Bowl Lines and early leans

[greed]

Georgia

Georgia

Definately save the hammer for Georgia as the Badgers were one of the most over rated teams in America this season. Everyone's just looking at Alvarez's bowl record during his tenure at Wisconsin. Joe De just wondering on the reasons for UAB on Saturday. Thanks in advance.

 

[rint]

whats the play tonight MC, i need some winners. rignt now im leanin

marshal cin under
and cin

what do you think??
thanks

 

[Master Capper]

Joede,

I have absolute faith that you will be on the plus side, just hammered Navy over and Georgia.

Rint,

Still undecided at this point, I was focusing more on the late bowl game but I should have a play up on the Forth Worth Bowl soon.

 

[Master Capper]

Passing on the Fort Worth Bowl as I really cant get any good info that is reliable on the game. Tough to call this game as who knows how solid Gino will be tonight coming back from a injury in cold weather. On the Marshall side they lose perhaps their top defensive player which could create some open lanes for the Cats running game. I feel that Cincy is by far the better team when they are completely healthy but I still have visions of the backup QB for the Cats playing against Louisville and if Gino goes down tonight then the Cats are done.


Las Vegas Bowl
Over 56.5 is my play. Bruins should win this one outright if they feel motivated to play but this team has had a tendency to come out flat and uninterested when they are not motivated. Wyoming has a seasoned offense but they go up against a PAC 10 team and Wyo has not covered against a Pac 10 team in the past twelve years but UCLA is undefeated against the spread against MWC teams in the same time period.

 

[rint]

as always appereciate your point of view mc

 

[The Judge]

Passing on the Fort Worth Bowl as I really cant get any good info that is reliable on the game. Tough to call this game as who knows how solid Gino will be tonight coming back from a injury in cold weather.

Agreed, Master Capper.

 

[AR182]

mc,

thanks for the time, effort, & info that you've put into your college football threads this year.

it's greatly appreciated.

good luck & happy holidays to you & your family.

 

[Kdogg21]

thanks for the input MC. happy holidays

 

[Master Capper]

thanks Kdogg, hope you and your loved ones have a great holiday!


UCLA could be one of the best 2nd half plays if they are down double digits at half. Typical soft PAC 10 team soft defense but should out athlete Wyom in the 2nd half.

 

[Master Capper]

Just wanted to wish everyone at Madjacks a safe and happy Christmas and I am passing on tonights game since I have not had the time to even look at the game today.

 

[Master Capper]

The Bowl Championship Series (BCS) unveiled its four college football matchups on Sunday. To no surprise, No. 1 USC will face No. 2 Oklahoma for the national championship in the Orange Bowl. Third-ranked Auburn was sent to the Sugar Bowl, where it will face the ACC champion, Virginia Tech. The mid-major conferences finally got their due, as Utah earned an at-large bid to the Fiesta Bowl. The Utes will face the Big East champion, Pittsburgh. Also, Texas jumped over California to earn its first trip to the Rose Bowl. The Longhorns will face Michigan, who won the Big Ten Title.



Most critics will continue to knock the BCS system and point out flaws from all angles. Still, the system was created to put No. 1 against No. 2 and that?s exactly what we got.



Okay, so how do we go about playing this year?s games? There have been 24 BCS games since its inception in 1998. The favorites are 15-9 straight up and 13-11 against the spread. The number could be worse, but the underdogs rallied with a 3-1 both SU and ATS mark last season.



Advertisement



If you?re going to play underdogs in the BCS, then history shows that you should play them on the money-line. The ?dog has won the game outright nine out of 11 times when covering the number. The only two underdogs that have lost and still covered the number are Stanford (+14) in 1999 and Texas A&M (+13 ?) in 1998.



Also, if you?re looking for a close game or a classic battle, then the BCS may not be your cup of tea. Only 25 percent (6) of the 24 games have been decided by single-digits. Eighteen victories have come by double-digits.



Speaking of double-digits, Utah is tabbed a 15-point favorite against Pittsburgh in the Fiesta Bowl. Can you believe that the 15-point line still isn?t the highest? Florida destroyed Maryland 56-23 in the Orange Bowl as a 15 1/2-point favorite in the 2000 season. I wouldn?t be surprised to see the Utes get banged to 16 or 17-point favorites, considering Urban Meyer?s team owns an impressive 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS mark. I wouldn?t bet against Pittsburgh just yet, considering the favorites are 3-2 SU, but only 1-4 ATS as double-digits in BCS games.



