 0-4 ATS at home this year. oak/det over (49) 3 units. even a...
  14. Smitty

    Saturday

    georgia southern (+13.5) 2 units. the first of 2 straight games against an option attack for the bulldogs. the way georgia's season has gone, i gotta believe their d line is really, really looking forward to 2 straight games of o linemen diving at their knees. indiana (ML) 2 units to win 2...
  15. Smitty

    Thursday

    meaningless trend of the night... 6 of the last 7 thursday night games have gone under. jacksonville (-3) 2 units. i've played the jags way too many times this season, but i feel like they can be a decent team. well, not quite decent. but not tennessee-level bad. maybe sunday's win helps...
  16. Smitty

    Sunday

    tennessee (ML) 2 units to win 3.4. definitely looking for spots to wager against the panthers, and this is as good a spot as any. the titans are playing for a new coach, and no doubt they gained some confidence with the win at new orleans. time for mariota to get his first home win...
  17. Smitty

    Saturday

    trying to bounce back after an awful day last saturday. pitt/duke under (50) 2 units. i like duke here, too, but i think the under is the stronger play. if duke is ready to play, their defense has been very solid for most of the year. and pitt's offense is.... not quite as dynamic as north...
  19. Smitty

    Sunday

    oak/pitt over (48) 2 units. carr is really clicking with cooper and crabtree, and pitt's offense should be a lot better in ben's 2nd week back. lot of points today. who would have thought this game could have wildcard implications? jacksonville (+8) 2 units. jacksonville (ML) 1 unit to win...
  20. Smitty

    Saturday

    wvu (-7.5) 2 units. a lot of love for wvu here, and i'm jumping on board. tough loss last week for tech. their defense couldn't stop a pop warner team right now. they've given up 133 points over the last 2 games. insane. there are teams that haven't given up 133 points all season. i'm...
  21. Smitty

    Sunday

    ah, the one morning each year that it's ok to make a skittles omelet.... minnesota (-1) 2 units. what can i say? i believe in the vikings and teddy bridgewater. the vikings d will get at least 3 sacks when the bears' o line lets them in as payback for cutler being a dick. san diego (+3.5) 3...
  22. Smitty

    Sunday

    well, the nfl has dealt a crushing blow to football fans.... we can't watch jacksonville and buffalo on the tv. noooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo that said, i'm placing a wager on this crapfest (crap fest? not sure if that should be one word or two.)...
  23. Smitty

    Saturday

    k st (+7) 2 units k st (ML) 1 unit to win 2.3. ok, it's possible k st has given up on the season after blowing consecutive halftime leads to ok st and tcu, followed by the blowout against ok. but i have too much respect for coach snyder to not give them one more shot in a very winnable game...
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