CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK

Ronnie

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Tigers lost when I used their avatar, so now I'm trying reverse psychology:shrug:

I kinda thought thats what you were doing since I didn't see you wager the avatar. Good Luck this week bro! Should be a scorefest, waiting for the total to come out and I'm taking the over.
 

Cie

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Not only am I no longer leaning to Mizzou, but I will likely play Okie this weekend:scared :scared
 

Cie

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I kinda thought thats what you were doing since I didn't see you wager the avatar. Good Luck this week bro! Should be a scorefest, waiting for the total to come out and I'm taking the over.

I see 60.5:scared The way I saw it, Glen Dorsey hurt LSU more than he helped last week. If he is not any healthier this week, I would expect more of the same.
 

Whitt's End

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i completely agree about Dorsey. it's a shame about the injury, but trying to play on it when not 100%, he might be playing his way out of a top 3 pick...his future agent must be BEGGING him to stop.

Good Luck w/ your plays.
 

Cie

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Played:

OU -3 x2 W
Tenn +7 x1 P
Army +14 x1 L
UCLA un45.5 x1 W
CMU -3 x1 W
Zona +7 x1 W
FAU +16 x1 W
LSU un 59.5 x2 W
Oreg 2H un23 x.5 L



GL:weed:
 
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Kramer

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Hey Cie, Good Luck this week, probably not as
pissed as you about LW, but pissed non the less.
I probably shouldn't say this, but it fu$kin chaps
my ass that the SEC and Big 12 beat the fu$k out
of each other and the rest of these pantywaist
fu$kin conferences CAKE WALK thru their CREME
PUFF FU$KIN schedule and have the BALLS to...

nevermind, been drinkin too much and :toast:
 

Morris

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Damn Cie you're killing me here with the Tenn lean. J/K buddy you make me open my eyes and see the whole picture. Makes sense tho was kind of suprised LSU was favored by that much.
 

Cie

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LSU vs Tenn

I have profited overall by fading the Tigers in almost every game this season. Since DT Charles Alexander went down for the season, LSU has gone 2-7 ATS. The 2 covers came against Bama after a huge struggle and La Tech. LSU is 4-1 SU (2-3 ATS) on the road, but as mentioned previously, the Tigers played poorly at Bama and were lucky to get the cover.

Conversely, Tenn is on an 8-1 SU (7-2 ATS) run since getting humiliated by in Gainesville. The lone loss was a puzzling blowout at Bama. It should be pointed out that Tenn has played poorly on the road vs. a tough schedule. Tenn squeaked by Kentucky last week, and were blasted by Cal, Florida and Bama. The other win away from home was @ Miss St.

Not to beat a dead horse, but LSU is an extremely banged up team.

Inuries:

DB LSU has both starting safeties injured. Curtis Taylor has a bruised hip and Craig Steltz has a hamstring. Both will ikely play, but if Taylor doesn't it may improve the nickel and Dime packages because it will inject another CB into the mix. Frosh CB Jai Eugene should slide in and I think will help the secondary i pass coverage.

DL The DL, which is already down 1 starter, returns Soph DE Ricky Jean Francois from academic suspension since September. Francois is a beast, but I can't expect him to be in game shape. Of course Dorsey is still recovering from a knee and back spasms. He won't be 100% til the bowl at the earliest. Dorsey cost LSU last week more than he helped.


LB Despite the well-deserved recognition received by Ali Highsmith, LSU's best LB is MLB Darry Beckwith(jr). He played well below 100% last week off of arthroscopic surgery. He will play again, but I'm not sure how much he has healed since LW. His back-up is 2 steps slower than he is.

QB Flynn was reported by ESPN as not starting this game due to a shoulder injury. RP gets the nod in that case. RP is a head case off of the field, but he has EVERY physical tool you could want on it. The myth that Perriloux is an option QB and can't throw straight is absurd. He is a better runner than Flynn and has a MUCH bigger arm. In his only start his numbers were excellent, but that was vs. MTSU (I think) and he still missed several reads that game. Please note that I am a tough critic. As an LSU fan, I am glad that Tenn has little to go on in how to defend RP. He may actually provide a spark.
 
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Cie

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Here's a shout out to Taoist for offering to let me use his RV for tailgating at the GA dome for the SECCG. He even installed an AC for me. I would have taken him up on it had I not had to cancel my trip:

vloz4uy.jpg


Another shout out to Ronnie, who said I could crash on his boat to avoid the cost of a hotel:

tboat7tf.jpg


Thanks guys:SIB
 

Cie

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LSU offense vs Tenn Defense:

The vols D is statistically poor and on LSU's schedule, only only Ole Miss is a worse defense on paper. For the purpose of analysis, I threw out the 3 games vs. non-BCS opponents. No team has slowed LSU's offense. Bama did stop the run, but also allowed 388 yards through the air. He is back for sure, but if Trindan Holiday is really healthy, then he provides a ton of versatility for the LSU O. He has the speed to beat the angle and turns the corner at will.

When LSU runs against the Vol front:

What scares me about the Vols play today is the 4.2 ypc they allow. LSU has done a nice job of running the ball against all teams, except Bama who held them to 87 yds on 2.7ypc. The following list does not include the 3 cream puffs:

198 yds on 4.1 ypc @ Miss St
297 yds on 7.2 ydc vs VT
290 yds on 5.8ypc vs SC
247 yds on 4.8ypc vs FLA
261 Yds on 5.2ypc @ Kentucky
169 yds on 5.1ypc vs Aub
228 yds on 5.8 ypc @ Miss
204 yds on 4.3 ypc vs Arky

When LSU passes:

Of the 9 BCS conference teams faced by LSU this season, only Florida allows more passing ypg than the Vols. And that is likely because FLA pulled away in several games causing their opponent to throw exclusively in the 2H. The ? is the ablity of RP to read and react to coverage schemes. I feel with RP back there, LSU will run as much as possible, thus shortening the game. Also, look for bubble screens, swing passes, and bootlegs with a run/pass option to make Perriloux feel more comfortable.

VOls O vs LSU D:

It is well documented that LSU D has struggled w/ injury the 2nd half of the season. Still, that doesn't tell the entire story. More than any other year in recent memory, when teams spread it out w/ multple wides, LSU has sat back in coverage most of the season rather than attack the QB. They must feel that their coverage skills in the secondary can be exploited.

When Vols run:


LSU run D is significantly downgraded if Dorsey and Beckwith are not 100%. Still, it took surprise playing time by a running QB (Schaeffer of Ole Miss) and a freakin' menace (McFadden) to really exploit the banged up defensive front via the run. Conventional ground attacks have not found many running lanes and I would expect the Vols to be somewhat contained on the ground today unless the aforementioned inuries are still a big factor.

When Vols pass:

Ainge seems to have a nice amont of control out there, and his decision-making and protection is obviously great (3 sacks allowed :scared ) . Despite their overall lack of blitzing, LSU averages 3 sacks/g. With LSU starting safeties banged up, one would have to imagine that Ainge willl be able to find success in the passing game. I have a sneaking suspicion that LSU D will play more aggressively this week.
 
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