Let?s take a closer look at all of the matchups:



2004

Orange: USC (-3) vs. Oklahoma

Sugar: Auburn (-7) vs. Virginia Tech

Rose: Texas (-7) vs. Michigan

Fiesta: Utah (-15 ?) vs. Pittsburgh



2003

Sugar: LSU (+6.5) 21 Oklahoma 14
Orange: Miami (+2) 16 Florida State 14
Rose: USC (-7) 28 Michigan 14
Fiesta: Ohio State (+7) 35 Kansas State 28



Comments: The underdogs were an impressive 3-1 both SU and ATS in 2003, including LSU unseating Oklahoma for the national championship. Three of the four games stayed ?under? the total.



2002

Fiesta: Ohio State (+12) 31 Miami 24 OT
Sugar: Georgia (-8) 26 Florida State 13
Orange: USC (-6) 38 Iowa 17
Rose: Oklahoma (-6 ?) 34 Washington State 14



Comments: The favorites were 3-1 both SU and ATS, winning all three games by double-digits. Ohio State pulled off the biggest BCS upset by defeating Miami 31-24 as a 12-point live underdog.



2001

Rose: Miami (-8 ?) 37 Nebraska 14
Fiesta: Oregon (+3) 38 Colorado 16
Sugar: LSU (-2) 47 Illinois 34
Orange: Florida (-15 ?) 56 Maryland 23



Comments: The favorites were 3-1 both SU and ATS. All four games were blowouts, with average margin of victory coming by 22.8 PPG.



2000

Orange: Oklahoma (+10) 13 Florida State 2
Sugar: Miami (-7) 37 Florida 20
Rose: Washington (-3) 34 Purdue 24
Fiesta: Oregon State (-4) 41Notre Dame 9



Comments: Four double-digit victories in the 2000 season. The favorites were 3-1 both SU and ATS.



1999

Sugar: Florida State (-6) 46 Virginia Tech 29
Fiesta: Nebraska (-4) 31 Tennessee 21
Orange: Michigan (+1) 35 Alabama 34
Rose: Wisconsin (-14) 17 Stanford 9



Comments: The favorites were 3-1 SU, but 2-2 ATS. Florida State captured the national title in a great Sugar Bowl against Virginia Tech and some guy named Michael Vick.



1998

Fiesta: Tennessee (+5.5) 23 Florida State 16
Orange: Florida (-7) 31 Syracuse 10
Sugar: Ohio State (-13 ?) 24 Texas A&M 14
Rose: Wisconsin (+9) 38 UCLA 31

 

[Master Capper]

Virgina under 52

 

[Master Capper]

Today's top story ... Is Tuberville a candidate for LSU?
With Nick Saban bolting to the NFL, the Bayou Bengals begin the search for a new head coach; Auburn head coach Tommy Tuberville’s name surfaces as a possible candidate

ACC

Miami, Fla.
Freshman LB Willie Williams and freshman CB Rashaun Jones were involved in an automobile accident early Sunday morning; The truck flipped over and both players were taken to the hospital, but neither player was seriously hurt

Big XII

Oklahoma State
Senior standout CB Darrent Williams has been suspended for the Pokes’ Wednesday night contest versus Ohio State … … Junior starting TB Vernand Morency stated that he intends to return to OSU for his senior season

Big East

Boston College
Senior QB Paul Peterson, who broke his right hand during the Nov. 20 game versus Temple and was unable to play in the regular-season finale against Syracuse, is expected to start Thursday’s game versus North Carolina

Big Ten

Wisconsin
Tight ends coach Rob Ianello has been targeted by Notre Dame as a possible recruiting coordinator for the Irish; Head coach Barry Alvarez told Notre Dame that it can talk with Ianello after the Badgers’ bowl game

C-USA

Tulane
Head coach Chris Scelfo has been granted a two-year extension, which will keep him under contract through the 2009 season …

MAC

Toledo
Junior starting QB Bruce Gradkowski, who broke a bone in his throwing hand during the Dec. 2 MAC Championship game, indicated that the hand is a little sore, but will not keep him from competing in today’s contest versus UConn
SEC

Tennessee
Senior starting DE Karlton Neal will be unable to play in the team’s Cotton Bowl contest due to a flu-related illness, which forced him to be hospitalized; Junior Jason Hall will get the starting nod in Neal’s absence

Vanderbilt
Junior starting RB Kwame Doster was shot to death early Sunday morning near his hometown of Tampa, Florida

 

[Master Capper]

