Cnotes 2018 College Football Thru The Bowl Games News- Trends-Stats-Best Bets !

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Saturday's best
November 3, 2018
By The Associated Press


STARS

-Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin, rushed for 208 yards and three TDs to help the Badgers run away from Rutgers for a 31-17 win.

-Ross Comis, UMass, threw for a career-best 540 yards and accounted for six TDs in a 62-59 triple overtime victory over Liberty.

-Reggie Corbin, Illinois, rushed for 213 yards and two TDs and became the first Illini player to rush for two 70-yard-plus touchdowns in a single game since 1944 in a 55-31 win over Minnesota.

-Ryan Boyle, Indiana State, had seven touchdowns, including a 3-yard scoring pass to Dante Hendrix in triple overtime, in a 51-48 win over South Dakota.

-Will Grier, West Virginia, threw for 346 yards and three TDs to send the 12th-ranked Mountaineers to a 42-41 win over No. 15 Texas.

-N'Keal Harry, Arizona State, caught nine passes for 161 yards and three touchdowns to help the Sun Devils beat No. 16 Utah 38-20.

-Travis Etienne, Clemson, ran for 153 yards and two TDs in the No. 2 Tigers' 77-16 dismantling of Louisville.

-Tom Stewart, Harvard, passed for 393 yards and a school record-tying five as the Crimson rolled to a 52-18 victory over Columbia.

-D'Andre Swift, Georgia, ran for a career-high 156 yards and two TDs to help the No. 6 Bulldogs beat No. 11 Kentucky 34-17.

-Griffin O'Connor, Yale, threw for 436 yards and four TDs in a 46-16 win over Brown.

-Isaiah Ifanse, Montana State, ran for 227 yards to set a school freshman record and had three TDs in a 49-42 win over Cal Poly.

-Jimmie Robinson, Bethune-Cookman, rushed for 208 yards and three TDs in a 30-28 win over Morgan State.

-Dalton Sneed, Montana, passed for 323 yards and five TDs in a 57-14 win over Southern Utah.

-Jaylan Thomas, Elon, ran for 222 yards in a 24-21 win over Rhode Island.

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GEORGIA EARNS SEC TITLE SPOT

Georgia believed it had a point to prove.

Bulldogs running backs D'Andre Swift and Elijah Holyfield spent all week hearing about the rushing prowess of Kentucky's Benny Snell Jr. Georgia's defensive players kept fielding questions about their inability to stop the run or rush the passer consistently.

They responded Saturday with a performance that convincingly showed Georgia remains the class of the Southeastern Conference Eastern Division. Swift ran for a career-high 156 yards and two touchdowns as the sixth-ranked Bulldogs defeated No. 11 Kentucky 34-17 to clinch the SEC East title.

Holyfield ran for a career-high 115 yards on 18 carries, scoring on a 4-yarder in the third quarter. Georgia rushed for a season-high 331 yards to earn a spot in the SEC championship game Dec. 1 in Atlanta.

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WOLVERINES ROLL

No. 5 Michigan wanted to do more than just beat No. 14 Penn State.

The Wolverines wanted to win big, getting revenge after getting routed and humiliated against the Nittany Lions last year.

Michigan got what it wanted.

Shea Patterson accounted for three touchdowns and the Wolverines put together a dominant performance on defense in a 42-7 rout against Penn State.

The Wolverines, No. 5 in the College Football Playoff rankings, moved a step closer toward their goals of winning a conference championship for the first time since 2004 and earning their first spot in the playoffs.

The Nittany Lions scored with 1:59 left, avoiding getting shut out for the first time since 2001 against Michigan.

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NUMBERS

20-Straight losses by UTEP before beating Rice 34-26.

26-Years since Virginia Tech lost three straight home games before this season.

41-Years since Tulane had won in the state of Florida before beating South Florida 41-15.
 

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4th Quarter Covers - Week 10
November 4, 2018
By Joe Nelson


Glancing at the scoreboard won?t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the 10th college football weekend to start November. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Buffalo (-8) 51, Miami, OH 42: The home favorite spread grew from -6? to -8 by kickoff and the result would come down to the wire in Tuesday?s high scoring MAC contest. Buffalo extended its lead to 35-21 early in the second half and maintained a 14-point edge late in the third quarter, but Miami scored twice in the final three minutes of the quarter to tie the game, successfully recovering an on-side kick to set-up the second score. Buffalo answered with about nine minutes remaining in the game, but the PAT was missed to leave the underdog Redhawks in position to cover. The Bulls stopped Miami on downs near midfield and then added a field goal to slip past the favorite spread with a nine-point edge. Down two scores, Miami continued to move the ball effectively, but a sack on the edge of the red zone led to the game?s only turnover. Buffalo wasn?t able to run out the clock as Miami would have another opportunity to spoil the favorite cover but needing to throw down the field, the Redhawks ended with four straight incomplete passes.

Kent State (-1?) 35, Bowling Green 28: The Flashes led by eight through three quarters closing as a slight favorite in this battle at the bottom of the MAC. Following a fumble, Bowling Green made a late charge completing a 4th-and-7 and eventually scoring a touchdown to get within two with about five minutes remaining. The two-point conversion was successful to tie the game and both teams followed with 3-and-out possessions. Kent State got the ball back in good field position and broke a 34-yard run to sit in field goal range with fewer than two minutes remaining. The Flashes scored on the next play with an 18-yard rush for a seven-point edge. Bowling Green lost big yardage on a fumble on its final drive, but retained possession facing 2nd-and-28 and then 3rd-and-12, with the Flashes sealing the game with an interception.

Toledo (-21) 45, Ball State 13: Toledo jumped out to a 21-0 lead in Wednesday?s MAC game with a defensive score on one of 10 turnovers these teams combined for in the game. Up 28-7 at halftime, Toledo was even with the closing spread before adding a field goal in the final seconds to close the third quarter. Ball State scored a touchdown in the fourth but failed going for two, trailing by 18 on a spread that opened at -17 and closed at -21 for the Rockets. It wound up not mattering as Eli Peters threw two more touchdown passes in the fourth quarter as Toledo pulled away for a 32-point win despite only out-gaining Ball State by 94 yards.

Northern Illinois (-6?) 36, Akron 26: The Huskies managed 10 points in the final six minutes of the first half to lead by 14 at the break but Akron rallied in the third quarter, seemingly tying the game with a touchdown to trail 27-26. The PAT was blocked and returned the other way for two points as Northern Illinois took a three-point edge in the final quarter. Jalen McKie who had the PAT return score, would then intercept a pass for a touchdown in the fourth quarter as the Huskies added seven more points and wound up with the narrow favorite cover without scoring on offense in the final 26 minutes of the game.

Central Florida (-10) 52, Temple 40: The Thursday night TV game in the American generated a lot of interest and the line wobbled all over the place, opening at -12 falling to -10?, climbing back to as high as -13 before crashing all the way back down to -10. Temple had its way offensively in this game and led 34-28 at the half with the ?over? cleared in just two quarters. Looking to keep the nation?s longest winning streak going, UCF scored two touchdowns in the third quarter to lead by eight with Temple having an interception and a missed field goal. The Owls picked up an interception early in the fourth quarter and would add six points with about 10 minutes remaining in the game, trailing by two, with that margin holding after a failed two-point conversion bid.

The Knights went 75 yards in six plays to go up by nine and Owls backers could feel the sting coming as Temple had to work to move down the field, reaching the UCF 20-yard-line on a 10-play drive but taking a sack and forced to go for it on 4th-and-20, coming up with an incomplete pass. With still five minutes to go, the Knights couldn?t lay off the gas but UCF was stopped on 3rd-and-3 after Temple exhausted its timeouts just past the two-minute mark. UCF opted to kick the field goal from 32 yards, enough to earn the cover for many on the favorite with the middle possible as well.

Middle Tennessee State (-13?) 29, Western Kentucky 10: The Hilltoppers hit a 46-yard pass play late in the third quarter to enter the final frame down 23-10. Western Kentucky held the Blue Raiders to a short field goal early in the fourth to remain within two scores but falling outside the underdog cover. With a chance to get back within the number, the Hilltoppers had a field goal blocked and then later in the fourth was forced to go for it on 4th down in their own territory. Middle Tennessee State added another short field goal to lead by 19 and a last effort from Western Kentucky ended in an interception.

Arizona (-3) 42, Colorado 34: Arizona had a big yardage edge but it was a two-point game at half-time and the Wildcats led just 35-34 through three quarters Friday night. Early in the fourth, Arizona hit a 57-yard pass for a touchdown to lead by eight and Colorado couldn?t answer, opting to go for it on 4th-and-9 rather than kick a field goal with 10 minutes remaining. The Buffaloes got another shot after an Arizona interception with Colorado reaching the 18-yard-line before also being intercepted near the goal line and Arizona was able to run out the remaining five minutes of game clock.

