Cnotes 2018 College Football Thru The Bowl Games News- Trends-Stats-Best Bets !

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

? Boise State is 8-4-1 vs spread in its last 13 road games.

? Missouri covered only one of its last six road games.

? Oregon State covered one of its last nine Pac-12 games.

? Boston College is 16-3 vs spread in its last 19 regular season games.

? UL-Lafayette covered six of its last seven games.

? Fresno State is 18-4-2 ATS since Tedford became coach.


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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here??.

13) Annual tradition here in not-so-beautiful upstate New York. When it snows outside, and it is snowing now, I get on the Interweb and price condos in Las Vegas, where snow is merely a rumor.

Snow is the only bad part of living here; nothing is quite as much fun as getting up on a step-ladder to sweep the snow off my satellite dish.

12) Last year at this time the Miami Marlins sold off their whole outfield; Stanton, Ozuna and Yelich. Wonder what the odds were that of those three guys, Christian Yelich would be the MVP this season? He had a great year, leading Milwaukee to a playoff berth.

11) San Diego Union-Tribune writer John Maffei is the only one out of 30 voters who didn?t vote for Jacob deGrom for the NL Cy Young Award. Mr Maffei values W-L record as a stat, so deGrom?s 10-9 record for a dismal Mets team didn?t impress him much.

10) UConn 83, Syracuse 76? Huskies made 12-21 behind arc; Syracuse was playing without G Howard; things aren?t as easy when you play away from home.

9) DePaul 72, Penn State 70 OT? Nittany Lions jumped out to 11-0 lead, trailed 36-31 at half, then forced OT, where they missed wide open, game-tying jumper at end of OT. DePaul is 3-0 for first time in ten years.

8) Ohio State 69, Creighton 60? Second quality road win for the young Buckeyes, who won at Cincinnati last week.

7) Seahawks 27, Packers 24? Seattle outrushed Green Bay 173-48; Packers converted only 3-11 third down plays. 46-yard FG Crosby missed when Packers led 7-0 turned out to be painful.

6) Houston Rockets and Carmelo Anthony parted ways after 10 games; who thought this pairing was going to be a good idea? Anthony didn?t want to come off the bench, but when you get older and your skills decline, what did he think was going to happen?

5) Lakers? G Rajon Rondo broke his hand, is out 3-5 weeks.

4) Former LSU football coach Les Miles took a one-time lump sum payment of $1.5M from the school, reduced from the $6.5M he was scheduled to get over the next five years, but that tells me that Miles is going to be a head coach somewhere else next season. If he took the $6.5M, he would?ve had to stay out of coaching until 2023.

3) Someone on Twitter posted a list of their ten favorite airports, and it started a firestorm of responses; since I only fly to one place, and it is usually a non-stop flight, my list is short:

1) Las Vegas
2) Albany
3) Baltimore (sometimes my flights stop there; they have a Chick-fil-A)

2) Cal Bears postponed their basketball game with Detroit Mercy Thursday night because of poor air quality in the area due to the wild fires. San Francisco also postponed Friday night?s home basketball game with Arizona State.

1) Jim Boeheim has been the basketball coach at Syracuse for 43 years; he played for the Orange, was an assistant coach there before being head coach. Boeheim?s son Buddy is a player for Syracuse now; how the hell do they spell the kid?s last name wrong on his orange jersey?

 

[Cnotes53]

Power 5 Best Bets - Week 12
November 15, 2018
By YouWager.eu

College Football Week 12 - Power 5 Conference Best Bets

Week 12 is, as college football weekends go, one of the quieter ones of the season. Yes, we still have a full schedule on tap, but we are not going to be seeing a ton of great match-ups. For the bigger programs, this is almost like a bye week, as they will get to rest a lot of their starters as they go against much smaller schools. That?s not to say that the calendar is totally devoid of action, though, as there are still several games worth watching and wagering on.

Let?s take a closer look at the best games available in each of the Power 5 conferences with all the odds, props and futures offered by YouWager.eu.

ACC
Syracuse Orange vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

The Shamrock Series returns, with these two going head to head at Yankee Stadium this coming Saturday. It?s a cool venue for what is potentially the biggest game on the Week 12 schedule. The Orange come in with an 8-2 record, and while they will have their hands full against the unbeaten Irish, we should probably not count them out completely. After all, Syracuse came within one play of beating Clemson for the second straight season earlier in the year. An upset would have huge implications on the playoff rankings, but I do think Notre Dame will get the win.

Big 12
West Virginia Mountaineers at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Of the teams still in with a shot at breaking into the top 4, it is the Mountaineers who potentially have the toughest road to take. They really need to win out, which would include a win in the Big 12 Championship Game. This is potentially another huge game, especially since the Cowboys have already knocked off Texas and came close to doing the same to Oklahoma last week. We can likely expect a lot of scoring in this one, with the Mountaineers prevailing.

The Best NCAAF Action is at YouWager.eu, Join Now and get a 50% Bonus up to $1000

Big Ten
Ohio State Buckeyes at Maryland Terrapins

The Buckeyes are another team still in with an outside shot at the playoffs, but they too need to win out to get in. Their level of play over the last 3 weeks has done little to suggest that they can make that run, especially with Michigan coming up next. This is a game that you would expect Ohio State to win, although Maryland have had a signature win this season, taking out Texas in Week 1. That aside, I think the Buckeyes get the win on the road.

Pac-12
Arizona Wildcats at Washington State Cougars

The PAC 12 conference was shut out of the playoffs last season and it looks as though it is going to be more of the same this year. The Washington State Cougars are the last hope for the conference, but even if they win out, they are probably still going to need some other teams to lose. This team is rolling right now, and I don?t see them having any problems taking down Arizona at home.

SEC
Missouri Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers

Fans of the SEC are now just sitting back waiting for the SEC Championship Game between Alabama and Georgia. There is really only one competitive looking game on the conference schedule this weekend, with Missouri hitting the road to face the Tennessee Volunteers. Tennessee have been better than most expected, but they are going to have a tough time slowing down Drew Lock and that Missouri offense, which is why I think the Tigers win.

 

[Cnotes53]

Money-line Plays - Week 12
November 15, 2018
By Bookmaker

by Kyle Markus

NCAA Football Odds - College Football Week 12 Moneyline Plays

In college football, the spread gets the majority of the attention, but moneyline plays can be the right call in many instances. The Week 12 slate of action has a lot of intriguing matchups. When a bettor has a good feeling about an underdog, the moneyline can really pay off well as opposed to the lesser odds of the spread.

The moneyline is also a good way to back a favorite because all that matters is the victory, not if the opponent sneaks its way into a backdoor cover. Here are some of the best moneyline plays of Week 12 in college football gambling:

Odds Analysis - per BookMaker.eu

The Northwestern Wildcats continued their storybook run in Big Ten play by knocking off Iowa last time out, which clinched their spot in the conference championship game. Northwestern will aim to head there on a nice winning streak but the oddsmakers aren?t giving much respect, pegging the Wildcats the underdogs on the road against the Minnesota Gophers. Don?t be fooled by the spread. Northwestern at -106 odds is a nice value and the Wildcats should win.

The Duke Blue Devils has had some nice moments this season although the wheels have fallen off a bit lately. They are going on the road as huge underdogs this week against the Clemson Tigers. Duke is obviously a big underdog but it does have a star quarterback. The Blue Devils are worth a small gamble at +1628 odds as they would pay off unbelievably well.

The Central Florida Knights are hosting the Cincinnati Bearcats in a critical matchup. UCF is the better team and gets this one at home. The -280 odds are not too steep so roll with the Knights to pick up this victory.

The Syracuse Orange is going on the road for a matchup against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Notre Dame is zeroing in on a College Football Playoff berth but this isn?t an easy matchup. Notre Dame quarterback Ian Book missed the team?s last game due to injury and if there are any issues it could open up a talented Syracuse team to the upset. The odds for the Orange to win this game are set at +278, which is a nice choice.

The Cal Bears have done a nice job picking up their defense in recent weeks and will host the Stanford Cardinal this week. Stanford has generally won this matchup but Cal is only a slight underdog and has the talent to emerge victorious. Take the Bears at +105 odds in college football wagering.

