1st half under Thursday
- Thread starter sports student
- Start date
nice call....I remember when you used to take NBA under totals for the third quarter of each game. Do you still follow that? If so, how has it done?
Hi Wineguy. The 3rd under trend was very strong for a couple of years back to back and then fizzled out. Why it changed I'm not sure, maybe I was just lucky and hit a trend by accident until the law of averages caught up. ironically I thought the trend would be stronger than ever after a couple of good years because the NBA started to allow zones and I thought there would be more adjustments at halftimes with the defenses and the trend would actually be stronger, but it wasn't. I kept charts on 2nd and 3rd quarter over/unders for about 3 years after I stopped playing them, and if you would have played all unders in that time you would have been buried as there actually were more overs, especially the 2nd quarter. I gave up on it about 2 -3 years ago but I may start charting again as it seems to me the 3rd quarter under may be making a comeback. I have no proof or records to back this up. I do keep charts on every team with every quarter score so I do have the data. I do play some quarters based on individual teams, not as a league wide trend. I pay more attention now to college 1st half unders. Basically if you get 2 mediocre or bad teams playing each other and both do not score many points, it is hard for them to play over 60. There are a few tweaks within this but I think you can start with that as a basic truth.
