bowl info & plays...

[AR182]

i like to post all my plays & info in one thread...easier to read imo. all of the info i post originated someplace else & am just posting it to share with others...i hope that some might find it useful.....


Top Bowl Game Team Side & Total Trends

The Good bowl Game Teams

-BostonCollege is 8-1 SU & ATS in its last nine bowl games, including wins in each of its last six.

-Utah has won five straight bowl games outright and is 4-0 ATS in its last four.

-Miami is on a 7-2 SU & ATS run in its last nine bowl games.

-OhioSt. is 4-0 SU & ATS in its last 4 bowl games.

-WakeForest is 3-0 SU & ATS.


The Poor Bowl Game Teams

-Notre Dame has lost eight straight bowl games and is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine.

-Louisville is on a 2-6 SU & 1-7 ATS stretch in recent bowl game action.

-West Virginia has not matched its regular season success in bowl games, as it is just 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS in its last 10 bowl games.

-New Mexico & BYU have lost four straight bowl games and are 1-3 ATS in that span.

-Purdue is just 1-5 SU & 1-4-1 ATS in six bowl games since 2000.

-Kansas St. is 3-3 SU, but often overvalued in bowl games, as evidenced by its 1-5 ATS record in those contests.


The Over Bowl Game Teams

-Michigan has been a big Over team as well in bowl games, surpassing the total in seven of its last eight.

-West Virginia?s last seven bowl games have resulted in six overs.

-Texas & Florida have been reliable for Over bettors, converting 83% of their last six tries, 5-1.

-Cal and G.Tech are each working on bowl game trends that have seen their Over totals run to four straight.


The Under Bowl Game Teams

-The schools in Arizona have been huge Under teams in bowl games. The Wildcats have gone Under the total in four straight and the Sun Devils in 6 of 7.

-Oklahoma is 8-1 to the Under.

-Utah is 6-1 to the Under.

-Auburn have gone Under the total in five straight bowl games.

-Cincy has gone Under four straight.

-Penn.St.& Tex. A&M are 5-1 to the Under.


Top Bowl Game Conference Side & Total

-The ACC teams have combined for a 13-7 SU & 14-6 ATS record over the last three seasons.

-The Big East Conference have struggled over the last three seasons in bowl games, as its representatives are just 5-9 SU & 6-8 ATS in that span. Six of the last nine bowl games have gone Over.

-Big Ten Conference has produced 8 Overs out of last 10 games.

-Favorites in bowl games involving Conference USA teams have been on a tear, going 15-1 SU & 10-6 ATS in their last 16 games.

-Favorites are on a roll in games involving Independent teams as well, going 8-1 SU & ATS in the last nine games.

Independents as underdogs have been a staggering 2-7 SU & ATS.

-Mountain West is 13-7 ATS in bowl games.

-Pac 10 teams are 12-6 for the Over. They are 26-22 SU but an amazing 37-10 ATS.

-SEC underdogs are on a huge roll, covering their last 10 and winning 8 of them SU. 16 of 26 games have gone Under.

-WAC is 14-5 for the Over and are 5-14 ATS.


Individual Bowl Game Series

-GMAC Bowl- Conference USA teams are 1-6 SU & ATS.

-Champs Sports Bowl- Four of the last five bowl games have gone Over. The favorite is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS.

-Hawaii Bowl- Five Straight Overs.

-MotorCity Bowl- The MAC has fallen in all of its last four.

-Insight.Com Bowl- The underdog is on a run of 7-2 ATS. Over plays are 7-1.

-Houston Bowl- The representative of the Big 12 have gone 3-1-1 ATS.

-Independence Bowl- The underdogs are 6-2 ATS.

-Holiday Bowl- 8 straight underdog covers.

-Meineke Car Care Bowl- The ACC has cashed the last 3 out of 4 games.

-Alamo Bowl- The Big Ten team is 7-3 SU & ATS.

-MusicCity Bowl- The SEC representative is 1-6 SU & ATS. The bowl game has went Under in its last 4

-MPC Computers Bowl- The favorite is 5-1 SU & ATS.

-Sun Bowl- Dogs are 9-1-1 ATS.

-Liberty Bowl- this bowl game has gone Under 12 times in its last 14.

-Peach Bowl- The representative of the ACC has gone 4-1 SU & ATS. The Under is 8-2.

-Cotton Bowl- Has gone Under 9 out of 11 times.

-Outback Bowl- Underdogs have gone 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS. The Over has hit the last 5 times.

-Gator Bowl- The favorite is 9-1 SU & ATS.

-Capital One Bowl- Six of the last 8 games have gone Over.

-Rose Bowl- Designated Home Teams are 11-2 ATS.

-Sugar Bowl- Three straight Underdog covers. The Under is 8-4-1.