Purdue (-2) 38, Iowa 36: Purdue led by 12 entering the fourth quarter but Iowa scored two touchdowns in the first five minutes of the fourth quarter with an interception leading to the second score as suddenly the slight underdog Hawkeyes were in front by one. After trading punts, Purdue got the ball back near midfield and managed to waste the rest of the clock and line up a 25-yard field goal for the win, though for most Iowa still had enough to cover priced at +2? most of the week before bouncing in between +2 and +1? in the hours before kickoff.

Georgia Tech (-4) 38, North Carolina 28: The Yellow Jackets allowed an early defensive score, but rallied to lead 21-10 at the half and 28-20 through three quarters. Early in the fourth, North Carolina found the end zone and went for two, successfully tying the game. Georgia Tech was in position to quickly answer but fumbled inside the 10-yard-line and North Carolina would return the favor with an interception. Georgia Tech converted a 4th down play and then added a touchdown with three minutes remaining and then after another Tar Heels interception sealed the game with a field goal.

Memphis (-11) 59, East Carolina 41: This game was tied halfway through the third quarter and Memphis led by just four well into the fourth quarter. The Tigers scored two touchdowns in the span of just over four minutes to pull ahead by 18 as a toxic against the spread season for a productive East Carolina team continued. The Pirates got back within 11 briefly but after a failed on-side kick, East Carolina allowed an aggressive Memphis offense to get down the field. The Tigers opted to go for it on 4th-and-goal in a huge play for the spread outcome and succeeded to create the 18-point final margin. East Carolina had its own 4th down attempt in the final minute inside the 10-yard-line but the pass was broken up.

West Virginia (-1) 42, Texas 41: The Longhorns were a 3-point favorite early in the week before dipping to -2 or -1? and in the hour before game time the number flipped as the Mountaineers closed as a slight favorite. Texas led by one at the half and by four through three quarters, adding a field goal to lead by seven in the fourth quarter. West Virginia completed an 11-play touchdown drive to tie the game with about six minutes remaining, but Texas hit a 48-yard pass to lead by seven with just over two minutes to go. West Virginia didn?t face a 3rd down and connected for a 33-yard touchdown with just 16 seconds left on the clock to seemingly force overtime. The Mountaineers declined that opportunity and went for the win with Will Grier getting into the end zone for the one-point victory.

Army (-4?) 17, Air Force 14: Air Force had a few tough breaks in the first half to trail 14-0 but took advantage of a short field late in the third quarter to finally get on the board but the PAT failed, leaving the Falcons down eight with a spread that was +7 most of the week before sliding Friday night and Saturday morning. Army turned in a long drive and managed a field goal to lead by 11 but Air Force put together its best drive of the day to add a touchdown with about five minutes remaining. Down five, the Falcons went for two and got it on a play that loomed large for the closing spread of 4?. Army had to punt as the Falcons were a threat to tie the game, eventually reaching the Army 38-yard-line before failing on 3rd and 4th down runs.

South Carolina (+2) 48, Mississippi 44: Ole Miss pulled ahead 44-34 in the first minute of the fourth quarter, but South Carolina answered with a touchdown three minutes later to get back within three. The Gamecocks held the Rebels to back-to-back 3-and-outs and then broke a 69-yard run on 1st down, getting in the end zone a few plays later to take the lead. Ole Miss would reach midfield on a late possession but the Gamecocks held on.

Auburn (-3?) 28, Texas A&M 24: The Aggies dominated the box score in this SEC West battle and led 24-14 through three quarters on the road. Early in the fourth, Texas A&M missed a short field goal and then later in the fourth, the Aggies had an interception at the edge of field goal range to keep the margin at 10. Auburn got back in the game going 71 yards in only two minutes to climb within three with about five minutes remaining in the game. Texas A&M reached midfield but had to punt and a strong return set Auburn up near midfield for the two-minute-drill. It didn?t take long for the Tigers to deliver going 58 yards in two plays as Auburn suddenly was leading and in front of the closing spread. Three penalties thwarted the final drive for Texas A&M as Auburn escaped with a very fortunate result.

Baylor (+6?) 35, Oklahoma State 31: A blocked punt return put Baylor up at halftime, but two touchdowns late in the third quarter put Oklahoma State in front by 10. Baylor had a 75-yard rush to answer to trail by three going into the fourth quarter. Justice Hill scored with nine minutes to go as Oklahoma State was back in front by 10 but the Bears would answer with an 86-yard touchdown drive with fewer than six minutes remaining. Up by three, the Cowboys would face a decision just past the two-minute mark, facing 4th-and-2 from the Baylor 36-yard-line. Oklahoma State went for it and took a sack setting up the Bears with great field position. Baylor wasn?t content to play for the tie and wound up in the end zone for the upset with seven seconds to go.

Massachusetts (+2) 62, Liberty 59: UMass led by seven entering the fourth quarter, but Liberty scored three touchdowns in the first four minutes of the final frame to suddenly lead by 14. Massachusetts would answer to get back within seven and then forced a punt. The Minutemen converted a 4th down to keep hopes alive and eventually ran into the end zone with 25 seconds remaining. Liberty had a shot late but threw an interception at the 5-yard-line as time expired. It took three overtimes but starting the third session, Liberty converted a 4th-and-1 rather than kicking a field goal and then two plays later lost the ball with an interception. Massachusetts did enough to get the game-winning field goal for the narrow win and cover for most, though Massachusetts did open at -3.

Notre Dame (-9?) 31, Northwestern 21: Notre Dame posted nearly double the yardage against Northwestern but had trouble pulling away with a 7-7 halftime score. Notre Dame scored twice late in the third quarter and pushed the lead to 24-7 early in the fourth. Northwestern hit a few big plays to climb back within 10, with a spread that opened at just -7 but briefly went as high as -10? before settling back below -10. A blocked punt handed Northwestern great field position and suddenly the Wildcats were back within three after getting in the end zone on a 4th down rush. Notre Dame went 89 yards for a touchdown with about three minutes remaining to put the margin back at 10 where the final ended.

USC (-15?) 38, Oregon State 21: USC had a 21-0 edge halfway through the second quarter, but Oregon State climbed back in the game with two touchdowns before halftime. The seven-point margin held into the fourth after an exchange of touchdowns in the third quarter but USC broke a 62-yard run in the fourth to go back up by 14 following Oregon State failing going for it on 4th down in USC territory. The Beavers would wind up punting on the next two possessions while USC added a field goal that was critical to the spread outcome.

Washington (-8?) 27, Stanford 23: The Huskies went up 21-0 early in the second quarter in this Pac-12 North clash and that score held at halftime. Stanford battled back in the second half and closed to within seven with a field goal early in the fourth quarter. Washington responded in kind to lead by 10 with five minutes remaining on a spread that was -10 much of the week but slipped to -8? by kickoff Saturday night. Stanford hit a 33-yard touchdown pass with three minutes remaining but missed the PAT. Washington wasn?t able to add points to get back in front of the number, pinning Stanford at the 15-yard-line. The Cardinal made a late threat but wound up intercepted in the end zone in the final seconds as Stanford had done enough in the second half to cover.
 

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Betting Recap - Week 10
November 4, 2018
By Joe Williams


Overall Notes

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 10 RESULTS


WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 48-14
Against the Spread 32-28-2

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 36-26
Against the Spread 25-35-2

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 31-31

The largest underdogs to win straight up
SMU (+14, ML +450) vs. Houston, 45-31
Duke (+9.5, ML +300) at Miami-Florida, 20-12
Illinois (+9.5, ML +280) vs. Minnesota, 55-31
Arizona State (+8.5, ML +280) vs, Utah, 38-20

The largest favorites to cover
Clemson (-38.5) vs. Louisville, 77-16
Fresno State (-27) at UNLV, 48-3
Mississippi State (-23) vs. Louisiana Tech, 45-3
UAB (-21.5) vs. UTSA, 52-3

Top 25 Notes

-- Wasn't Alabama supposed to be tested on the road against LSU on Saturday? The Crimson Tide were, I guess, challenged for the better part of two quarters when it was 9-0 late into the end of the second half. They also picked up the first interception of the season against Heisman favorite QB Tua Tagovailoa. However, the Bayou Bengals failed to score in Death Valley in the 29-0 statement victory, as the Crimson Tide continue to steam along and LSU's playoff chances went up in smoke in the process.

-- Michigan-Penn State was one of a handful of games dubbed by the worldwide leader as 'Statement Saturday'. The Nittany Lions were muted, while the Wolverines made a huge statement. They ran out to a 42-0 lead, and the Lions were only able to muster seven points before limping home with a 35-point loss. It's likely that the Michigan-Ohio State game later this month will decide the Big Ten East representative in the league's Championship Game. Michigan has won eight in a row since their season opening loss at Notre Dame, and they have covered four in a row.

-- Clemson continues to post historic numbers in the ACC. They steamrolled Louisville by a 77-16 score, easily covering a 38 1/2-point number. The Tigers have won two league games this season by 60 or more points. Entering this season there were just two wins of 60 or more points by any team in the history of the Atlantic Coast Conference across the first 65 seasons. After opening the season 1-4 ATS in the first five outings, Clemson is a perfect 4-0 ATS over the past four outings.

