CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL

[mrcleantx]

These two defenses are the best in the nation right now by far. I went back and looked at similar games where their opponent had a top defense ranked in top 15 and using scoring defense as the measure in parantheses.

Notre Dame ( #1)
@ Michigan St. (#7)W 20-3 TOTAL 44
Stanford (#11) W 20-13 TOTAL 42
BYU (#3)W 17-14 (OT) TOTAL 41

ALABAMA (#2)
LSU(#10) W 21-17 TOTAL 38.5

As you can see when the match up featured top 15 defenses pitted against each other the UNDER was 4-0 in ND/BAMA games. Tonight will be a game of field position and conservative play calling as turnovers in a teams own territory is devastating in a game where points will be at a premium. Over bettors probabilities rely on turnovers and special teams scores. Give me the Under.

Great post! Thanks!
First score non td....+150. Ill bite

 

[SOUTHPHILYSHARK]

OVER OVER OVER
BAMA may put 40 up themselves......

 

[Cie]

http://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/stat/red-zone-scoring-pct

I see 16th VS 67, not sure if im missing something?:shrug:


Still is a different of about 8% if i see this correctly


my mistake i read that wrong, thought he was comparing both offenses

Nd offense scores TDs 46% of the time in the red zone, which places the Irish 119th nationally. Bama defense is #1 or #2 nationally at allowing TDs in the red zone. The under appeals to me when both defenses are this good, but especially when considering the red zone ineptitude of the Irish vs the stout red zone defense they face tonight.