2019 College Football

BASON

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Here is what I played:

Ohio State FH -27.5

Clemson FH -18.5


I feel both of these games will be first half blow outs. MD can not play with Ohio State and the Buckeyes should score at will. Clemson is pissed and I like the situation. Sweeney will have these boys fired up and I think NC State is in for a world of hurt.

Others I played:

Oregon State +10.5 -120

Kansas State +7.5 -125


Yes, I bought a half in both of these games on key numbers. Some hate this but it saved me a fortune last week and I will always do it on key numbers. Washington is in a let down spot as they can not beat anyone good at home and Oregon State is playing much better. I like the home team and would not be surprised if they are in this one to the end. K State play is more of a play against the Texas defense that is bad. Herman has not made his mark with the longhorns and they almost always play to the level of their competition. I thought K State would have a let down last week, but I was wrong and they played well. They are well coached and will stay in this one.

Two more what the hell plays:

Illinois +14.5

Purdue +3 -125 (yes another buy)


I do not get Michigan State laying over 2 TDs to any decent team with that offense and Northwestern should not be playing laying points to anyone in conference with their horrific offense.
 

BASON

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I agree, but I am biting. Illinois is unpredictable, but Michigan State's offense is predictable. Just a small play, but I think the Illini can score some points to keep it close.
 

BASON

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Yup. And just added more to my FH bets. They are my favorites of the day. Clemson getting hit hard, just added at -20.
 

BASON

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Wow, nice job Michigan State! Was worried about the Illinois cover and then they get 27 in the 4th to win it! Some bad play in the Big 10.

Lets go Tigers!!
 

BASON

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Thanks buddy.

Best college football weekend for me in a while as I pounded those halftime plays (and hit a nice DE lottery play). Also hit a huge soccer bet this morning so it has been a very good weekend!!
 

BASON

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Thanks Bo!!

Looks like ND opened at 11 and came down to 10 quick. I was certainly hoping for more, but I will be on Navy. I will see what I can get in the morning.
 

BASON

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Here is what I played today

Temple+4.5 -110
Minnesota +3.5 -125
Wake +33 -110
Auburn +3.5 -125


Temple is a strong home side and I really like this number. They beat Memphis at home and I think Memphis is better than Tulane. Their defense should win them this game.

Minnesota still not getting any respect and I expect Iowa to be a popular play. I really liked what I saw from Minnesota last week and I do not see a let down after the Penn State game. They are a much better offensive team than Iowa.

Wake is just based on the way Clemson finishes games. They go to the back ups fast and do not score much in the second half. Wake can score unlike many of these other bad ACC teams, so I am expecting at least a back door. Wake got caught looking ahead to this game last week and I think can stay within this number. I doubt this line moves much but I am happy with getting 33.

I have watched GA play a couple of times and they are just not a very impressive team. Their QB looks like he has regressed since his freshman year and they do not run as effectively as they used to. I think the Auburn defense gives them fits. They played LSU better than Bama, and if they can get any offense going, they should win this game.

Hmmm, maybe I just talked myself into a Temple/Minnesota/Auburn ML parlay!

Still waiting on Navy+9. I would like 10.5 so going to see if the line moves back towards the opening number. I do not think it will go much lower but maybe it gets bumped up.
 

BASON

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Was off on some of the line moves this week, but that is how it goes sometimes. Put in Navy this morning:

Navy +8
Navy +245


Yes, I am a homer and I admit to loving Navy football, but I really believe they have shot at winning this game this week. Navy is much improved on defense this year. It is crazy how much better they are and continues to prove that coaching matters as they brought in a new DC. Their ability to pass the ball a little makes the running game even more effective. ND strength on defense is their passing defense. They gave up a ton of yards on the ground to Michigan and I think Navy can run the ball against them.

The last 4 times ND was only a single digit favorite over Navy they lost 3 of the 4 outright! They won the other won by 6. ND is definitely the better team, but the midshipmen should keep this game close and hopefully have a chance to win at the end.

There a lot of numbers that also point to Baylor as a play this week as a 9-0 home dog, but I still do not think they are very good so I can not get myself to play them.
 

bosbabiesarm

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Bason there is NO doubt to me Georgia has the best Defense of 132. Auburn will struggle to sustain more than one drive of 60 yards or more. So the Question is will Georgia be able to move the ball with their offense. :0corn
This game will come down to which quarterback makes more mistakes, and the answer is Bo Nix.
 

BASON

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I just think Auburn is being undervalued at home. Georgia should not be 3 point favorites on the road. Who have they beat on the road? Hell, they have only played a few road games. Auburns two loses are on the road to FL and LSU and they are the only team to keep LSU's offense in check as well as Oregons. Their defense is strong. Both teams are going to struggle on offense. I agree Nix is more turnover prone, but Fromm has not been impressive at all this year. The only signature win they have is against FL. I just do not think GA is the 4th best team in the country, so I will gladly take the 3.5 points at home. If they win, they prove me wrong and can make a real case to be #4, but Auburn is a tough team to beat at home.
 

bosbabiesarm

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The line is correct 2.5/3. You bought .5 on the best #. I don?t see Auburn as a value because of the line? Now if you like them because you believe they are the better team ok. Georgia was 6.5 in Jacksonville, 2.5 is correct.
I was interested in your thoughts brother, if Fromm has Cager at WR he will be the difference. Plus Fromm has played in Huge games and showed up I can?t say the same of Nix.
 

BASON

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I put this in, may be pressing my luck but it has not lost yet:

Ohio St FH-34.5

Worried about their motivation in this game on the road, but Rutgers is soooooo bad!

Waiting to play Wake TT as I hate the line I am seeing right now. Would play at 14, but really do not want to play at 14.5, even at plus money.

Played Wisconsin TT Ov31.5 as I expect them to run all over Nebraska today.
 

BASON

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One of the best things about sports betting is that you are a hero one week and the next week you suck. Still smarting from the Minnesota missed XP last week, but that is the kind of season is has been. Navy bet was just bad and doomed after the two turnovers (first game I did not watch in a long time).

These are in:

Navy Ov 66 - Navy will rebound after that atrocity last week. SMU plays no defense and they will throw the ball at least 60 times. Should be 70 points+ in this one.

Maryland Ov 61.5 - Nebraska still playing for bowl game. MD is finished, but I expect them to be able to put up some points on Nebraska certainly enough for this one to go Over as Nebraska should get to 40.

BC+21 -125 - Last 5 against BC Notre Dame is 14+ favorite and 1-4 ATS. BC will run and stay within the number.

Texas +7 -130 - Okay, I am not a Texas fan but I played them last week and I really like them this week. I do not see how Baylor recovers from that second half fiasco last week. I already think their coach is one of the coach of the year candidates, but if he can get them up for this game and win, he certainly gets my vote, but Texas gets my money.
 
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