-- Washington State did something they hadn't all season - fail to cover a spread. They narrowly won 19-13 against California, and they needed a late touchdown to dispatch the Golden Bears. The Cougs are now 8-1 ATS, tied for the best ATS record in FBS along with Fresno State, UAB and Utah State.

Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

-- Duke scored a 20-12 victory on the road against Miami-Florida in soggy conditions at Hard Rock Stadium in South Florida. The Blue Devils continue to be one of the hardest teams to figure out. They are 4-0 SU/ATS as an underdog this season, and 0-3 SU/ATS in their past three as a favorite. Meanwhile, 'The U'...not quite back. They lost to the Blue Devils at home for the first time since 1976. ... Meanwhile, Syracuse continues to roll right along, posting a 41-24 win at Wake Forest. The Orange are 7-2 SU/6-2-1 ATs through nine outings.

-- Michigan State hit the road for Maryland and quickly ended any notion of an upset by the Terps. Sparty has bounced back with wins over Purdue and Maryland after a 21-7 setback to rival Michigan on Oct. 20. Sparty has covered consecutive games for the first time this season, too. The 'under' has cashed in four in a row for Michigan State, too. ... Illinois was dumped 63-33 last week by Maryland, so naturally they rebounded at home and handled Minnesota 55-31 as 9 1/2-point underdogs (ML +280). The Gophers are 4-1 SU at home, but 0-4 SU on the road. ... Michigan and Purdue have the best ATS mark in the conference at 6-3 ATS, while Wisconsin is the worst at 2-7 ATS. ... The 'over' is an impressive 7-2 for Penn State.

-- Iowa State wasn't going to take a step back to kill their momentum after a few nice home wins. They went to Kansas and put the Jayhawks in their place, 27-3. As a result, the Cyclones improved to a Big 12-best 6-2 ATS. ... On the flip side, TCU slipped past Kansas State by a 14-13 score, but they failed to cover again. They have the worst record against the spread in the conference at 2-7 ATS. ... Oklahoma held off Texas Tech in a 51-46 shootout in Lubbock, as the 'over cashed for the seventh time in nine games for the Red Raiders. The over is now an impressive 8-1 for the Sooners.

-- Washington earned a 27-23 win against Stanford, although they failed to cover. Unlikely their rivals from The Palouse, the Huskies are a dismal 2-8 ATS, the worst mark against the spread in the Pac-12. ... Oregon gained bowl eligibility with a 42-21 win and cover against UCLA. It was a rare cover, as the Ducks are still just 3-6 ATS overall. ... Utah took it on the chin against Arizona State by a 38-20 score, improving to 6-3 ATS. There are four teams tied in the South Division standings with three losses apiece, and that's the best mark.

-- Missouri picked up a much-needed road win over Florida, 38-17. After a 5-0 SU/ATS run, the Gators have losted and failed to cover in back-to-back games for the first time this season. ... Georgia topped Kentucky in Lexington by a 34-17 score, pouring some cold water on the previously streaking Wildcats. In doing so, the Dawgs clinched a spot in the SEC Championship Game and a date with 'Bama. UGA has covered back-to-back games for the first time since Oct. 27-Nov. 3.

Bad Beats

-- There weren't a lot of bad beats across college football this week, but the Texas A&M-Auburn was a triple-headed bad beat, if there ever was such a thing. The Aggies led 24-21 with less than two minutes to go, but the Tigers scored a TD with 1:41 to go to change everything. The total (47) changed from 'under' to 'over', moneyline bettors of the Aggies took it in the shorts and the Tigers ended up covering the 3 1/2-point number, too.

-- The total in Georgia Tech-North Carolina (64 1/2) looked to be going under. The Ramblin' Wreck scored a go-ahead TD with 3:00 to go, taking a 35-28 lead. They got down deep in Tar Heels territory and elected to kick a field goal with :46 to go, taking a 38-28 lead and flipping the total from under to over.

-- If you're betting an Alcorn State-New Mexico State game, you have bigger problems than a little ol' bad beat. The Aggies were up 52-35 and covering the 12 1/2-point number, but Alcorn scored a touchdown with :26 left for the backdoor cover and a pretty big bad beat.

-- FAU and Lane Kiffin have appeared frequently on the bad beats section and Scott Van Pelt's famous segment in the past, and they are likely to appear there again this week. The Owls were thumping their rivals FIU by a 42-14 count late in the game. The Owls put in their backups and were getting some younger players some much-needed time. Little-used QB Rafe Peavey entered late and scored an 11-yard touchdown run with :27 to push the lead to 49-14, and flip the total (59 1/2) from an under to an over.
 

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College Football Best Bets and Opinions

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/03/2018 25-32-3 43.86% -51.00
11/02/2018 4-2-0 66.66% +9.00
11/01/2018 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00

Totals............31-38-3........44.92%.....-54.00


Best Bets:

Best Bets For November

DATE........................ATS..................U NITS....................O/U................UNITS..............TOTAL

11/03/2018.............10 - 13...............-21.50...................3 - 4................-7.00...............-28.50
11/02/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................2 - 1................+4.50..............+9.00
11/01/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................0 - 3................-16.50..............-12.00

Totals....................14 - 15.................-12.50...................5 - 8................-19.00..............-31.50
 

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Pac-12 South football standings:

Arizona State 4-3

USC 4-3

Utah 4-3

Arizona State 3-3

Colorado 2-4

UCLA 2-4

Not a great year for the Pac-12 South


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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Happy Election Day? go vote!!!!


13) Today is Election Day; please go vote, if you already haven?t done so. Its our job as American citizens to go and make our voices heard- its one of the great parts of living in a democracy. Plus, sometimes they have bake sales at polling places so you can get fairly cheap cupcakes or donuts.

Go vote!!! (After you read the rest of this??)

12) There is a TV program on WeTV called ?Love After Lockup?; it is described this way:

?Couples meet their potential future spouses for the first time once the bars are removed from the relationship.? In other words, once the future spouse gets out of jail.

What could possibly go wrong?

11) Friday night in the CFL, after Ottawa scored a TD to grab a 23-9 lead with 0:59 left in the 3rd quarter, an Ottawa offensive lineman went to the front row of the stands, grabbed a can of beer from a fan, and chugged the beer? during the game!!!!

When I saw the clip, I figured it was just before the end of the game, but it wasn?t. Yikes.

10) There is a dog walking app called WAG; you pay someone to walk your dog for you. They get the keys to your house, they walk little Scruffy around the block, you can follow their progress on the app, and everyone is happy.

In this day and age, if you think I?m giving the keys to my freakin? house to some stranger who walks dogs for a living, then you?re bleepin? goofy. There isn?t anything all that valuable here, but it is valuable to me. I?d get the dog a treadmill like George Jetson before I paid someone.

9) Sig Mejdal is a former NASA engineer and blackjack dealer who worked on the analytical team that helped the Houston Astros win the World Series LY; he?s let his contract with the Astros run out and will now look for another job.

NASA engineer and blackjack dealer? Sounds like an interesting guy.

8) I?m not a big Tom Cruise fan, but his best movie (in my opinion) by far is A Few Good Men, with Risky Business 2nd, and then probably Cocktail.

The scene where Jack Nicholson testifies in court: ?You can?t handle the truth!!!!? is still one of my favorite movie scenes ever.

7) ESPN?s Mike Breen had a tremendous euphemism as he tried to gently rip the Washington Wizards in their loss Friday night: ???.just a lack of consistent intensity?

Oklahoma City had 110 points AFTER THE 3RD QUARTER; Wizards weren?t trying real hard, which is why they?re 2-7 this season.

6) Mark Jackson told a neat story during the Wolves-Warriors game Friday night; when he was coaching Golden State, Jackson brought college teammate Chris Mullen in to work with then-rookie Klay Thompson on footwork, how to use screens, stuff like that- it obviously helped.

When Thompson was playing at Washington State, you wouldn?t have figured him to be a star in the NBA, but he sure is now.

5) ?Its not who starts, its who finishes.? Lot of basketball coaches say that to subs who might have their feelings hurt when they come off the bench instead of starting.

Actions speak louder than words; JJ Redick hasn?t started a game yet for the 76ers, but he is 4th on the team in minutes played, second on team in shots taken and scoring (18.4 ppg). And his $12,250,000 salary (#3 on team) speaks pretty loudly, too.

4) Arizona Cardinals cut QB Sam Bradford, who has earned roughly $129M in his football career, while accumulating a career record of 34-48-1. Arizona wound up paying him $13.5M and he only played three games for them. No bueno.

Bradford is better than any QB Buffalo has, but he?d last about 10 minutes behind that offensive line, thats 10 minutes of regular time, not game time.

Bradford had some success playing for Giants? coach Pat Shurmur when Shurmur was OC up at Minnesota, so there are rumors Bradford could be heading to the Big Apple.

3) A big reason of why college basketball has changed so much in the last decade; freshmen played 81.2% of Kentucky?s minutes last year- freshmen played 67.5% of Duke?s minutes.