Toledo may be a good 2nd half play depending on where the line comes out but it is quite apparant that Gradkowski is having problems gripping the ball and his throws are high from not putting pressure on the ball at release. Toledo's defense is a typical MAC defense very soft in the interior and undersized just enough to have trouble tackiling. Toledo clearly misses the big plays that McDougle was able to deliver for them as Dawson is just a average back. Look for Toledo to be in four downs the whose 2nd half but you have to ask yourself if Gradowski will even be much of a factor due to the hand injury but Toledo has been one of the better 2nd half teams this year

 

[Master Capper]

Playing Toledo -3 for 2nd half on just a whim. Under may be a good play also due to blowout factor

 

[Master Capper]

Oreg State-3, played this game when lines first came out

Iowa State+2


Good Luck Cappers

 

[noodle]

good luck today, Master Capper... looking at Iowa St. myself...

 

[Master Capper]

... Tuberville signs a new deal
Head coach Tommy Tuberville stated that he would remain at Auburn and is close to signing a new contract, which would pay him more than $15 million over a seven-year span …

ACC

Miami, Fla.
Junior starting LB Roger McIntosh will not play in Friday’s Peach Bowl due to a shoulder stinger; Junior starting TE Kevin Everett (shoulder) and sophomore backup TB Tyrone Moss (knee) are very questionable for the game

Big XII

Texas
University officials plan to announce a new contract for head coach Mack Brown later this week; The new deal is expected to raise his annual salary from $2.059 million to $2.159 million, and extend through the 2014 season

Big Ten

Michigan
Junior starting WR Jason Avant, who had arthroscopic surgery on his right knee immediately following the regular season, has been unable to practice and is doubtful to play in the Rose Bowl versus Texas; Head coach Lloyd Carr indicated that senior Jermaine Gonzales would start in Avant’s spot

Pac-10

Arizona State
Junior starting TB Hakim Hill was dismissed from the football program following a violation of team policy; Head coach Dirk Koetter indicated that Hill would not be back with the team next season; Redshirt freshman Rudy Burgess and true freshman Antone Saulsberry would help shoulder the rushing duties for Friday’s game versus Purdue

SEC

LSU
The University has asked for permission to speak with Louisville head coach Bobby Petrino and Oklahoma State head coach Les Miles, regarding LSU’s coaching vacancy … … Two possible candidates, Auburn’s Tommy Tuberville and former Cleveland Browns and Miami Hurricane head coach Butch Davis are no longer options …

 

[Thegridiron]

Are you still on Ohio State as you posted in your leans? Just wanted to check since Smith was suspended after you posted your leans.

 

[Master Capper]

Gridiron,

No OSU is not a play at this point but I should have something up by 3 this afternoon.




–Ohio State (7-4 straight up, 6-5 against the spread) takes the field without starting quarterback Troy Smith, who has been suspended. Justin Zwick will get the starting assignment against Oklahoma State. Zwick finished the season by completing 51 percent of his passes (81-of-160) for 1,020 yards with five touchdowns and six interceptions.

–The Buckeyes wrapped up their regular season by beating arch-rival Michigan as a four-point home underdog, 37-21. The combined 58 points soared ‘over’ the 43-point closing total.

–Ohio State broke open the close contest with a 14-0 scoring advantage in the third quarter. The Buckeyes led the Wolverines in rushing yards (205-71) and time of possession (34:16-25:44), while also recording a pair of interceptions.

–Smith led the team by completing 13-of-23 passes for 241 yards with two touchdowns, while running 18 times for 145 yards and a score. Ted Ginn Jr. had five receptions for 87 yards, and had a key punt return for 82 yards and a touchdown.

–Oklahoma State (7-4 both SU and ATS) finished the regular season 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS its last four games after falling to Texas Tech as a 4 1/2-point road underdog, 31-15. The combined 46 points never seriously threatened the 68-point closing total, ending back-to-back ‘over’ outings for the Cowboys.

–Oklahoma State entered the fourth quarter with a slim 15-14 advantage before being outscored 17-0 in the final frame. The Cowboys finished the game on the short end of first downs (27-14), passing yards (281-66) and time of possession (32:52-27:08).

–Running back Vernand Morency paced the ground game with 23 carries for 108 yards, while quarterback Donovan Woods was 6-of-9 passing for 60 yards. Oklahoma State’s only touchdown occurred in the third quarter when Jamie Thompson returned an interception 68 yards.

–The Buckeyes and Cowboys have not played each other the previous few seasons, and have no common opponents this year.

–Oklahoma State defensive tackle Brad Girtman and cornerback Darrent Williams are expected to miss the Alamo Bowl due to team suspensions.