The Arizona State Sun Devils can win the Pac-12 South with victories in their final two games. The first one up is this week against the Oregon Ducks. Oregon has been very inconsistent recently but gets this one at home. The Ducks should be able to straighten things out and come away with the win at -175 odds.

NCAA Football ATS Pick

The best moneyline choice of the week comes in a Big Ten showdown. The Michigan State Spartans are hitting the road for a showdown against the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Nebraska has been improved of late but it?s important to remember the team?s entire body of work, which hasn?t been good.

Michigan State has been up and down this season, but the -120 odds are very intriguing. Take the Spartans to win this game. They are the strongest moneyline choice of Week 12 as they get nearly even odds and should come away with a victory over Nebraska in college football odds.

NCAA Football ATS Pick: The Michigan State Spartans on the moneyline against the Nebraska Cornhuskers

 

[Cnotes53]

ACC Report - Week 12
November 15, 2018
By Joe Williams

2018 ACC STANDINGS

ATLANTIC DIVISION

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Boston College 7-3 4-2 7-3 5-5
Clemson 10-0 7-0 6-4 5-5
Florida State 4-6 2-5 3-7 7-3
Louisville 2-8 0-7 1-9 7-3
North Carolina State 6-3 3-3 4-5 4-5
Syracuse 8-2 5-2 7-2-1 6-4
Wake Forest 5-5 2-4 3-7 6-4

COASTAL DIVISION
Duke 7-3 3-3 5-5 5-5
Georgia Tech 6-4 4-3 5-5 5-4-1
Miami-Florida 5-5 2-4 3-7 5-5
North Carolina 1-8 1-6 4-4-1 6-2-1
Pittsburgh 6-4 5-1 6-4 5-5
Virginia 7-3 4-2 7-3 5-5
Virginia Tech 4-5 3-3 3-6 5-4

Pittsburgh at Wake Forest (ACC Network, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Panthers are in the driver's seat in the Coastal Division trying to secure their first-ever spot in the ACC Championship Game. Pitt enters 4-0 ATS in the past four ACC battles, and 5-0 ATS in their past five games overall. Wake heads into the battle on the opposite side, going 2-5 ATS in the past seven conference outings while going 3-9 ATS in the past 12 games overall. In addition, they're 1-6 ATS in the past seven home outings while going 1-6 ATS in the past seven against teams with a winning overall mark. Pitt heads into the game with the over 4-1 in the past five ACC battles, but the under is 9-1 in their past 10 road outings. Wake has hit the over 5-1 in the past six home outings and 8-3 in their past 11 against winning teams.

North Carolina State at Louisville (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m. ET)
The Cardinals fired Bobby Petrino, so they'll be under new management when N.C. State pays a visit. The Wolfpack head into the game 1-4 ATS in the past five ACC battles, while going 1-3-1 ATS in the past five games on field turf. The Cardinals have been atrocious against the number, even before this season's fall off a cliff. They're 1-4 ATS in the past five at home, 6-21 ATS in their past 27 overall and 3-14 ATS in the past 17 against winning teams. As far as the total is concerned, the trends are at complete opposite ends for these two. The under is 16-5 in the past 21 ACC battles and 13-6 in the past 19 overall. The over is 6-0 in the past six overall and 19-7 in the past 26 conference contests.

Syracuse at Notre Dame (NBC, 2:30 p.m. ET)
The Orange and Irish do battle, and it's a game which could make or break Notre Dame. They're in good shape for a spot in the playoffs, but they cannot afford a slip-up. Syracuse is a strong team, and this game will be played at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx in what could be a hostile crowd with ugly weather. Syracuse is 4-0-1 ATS in the past non-conference battles, while going 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 overall. They're also 9-3 ATS in the past 12 against teams with a winning record while going 5-2 ATS in the past seven neutral-site battles. The Irish are 4-1 ATS in the past five neutral-site battles, while going 3-0-1 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning record.

Boston College at Florida State (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
A few years ago this would be a dangerous trip to Boston College. It probably still is, as they're facing a wounded animal backed into the corner fighting for its bowl eligibility. In addition, BC QB Anthony Brown was unable to return to last week's game against Clemson due to an abdominal issue, and RB A.J. Dillon aggravated an ankle injury. Losing their two best players made them impotent against a strong Tigers team. BC might have been enormous road favorites if not for those two injuries, as both could play or could easily sit. The Seminoles are trying to avoid their first losing season since 1976, and are relatively healthy. The Seminoles have some dangerous weapons in Nyqwan Murray and Tamorrion Terry, as well as Cam Akers on the ground. The Seminoles are short 'dogs at home as of Thursday evening.

Virginia at Georgia Tech (ACC Network, 3:30 p.m.)
The Cavaliers roll into Atlanta looking to stay hot against the number. The Hoos are 7-3 ATS in the past 10 overall, while going 5-1 ATS in their past six against winning teams. The Ramblin' Wreck is 5-1 ATS in the past six overall, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five ACC battles. They have also cashed nine times in the past 13 at home. The over is 5-1 in Virginia's past six road games against teams with a winning home mark, but the under is 5-2 in the past seven ACC games. In this series, the home team is 18-4-1 ATS in the past 23 meetings, with the Cavaliers 0-4 ATS in the past four trips to Atlanta. The under is also 7-2 in the past nine battles at Bobby Dodd Stadium.

Miami-Florida at Virginia Tech (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
It's amazing that someone is going to leave the football field with a sixth win, and bowl eligibility will be in danger. Miami enters the game as road favorites, which might raise some eyebrows, especially since they're 1-3 SU/ATS and just 1-7 ATS in the past eight road games overall. The Canes are also 0-5 ATS in the past five conference games, too. Virginia Tech has been dismal against the number, too, going 1-4 ATS in the past five at home, 0-4 ATS in the past four league games and 0-5 ATS in the past five overall. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four in this series, with the Canes 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings. The 'under' has hit in 11 of the past 15 in the series, too. For Miami, the under is 4-0 in the past four, and 11-2 in the past 13 road contests. The under is 35-17 in the past 52 ACC games for the Gobblers, too.

Duke at Clemson (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Head coach David Cutcliffe's bunch heads to Death Valley looking to make life difficult for the Tigers. It's a tall order, as Clemson has been smashing everyone lately. Vegas expects Clemson to pound Duke, too, as they're more than four-touchdown favorites.

Duke is 6-1 ATS in the past seven road games, and 6-2 ATS in their past eight against winning teams. However, they are also just 2-5 ATS in the past seven overall and 0-4 ATS in the past four after a straight-up win. The playoff-hopeful Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their past five, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning overall record. They're also 9-4 ATS in the past 13 games at Death Valley against teams with a winning road record. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four in this series, with the home team 8-2-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings. Duke is 0-4 ATS in the past four in this series, while going 0-4-1 ATS in the past five at Clemson.

Other Game
Western Carolina at North Carolina (ACC Network, 3:00 p.m.)

 

[Cnotes53]

Big 12 Report - Week 12
November 15, 2018

2018 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Baylor 5-5 3-4 4-5-1 6-4
Iowa State 6-3 5-2 6-3 3-6
Kansas 3-7 1-6 5-5 4-6
Kansas State 4-6 2-5 5-5 3-7
Oklahoma 8-1 5-1 4-5 8-1
Oklahoma State 5-5 2-5 5-5 6-4
Texas 7-3 5-2 4-5-1 6-4
Texas Christian 4-6 2-5 2-8 5-5
Texas Tech 5-5 3-4 6-4 8-2
West Virginia 8-1 6-1 6-2-1 5-4

Texas Christian at Baylor (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)
The Horned Frogs started the season with high expectations, but now they're in a coin-flip game simply trying to stay bowl eligible. A loss in this one and they're home for the holidays. If Baylor falls, they would have a sixth loss and need to win a tougher game at Texas Tech for a sixth win. TCU heads into the game just 7-19 ATS in the past 26 conference games, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five road outings. The Horned Frogs are 0-7 ATS in the past seven games overall. The Bears head into the game 2-6 ATS in the past eight games at home, while going 2-10-1 ATS in the past 13 games against teams with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in the past four battles in Baylor, while going 6-1 in the past seven meetings. The underdog is also 7-0 ATS in the past seven meetings in the series. TCU is 5-1 ATS in the past six in this series, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings in Waco.