In the last four seasons, of the 20 freshmen Kentucky had, 12 of them stayed only one year. 11 of Duke?s last 19 freshmen have left school after one season.

If you?re good enough to start for Kentucky/Duke, you probably already have one eye on the NBA, so it becomes difficult to tell who is invested in playing college ball and who is counting the minutes until they can bolt college and go to the NBA Combine.

2) Average ticket prices and team payrolls this past baseball season:
Red Sox $206M payroll, $56.97 average ticket
Astros $172M payroll, $40.25 average ticket
Bronx Bombers $161M payroll, average ticket $47.62
Indians: $137M payroll, average ticket $30.04

1) Leonardo DiCaprio, Brad Pitt hosted a 4-minute video last week urging all Americans to go vote on November 6th- it was a little odd seeing actors speak as themselves, we?re so used to seeing them play different roles.

But their point is valid? please go vote!!!!
 

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NCAAF

Week 11

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Trend Report

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Tuesday, November 6

Kent State @ Buffalo
Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 6 games
Kent State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Buffalo
Buffalo is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games


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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 6

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KENT ST (2 - 7) at BUFFALO (8 - 1) - 11/6/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

Tuesday, November 6

Kent State @ Buffalo


Game 101-102
November 6, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
63.317
Buffalo
87.545
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 24
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 20
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-20); Over



---------------------------------


NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11



Tuesday?s game

Buffalo won its last four games, by 10-18-14-9 points; they?re 5-1-1 in last seven games as a home favorite. Bulls threw for 684 yards in their last two games. Kent State got its first I-A win of season LW, beating winless (vs I-A teams) Bowling Green; two of Kent?s last three losses were by one point. Golden Flashes are 5-7 vs spread in last 12 games as road underdogs, 2-3 this year; they scored 23+ points in four of last five games. Six of last eight Buffalo games went over total; five of last six Kent games stayed under. MAC home favorites are 10-10 vs spread this year.


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Wake Forest QB Hartman out for season

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C. (AP) Wake Forest says starting quarterback Sam Hartman will miss the rest of the season with a leg injury.

Coach Dave Clawson disclosed Hartman's injury on Sunday, a day after he was hurt during a 41-24 loss to Syracuse.

Hartman had started all nine games for the Demon Deacons (4-5, 1-4 ACC) but becomes the 12th Wake Forest player to suffer a season-ending injury. He was 161 of 291 for 1,984 yards and 16 touchdowns.

Wake Forest plays at North Carolina State on Thursday night.


Kansas fires head coach Beaty

Kansas fired head football coach David Beaty on Sunday. Beatty will coach the Jayhawks' final three games this season.

The Jayhawks (3-6) are coming off a 27-3 home loss on Saturday to Iowa State.

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Early bettors hit Auburn odds, but Georgia still huge college football Week 11 favorite
Patrick Everson

Daniel Thomas and Auburn hope to show they've still got some muscle to flex in the SEC. The Tigers saw some early money for their Week 11 game at Georgia, but the Bulldogs remain 14.5-point favorites

Week 11 of the college football season has plenty of big-name games, but oddsmakers don?t expect them to be very competitive. We check in on the opening lines and early action for four contests, with insights from Derek Wilkinson, supervisor at The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Auburn Tigers at No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (-14.5)

Georgia got rolled at Auburn in the regular season last year, then beat the Tigers in the CFP semifinals before losing the title game to Alabama. The Bulldogs (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS), aiming to stay firmly in this year?s CFP conversation, dumped Kentucky 34-17 laying 9.5 points on the road in Week 10.

Auburn won four of its first five games, including an at-the-time big season-opening victory over Washington, and the loss was by just a point at Louisiana State. The Tigers (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) then dropped two in a row to fall out of the rankings. Gus Malzahn?s troops followed with a couple of wins, including a 28-24 home victory over Texas A&M giving 3.5 points.

?This is one of the better matchups of the week. Georgia is a beast, but I?ve been fairly impressed by Auburn the last couple of weeks,? Wilkinson said Monday night. ?We took a five-figure bet on Auburn earlier, but haven?t moved the line quite yet. We?re waiting to see which side the sharps like. I still think Georgia is just too strong right now, and being at home is going to help them cover that 14.5.?

No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans (-4)

Ohio State certainly has College Football Playoff aspirations, but can? take any more blemishes such as the one in Week 8 at Purdue. The Buckeyes (8-1 SU, 3-6 ATS) followed that blowout loss with a bye, then struggled last Saturday at home against Nebraska, hanging on for a 36-31 victory as 17-point favorites.

Michigan State has won three of its last four SU and ATS, including a road upset of Penn State as a double-digit underdog in Week 7. This past week, the Spartans (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) rolled past Maryland 24-3 as 3-point road faves.

?Both of these teams have been inconsistent, to say the least. It?ll be interesting to see which way the wiseguys bet this,? Wilkinson said. ?We haven?t seen any action yet, but my guess is that the line is going to go up. I think Ohio State is much more talented, but it depends on which team shows up that day.?

No. 2 Clemson Tigers at No. 25 Boston College Eagles (-17.5)

Unbeaten Clemson is facing a ranked team this week but is a hefty favorite as it works toward a fourth straight CFP appearance. The Tigers (9-0 SU, 5-4 ATS) have not messed around the past four games, going 4-0 SU and ATS by a whopping combined score of 240-36. In Week 10, Clemson boatraced Louisville 77-16 as 38-point home favorites.

Boston College has won three in row SU and four in a row ATS in the battle for second-best team in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The Eagles (7-2 SU and ATS) topped Virginia Tech 31-21 as 2-point road faves in Week 10.

?We took a large wager on Clemson as soon as we opened it up, and we went to -18,? Wilkinson said. ?Then the whole betting market moved to -20, so we did as well. I think that?s the direction the line is going to keep heading, too. Boston College can?t compete with Clemson, even if the Eagles are at home. I think this line will be 21 or 22 by Saturday.?

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Oklahoma Sooners (-18)

Oklahoma needs to stay focused in the annual Bedlam game in order to remain in the CFP picture. The Sooners (8-1 SU, 4-5 ATS) survived a shootout with Texas Tech in Week 10, winning 51-46 laying 14 points on the road.

Oklahoma State won its first three games, but hasn?t been up to par since, losing four of six SU and ATS. The Cowboys (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) got a nice home win over Texas in Week 9, but tumbled at Baylor in Week 10, 35-31 giving 6 points.

?Sometimes instate rivalry games are competitive, but I don?t think that will be the case this weekend. However, 18 is a lot of points,? Wilkinson said. ?Oklahoma State has had some good wins this season, but I don?t think the Cowboys have a chance at winning this one. We haven?t seen much action on it yet. I think the line is going to drop a little throughout the week, just because it?s so high and the Sooners and Cowboys are rivals.?
 
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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 6
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


KENT at BUFF 07:30 PM

BUFF -17.0

O 44.5
 

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Patterson runs for 2 TDs as Buffalo wins 48-14, goes to 9-1
November 6, 2018
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BUFFALO, N.Y. (AP) Jaret Patterson rushed for 187 yards and two touchdowns and Buffalo beat Kent State 48-14 on Tuesday night to run its record to 9-1 for the first time in school history.

The nine wins are the most in the Bulls' FBS history, dating to 1999. Buffalo is 6-0 in the Mid-American Conference for the first time.

While the freshman Patterson was posting a career-high yardage total, Tyree Jackson threw his 45th career touchdown pass for third place in Bulls history and the 24th of this season, tying for third. Adam Mitcheson was perfect on seven PAT attempts as he became the program's career scoring leader with 269 points.

Buffalo took off to a 21-0 lead in the first quarter on Patterson's 64-yard run in the first minute, a 1-yard touchdown from Jackson and a 2-yarder by Emmanuel Reed.

It was 34-0 at halftime and 48-0 until Kent State scored a pair of touchdowns in the final 10 minutes.
 

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Wednesday, November 7, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
7:00 PM Ohio Bobcats Miami-Ohio Redhawks
8:00 PM Toledo Rockets Northern Illinois Huskies

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College Football Best Bets and Opinions

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/06/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
11/03/2018 25-32-3 43.86% -51.00
11/02/2018 4-2-0 66.66% +9.00
11/01/2018 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00

Totals............33-38-3........46.47%.....-44.00


Best Bets:

Best Bets For November

DATE........................ATS..................U NITS....................O/U................UNITS..............TOTAL

11/06/2018..............1 - 0..................+5.00...................1 - 0................+5.00..............+10.00
11/03/2018.............10 - 13...............-21.50...................3 - 4................-7.00...............-28.50
11/02/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................2 - 1................+4.50..............+9.00
11/01/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................0 - 3................-16.50..............-12.00

Totals....................15 - 15.................-7.50....................6 - 8................-14.00..............-21.50
 

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Wednesday?s 6-pack

Some college hoop players on the shelf to start the season:

? USC ? Elijah Weaver (ankle) out 2-3 weeks.

? BYU ? Nick Emery (NCAA) suspended for nine games.

? Gonzaga ? Killian Tillie (stress fracture in ankle) out eight weeks.

