Three plays for today. The reason I am playing the run line on each of these dogs is that both are on the road playing playoff caliber teams in rubber matches of three game series. In handicapping the games I like both the Twins and 'Spos to win outright but I am playing the runline to be a bit more safe.
Also, I am considering adding a $50 or $100 cover-my-ass parlay on the A's, Braves and Reds to avoid catastrophe.
One other note I want to add. I really think KC +240 is one of the more tempting plays I have passed on all year. I know Piniero is a stud and it is unlikely that the M's will lose 2 straight and a series to the Royals, but the way the teams are playing we have an up cycle against a diwn cycle in my opinion with gigantic odds, so it may be worth a flyer. If I have a good night in my earlier games I may even add a bet on the Royals later tonight.
Oh, one more thing. The Pirates vs. Brewers has developed into quite the little rivalry at the bottom of the Central. Last time Sheets face teh Bucs he beaned Ramirez and touched off a huge brawl. The bad blood started when the Brewers came into Pittsburgh before the All Star break last year in wildcard contention but then got swept by the pitiful Pirates. Kind of crushed the Brewers season and when Pittsburgh swept them earlier this year in Milwaukee, it built up more bad blood. I could definitely see the Brewers being way up tonight to get that 3rd straight win so check them out as a dog. Also, one of the top handicappers on this site, Jack
, has the Brewers as a play.
Houston -140 over CINCINNATI 504/360
I have noticed some very good play overall from the Astros lately. Sullivan was unavailable last night and it cost the Reds and Graves may be unavailable tonight. Oswalt is looking like the Oswalt of old and Reitsma seems to be coming back to earth.
Montreal +1 1/2 -132 over ATLANTA 500/379
Maddux is reportedly still bothered a bit by his calf strain and he took a liner off the shin in his last start. His record is impressive, but remember the guy has gotten 6.38 runs of support. Armas is pitching brilliantly and he has not had the benefit of support. Generally those things even out over the course of a season and this seems like a perfect spot for it to happen, especially with the Expos needing this game badly to stay within shouting distance of Atlanta.
Minnesota +1 1/2 -123 over OAKLAND 500/407
Twins hit Zito well last night and have actually outplayed the A's by a good margin for the first two games of this series. Oakland really struggled the last time they faced a lefty and Santana seems to be at the peak of his game. You have to worry about Mulder after he faced an incredible 39 batters in his last start five days ago.
Also, I am considering adding a $50 or $100 cover-my-ass parlay on the A's, Braves and Reds to avoid catastrophe.
One other note I want to add. I really think KC +240 is one of the more tempting plays I have passed on all year. I know Piniero is a stud and it is unlikely that the M's will lose 2 straight and a series to the Royals, but the way the teams are playing we have an up cycle against a diwn cycle in my opinion with gigantic odds, so it may be worth a flyer. If I have a good night in my earlier games I may even add a bet on the Royals later tonight.
Oh, one more thing. The Pirates vs. Brewers has developed into quite the little rivalry at the bottom of the Central. Last time Sheets face teh Bucs he beaned Ramirez and touched off a huge brawl. The bad blood started when the Brewers came into Pittsburgh before the All Star break last year in wildcard contention but then got swept by the pitiful Pirates. Kind of crushed the Brewers season and when Pittsburgh swept them earlier this year in Milwaukee, it built up more bad blood. I could definitely see the Brewers being way up tonight to get that 3rd straight win so check them out as a dog. Also, one of the top handicappers on this site, Jack
, has the Brewers as a play.Houston -140 over CINCINNATI 504/360
I have noticed some very good play overall from the Astros lately. Sullivan was unavailable last night and it cost the Reds and Graves may be unavailable tonight. Oswalt is looking like the Oswalt of old and Reitsma seems to be coming back to earth.
Montreal +1 1/2 -132 over ATLANTA 500/379
Maddux is reportedly still bothered a bit by his calf strain and he took a liner off the shin in his last start. His record is impressive, but remember the guy has gotten 6.38 runs of support. Armas is pitching brilliantly and he has not had the benefit of support. Generally those things even out over the course of a season and this seems like a perfect spot for it to happen, especially with the Expos needing this game badly to stay within shouting distance of Atlanta.
Minnesota +1 1/2 -123 over OAKLAND 500/407
Twins hit Zito well last night and have actually outplayed the A's by a good margin for the first two games of this series. Oakland really struggled the last time they faced a lefty and Santana seems to be at the peak of his game. You have to worry about Mulder after he faced an incredible 39 batters in his last start five days ago.