West Virginia at Oklahoma State (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
The Mountaineers head to a tough stadium looking to keep their flickering playoff hopes alive. They are 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine games overall, while going 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven games played on a field turf surface. The Cowboys enter 4-1 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record. The over has been the prevailing trend for both sides, but the under has cashed in four of the past five meetings in this series. The over is 7-3 in the past 10 covers by West Virginia, while going 4-1 in the past five games on field turf. The over is 9-3 in OK State's past 12 conference battles, and 11-5 in the past 16 overall. The over is also 5-1 in their past six following a straight-up loss.

Texas Tech at Kansas State (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)
The Red Raiders appeared in the national spotlight the past two weeks and played two very entertaining games, albeit losses. Now, they'll have a less challenging game against K-State, although Manhattan is always a tough place to play even in a down year for the Wildcats. Texas Tech could leave with a sixth loss if they're not careful, while K-State will be unable to attain bowl eligibility with a loss. Texas Tech is an impressive 7-1 ATS in the past eight against teams with a losing record, and 11-5 ATS in the past 16 in the month of November. However, TTU is just 2-5 ATS in the past seven tangles with K-State. The over os 4-0 in the past four for Texas Tech, but the under is 5-2 in their past seven road games. The under is 7-1 in the past eight home games for K-State, and 9-3 in their past 12 overall, while the over is 9-1 in the past 10 meetings in this series.

Kansas at Oklahoma (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)
The Jayhawks head to Norman looking to slow down the Sooners, but they're more than a five-touchdown underdog and already ineligible for a bowl after last week's loss to rival Kansas State. Don't expect the Jayhawks to play with a lot of fervor. Kansas is 1-10 ATS in their past 11 on a grass surface, and just 10-25 ATS in the past 35 on the road against teams with a winning home mark. Oklahoma is 14-6 ATS in the past 20 at home, but just 1-5 ATS in the past six against teams with a losing record. In this series the home team is 6-1 ATS in the past seven with Kansas 1-4 ATS in their past five trips to Norman. The under is 4-1 in the past five for the Jayhawks on the road, too, while the over is 10-1 in the past 11 for Oklahoma and 4-0 in their past four at home.

Iowa State at Texas (Longhorn Network, 8:00 p.m.)
The Cyclones head to Austin as a three-point underdog, as they have been outstanding lately after a slow start. This is a primetime matchup between the No. 16 and No. 15 teams in the nation.

I-State enters 9-1-1 ATS in the past 11 road games while going 24-7-1 ATS in the past 32 games overall. They're also 21-6-1 ATS in the past 28 conference tilts, too, while going 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 against teams with a winning record. The Cyclones have been really solid against the number in nearly every area. For Texas, they're pretty solid against the spread lately, too. The 'Horns are 12-5-2 ATS in the past 19 against teams with a winning record.

It's all about the under in this series, and lately for both sides, too. The under is 5-1 in the past six meetings in Austin, while going 13-4 in the past 17 for Iowa State and 10-4 in their past 14 conference battles. The under is 12-5 in the past 17 home games for Texas, and 40-17 in their past 57 inside the conference.

 

[Cnotes53]

Pac-12 Report - Week 12
November 15, 2018
By Joe Williams

2018 PAC-12 STANDINGS

NORTH DIVISION
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
California 6-4 3-4 5-4-1 2-8
Oregon 6-4 3-4 3-7 5-5
Oregon State 2-8 1-6 3-7 7-3
Stanford 6-4 4-3 6-4 6-4
Washington 7-3 5-2 2-8 2-8
Washington State 9-1 6-1 9-1 6-4

SOUTH DIVISION
Arizona 5-5 4-3 6-4 3-7
Arizona State 6-4 4-3 6-4 5-5
Colorado 5-5 2-5 5-5 3-7
Southern California 5-5 4-4 3-7 5-5
UCLA 2-8 2-5 4-6 5-5
Utah 7-3 5-3 6-4 6-4

Utah at Colorado (Pac-12 Network, 1:30 p.m. ET)
The Utes have been struggling lately, but it pales in comparison to the slide of the Buffaloes. They were ranked in the Top 25, unbeaten, etc. They have dropped five in a row, and now are suddenly in danger of failing to attain bowl eligibility. Wow. The Utes enter 5-1 ATS in the past six conference games, while going 10-4 ATS in the past 14 road outings. The Buffs are a dismal 1-4 ATS in the past five, while going 3-7-1 ATS in the past 11 home outings. They're also 3-9-1 ATS in the past 13 against teams with a winning record, including 0-5 ATS in the past five at home against teams with a winning road mark. In this series, the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the past seven in the series, while the Utes are just 2-5 ATS in the past seven battles.

Southern California at UCLA (FOX, 3:30 p.m.)
This used to be 'THE' game for a while. Now, the Trojans limp in at .500, while the Bruins have eight losses and will be home for the holidays. In a way, THIS is the bowl game for both sides, even if USC does go bowling in December, too. USC is 3-8-1 ATS in the past 12 road games, and just 3-7-1 ATS in the past 11 inside Conference USA. However, they're 8-3 ATS in the past 11 against losing teams. UCLA is 1-6 ATS in the past seven home outings, and just 8-17 ATS in the past 25 games overall. In this series the under has dominated lately, going 6-1 in the past seven at the Rose Bowl, and 10-1-1 in the past 12 meetings overall. The home team is 15-7 ATS in the past 22 battles, with USC just 2-5 ATS in the past seven trips to UCLA.

Oregon State at Washington (Pac-12 Network, 4:30 p.m.)
The Beavers travel up the I-5 to King County to battle the Huskies, and they're not expected to do much. They enter as 33 1/2-point underdogs as of Thursday evening. Oregon State could start phoning it in, as they're well past any chance of bowl eligibility. They're just 3-9 ATS in the past 12 on the road, and 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams while covering just once in their past 11 conference tilts. Washington returns from a bye, and they're 10-3 ATS in the past 13 after a week off. The Huskies are just 1-4 ATS in the past five at home, though, and 2-6 ATS in their past eight at home against Oregon State. The road team has cashed in four of the past five in this series. As far as the total, the under is 6-2 in the past eight meetings in Seattle.

Stanford at California (Pac-12 Network, 7:30 p.m.)
It's time for 'The Big Game', one of the more underrated rivalries. While the 'band game' dominates the memories of those outside of the alumni bases for both of these schools, every game is memorable to those who go to school at these institutions. Stanford heads in as a two-point favorite, so Vegas is expecting pretty much a coin-flip battle in this rivalry battle. Both of these teams have been hot against the number. The Cardinal are 5-1 ATS in the past six on the road, 6-2 ATS in the past eight inside the league and 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against winning teams. Cal is 4-0 ATS in the past four conference games and 7-2 ATS in the past nine against winning teams, too. However, Cal is just 1-3-1 ATS in the past five at home. Stanford has dominated lately, going 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four across the bay to Berkeley. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the past nine, and 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.

Arizona at Washington State (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)
The Wildcats are trying to become bowl eligibility, while the Cougars have a chance at making the four-team national playoff if some craziness occurs in the next few weeks. But they need to keep winning first. Vegas has them installed as a moderate 10-point favorite, but containing QB Khalil Tate could be an issue. Arizona hasn't been very good on the road, however, going just 4-14 ATS in the past 18 road games and 1-5 ATS in the past six road outings against a team with a winning home mark. The Cougs are 9-1 ATS in the past 10 at home, and 6-1 ATS in the past seven conference tilts. They're also 16-5 ATS in the past 21 game overall, too. The over has connected in four in a row, while going 4-1 in the past five meetings in Pullman. In addition, the underdog is 11-4 ATS in the past 15 in this series.

Arizona State at Oregon (Pac-12 Network, 10:30 p.m.)
One of these 6-4 clubs will leave with a fifth loss, but bowl are already bowl eligible. This one could be a rock 'em/sock 'em kind of a game, as each team has a solid quarterback and playmakers on the wing. Arizona State is fun to watch because of WR N'Keal Harry, while it all starts with QB Justin Herbert for Oregon. AZ State enters 11-5 ATS in the past 16 league games, while going 9-4 ATS in the past 13 against teams with a winning record. The Ducks are 2-5 ATS in the past seven home games, and just 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games overall. Eugene has been a house of horrors for Sparky, though, as they're just 0-3-1 ATS in the past four trips to Autzen Stadium, and 2-8-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings in this series overall. The over is 6-2 in the past eight meetings, and 5-2 in the past seven battles in Oregon.