? Western Kentucky ? Lamonte Bearden (academics) out until mid-December.

? Auburn ? Austin Wiley (foot) will miss the season-opener. Danjel Purifoy (NCAA) will miss the first nine games.

? Baylor ? Mario Kegler (suspended) for six games for violation of team rules. Makai Mason (ankle) questionable for season-opener.

Quote of the Day
?Go through the list and this team, over a long period of time, has been what it?s been. It hasn?t always mattered who the head coach has been. So to me, if you?re asking me, I?d say there has to be a complete overhaul of the entire organization.?
Troy Aikman, talking about the Cowboys

Wednesday?s quiz
Craig Morton started in Super Bowls for Dallas and what other team?

Tuesday?s quiz
Craig Morton played QB for the Dallas Cowboys in Super Bowl V, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Monday?s quiz
The second Super Bowl was played at the Orange Bowl, in Miami.

*****************

Wednesday?s Den: Wrapping up Opening Night in college hoop

13) Kansas 92, Michigan State 87? Jayhawks led this game the whole way, were up 50-36 at halftime, but Spartans fought back late and made the Kansas fans sweat.

Dick Vitale started his 40th season on ESPN with this game; he surprised me by saying that he thinks college basketball season starts too early, and shouldn?t begin until after Thanksgiving Day. Don?t think I agree with that; after Thanksgiving would be too late.

I liked the early season basketball marathon ESPN used to run for 24 hours, but they?ve done away with it now. That would?ve been early next week. Who needs sleep?

12) Duke 118, Kentucky 84? Blue Devils led this game 34-13 at one point, and then it got worse; impressive display by a very young Duke team- game was 59-42 at halftime, 85-52 with 12:22 left. Wildcats don?t get whacked like that very often.

11) Texas Southern 72, Baylor 69? When you pay an opponent to come to your gym and play, they?re not supposed to win. Last year, Texas Southern played its first 13 games on the road- their first home game was New Year?s Day. TSU started last year 0-13, lost by 31 at Baylor, but the Jonny Jones era gets off to an excellent start here.

10) Arizona State 102, Cal State-Fullerton 94 2OT? Titans made NCAAs LY but weren?t given a big chance here; Ahmad/Allman combined for 64 points, but no other Titan scored more than 11 points- they?ll need a third scorer to emerge.

ASU was only 26-44 on foul line; they took 18 more FT?s than Fullerton.

9) North Carolina 78, Wofford 67? This game was tied 46-all with 10:30 left, but reality set in down the stretch. Credit to Roy Williams for going to Wofford?s gym and playing a real road game? it?ll make the Tar Heels better. Wofford has to be encouraged by this game.

More teams need to have some guts and play some true road games.

8) Georgia State 74, East Tennessee State 68? Couple of solid mid-majors hooked up here; ETSU had 27 offensive rebounds, but were just 4-23 on arc, 17-27 on charity stripe. Four Georgia State starters played 35:00+, so not a lot of depth there.

7) Bills-Jets total this week is 36.5; it is the lowest NFL total since 2012.

6) Penn 72, George Mason 71? Quakers win a nail biter despite going 6-18 on the foul line.

5) Stony Brook 77, George Washington 74 OT? GW led this game 22-0 but lost; not exactly the best way to start your season. Stony Brook?s first points came 10:14 into the game; they were only 6-26 on arc, 17-27 on foul line, but they out-rebounded the Colonials 46-38, who were 16-34 on the foul line in at overtime loss.

4) Providence 77, Siena 67? Friars made 13-25 on arc, Saints 12-28 in relatively foul-free game; only 20 FT?s were tried in this game. Siena started a soph and two frosh in coach Christian?s Siena debut; they have to be somewhat encouraged by this game.

3) There are now 353 Division I basketball teams; Cal Baptist (WAC) and North Alabama (Atlantic Sun) are the two new teams this season.

2) Boston College 73, Milwaukee 53? BC was down 10 at the half in this game; they outscored the Panthers 46-16 in second half.

1) Louisiana Tech 71, Wichita State 58? Could be more of a rebuilding job than people thought for the Wheatshockers- they were a 10-point favorite here.
 
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Hot & Not Report
November 5, 2018
By YouWager.eu


Who's Hot and Who's Not

Week of November 5th


Last week's article dealt with the NFL as we had veteran QB's on a roll and warm weather, turnover prone teams as some of the best to fade. Well, Week 9 saw those five teams with QB's of 30+ end up going 2-3 ATS, as the Saints and Steelers came away with impressive victories, while Seattle and Denver had their chances all the way down to the final gun. Only the Washington Redskins saw their 3-0 ATS streak end rather quickly as they just couldn't stop Atlanta's running attack all afternoon long.

Over on the other side, the turnover prone teams from sunny California and Florida went 1-2 ATS (Jacksonville had their bye). That 1-2 ATS mark was the worst they could do though as San Francisco and Oakland played one another, so someone was bound to cover the number. Tampa Bay continued to turn the ball over with two more INT's thrown by Ryan Fitzpatrick, as the Bucs look like a prime candidate for a massive overhaul at nearly every position come this spring.

Today it's back to the college ranks as the CFB Playoff picture heats up with each passing Saturday and there are some pretty significant SU winning (and losing streaks) going on throughout the nation. SU wins don't lead to dramatic ATS success in college like they tend to do in the pros, but with many of the programs who are currently playoff contenders riding some significant runs, will any of them slip up this week?

Who's Hot

National Title contenders with winning streaks of 8 or more games ? Alabama, Clemson, Michigan, Notre Dame

There's a real good chance we see those four teams as the CFB playoff selection committee's Top 4 this week, as Michigan should jump up into that 4th spot with LSU eliminated now. It shouldn't be surprising to see teams that are running the table in the mix to win it all, but all four of those squads went 4-0 ATS this past week. Alabama's got the longest SU winning streak of the group (11), followed by Notre Dame (10), Clemson (9), and Michigan (8). And it wouldn't be a piece on current winning streaks without a shout out to UCF's 21 straight wins, as the Knights continue to lobby for their inclusion among the nation's best teams.

Alabama and Notre Dame survived tough road tests against LSU and Northwestern respectively, while Clemson and Michigan put a woodshed beating on Louisville and Penn State respectively. All four of them enter this week as favorites of -18 or more currently, with Clemson and Alabama laying that kind of chalk against ranked foes again. Clemson's game is likely going to be the tougher one of the two, if for no other reason than they are on the road, and while it may already seem like a foregone conclusion that all four of those playoff contenders will walk away with SU wins this week, the point spread is always the great equalizer and it may get tougher and tougher to back these teams at such big numbers going forward.

It will be interesting to see if any of them have their point spreads fall below that key number of -17 throughout the week, and that's definitely something I'll be keeping my eye on up until kick-off. Alabama, Clemson, Michigan, and Notre Dame are a combined 23-13 ATS this year so it's not like they haven't padded many a bankroll already. And then when you throw in Alabama's perfect 9-0 ATS mark in first halves, these numbers are probably more likely to go up before they come down. Eventually there will be a point where some buyback could occur on those big 'dogs if that's the case, and then it's up to you to determine where you believe the value lies. That's why it always helps to set your own lines if you can, using them as a comparison point to help with your handicapping regarding powerhouse programs like these with huge lines to cover.

Who's Not

Navy and Louisville ? Worst ATS records in the country (1-8 ATS) and owners of the longest losing streaks in their respective conferences

Last weekend may have been billed as ?Showdown Saturday? in college football with all the big matchups we had, but a game that definitely didn't go unnoticed was the UTEP/Rice game which was a battle between the two longest losing streaks in the land. UTEP managed to snap their 20-game losing run by beating the Rice Owls ? who now own the nation's longest losing streak at nine games ? to avoid getting placed in this section today, as it's the longest losing streaks in the ACC and American conferences that get the attention here.

Louisville (ACC) and Navy (American) have each lost six straight contests coming into their respective matchups this week, but more importantly their 1-8 ATS mark has been burning bettor's money all year long. Louisville catching nearly 40 points was nowhere near enough against Clemson this past weekend, while Nave was blanked 42-0 by the Cincinnati Bearcats. That's seven straight ATS defeats for this proud Navy program that is void of significant talent this year, and with a trip to UCF on deck this weekend, I don't think we will see too many looking to take the +25.5 points with Navy that the Midshipmen are currently getting.

Louisville has lost four in a row against the number as they've allowed 56 or more points in three of their past four games. A regime change is likely coming for the Cardinals who clearly weren't prepared for life after QB Lamar Jackson, and this week's road test against a ranked Syracuse squad isn't likely to be fun either (Louisville is +21.5 currently).

These are probably two games where we will see the lines move in favor of the favorites, so if you like to bet against bad teams, I'd suggest getting your money down early.
 

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Power 5 Top Wagers - Week 11
November 6, 2018
By Bookmaker


By Kyle Markus

NCAA Football - Week 11 Power 5 Best Bets


The college football season is coming to a close, which means any upset loss can mean the end of the road for a team in the hunt for the College Football Playoff. The stakes can?t get much higher than these final couple of weeks, including the Week 11 slate of action which includes plenty of pivotal matchups.

