baseball friday...

cooz3

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1-3 yesterday...8-4 for week...


hmmm...we have the atlanta braves who are in first in thier divisions.....8-4 in interleague play....having a tremendous year...against the devil rays ....who are 2-13 in interleague play....have lost 3 in a row...and 20 of 24....and atlanta is a more than reasonable minus 150 chalk.....if not a "bargain" at this price...

as ive stated before gonzalez is a different pitcher this year..throw out his past stats ....after his injury he has learned to pitch....he has been nothing short of solid for this club this year...

teams are batting .175 against him at home...and im not talking about detroits offense either...he has faced cinci and texas at home...those offenses take a back seat to no ones

ramirez is nothing special on the road....he has a 5.88 era/1.66 whip/ and teams are batting 313 against him....

those teams he has faced on the road..
1.) oakland
2.) mets
3.) padres


you would think atlanta's pen would have an advantage here...but statistically they are almost dead even...

atlanta pen on the road...3.40
tampa pen at home...3.38

i see advantage tampa in the starters tonight....the only thing that worries me is that gonzalez will give up the gopher ball ....and atlantas line-up is potent...

but ramirez will give up homers as well..of course tampas hitters are not as dangerous..

what i noticed however is that gonzalez has given up a total of 5 homers this year...but only 1 at home..wow

ramirez has given up 9 homers this year and 7 of those on the road..wow..

looks to me when you get this kid out of turner field you have a good shot against him...

not sure if im playing the runline or money line here...but plus 1.5 at only minus 115 looks nice for insurance purposes...


cooz
 

cooz3

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decided...

1.) tampa plus 150...local line...

2.) mets plus 1.5 runs ..even money...i think both pitchers will be togh to hit but i dont trust benitez in the late innings ...2 of 3 wells wins over mets were by one run..and last sunday would have been a lot closer if not for bullpen...

3.) colorado rockies ..even...just going by pitchers vs teams head to head..here..jennings good numbers vs pitt...fogg bad numbers vs rockies..and not just because of coors

4.) frisco minus 120....dont be fooled by oaklands "resurgence"...they played against the worst staff in baseball...


cooz
 

rc conditioner

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great stuff, cooz. When I first looked at the games Atlanta jumped out at me. After looking at gonzalez it talked me out of it.

good luck :D
 

cooz3

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i agree RC...atlanta looks great when you wake up in the morining reading the paper looking at lines...but when you know the underlying details they number looks right....they still could blow this team out...thier talent level is way over tampas..but my capping begins and ends with pitching...and i think tampa got a shot here

cooz
 

Spock

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good luck coozer ..

could not believe sorry ass sammmy . .. 3 times bases loaded 1 out and he strikes out ..

:shrug: :confused:

Praying for the Mets Under to come in .. also for you :)

Cheers !!!
Spocky
 

ddubs

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No Under in the NYY/NYM game?? Seo's numbers are awesome on the road, 2.33 ERA, WHIP not even 1:eek:. Wells's numbers are worse at home, but in 48.2IP only gave up 56 hits and 2BB:eek: I'm waiting to see which ump is behind HP. If it's anywhere close to being neutral or Under guy, I'm gonna have to plunk down some $$$$ on the Under.

Look at these numbers on Atl in G1 on the road......6-6 record, ERA over 4, lost 4 of last 5 G1 on the road, and scored 5, 3, 1, 4 in L4. TB hits .278 at home vs lefties. Like you said, lots of hidden values on this line:D

Good luck tonite:D
 

Spock

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hope we hit it coozer ..

leaving office now ..

be back online after reaching home .. an hour and half laterz ..
gotta buy some scotch and soda on the way downstairs ..

:eek:
 

Spock

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sorry coozer on the yanks under ..

two of the best pitchers and 8 runs in 2 innings .. 5 on two outs ..
:mad:

good luck
Spocky
 

Spock

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gonna join dubber on the sidelines .. dubber will get ya a beer .. relax and sit back ..

:confused:
 
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