 

[Cnotes53]

Total Talk - Week 12
November 16, 2018
By BetDSI

CFB Week 12 Total Talk

If you caught this piece a week ago, you'll know that last week's piece of isolated totals ended up going 2-1 as the ?steam? was rather hot.

The Virginia Tech/Pittsburgh game was an easy 'over' with Pittsburgh clearing the opening number of 51.5 themselves (52-22 win), while the big move to the 'under' in Northwestern/Iowa was also a no doubt winner in a 14-10 final for the Wildcats. It was only the best bet play on the over in UCLA/ASU that failed to get there as the 31-28 final was a FG short of sailing 'over' the total.

So it's on to this week's big movers as hopefully these three games/plays can sweep the board.

Odds per - BetDSI.eu

Biggest Movers to the 'Over'

Syracuse vs Notre Dame: Open: 61.5 ? Current: 65

A move like this is not surprising in the slightest as it's going to be one of the heaviest bet games this week regardless (it's a ?light? week for big CFB games), but when Syracuse comes into this one having scored 40+ in four straight games and Notre Dame topping 30 points in three straight, it's easy to see why most expect plenty of points to be scored.

However, I've always been leery of backing 'overs' in ?novelty? games at a neutral site as this game at Yankee Stadium is. Considering the snow the city of New York has received the past few days, that's going to be an issue as well ? although snowy fields typically help offenses because guys know where they are going on routes as opposed to being reactive like defensive players. But neutral site games are tough because you can't rely on usual handicapping numbers like home/road splits etc, and even if the teams have already been involved in a neutral site game this year, the sample size is so small there that it's tough to really trust those numbers.

Not all neutral sites are created equal either, as this is still going to be a football game played on a baseball field, with national title implications at stake. There is much more novelty to a game like this being played on an iconic site, and It's not like Syracuse is an unranked, decent team coming into this game looking to knock off the currently playoff-bound Irish. Syracuse is a Top-12 ranked team looking to boost their own status tremendously and possibly be bound for a New Year's Six Bowl game.

So for as much as recent results suggest this will be an epic shootout with both teams scoring 35+, I'm actually leaning the other way now in a contest where we may actually see these two defenses show up. Syracuse is on a 1-4 O/U run at neutral sites, 1-4 O/U after a win by 20+, and 5-12-1 O/U in their last 18 against a winning team. I get why there has been plenty of 'over' money ? VegasInsider.com's betting percentages currently show 85%+ action on the high side of the total ? but I'd be awfully hesitant to bet into the worst of the number now.

Odds per - BetDSI.eu

Biggest Movers to the 'Under'

Iowa State vs Texas: Open: 50.5 ? Current: 47

This total actually got as low as 46 earlier in the week before some recent buyback has occurred, as we've got a pair of Top 25 ranked Big 12 teams doing battle for what will essentially be 3rd place in the conference. But for as motivating as a finish like that could be for either program still working their way back up to national relevance after a down year or two, this is another move I'm not so sure I'd be that eager to follow anymore.

For one, the Longhorns defense has allowed 34 or more points in three straight games, and while all three came against much better offenses than what Iowa State will bring to the table (OK State, West Virginia, Texas Tech), Texas doesn't have to allow much more than 21-24 points to have this current total get eclipsed. Iowa State is more than capable of doing that with five straight weeks of scoring 27 or more points, and for as good as the Cyclones defense can be, they've also got to figure that they'll need about 30 points to have a shot at an outright victory here. However, that being said, in every Iowa State game this year that has closed with a sub-50 total, the 'under' is a perfect 4-0 overall, so there is that to consider as well.

Texas hasn't scored fewer than 23 points in any of their previous five outings, and with a 1-1 O/U record on sub-50 totals this year, when points are expected to be tough to come by in Longhorns games this year, it has been that way. That one 'over' came against USC early on in the season and even then the closing line of 47 points was only surpassed by four points.

These two teams do have a 1-5 O/U run going in their last six meetings, and Iowa State is on a 1-8 O/U run away from home. The Cyclones have always tried to make sure that their defense travels, and with a 4-10 O/U run going in Big 12 play, they've got plenty of experience finding some relative success against all the high-octane offenses they typically see.

Texas is 5-21 O/U after covering a spread and 1-5 O/U after scoring 40+ points themselves, so the situation does seem to be a great fit for the 'under'. And given the current betting percentages shown with a strong majority on the high side of this total, a move like this can't simply be ignored.

Best Total Bet for Week 12

West Virginia vs Oklahoma State Under 73

A national audience was able to witness the chaos that is ?Bedlam? between OK State and Oklahoma last week, and the natural reaction following a performance like that is to want to back 'overs' in every game the Cowboys play the rest of the year. This total has already seen about a two-point bump from it's opener as many expect to see another shootout now that West Virginia and their offense rolls into town. After all, the Mountaineers have put up 40+ in each of their last three games (3-0 O/U) and should be able to find similar success against the Cowboys defense this week.

However, the pressure to stay tied atop the Big 12 before the showdown with Oklahoma next week could have that West Virginia attack a little tight in this spot early on. The Mountaineers lone offensive ?dud? in 2018 did come on the road against Iowa State, and while Oklahoma State's defense isn't likely to provide as much resistance as the Cyclones did, a critical turnover or two by the Mountaineers may be all it takes for another dud-like offensive performance to show up.

West Virginia's own defense has made some significant improvements as well, as two of their last three foes have been held to 14 points or less. The Cowboys will be able to easily surpass that number here, but they've been known to put up an offensive ?dud? or two up themselves (31-12 loss at K-State) and are actually 0-1 O/U in Big 12 play this year with a total closing in the 70's.

Four of the last five meetings between these two have cashed 'under' tickets ? including one game that went to OT ? and West Virginia's last two trips to OK State have resulted in final scores of 57 and 44 points. I believe we see this game finish somewhere in the mid-60's as these two defenses show some pride and get the 'under.'

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday, November 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (6 - 4) at SMU (5 - 5) - 11/16/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 98-130 ATS (-45.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOISE ST (8 - 2) at NEW MEXICO (3 - 7) - 11/16/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 145-106 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 145-106 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-25 ATS (+21.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 81-51 ATS (+24.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

----------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, November 16

Memphis @ Southern Methodist
Memphis
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist

Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Southern Methodist is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

Boise State @ New Mexico
Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boise State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Mexico

New Mexico
New Mexico is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boise State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Mexico's last 9 games


----------------------------------------


Friday?s games

Memphis crushed SMU the last four years, by an average score of 54-15; they won last two visits here, 51-7/48-10. Tigers scored 47+ points in their four wins this year, 33 or fewer in their four losses. Memphis is 1-3 SU on road this year; under Norvell, they?re 5-4 as road favorites, 1-2 this season. SMU won three of last four games, needs one more win to go bowling; Mustangs scored 45-62 points in last two games. SMU covered four of its last five games as home underdogs. Last three Memphis games went over the total.

Boise State won its last five games, only once by more than 10 points; Broncos are 13-7-1 in last 21 games as road favorites, 2-2-1 this year. New Mexico lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread); Lobos gave up 600+ TY in two of last three games, and gained less than 300 in four of their last five. Boise won five of last six games with New Mexico, but Lobos covered five of the six games. Broncos won last three visits here, by 28-11-3 points. Under is 16-8 in last 24 games on the blue turf; over is 7-2 in Lobos? last nine games.


-------------------------------------


Friday, November 16

Memphis @ SMU

Game 315-316
November 16, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
90.881
SMU
80.678
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 10
85
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 7
73 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-7); Over

Boise State @ New Mexico

Game 317-318
November 16, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
96.052
New Mexico
69.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 25 1/2
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 19
62
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-19); Over


-------------------------------


Friday, Nov. 16

MEMPHIS at SMU... SMU has been obliterated L4 by Memphis. Tigers however only 1-3 vs. line away TY.
Memphis, based on series trends.