There are a segment of games that stick out as the best choices against the spread. Here is the breakdown of which ways to go with your wagers in NCAA football betting.

Odds Analysis - per BookMaker.eu

The Louisville Cardinals were big underdogs last week against the Clemson Tigers and showed why, as they were utterly dominated in a blowout loss. The foe this week isn?t as talented but Louisville is still a 20.5-point underdog against the Syracuse Orange. The wheels have come off for Louisville, which is going to be on the wrong end of another blowout. Syracuse is the choice to cover this large spread.

The Northwestern Wildcats are on the road this week in a matchup against the Iowa Hawkeyes. Northwestern has hung tough with most teams on its schedule, including last week against Notre Dame. The 10-point spread is too high as Northwestern should not be this big of an underdog. Iowa doesn?t have enough firepower to cover this spread.

The Oregon Ducks have been unpredictable this season, with some clutch wins and some puzzling losses, Oregon is on the road this week against Utah. This one should be a really close game, and the 3.5-point underdog Ducks get just enough points to make them the right choice as the cover.

The Georgia Bulldogs are 14.5-point favorites at home against the Auburn Tigers. Auburn has some top-end talent but its offense is a question mark. Georgia is more well-rounded and playing at home. It?s not easy covering this big of a spread against a good team but the Bulldogs are gearing up for another national championship push and should cruise to the win. Take Georgia to cover the spread.

The LSU Tigers were shut out by Alabama last time out, and with their national championship hopes likely shot, will nonetheless try to bounce back on the road against Arkansas. LSU has much more talent, but a spread of 13.5 points seems high. The Tigers will struggle to pull away and the Razorbacks are the choice to cover this spread.

The Ohio State Buckeyes have been stumbling of late and have a crucial game this week on the road against Michigan State. The Spartans are 3.5-point home underdogs and would love to pull the upset. However, look for Ohio State to get back on track with an easier-than-expected victory to cover the spread against Michigan State.

Free NCAA Football ATS Picks

The best pick of the week is not a team that is involved in the national championship chase but has been playing well of late. The Arizona State Sun Devils have won back-to-back games over USC and Utah as touchdown underdogs. Arizona State is a sizable favorite on Saturday as it welcomes UCLA to Tempe. The Bruins have been bad this season and are the 12.5-point road underdogs.

Arizona State will continue to be better than the oddsmakers project, covering this spread easily in a blowout of UCLA. The Sun Devils suddenly have a path to the Pac-12 South title and an easy win will make that likelihood greater. Arizona State is at home and rolling, which makes the Sun Devils the right call to cover this spread in Week 11 of the college football season.

NCAA Football Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils to cover 12.5-spread as favorites against UCLA Bruins
 

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Games to Watch - Week 11
November 6, 2018
By YouWager.eu


College Football Week 11: Games to Watch

The current rankings in college football are not really up for debate, but that could very well change over the next few weeks. Looking at things as they stand now, it could well be the Notre Dame Fighting Irish who could be in trouble. Even if they go unbeaten the rest of the way, they may end up getting bumped in favor of a Power 5 team with won loss and a conference title. That said, it could all play out very differently, as this season has proven that we should take nothing for granted.

Let?s now look ahead to Week 11 to pick out the best games on the college football with all odds, props and futures for each game sponsored by YouWager.eu.

No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes (-3?) at No. 24 Michigan State Spartans (+3?)

There is still a very good chance that a 1-loss Big Ten Championship winner could make it into the playoffs, with Ohio State and Michigan looking the most likely candidates. Those two will meet in the regular season soon enough, but for now, Ohio State need to keep their hopes alive with a win on the road against a Michigan State Spartans team that has been playing some serious shutdown offense over the last couple of weeks. The Buckeyes have looked very wobbly in their last two starts, losing to Purdue and barely getting by Nebraska. The Buckeyes win here, but it might be tight.

No. 18 Mississippi State Bulldogs (+25) at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-25)

Alabama got their toughest opponent of the season last week and ended up making things look very easy. The Crimson Tide went into Baton Rouge and blanked the LSU Tigers 29-0 in a lopsided victory that clinched the SEC West and a spot in the Conference Championship Game. The Tide look like a total lock for the No. 1 spot, as well as being the most likely to win it all again this year. They will have their hands full this weekend with a Mississippi State team that can put some points up on the board. QB Nick Fitzgerald may be the key for the Bulldogs in this one, as he may need to use his impressive running skills to escape a swarming Alabama D. Crimson Tide win and take one more step towards a repeat.

The Best NCAAF Action is at YouWager.eu, Join Now and get a 100% Bonus up to $1000

Oklahoma State Cowboys (+18) at No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners (-18)

The Big 12 is another conference that could potentially have a 1-loss winner, although things could get a little more complicated if West Virginia end up being that team given that they essentially lost a week earlier this season with a weather cancellation. The Oklahoma Sooners are probably the favorites to be the conference champions, but they still have some work to do to get there, starting with a game against their big in-state rivals this weekend. The Cowboys already hurt the Texas Longhorns playoff hopes this season and will be looking to do the same to the Sooners. I do not see the upset happening here.

Auburn Tigers (+14) at No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (-14)

Of the teams with an outside shot at getting into the playoffs, it is perhaps the Georgia Bulldogs who have the toughest road to take. Since Georgia already has a loss on the season, they cannot afford another one, which means beating the Tigers this weekend and then taking out Alabama in the SEC Conference Championship Game, besides winning the other two regular season games they still need to play. That?s a tall order, but one that this team is talented enough to pull off. I think they start their playoff push with a win here.
 

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Early Line Moves - Week 11
November 6, 2018
By BetDSI


College Football Week 11 Opening Line Report

College Football Week 11 Early Line Moves Where has the early money gone in college football for Week 11? Bettors have taken a position on a couple of top teams this week, as they are betting Alabama at home against Mississippi State and they are taking Michigan on the road at Rutgers.

There are six games that we?ll look at in terms of early line moves for Week 11 in college football and we?ll also look at three games that have moved on or off the key number of three.

Odds per BetDSI

Week 10 Early Line Moves

NC State -15 to -17 vs. Wake Forest


It is easy to understand this line move, as NC State has the better record both straight up and ATS. The Wolfpack are 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS, while the Demon Deacons are just 4-5 SU and 2-7 ATS. NC State has a good offense and when you are laying big points you want a team that can score and the Wolfpack are averaging just over 32 points per game this season.

Bowling Green +10 to +7.5 at Central Michigan

Bettors are taking the points with Bowling Green on the road at Central Michigan. Why bettors are getting involved in this one is unclear, but they sure have taken a strong position on Bowling Green. Both of these teams are terrible, as Bowling Green is 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS, while Central Michigan is 1-9 SU and 5-5 ATS. There is very little to like about either team, but at least with the Falcons you are getting more than a TD.

Alabama -24 to -26 vs. Mississippi State

The Crimson Tide are just a machine, as they continue to roll. They dominated LSU last week and there is no reason to think they won?t rout Mississippi State. Bettors are laying the points on No. 1 Alabama in this contest. The concern if you back Alabama is a possible letdown after the big win against LSU. The Bulldogs are not a bad team at all, as they are ranked in the Top 25 and they are 6-3 SU and ATS. It is hard to ever make a case for going against Alabama, but this is a lot of points to be laying against a very good Mississippi State defense that ranks 3rd in the country.

Michigan -37 to -39 at Rutgers

Bettors are all over Michigan in this one against Rutgers and why not? The Wolverines are rolling and Rutgers is terrible. The Wolverines are 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS, while Rutgers is 1-8 SU and 4-5 ATS. The only question in this one is whether or not Rutgers can get the backdoor cover.

Virginia Tech +4 to +2 at Pittsburgh

Bettors like the Hokies in this one against the Panthers. Virginia Tech is 4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS, while Pittsburgh is 5-4 SU and ATS.

East Carolina +15.5 to +13.5 at Tulane

The Pirates are the play here for bettors plus the points at Tulane. East Carolina is just 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS, but bettors are taking the big points. Tulane is 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS.

Key Number Line Moves

Ohio -3 to -3.5 at Miami (Ohio)


The early week MAC games have seen some early live movement around the key number of three. The Bobcats have gone from a 3-point favorite on the road at Miami Ohio to a 3.5-point favorite. Ohio is 6-3 SU and ATS, while Miami is 3-6 SU, but 5-4 ATS.

Northern Illinois -1.5 to -3 vs. Toledo

Bettors like the Huskies at home in this one at Toledo. The Huskies are 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS, while the Rockets are 5-4 SU and 4-5 ATS.

Utah -3 to -3.5 vs. Oregon

The Pac-12 South is a mess, as a number of teams are tied for the lead at 4-3, including the Utes. Bettors are backing the Utes at home on Saturday, as they host the Oregon Ducks. The Ducks are 6-3 SU, but they are just 3-6 ATS. The Utes are 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS.
 