-Fiesta Bowl- The team with the better SU record has won 9 Fiesta Bowl Games in a row, both SU & ATS.


good luck

 

[ajoytoy]

thx for sharing Al...gl this post-season

 

[blgstocks]

thanks for the info AR

Can't wait to for your bowl plays this year. How did you do last year?

 

[DoMyDermBest]

great post. Thanks

 

[AR182]

my pleasure guys...

stocks....was 10-6 last year.



General Bowl Trends of Recent Years:

-Ten teams have played bowl games on their home turf. Those hosts are 8-4 SU & 8-3 ATS. This years teams include New Mexico & Hawaii

-Underdogs enjoyed a fantastic bowl season in 2005-06, going 13-15 SU & 19-9 ATS, a spread conversion rate of 67.9%

-Double-digit underdogs are just 8-40 SU but 29-19-2 ATS, 60.4%, since 1992. All four DD bowl underdogs covered the spread last season. This years DD dogs include Northern Illinois, Middle Tenn St., Kentucky, Iowa, Wake was at +10 but currently at +9.5.

-Overs have dominated total plays during the last two years. Including 19-9 in 2005-06, the Overs have hit at a 62.5% clip.

-Games with extremely high totals (63 or higher) have gone Over 65.5% of the time, 19-10, since ?92. This years games Arizona St. vs Hawaiilace> (75), >Minnesota vs Texas Tech (66.5)

-Games with extremely low totals (37 or lower) have gone Under 62.5% of the time, 5-3, since ?92. No games currently under 37, the closest game is Georgia vs Virginia Tech (39).

-Bowl favorites of 11 points or less off 35+ days rest and 14+ more days rest than opponent are 0-16 ATS since 1989, failing to cover the spread by more than 10 points a game on average.Last year Penn St. -10 qualified (35+ days rest & 14+ more than opp) against FSU and won 26-23 in OT. I think Ohio St. is the only team that qualifies here.


good luck.

 

[AR182]

double post

 

[AR182]

double post

 

[AR182]

does anybody have any stats on how teams do in bowl games when the coach is coaching for the last time or when an assisitant has taken over for a coach who either quit or was fired ?

 

[thom24ad]

Thanks for the info AR...as for your last post that's a good angle to research...if I get some time tonight I will do some reading and see if I can find anything...

 

[AR182]

The last 3 years Pre X-mas day favorites are 16-1 SU(94.1%) & 12-5 ATS(70.6%).

The last 3 years Post X-mas day favorites are 36-31 SU(53.7%) & 24-41 ATS (37.9%)

 

[Irish]

Good luck this bowl Season AR

Cheers
Irish

 

[smax]

THANK YOU, SIR

THANK YOU, SIR

GREAT INFO. KNOWING ALL TRENDS ARE BROKEN AT SOME POINT...DOES ANYONE HAVE A PREFERENCE WHICH TRAIN TO STEP IN FRONT OF.
MANY GAMES HAVE SOME SMALL CASE TO BE MADE FOR EACH SIDE. HOWEVER ,I SURE CAN'T FIND AN ARGUMENT
FOR SOME OF THESE TEAMS IE: IOWA > K STATE> MINN> NOTRE DAME

 

[Kramer]

Thanks for all this info AR, one of them kind of
took me by surprise, I knew the dogs did well,
but I also thought the unders did well. Will have
to readjust my thoughts on totals, or avoid them.
Thanks again :toast:

 

[AR182]

my pleasure guys...


i just came across this from another forum....

concerning bowl dogs of +7 points or more....


last year bowl dogs of 7 points or more went 11-1 (91%)

the last 2 years bowl dogs of 7 points or more went 16-3 (84%)

7+ bowl dogs have gone 43-63 since 1999 (68%)

overall, bowl dogs of 7+ points are 62% the last 32years.

1997 was the last losing year for 7+ point bowl dogs (3-5)

 

[benfranklin]

Much appreciated AR:SIB Great Info.

 

[Radio]

Great Info, Thanks

 

[Smitty]

-Penn.St.& Tex. A&M are 5-1 to the Under.

and don't forget, it took approximately 8 overtimes (and a missed chip shot field goal) for penn state's bowl game to go over the total last year. not that i had a large wager on that under and i'm bitter or anything.

al, thanks for posting this info. always appreciated.

 

[AR182]

my pleasure guys....

went 10-6 in last year's bowl games...hoping to do better this year.

don't really have much interest in tonight's game...but a book i use went to 13..so i bought n.ill to 14 for a small wager.

1*n.ill+14(127)....

on paper tcu should win this game comfortably.but question the practice effort they put into this game. i read that tcu only had 5 practice sessions for this game while n. ill. had 10...this in part because of exams & tcu recruiting. so hoping that tcu will not be at the top of their game tonight.

good luck.

 

[Blackman]

Great info -- best of luck throughout the bowls and Happy Holidays.

 

[DeadPrez]

good stuff AR

good luck during the postseason