BOISE STATE at NEW MEXICO... Davie has mostly had Boise?s number, covering 5 of 6 vs. Broncos since arriving at UNM in 2012. Boise however 8-4-1 vs. spread last 13 on MW trail, while Lobos only 3-8 vs. spread last 11 as host.
Slight to New Mexico, based on series trends.


--------------------------------------



xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxB]**Memphis at Southern Methodist**[/B]

- -As of early Thursday, most betting shops had Memphis (6-4 straight up, 6-4 against the spread) installed as an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 73. The Mustangs were +270 on the money line (risk $100 to win $270).

-- Mike Norvell?s team has dropped three of its four road assignments both SU and ATS. The Tigers are only 3-3 in AAC action, but they are still alive in a four-team race to win the West Division. Houston, SMU and Tulane are tied for the division lead with 4-2 records, but Memphis gets SMU on Friday night and Houston at home next Friday night at the Liberty Bowl. Tulane was a listed as a double-digit underdog at Houston (on Thursday, ?tonight? when this column was filed) and hosts Navy this weekend. The Tigers have lost at Tulane, but they could own head-to-head tiebreakers over SMU and Houston if they win out their next/last two outings.

-- Memphis lost 22-21 at Navy during a driving rainstorm ? which was clearly advantageous to the Midshipmen and their run-heavy offensive attack -- and dropped a 31-30 decision to UCF at home. The Tigers? other defeats came in lopsided fashion at Tulane (40-24) and at Missouri (65-33). All six of Memphis?s wins have come by margins of 17 points or more.

-- Memphis is ranked sixth in the nation in both total offense and scoring with its 44.6 points-per-game average. The Tigers are fifth in rushing yards and 38th in passing offense. They are led by junior running back Darrell Henderson, who is second in the country in rushing yards (1,446) and tied for an FBS-best 20 touchdowns. Henderson, who averages 9.2 yards per carry, has 17 rushing scores and three TD receptions. He has 15 catches for 283 yards and three TDs.

-- Brady White, a grad transfer QB from Arizona St., has completed 64.3 percent of his throws for 2,512 yards with a 22/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Junior WR Damonte Coxie has emerged as his favorite target, hauling in 58 receptions for 949 yards and seven TDs. Tony Pollard has 28 catches for 318 yards and three TDs, while John Williams has 28 grabs for 275 yards and two TDs.

-- Pollard is one of the nation?s premier all-purpose playmakers. As a freshman, he garnered AAC Special Teams Player of the Year honors and was on the Freshman All-American team as a kickoff return specialist. Pollard had four KO returns for TDs in 2017, easily leading the FBS in KO return average (40.0) and earning first-team All-American honors. Opponents have done their best not to allow him touches on special teams this year, as he?s turned 12 KO returns into just 258 yards. However, Pollard has made plays running the ball, producing 289 rushing yards and four TDs with a 7.0 YPC average.

-- Memphis is 1-2 both SU and ATS as a road favorite this season, 5-4 ATS as a road ?chalk? during Norvell?s three-year tenure.

-- SMU (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) owns a 3-2 record both SU and ATS in five home games. The Mustangs have been home underdogs four times this season, compiling a 3-1 spread record with two outright victories vs. Navy (31-30 in OT) and Houston (45-31).

-- Sonny Dykes?s first SMU team started the season 0-3, losing 46-23 at North Texas, 42-12 vs. TCU and 45-20 at Michigan. Since then, however, the Mustangs have won five of seven games SU with their losses coming 48-20 at still-undefeated UCF and 26-20 at home vs. one-loss Cincinnati in overtime.

-- SMU saw its three-game streak of spread covers halted in last week?s 62-50 win at UConn as an 18-point road favorite. Sykes?s squad darted out to a 31-10 halftime lead and held three separate 21-point leads in the second half, including a 52-31 advantage early in the final stanza. But the Huskies scored 26 points in the four quarter, including a 14-yard TD pass from David Pindell to Hergy Mayala with 36 ticks remaining. SMU had extended its lead to 62-44 and had its backers at least poised to push when Kevin Robledo buried a 30-yard field goal with 3:35 left.

-- SMU junior QB Ben Hicks connected on 19-of-29 pass attempts for 276 yards and one TD without an interception. Xavier Jones rushed for 133 yards and two TDs on 11 attempts, while Ke?Mon Freeman turned 17 carries into 116 rushing yards and three TDs. Hicks ran four times for 50 yards, while junior WR James Proche had six receptions for 101 yards.

-- Hicks is already the school?s leader in career passing yards, surpassing Chick Hixson?s record-setting numbers that were compiled from 1968-70 earlier in the season. The junior has completed 56.5 percent of his passes for 1,919 yards with a 16/4 TD-INT ratio. Hicks has a 68/31 career TD-INT ratio. Proche has enjoyed a dynamite campaign, bringing down 70 receptions for 882 yards and nine TDs. Facing one of the nation?s premier defenses in Week 3 at Michigan, Proche had 11 catches for 166 yard and two TDs. Sophomore WR Reggie Roberson Jr., who started his career at West Virginia, has 42 receptions for 648 yards and six TDs.

-- Jones, the senior RB who was a second-team All-AAC selection in 2017 when he had 1,075 rushing yards for nine TDs, has taken a backseat to fellow senior RB Braeden West in the backfield this year. West has run for a team-high 536 yards and six TDs with a 4.5 YPC average, while Jones has 303 rushing yards, two TDs and a 4.5 YPC average. West also has 29 catches for 277 yards and one TD. Freeman, who rushed for 543 yards and 11 TDs in 2017, missed four games injured from mid-September to mid-October. He has been given the most touches in the past two games, however, rushing for 107 yards and two TDs on 20 carries in the 45-31 win over Houston.

-- SMU has two key members of its secondary listed as ?questionable? vs. Memphis, including Rodney Clemons and Jordan Wyatt. Clemons is the Mustangs? third-leading tackler with 64 stops, 2.5 TFL?s, three PBU, one forced fumble and one interception. Wyatt has 16 tackles, four PBU, one interception and one TFL. Also, junior DT Demerick Gary is suspended for the first half due to a targeting penalty issued in the second half of last week?s non-covering victory over UConn. Gary has produced 23 tackles, 2.5 TFL?s, 0.5 sacks, one QB hurry and one PBU.

-- When these teams joined the AAC in 2011, SMU won three in a row over Memphis both SU and ATS. However, it has been all Tigers since 2014 with four wins both SU and ATS. In fact, they?ve throttled the Mustangs by scores of 48-10, 63-0, 51-7 and 66-45. In last year?s encounter at the Liberty Bowl, Memphis covered the number as a 10.5-point home favorite in the win by 21 points. The 111 combined points soared ?over? the 71.5-point tally to prevent a third straight ?under? from appearing in this rivalry. Henderson stole the show with a 64-yard kickoff return, 147 rushing yards and two TDs on only 10 totes and a 15-yard reception. Hicks held his own in the losing effort. His accuracy wasn?t great with merely 15 completing on 34 attempts, but he threw for 218 yards and four TDs without an interception. Jones rushed 20 times for 175 yards and two TDs, while Proche had four catches for 70 yards.

-- The ?over? has cashed in three consecutive Memphis games to improve to 6-4 overall, 2-2 in its road contests. The Tigers have seen their games average combined scores of 75.1 PPG.

-- Totals have been an overall wash (5-5) for the Mustangs, who have watched their games average combined scores of 69.1 PPG.

-- ESPN will provide television coverage at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

*Boise State at New Mexico**

-- Most books had Boise State (8-2 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) listed as a 19.5-point road ?chalk? early Thursday. The number for ?over/under? wager was 62.5 points, while the Lobos had +700 odds to win outright (risk $100 to get $700).

-- Bryan Harsin?s team needs a win in this spot to remain just one game back of Utah State in the Mountain West Conference?s Mountain Division. If BSU were to lose at UNM, it would remain alive in the division race only if Colorado State can upset Utah State on Saturday in Ft. Collins. If BSU and Utah State both win or both lose, it?ll set up a showdown for the MWC?s Mountain Division title on the smurf turf in Boise on Nov. 24. The winner would most likely face Fresno State, which can clinch the MWC?s West Division with a home win over San Diego St. this weekend.