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ACC Report - Week 11
November 6, 2018
By Joe Williams


2018 ACC STANDINGS

ATLANTIC DIVISION


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Boston College 7-2 4-1 7-2 5-4
Clemson 9-0 6-0 5-4 5-4
Florida State 4-5 2-5 3-6 6-3
Louisville 2-7 0-6 1-8 6-3
North Carolina State 6-2 3-2 4-4 4-4
Syracuse 7-2 4-2 6-2-1 5-4
Wake Forest 4-5 1-4 2-7 6-3

COASTAL DIVISION
Duke 6-3 2-3 5-4 4-5
Georgia Tech 5-4 3-3 4-5 5-3-1
Miami-Florida 5-4 2-3 3-6 5-4
North Carolina 1-7 1-5 3-4-1 5-2-1
Pittsburgh 5-4 4-1 5-4 4-5
Virginia 6-3 4-2 7-2 4-5
Virginia Tech 4-4 3-2 3-5 4-4

Wake Forest at North Carolina (Thurs. - ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
The Demon Deacons have had some major issues on the defensive side of the football, but they can score plenty of points, too. N.C. State was cruising along until they arrived in Clemson a few weeks ago, then they were blown out there and lost a tough one in Syracuse, too, before rebounding at home against Florida State last week. The Deacs limp in 2-9 ATS over the past 11 games overall, and 1-5 ATS in the past six conference battles and 0-6 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record. While the Pack is 2-5-1 ATS over the past ACC battles, the home team has covered 18 of the past 22 meetings, while going 5-0 ATS in their past five home games vs. Wake. The favorite is also 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.

Louisville at Syracuse (Fri. - ESPN2, 7:00 p.m. ET)
The Cardinals got trucked last week at Clemson, which has been the case for most. They head up to Syracuse to battle the Top 25 Orange, who are three-touchdown favorites. 'Cuse is already bowl eligible, too, and they have higher bowl expectations than just making it. Louisville is a dismal 6-20 ATS over the past 26, and they're 3-13 ATS in the past 16 against winning teams and 0-5 ATS in their past five road outings. The Orange are 1-5-2 ATS over their past eight against teams with a losing record, and they're 3-1-1 ATS in the past five at home and 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine games overall. The Cardinals have covered the past four in this series, but that was as the favorite. The over is 5-0 in 'Ville's past five in the ACC, but the under is 5-2 in their past seven against winning teams. The under is 15-5-1 in Syracuse's past 21 in the ACC, 11-4-1 in their past 16 at home and 19-8-1 in the past 28 overall.

North Carolina at Duke (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m. ET)
The Victory Bell is up for grabs between UNC and Duke at Wallace Wade. As of Tuesday evening the Blue Devils are favored by 10 1/2, which might be a bit much in a rivalry game. The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record, but they're just 1-3-1 ATS over the past five. Of course, it isn't a long road trip, just a quick jaunt up US 15-501 from Chapel Hill to Durham. The Blue Devils are just 2-5-1 ATS over the past eight at home, and 1-4 ATS in their past five at home against teams with a losing road record. The underdog has cashed in five of the past six meetings, and the under is 4-1 over the past five in this rivalry.

Liberty at Virginia (ACC Network, 3:00 p.m.)
The Flames have been able to pile up plenty of numbers on offense, but they struggle defensively. Virginia isn't a prolific offense, but they have a solid defense. This will be an interesting battle, with the Hoos favored by more than three touchdowns. Liberty has posted a 4-0 ATS mark in their past four against ACC foes, and they're 15-3 ATS in the past 18 non-conference battles. They're also 13-4 ATS in the past 17 road games, 6-2 ATS in the past eight against winning teams and 15-6 ATS in the past 21 games overall. UVA is 5-0 ATS in the past five against indies, and they're 7-2 ATS in the past nine games overall. The over is a number to watch, as Liberty has hit the over in four of the past five road games and 4-1 in the past five overall. The over is 5-1 in the past six for UVA outside of the conference, too.

Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)
The Hokies are skidding hard. The Panthers picked up a giant win at Virginia last week, pushing themselves into great shape in their bid for a spot in the ACC Championship Game. It's absolutely vital to protect their home field and win over the Hokies on Saturday to vanquish another challenger. Someone is leaving this game with five losses, which would be devastating to their bowl chances, particularly for Virginia Tech. The Hokies have failed to cover in four stragiht, while Pitt is 4-0 ATS in their past four overall and 6-1 ATS in the past seven inside the ACC. The under is 5-1 in the past six road games for the Gobblers, while going 9-2 in their past 11 against winning teams. Pitt has had the under go 15-6-1 in the past 22, and 9-4 in the past 13 conference tilts. In this series the 'dog is 10-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings. The Hokies are 1-10 ATS in the past 11 meetings, while going a dismal 0-7 ATS in the past seven trips to the Steel City.

Miami-Florida at Georgia Tech (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
The Hurricanes had lofty expectations earlier in the season, but things have devolved quickly and now they're just trying to hang on and gain bowl eligibility. A loss at Georgia Tech would be devastating, and they're slight underdogs against the Ramblin' Wreck. Like Va. Tech-Pitt, someone is leaving with a fifth loss. The Canes are just 1-6 ATS in their ;ast seven on the road, while going 0-5 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record. They're also 0-4 ATS in the past four ACC battles. Ga. Tech is just 1-4 ATS in the past five at home, and 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning sides, but they have covered four of the past five overall. UM is 7-2 ATS in the past nine meetings in this series, but the favorite is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 battles.

Florida State at Notre Dame (NBC, 7:30 p.m.)
The Seminoles are in a lot of trouble and need a huge upset to save their season. A loss here is their sixth setback after another loss at N.C. State last weekend. Notre Dame is trying to keep its record unblemished and help the Irish stay on the road for the playoffs. The Seminoles are just 2-5-2 ATS in the past nine road games, and 2-8-2 ATS in the past 12 against teams with a winning record, but the 'Noles are 5-1 ATS in their past six non-conference battles. For the Irish, they're 4-1-1 ATS in the past six overall, but they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven home outings. The over is 5-1 in FSU's past six games overall, and 4-1-1 in their past six road games. The over is 5-1 in the past six overall for Notre Dame, too, but the under is 5-1 in their past six in the shadows of Touchdown Jesus.

Clemson at Boston College (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)
The Tigers have been hammering everyone lately, but they have a huge test going to Chestnut Hill in the fall air in front of a national audience. Clemson won't be intimidated, however. Boston College is a very good, disciplined and well-coached team, however. They won't be steamrolled like FSU, Louisville, Wake, etc. Clemson has covered four in a row, they're 4-1 ATS in the past five on the road and they're 4-0 ATS in the past four league games, too. B.C. is 9-1-1 ATS in their past 11 against teams with a winning record, 13-3-1 ATS in the past 17 ACC battles and 4-1 ATS in their past five home outings. While the road team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings and Clemson is just 1-4 ATS in their past five tangles with B.C.
 

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Big 12 Report - Week 11
November 6, 2018
By Joe Williams


2018 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Baylor 5-4 3-3 3-5-1 6-3
Iowa State 5-3 4-2 6-2 3-5
Kansas 3-6 1-5 4-5 4-5
Kansas State 3-6 1-5 5-4 3-6
Oklahoma 8-1 5-1 4-5 8-1
Oklahoma State 5-4 3-4 4-5 5-4
Texas 6-3 4-2 3-5-1 5-4
Texas Christian 4-5 2-4 2-7 4-5
Texas Tech 5-4 3-3 6-3 7-2
West Virginia 7-1 5-1 5-2-1 4-4

Texas Christian at West Virginia (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)
The Horned Frogs limp into Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown hoping to avoid their sixth loss of the season. There were some high expectations early on in the season for TCU, but now they are just trying to qualify for a bowl. A win over a Top 10 West Virginia team would be a big feather in their cap. The Mountaineers picked up a giant road win over Texas last week, yet are favored by just 13 in this one because of TCU's defense. The rank 27th nationally, allowing just 335 yards per game, and 190.7 yards per game through the air. TCU is just 0-8 ATS over the past eight conference games, 0-6 ATS in their past six overall and 1-7 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record. West Virginia has a 5-2-1 ATS mark over their past eight overall, and they're 4-1 ATS in the past five vs. TCU. The 'under' has also cashed in each of the past four meetings in this series.

Kansas at Kansas State (No national TV, 12:00 p.m.)
The Battle for the Sunflower State is rather significant, as the winner still has a chance for a shot at a bowl, while the loser will have a seventh loss and is officially going to be home for the holidays. In past years Kansas has been a pushover, and this game was an automatic win for K-State. However, the Wildcats have been putrid on offense this season, while the Jayhawks are slowly making progress. The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a losing record, while the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in the past five against conference opponents and they're 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall. The under is 22-10 in the past 32 road games for the Jayhawks, while the under is 8-3 in the past 11 overall for K-State and 5-2 in their past seven conference tilts. KU is 2-7 ATS in the past nine meetings, and 2-9 ATS in their past 11 sojourns to Manhattan. The favorite has cashed in 18 of the past 23 in this rivalry, too.

