They're playing at 12 30.... I liked auburn as well however that seems to be like the "easy play" as someone once told me the "sexy pick"... also that line smells really bad. I think auburn has a few key players not injured but banged up pretty severely.... who knows how long they'll last in the game...
2017 Season Thread
- Thread starter TLankford
- Start date
That sounds pretty good. Last time I played a teaser I couldn't get down until Wednesday at my place. So if that's the same I still got a day to think it over.
Pettway still not 100% but Kerryon has looked really really good since he's back healthy
OLB Tre Williams not 100% but can play if we need him to. We've had some guys step up really well (deshaun davis is a stud) at LB this year so not worried about depth there. Most of us would rather rest Tre to make sure he's healthy by UGA/Bama.
Only other injury I know of is a day-to-day with our LT (i think. we played musical chairs for the first 4 weeks so hard to keep up with who is where) but this LT wasn't starting in the first two weeks so replacing him wouldn't be that bad.
I just don't see LSU scoring much at all. One of the few times when our retarded coach is miles ahead of the other teams retarded coach in the IQ department. The line movement on the game has been odd. -6 up to -9 back down to -6 and currently at -7. I know at face value it looks like a fishy line but you gotta remember we haven't won in Baton Rouge since 1999. So that's probably a factor in it being lower than it should be /twocents
More plays:
A&M +110 over UF
FSU -7 (-120) over Duke - 1-3 team favored by more than a TD on the road vs a 4-2 team. I think the line tells you who to bet on here. And I've been anti-FSU all season.
Waiting on Texas to see how high that line gets up. Would love it to creep up to +10
:0corn
A&M +110 over UF
FSU -7 (-120) over Duke - 1-3 team favored by more than a TD on the road vs a 4-2 team. I think the line tells you who to bet on here. And I've been anti-FSU all season.
Waiting on Texas to see how high that line gets up. Would love it to creep up to +10
:0corn
Bought off of FSU with Duke +7.5 due to all the injury news coming out of FSU. They still may win but it's not as appealing with what 6? starters out. Maybe I get lucky and FSU wins by 7 and I'll go 1-0-1 instead of losing juice on that -120
LSU TT Under 19 vs Auburn
Bama - Arkansas Over 54 going against the grain of my recent Bama game trends. A&M is an impoverished man's Bama on offense and put up almost enough to cover this on their own when they played Arkansas. 3 of the past 5 years Bama has put up 49+.
Texas +10.5 (-140) over OU. Don't normally do straight bets with that much juice but I just really want that number so fuck it. Riding the Herman 13-0 ATS as a dog streak.
Bama - Arkansas Over 54 going against the grain of my recent Bama game trends. A&M is an impoverished man's Bama on offense and put up almost enough to cover this on their own when they played Arkansas. 3 of the past 5 years Bama has put up 49+.
Texas +10.5 (-140) over OU. Don't normally do straight bets with that much juice but I just really want that number so fuck it. Riding the Herman 13-0 ATS as a dog streak.
- Mar 19, 2006
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:00x33
| 12:00 PM EDT | ||||||
| 155 FLORIDA STATE | -6.5 | -7 / -7 -09 / -7 -05 | -7 -15 | -275 | -3 -20 | 17Under 45.5 |
| 156 DUKE | 46 | 43.5 / 44 / 44.5 | 45.5 | +226 | 21.5u20 | 10final |
| FLS-QB-Deondre Francois-OUT | TV: ESPN2, DTV: 209 |
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Got lucky. And I needed it with the un fucking real embarrassing meltdown by Auburn... Lost two of my bigger bets because of our retarded coach using the mentality "how many points can they really score against our defense" (literally a quote from his press conference) :mj13:
3-3-1 week last week on what should have been a 5-1 week if our coach has a brain
18-14-1 YTD
First glance this week:
Kentucky +10.5 vs. MSU - Like a two score cushion for teams that are pretty much on par talent wise
Texas +7 vs. OSU - probably gonna ride the undefeated Herman ATS underdog train until it loses. will most likely buy it up to 7.5
Louisville +7 vs. FSU - Don't think noles should be confident in beating any above average team right now
LSU - 6.5 over OMiss - just fading Ole Miss at this point
Probably lay off the Bama and Auburn games as I've missed on those the last two weeks. I do think Bama beats the dog shit out of Tennessee and the Vols may not see the 50 yard line on offense. We also should take Arkansas to the woodshed but our team is currently in a bit of shambles mentally I'd imagine.