-- Speaking of Fresno State, it saw its eight-game winning streak both SU and ATS snapped in last Friday?s 24-17 loss at Boise State. BSU won outright as a 2.5-point home underdog in its first home ?dog role since losing to Boston College in the 2005 Humanitarian Bowl. The Broncos had not been regular-season home underdogs since 2001. Trailing 17-3 midway through the third quarter, BSU got a seven-yard TD run from Alexander Mattison to cut the deficit in half. Then on the opening play of the fourth quarter, Mattison?s one-yard TD plunge tied the game at 17-17. With 9:22 remaining, senior QB Brett Rypien found Khalil Shakir for a 49-yard scoring strike to provide the game-winning points. Rypien completed 24-of-29 passes for 269 yards with one TD and one interception. Mattison ran for 144 yards and two TDs on 30 workmanlike attempts.

-- Boise State took its two defeats at Oklahoma State (44-21) and at home vs. San Diego State (19-13). Since the loss to the Aztecs, Harsin?s squad has won five consecutive games while going 2-2-1 ATS.

-- BSU is ranked 21st in the nation in total offense, 13th in passing yards and 23rd in scoring with its 36.6 PPG average. Rypien, a two-time All-MWC first-teamer and a second-team All-MWC choice in 2017, has connected on 68.9 percent of his passes for 3,048 yards with a 25/7 TD-INT ratio. He has 12,921 career passing yards with potentially four games left to play (or three if BSU doesn?t make the MWC Championship Game), but he?s unlikely to catch Kellen Moore?s school record (14,667). For his career, Rypien has an 85/29 TD-INT ratio.

-- Rypien is generous with his ball distribution. Sean Modster has 50 receptions for 723 yards and four TDs, while A.J. Richardson has 44 grabs for 719 yards and eight TDs. John Hightower has caught 30 balls for 496 yards and six TDs, and C.T. Thomas has 31 catches for 407 yards and three TDs.

-- Mattison has rushed for 870 yards and 12 TDs while averaging 4.2 YPC. Hightower has turned eight rushing attempts into 163 yards and two TDs, while Mattison has 21 receptions for 121 yards.

-- Boise State is 2-2-1 with one outright defeat in five games as a road ?chalk? this season. During Harsin?s five-year tenure, the Broncos have posted a 16-9-1 spread record in 26 games as road favorites.

-- BSU is down three defensive starters ? DT David Moa, LB DeAndre Pierce and LB Riley Whimpey ? to season-ending injuries. Moa, a first-team All-MWC selection in 2016 and a second-teamer last year, was lost in early October. Whimpey, the team?s leading tackler, went down in a 21-16 non-covering home win over BYU two weeks ago. Three other starters ? Hightower, junior NT Sonatane Lui and junior OG Eric Quevedo ? are listed as ?questionable? at UNM due to undisclosed injuries.

-- New Mexico (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS) is an abysmal 1-3 both SU and ATS in four home games this year. Since winning its MWC opener by a 50-14 count at UNLV, UNM has lost five games in a row while limping to a 1-4 ATS ledger. The Lobos are off a 42-24 loss at Air Force as 14-point road underdogs. They only trailed 21-17 at intermission and were ahead of the number going into the fourth quarter. However, the Falcons extended a 35-24 lead to 42-24 on a Cole Fagan three-yard TD run with 10:01 remaining and kept the backdoor closed from there.

-- UNM lost starting sophomore QB Tekava Tuioti to season-ending injury in late September. He had completed 55.8 percent of his throws for 439 yards with a 5/2 TD-INT ratio. Tuioti had rushed for 100 yards and one TD on 15 attempts.

-- Sheriron Jones has taken most of the snaps under center since then, with Coltin Gerhart getting some playing time in the past three games. Gerhart is ?questionable? vs. BSU, though, due to a leg injury. Jones has completed 54.4 percent of his passes for 1,311 yards with a 13/11 TD-INT ratio. He has 213 rushing yards and a 3.5 YPC average. Gerhart has connected on 25-of-42 throws (59.5%) for 235 yards with a 3/2 TD-INT ratio. He has one rushing score.

-- In addition to the win at UNLV, UNM?s two other wins came vs. Incarnate Word (62-30) and at New Mexico St. The Lobos have lost by margins of 17 points or more four times.

-- UNM senior RB Tyrone Owens has rushed for a team-high 628 yards and six TDs, but he?s averaging merely 3.9 YPC. He has six catches for 42 yards and one TD. Owens has just one 100-yard effort, producing 110 yards and one TD on 30 carries in the win over NM St.

-- Senior WR Delane Hart-Johnson has team-highs in receptions (29), receiving yards (430) and TD catches (five). Elijah Lilly has 21 grabs for 365 yards and five TDs, while Anselem Umeh has caught 16 balls for 316 yards and two TDs.

-- New Mexico is 1-1 ATS in a pair of games as a home underdog this season. During Bob Davie?s seven-year tenure (one that this space wants to last forever out of fear for being forced to agonizingly listen to him broadcast second-tier SEC games that sometimes include my Gators and bring four hours of automatic chafeness to my life!), the Lobos are 10-11 ATS in 21 games as home ?dogs.

-- Totals have been an overall wash for the Broncos (5-5), but the ?over? is 3-2 in their five road assignments. They?ve seen their games average combined scores of 59.6 PPG.

-- The ?over? is 8-2 overall for the Lobos, 3-1 in their home games. They?ve seen the ?over? hit in three consecutive contests and their games have average combined scores of 66.0 PPG throughout the entire year.

-- Since joining the MWC, BSU is 6-1 SU but only 1-6 ATS in seven games against the Lobos. When these teams met on the blue carpet last year, the Broncos won a 28-14 decision but failed to cover as 14-point home ?chalk.? The ?under? is 4-3 in the past seven games of this rivalry.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on the CBS Sports Network.

**B.E.?s Bonus Nuggets**

-- The Westgate SuperBook has Alabama listed as a 7.5-point favorite vs. Clemson. The wager is ?action? only if these schools meet in the finals of the College Football Playoff. Also, the Crimson Tide is the -250 ?chalk? to win the CFP.

-- The Westgate has Michigan installed as a 3.5-point favorite for next Saturday?s game at Ohio St.

-- Ole Miss RB Scottie Phillips is ?questionable? at Vanderbilt with an ankle sprain. Phillips has run for 927 yards and 14 TDs in his first year with the Rebels after arriving as a juco transfer.

-- Ohio State sophomore LB Baron Browning is ?out? Saturday at Maryland with an unspecified injury. Browning has recorded 22 tackles, 3.5 TFL?s and one sack. The Buckeyes ended a five-game ATS losing slide by taking the cash in last week?s 26-6 win at Michigan St. Browning was a five-star signed in the 2017 recruiting class.

-- Michigan State?s Mark Dantonio is playing coy about this starting QB on Saturday at Nebraska. Brian Lewerke saw his streak of making 20 straight starts snapped on Oct. 27 due to a shoulder injury. In his absence vs. Purdue, Rocky Lombardi completed 26-of-46 passes for 318 yards and two TDs without an interception. Lewerke has returned to start the last two games, but he?s completed only 35 percent of his throws since returning from the injury.

-- USF quarterback Blake Barnett is ?questionable? at Temple due to a shoulder injury. Barnett has thrown for 2,395 yards with a 13/11 TD-INT ratio.

 

[Udog]

By: Monty Andrews


Code Red for SMU

The SMU Mustangs need a victory to secure bowl eligibility ? but they face a tall task Friday night, as they're 7.5-point underdogs for a home date with the high-flying Memphis Tigers. The Mustangs should have no trouble scoring on the Tigers, who have allowed an average of 46.7 points over their previous three road games. But SMU might not be able to slow down a Memphis team that has scored points on 40 of its 41 red-zone trips this season (33 touchdowns, seven interceptions) ? good for a 96.7-percent success rate that ranks as the third-highest in the country.

We like the Tigers to surpass their 41.5-point team total regardless of what the Mustangs do on offense.


Don't Buck These Broncos

There are two compelling reasons to like the Boise State Broncos on Friday as they continue their pursuit of Utah State atop the Mountain West's Mountain Division. The 8-2 Broncos visit the New Mexico Lobos, and will look to improve on a 56.4-percent third-down success rate that ranks tied for first in Division I. The Lobos have allowed teams to extend drives on 43.2 percent of their third-down chances, ranking outside the top 100. Boise State also boasts the No. 13 pass offense in yards per game (313.9), while New Mexico features the No. 121-ranked pass defense (280.9 yards against per game).