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Ahh, Bedlam. This is one of the better rivalries in college football, especially in recent years. The Sooners are trying to keep their playoff hopes alive, and Vegas likes OU by more than 17 points as of Tuesday evening. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in the past seven road games, while going 3-7 ATS in the past 10 conference tilts. The Sooners are 14-5 ATS in the past 19 home outings, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record. The over is an impressive 8-3 in OK State's past 11 Big 12 battles, while going a perfect 5-0 in OU's past five and 6-1 in their past seven at home. The over is also an impressive 40-19-1 in the past 60 conference battles for the Sooners. In this series, the over is 4-1-1 in the past six, too. As far as the line, Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS in the past seven home games against their rivals, and 4-1 ATS in the past five Bedlam meetings overall.

Baylor at Iowa State (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m.)
The Cyclones have been a doormat in recent seasons, but lately they're really turning it around and serving as a tough out in the Big 12. They're two games over .500, and an impressive 6-2 ATS overall on the season. Just ask West Virginia how tough it is to play in Ames. Or ask Texas Tech. Or even ask Oklahoma, as the Sooners only won by 10 in Ames are 18 1/2-point favorites back on Sept. 15. Iowa State is 3-1 SU/ATS in four home outings this season. The Cyclones are 24-6-1 ATS over the past 31 games overall, and 16-5 ATS in their past 21 home games. They're also 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 against winning opponents. The Bears are 0-3-1 ATS in the past four meetings, and 0-3-1 ATS in their past four trips to Ames, too. The home team has hit an 11-3-1 ATS mark over the past 15 meetings, too.

Texas at Texas Tech (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)

For the second consecutive weekend there will be a national television audience checking in on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders put on an offensive show against Oklahoma last weekend but came up just short. Texas also came up short against West Virginia at home, so these are two teams on the come, trying to get back on a roll into the final weekends of the college football season. The Longhorns are 11-5-2 ATS in the past 18 against teams with a winning overall record, but they're just 1-3-1 ATS across their past five league games. For Texas Tech, they have covered a healthy five of the past six against winning sides, while going 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall. They're also 5-2 ATS in the past seven league games.

The total trends are complete opposites. The under is 10-3 in the past 13 road games for Texas, while the under is an impressive 40-16 in the past 56 conference battles and 29-10 in the past 39 against winning teams. The over is 8-2 in the past 10 for the Red Raiders, and 21-8 in the past 29 home battles. The under is 5-1 in the past six meetings in this series, including a 4-0 under in the past four in Lubbock. The Longhorns have covered four straight trips to Lubbock, and they're 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings overall in this series.
 

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Mississippi State at Alabama
November 6, 2018
By Bookmaker


By Kyle Markus

NCAA Preview - Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide


The Alabama Crimson Tide isn?t just the best team in the nation this year, but one of the best in recent memory. Alabama cruised past LSU last time out and will now aim to pick up another blowout victory when it hosts the Mississippi State Bulldogs.

The Crimson Tide is undefeated and has been absolutely dominating every opponent that tries to slow them down. Mississippi State is a ranked team but the talent gulf between these teams is very wide and Alabama will be expected to pull away early and pick up a sizable win.

The Crimson Tide has been huge favorites throughout the season and continue to live up to the billing. Is it possible Alabama has a letdown? Not likely with this much talent. The Crimson Tide should take another step toward clinching a College Football Playoff spot with a win in NCAA football wagering.

This NCAA football game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Alabama Crimson Tide will be held at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama at 3:30 p.m ET on Saturday, November 10th, 2018. The game will be nationally televised on CBS.

We'll have NCAA football odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2018 NCAA football season.

Odds Analysis

Alabama is coming off a game in which it was a 13-point favorite on the road against No. 3 LSU and easily covered. The Crimson Tide is listed as the 24.5-point favorite against Mississippi State in this one. Alabama is a massive -2700 favorite on the moneyline as the oddsmakers seem hardly any chance at the Crimson Tide losing at home. The Bulldogs are the +1221 for those who want to take a flier.

The scoring total is listed at 51.5 points. Alabama?s offense has been much more powerful than usual on the season but the team?s elite defense keeps scoring down. If the Bulldogs can reach the end zone a couple times this game has a good chance of going ?over? the total in NCAA football wagering.

Key Stat

7. That?s the national rank in Alabama?s points per game allowed, as the Crimson Tide is only giving up 14.1 per contest. Alabama?s number went down after shutting out LSU as the defense dominated against a team with some talented players at the skill positions. The Crimson Tide has always had a super talented defensive front, and that group is leading the way for yet another great defense.

As good as Alabama?s defense has been, Mississippi State?s defense has been even better. The Bulldogs are second in the country in points allowed at 12.3 per game. Mississippi State has held five opponents to 10 points or fewer.

The Bulldogs recently had a stretch where it faced off against three straight ranked teams and held Auburn, LSU and Texas A&M to an average of 13.7 points per game. Mississippi State will need its defense to hold stout to have a shot to win this one.

Player To Watch

Tua Tagovailoa -- The Bulldogs may have trouble holding up because they are facing the best quarterback in college football. Tagovailoa has been unreal this season, throwing for 2,361 yards with 27 touchdowns and one interception. He was picked off for the first time last week by LSU but still finished the contest with 295 yards through the air with a pair of touchdowns while adding a 44-yard touchdown run.

Mississippi State needs to get pressure on Tagovailoa to have a chance at keeping him in check.

Free NCAA Football ATS Picks

This is a big spread, and the Bulldogs are strong enough defensively to feel like they will have a shot at pulling the upset. They will be in for a rude awakening, as Alabama is by far the better team in this matchup.

The Crimson Tide offense will be able to score against Mississippi State?s tough defense. The spread is big but Alabama is still the pick to cover in NCAA football gambling.

NCAA Football Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide 37, Mississippi State Bulldogs 10
 

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Wednesday, November 7

Ohio @ Miami-OH
Ohio

Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-OH
Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 6 games

Toledo @ Northern Illinois
Toledo

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Toledo is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Toledo
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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Wednesday, November 7

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OHIO U (6 - 3) at MIAMI OHIO (3 - 6) - 11/7/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TOLEDO (5 - 4) at N ILLINOIS (6 - 3) - 11/7/2018, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Wednesday?s games

Ohio won its last three games, scoring 49-52-59 points; Bobcats are 2-2 on road, are 5-3 in last eight games as road favorites, 1-1 this year. Ohio ran ball for 1,159 yards in last three games. Miami OH lost its last two games, allowing 31-51 points; Red Hawks covered five of their last six games. Under Martin, Miami is 5-4-1 as home underdogs, 1-0 this year- they?re 0-5 when they allow more than 23 points. Over is 5-3 in Ohio games this year; five of last six Miami games also went over.

Northern Illinois won its last five games; under Carey, Huskies are 11-15 as home favorites, 0-2 this year. NIU ran ball for 227+ yards in each of its last four wins. Toledo won its last two games, scoring 51-45 points; Rockets scored 45+ points in all five of their wins- they were held to 27 or less in their four losses. Toledo is 18-9 in its last 27 games as road underdogs, 1-1 this year. Toledo allowed 300+ PY in each of its last three games. Three of last four Toledo games, six of last eight NIU games stayed under the total.


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NCAA (COLLEGE)

DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME


Toledo at Northern Illinois - Wednesday November 7, 2018

The Huskies host a Toledo team that is coming off a 45-13 win over Ball State and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in the previous game. Northern Illinois is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-3).


WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 7, 2018

Ohio
@
Miami Of Ohio

Game 103-104
November 7, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Ohio
88.127
Miami of Ohio
81.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Ohio
by 7
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Ohio
by 4
61
Dunkel Pick: Ohio
(-4); Over

Toledo
@
Northern Illinois

Game 105-106
November 7, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Toledo
81.625
Northern Illinois
87.624
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Northern Illinois
by 6
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Northern Illinois
by 3
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois
(-3); Under
 

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Wednesday?s games

Ohio won its last three games, scoring 49-52-59 points; Bobcats are 2-2 on road, are 5-3 in last eight games as road favorites, 1-1 this year. Ohio ran ball for 1,159 yards in last three games. Miami OH lost its last two games, allowing 31-51 points; Red Hawks covered five of their last six games. Under Martin, Miami is 5-4-1 as home underdogs, 1-0 this year- they?re 0-5 when they allow more than 23 points. Over is 5-3 in Ohio games this year; five of last six Miami games also went over.

Northern Illinois won its last five games; under Carey, Huskies are 11-15 as home favorites, 0-2 this year. NIU ran ball for 227+ yards in each of its last four wins. Toledo won its last two games, scoring 51-45 points; Rockets scored 45+ points in all five of their wins- they were held to 27 or less in their four losses. Toledo is 18-9 in its last 27 games as road underdogs, 1-1 this year. Toledo allowed 300+ PY in each of its last three games. Three of last four Toledo games, six of last eight NIU games stayed under the total.
 
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