JJ and Gus are just two stupid rednecks that are highly over paid. The team is going no where, I am tired of pulling for Auburn. I am done........Gl the rest of the season
Walking to UT game no time for write ups but just put these in for the day
Plays:
Auburn TT Over 33.5
Tennessee TT Under 7.5
Ga State +10 -123
Kentucky +11.5
Texas +7.5 -130
Louisville +7 -130
LSU -6.5 -125
Mizzou -14
Plays:
Auburn TT Over 33.5
Tennessee TT Under 7.5
Ga State +10 -123
Kentucky +11.5
Texas +7.5 -130
Louisville +7 -130
LSU -6.5 -125
Mizzou -14
6-3 not a bad day
Interested to see what the line comes out for with ND, UGA, PSU and OkSt I think they all win those games
Not sure if I'm gonna make anymore plays this week. Just not a lot out there that I like. OleMiss/Arky and MSU/A&M games are impossible to cap. Only possibilities I see now I may pull the trigger on:
PSU +205 - would be a very small action play
Mizzou -13
One bet in at this point:
3-team Parlay +118
Oklahoma St -290
ND -275
UGA -525
PSU +205 - would be a very small action play
Mizzou -13
One bet in at this point:
3-team Parlay +118
Oklahoma St -290
ND -275
UGA -525
- Mar 19, 2006
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:0008
1-0 on the week (played mizzou but didn't post so not gonna count that)
25-17 YTD
first look at this week leans:
VT -145 over Miami - think Miami has been the least impressive undefeated team in a very long time. And the line says everything I need to know about the game with a 1-Loss road team favored over an undefeated home team
Texas +7.5 over TCU - Said it before and will keep saying it - I'm riding the Tom Herman ATS Underdog train until he finally doesn't cover one. And will probably put a little on the +ML since they've been damn close to winning both of them this year (USC and OSU)
OkSt -155 over OU - home team in a rivalry game
Mizzou -155 over UF - As bad as this missouri team is, UF has quit on JMc. Reminds me of the 2012 Auburn team
Will be looking at team totals in the LSU-Bama game and Auburn-A&M. I think the first one probably is a lower scoring game with LSU not doing much at all and AU-A&M always seems to be a shoot out most years.
locked in:
VT -135 over Miami
Texas +7.5 (-130) over TCU
Bama/LSU Under 48.5
7pt Tease - Ties Win (-128)
Clemson -0.5 / Bama -14
Feel pretty confident in Bama covering the original spread honestly. Clemson is a rec from an NCSt friend who likes Clemson to cover the 7. NCST OL not a good matchup vs Clemson DL. RB Hines is not full strength and could be out altogether. DL for NCST banged up and backups were abused last week.
laying off OKState bc I think it's a coinflip and Mizzou because the two teams are just pure shit and tough to cap those games. Also not gonna touch the Auburn-A&M game mostly because I'm going up to the game with a lady friend and don't want to have that extra incentive to be angry if things go south for Auburn :lol:
VT -135 over Miami
Texas +7.5 (-130) over TCU
Bama/LSU Under 48.5
7pt Tease - Ties Win (-128)
Clemson -0.5 / Bama -14
Feel pretty confident in Bama covering the original spread honestly. Clemson is a rec from an NCSt friend who likes Clemson to cover the 7. NCST OL not a good matchup vs Clemson DL. RB Hines is not full strength and could be out altogether. DL for NCST banged up and backups were abused last week.
laying off OKState bc I think it's a coinflip and Mizzou because the two teams are just pure shit and tough to cap those games. Also not gonna touch the Auburn-A&M game mostly because I'm going up to the game with a lady friend and don't want to have that extra incentive to be angry if things go south for Auburn :lol:
2-2 week :0003
27-19 YTD
first look for this week
South Carolina -7.5 over UF - UF continues to show that they've quit on this season
TCU +7.5 over OU - teams seem pretty even from what I've seen this year so a TD sounds nice
****Bama -14.5 over MSU - fingured this line would be around 21
****Auburn - UGA UNDER - whatever the number is... called maybe two of these in Auburn games this year that the game would end up around 14-7 or 17-10. Both of them won. This is another one. If it comes out over 45 it's teetering into game of the year territory
A&M -18.5 over New Mexico - Season is over with but after being in college station this past weekend they really haven't given up. Fans and team alike. And Starkell being back made a pretty good impact on the game he's a much better passer than Mond.
Arkansas - LSU Over. Hopefully this one won't be too terribly high. And may end up laying off since both teams are essentially done and kinda have lame duck coaches running the show. But if it's in the low 40s I think it has value
27-19 YTD
first look for this week
South Carolina -7.5 over UF - UF continues to show that they've quit on this season
TCU +7.5 over OU - teams seem pretty even from what I've seen this year so a TD sounds nice
****Bama -14.5 over MSU - fingured this line would be around 21
****Auburn - UGA UNDER - whatever the number is... called maybe two of these in Auburn games this year that the game would end up around 14-7 or 17-10. Both of them won. This is another one. If it comes out over 45 it's teetering into game of the year territory
A&M -18.5 over New Mexico - Season is over with but after being in college station this past weekend they really haven't given up. Fans and team alike. And Starkell being back made a pretty good impact on the game he's a much better passer than Mond.
Arkansas - LSU Over. Hopefully this one won't be too terribly high. And may end up laying off since both teams are essentially done and kinda have lame duck coaches running the show. But if it's in the low 40s I think it has value
- Mar 19, 2006
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****Auburn - UGA UNDER - whatever the number is GA-2'/48'
Arkansas - LSU Over....55 :scared
thanks for the weekly thoughts T always like to read and like that you get things out there early in the week
not disagreeing with your play but I will say that I think you are off when you talk about LSU's season being done and Orgeron being a lame duck - I believe that LSU is very excited for the rest of the year and a 9-3 season with a good bowl will be a great accomplishment imo - tons of injuries and lack of depth with a lot of freshmen playing so from here a lot of it is gravy and I think the team is set up to play their best from here on out to close it out in strong fashion - also like I mentioned in the past Orgeron is just getting started and I think the book on his LSU coaching career is long from being written - we will be able to tell a lot about things after we see how they finish the season and in his 1st recruiting cycle
again none of this has any bearing imo regarding the play but in reality LSU still has a lot to play for this year and I also think that it's a real possibility that Orgeron is around for a while and plays a part in considerable success for LSU - maybe it's just the Miles factor (as in many including myself are joyous that he is gone) but I truly believe that this program is on an upward trajectory for the 1st time in a long long time
gl with your plays
LA Burns