By dominating through the air and being able to extend drives, Boise State is a great option to cover at -20.5 and should surpass its team total of 41.5.


Bowman Still on the Sidelines

Texas Tech won't have its starting quarterback for Saturday's Big 12 encounter with host Kansas State. Alan Bowman is still recovering from a collapsed lung suffered back at the end of September, and head coach Kliff Kingsbury says the freshman signal-caller still isn't ready to return. Kingsbury did, however, suggest that Bowman might be able to suit up for the Red Raiders' season finale against Baylor on Nov. 24. Jett Duffey will once against start under center for Texas Tech; Duffey threw for 444 yards and four scores in a 41-34 loss to Texas last time out.

With Duffey having established himself as a legitimate threat, bettors should consider the over on the Texas Tech-Kansas State total of 57. The teams have surpassed the number in nine of their past 10 meetings overall.


Don't Close the Book

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are apparently going to have Ian Book back on the field for this week's marquee showdown with visiting Syracuse. Book missed last week's victory over Florida State due to a rib injury but has had a "good week" of practice, according to Irish head coach Brian Kelly. Book's return should give the Notre Dame offense a boost, though it had no problem putting up 42 points against a sagging Seminoles team even with Brandon Wimbush at the helm. Book has thrown for 1,824 yards with 15 touchdowns and four interceptions on the season.

Notre Dame will need to win out to guarantee a spot in the College Football Playoff and will be looking to set an example against the highly competitive Orange. Look for the Irish to cover -10 and to surpass their team total of 38.5.

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 16
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MEM at SMU 09:00 PM
SMU +7.5
O 74.5

BSU at UNM 09:00 PM
BSU -21.0
U 61.0

 

[Cnotes53]

November's Cbb Opinions Record and Best Bets:

DATE .......W-L-T......... % UNITS

11/16/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
11/15/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
11/14/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/10/2018 28-29-0 49.12% -19.50
11/09/2018 3-1-0 100.00% +10.00
11/08/2018 0-5-0 0.00% -27.50
11/07/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
11/06/2018 29-22-3 56.86% +24.00

Totals..............67-66-3.....50.37%......-27.50


DATE......................ATS.............UNITS... .............O/U............UNITS............TOTAL

11/16/2018............1 - 1............-0.50.................1 - 1............-0.50............-1.00
11/15/2018............1 - 1............-0.50.................1 - 1............-0.50...........-1.00
11/14/2018............1 - 1............-0.50.................0 - 2............-11.00.........-11.50
11/10/2018...........10 - 13.........-21.50................3 - 2............+4.00..........-17.50
11/09/2018............1 - 1............-0.50.................2 - 0............+10.00........+9.50
11/08/2018............0 - 3............-16.50...............0 - 2.............-11.00.........-27.50
11/07/2018............1 - 0............+5.00................2 - 1............+4.50..........+9.50
11/06/2018............6 - 5............+2.50................1 - 6............-11.50...........-9.00

Totals.................21 - 25.............-32.50...............10 - 15...........-16.00..........-48.50

 

[Cnotes53]

The Triple Option: College football Week 12 picks and predictions
Andrew Caley

I jinxed it.

Just one week after complaining about Daylight Savings and fearing the onset of winter, it happened. We got our first significant dumping of snow today.

Snow Day! A day of making snowmen, sledding and getting comfy by a fire drinking hot chocolate, right? WRONG. It means back pain and chills from shovelling wet snow. It means worrying about whether the power will go out. And, since I work for a website it means there are no days off. Which means I somehow have to juggle entertaining a cooped up six-year-old while writing this column. Good luck me!

It has me thinking snow days are overrated. And I?m feeling the same way about Notre Dame.

The Fighting Irish currently sit third in the College Football Playoff rankings thanks to their unblemished record to this point, but their schedule has been a little softer than usual. That?s not necessarily their fault, seeing as many of their regular rivals (Stanford, Navy, Florida State etc.) are having down years.

That makes it a little surprising that of all the teams in the nation, that it's Syracuse that could be the one to give Notre Dame its final real challenge of the season.

Dino Babers has changed the football culture at Syracuse and it has been fun to watch. In fact, Syracuse is about two plays away from being undefeated as well.

The Orange offense, led by senior duel-threat quarterback Eric Dungey, is one of the most explosive in the country, ranking 13th in total yards and seventh in points per game. The Orange have topped 40 points seven times this year and in each of their last four games.

Dungey can have problems with accuracy at times but does just enough that teams must respect his arm and that can open things up for him on the ground. He also has a great red-zone target in receiver Jamal Custis.

Notre Dame has a solid defense, but it hasn?t faced a dynamic offense like this all season. But what really makes the Orange interesting in this spot is that they're one of the best teams in the country in taking care of the football with a plus-13 turnover margin.

I don?t know if Syracuse will win, but getting more than 10-points on a neutral site in its home state? Sign me up. Plus, how could you ever pick a team with those hideous Yankee inspired uniforms. Yuck. Give me the points with my guy Dino.

Pick: Syracuse +10.5

West Virginia Mountaineers at Oklahoma State Cowboys (+5.5, 72)

Last week, it was the game after the big game with Texas. This week, it?s the game before the big game with Oklahoma. To West Virginia, it doesn?t matter.

That?s because, 1. The Mountaineers are better than what they?re give credit for. And 2. The College Football Playoff rankings system puts so much weight in every game, (more specifically every loss) that it's almost eliminated spot bet situations for many teams at this point in the season.

To use a clich?: every game matters.

For the Mountaineers, this matchup with Oklahoma State has a very similar feeling to their game earlier in the season when they visited Texas Tech. The Mountaineers are slight road favorites against a very good passing offense, but a porous defense. West Virginia got out to a fast start in that game and ended up winning by eight. The Neers have all the ingredients to produce more of the same here.

For West Virginia, it all starts with Will Grier. The senior signal caller is on fire over the last three games, throwing for 1,042 yards while completing nearly 65 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns to just one interception. He faces a Pokes defense that ranks 103rd in the country in passing yards allowed and 92nd in points allowed.

But what makes the Mountaineers too much for the Cowboys to handle is the number of weapons they have on offense. David Sills, Marcus Simms and Gary Jennings Jr. all have over 600 yards receiving on over 14 yards per reception. Plus, they have three running backs with at least 74 carries for an average of over five yards per rush.

Oklahoma State will score some points, but West Virginia?s bend-don?t-break defense will do just enough. Plus, this game means too much to the Mountaineers. They win by at least a touchdown.

Pick: West Virginia -5.5

Arizona State Sun Devils at Oregon Ducks (-3.5, 64)

It seems like a long time ago when we were making fun of Arizona State for hiring Herm Edwards as its head coach. But did you realize the Sun Devils control their own destiny in the Pac-12 South? No, seriously. They do.

It won?t be easy, the Sun Devils need two road wins, beginning at the tough Auzten Zoo in Eugene, Oregon before closing the season at rival Arizona.

But first thing's first: the Ducks. They're really struggling, dropping three of their past four games straight up and against the spread while allowing 32.7 points per game. Quarterback Justin Herbert has also been part of the problem. While he has eight touchdowns to one interception in the last four games, he's completing just 55.9 percent of his passes at a rate of just 6.7 yards per attempt.

On the other side of field, the Sun Devils have really opened up the playbook, averaging 35.6 points per game in their last three wins. Their trio of quarterback Manny Wilkins, running back Eno Benjamin and wide receiver K?Neal Harry has made them very balanced. The defense is aggressive but sound and will make life tough on Herbert. They rank 29th in sacks racking up 26 this season.

Herm will have his team motivated in this one and don?t be surprised if the Sun Devils win outright.

Pick: Arizona State +3.5

Last week: 2-1
Season to date:19-14

 

[Cnotes53]

Key players might be missing for Ole Miss

The Ole Miss Rebels could be without two of their top offensive weapons for Saturday's matchup with host Vanderbilt. Running back Scottie Phillips will be a game-time decision with an ankle injury; the junior standout has 927 rushing yards and 12 scores on the ground so far this season. Rebels wideout Braylon Sanders joins Phillips on the questionable list after missing Wednesday's practice with a bum ankle. Sanders has been inconsistent this season but erupted for 133 receiving yards and a touchdown on four catches in a Week 2 win over Southern Illinois.

With neither player expected to be 100 percent, Ole Miss' depth will be tested. Given that the Rebels are just 5-12 ATS in the past 17 meetings, we like the home team to cover the modest -3 spread.


Gaines Out for the Season

The Virginia Tech Hokies will play out the remainder of their schedule without the services of one of their top pass rushers. Junior defensive end Houshun Gaines has been ruled out for the rest of the season after tearing his ACL in last week's loss to Pittsburgh. Gaines, considered a candidate to go in the early-to-mid-rounds of next year's NFL draft, was enjoying a terrific season with the Hokies, having racked up 22 tackles (five for loss), a team-leading 4 1/2 sacks for 30 lost yards and two forced fumbles in nine games played.

Losing the player responsible for more than a fifth of their total sacks is a significant problem for the Hokies, who are 5.5-point underdogs against visiting Miami on Saturday. The Hurricanes sit near the middle of the pack in sacks allowed per game (2.2) but with one less elite pass rusher to worry about, we like them to cover comfortably.


No More Chillin' for Dillon

Boston College running back A.J. Dillon is inching closer to full health as he prepares to lead the Eagles against the Florida State Seminoles on Saturday. Dillon has played each of the past three games despite battling an ankle injury and was able to practice in full Wednesday. Head coach Steve Addazio cautioned against expecting Dillon to be his old self, suggesting that the sophomore star isn't completely healed yet. Dillon has 284 rushing yards and two scores in three games since returning to action but was held to just 39 yards on the ground in last week's 27-7 loss to Clemson.

With the Seminoles boasting one of the worst offenses in the country, Dillon will have every opportunity to rack up the yards ? and if he's closer to 100 percent, the Eagles are a great bet to cover at -1.5 while keeping Florida State under their team total of 23.5 as they control the ball, and the clock.


Baylor's Roberts Out for the Half

The Baylor Bears will play the first half of their Big 12 showdown with the visiting TCU Horned Frogs this Saturday without the services of one of their top defensive players. Senior defensive end Greg Roberts has been suspended for the opening half of this weekend's tilt after getting ejected for throwing a punch in the third quarter of last Saturday's 28-14 defeat at the hands of Iowa State. Roberts has been terrific for the Bears so far this season, compiling 30 tackles, three sacks, a forced fumble and two passes defended through his first eight games.

The Bears and Horned Frogs are a virtual toss-up on the first-half spread, with the Bears listed at -2 for the game. But with Roberts on the sidelines, we like the visitors to have enough of an edge to cover heading into the break.


Cyclones Down a Man

The Bears weren't the only team to come out of last week's tilt with Baylor a man down. Standout running back David Montgomery will sit out the first half of Iowa State's encounter with Texas following his skirmish with Roberts. It's a major blow to a Cyclones team that locked up bowl eligibility with last weekend's victory. Montgomery has been Iowa State's top offensive option so far in 2018, having racked up 765 yards on the ground with eight rushing scores. Montgomery was limited to 53 yards on 11 carries in the victory over Baylor.

Kene Nwangwu will likely replace Montgomery as the starter, but he's averaging just 3.6 yards per carry with a long run of 13 yards. Texas looks like the superior first-half cover play, with the 1H under also a solid option.


Francois the Man for Florida State

Florida State head coach Willie Taggart has confirmed what Deondre Francois already knew: that the junior quarterback will remain the starter for the Seminoles' final two regular-season games. Francois returned to action last week at Notre Dame in place of James Blackman and completed 23 of 47 passes for 216 scoreless yards with an interception in the 42-13 loss to the Fighting Irish. It has been a difficult year for Florida State ? and Francois, in particular. He has completed just 59.1 percent of his pass attempts with 13 touchdowns and eight interceptions.

The Seminoles need to beat Boston College and Florida to be eligible for a bowl game ? but with Francois struggling and the Eagles having gone 7-3 SU and ATS this season, we suggest taking the visitors either straight-up (-125) or at -1.5.

 

[Cnotes53]

Essentials - Week 12
Tony Mejia

Most of the SEC is snacking on cupcakes this weekend, but there are still a number of games crucial to college football's fortunes. Here are the highlights and what to watch:

Syracuse (-14.5/53) at Notre Dame, 2:30 p.m. ET, NBC: The Irish must still visit USC next week, but this meeting against the upstart Orange in Yankee Stadium of all places is expected to carry enough juice to ensure that undefeated Notre Dame will remain among college football?s top-four regardless of what happens in December?s conference championship games. To secure a playoff spot, a Fighting Irish defense that has been tremendous all season must rise up against the top dual threat QB it has run up against, Syracuse junior Eric Dungey (14 TD passes, 12 TD runs). Notre Dame hasn?t given up more than 27 points in a single game this season, while the Orange have only scored fewer than 30 once. The anomaly occurred at Clemson in a game where it led into the fourth quarter despite leaving a lot of points on the board. Dino Babers? team is legit. They?ve averaged over 46 points on this current four-game winning streak that included a 51-41 upset at N.C. State. Syracuse is 3-0 ATS in an underdog role, winning outright twice.

The Irish will be tasked with slowing down an offense that operates at a faster tempo than any other team they?ve seen besides Wake Forest, a game that finished 56-27 and remains Notre Dame?s highest-scoring. Six of the last seven games involving the Irish have cleared the posted total, while four of the last five Syracuse games have also gone ?over.? Ian Book will be returning for Notre Dame after sitting out last week?s win over Florida State due to a rib injury. Brandon Wimbush was shaky (3 TDs, 2 INTs) against the ?Noles, so he wouldn?t inspire confidence if pressed into action. Syracuse will have RB Moe Neal available and rank fifth nationally with 32 rushing TDs, so the Irish can?t just key in on the pass against this ?Cuse offense, which is fortunate to get mild conditions in the Bronx, where temperatures are expected to be in the mid-40s with light wind.

Iowa State at Texas (-7/51.5), 8 p.m. ET, Longhorn: Since Oklahoma and West Virginia play each other next weekend, the winner of this one will have a great chance to reach the Big 12 Championship game. The Cyclones are an underdog here but have been riding freshman QB Brock Purdy since October began and own five straight wins as they face their toughest test of the season. Purdy has accounted for 15 touchdowns while throwing just two picks despite being thrown into the fire with limited experience. At some point, will the ride feature a rocky start? Is it coming today? Purdy has hooked up with Hakeem Butler as a favorite target and ranks first in adjusted completion percentage on deep passes among Power Five QBs per Pro Football Focus. An offense that was expected to ride entirely on the legs of All-Big 12 standout David Montgomery now has balance that could trouble a Longhorns defense that has surrendered 34 or more points in four of the last five. Montgomery won't participate until the second half after being ejected for throwing a punch last week.

Texas had a QB controversy to start the season, but it can safely be said that he made the right choice in Sam Ehlinger, who has accounted for 26 touchdowns since his last interception. He?s helped keep the Longhorns alive in their last three games that have produced a 1-2 record despite the offense averaging 39 points. With Collin Johnson (knee) upgraded to probable, Ehlinger will have both top targets available alongside Lil?Jordan Humphrey. RB Keaontay Ingram is also a go after dealing with a hip issue. The Longhorns have won 13 of 15 games in this series and the last three have gone way ?under? since the Cyclones have scored a total of just 13 points over the last two meetings and Texas was blanked 24-0 in Ames in ?15.

Cincinnati at UCF (-9/54.5), 8 p.m. ET, ABC: The Longhorns went from leading the Big 12 with an unbeaten conference mark to tasting a loss in Stillwater that now complicates matters considering only one of their remaining four games can be chalked up as a win. The conference race is wide open, but the winner of this one will be in excellent shape. After allowing 260 first-quarter yards at Oklahoma State, Texas is placing a priority on getting off to a strong start as it looks to keep Mountaineers QB Will Grier from finding a rhythm.

The Knights offense is more than just McKenzie Milton, but it helps to have his quick decision making as the key catalyst in ensuring that an attack that operates as fast as UCF?s does remains on schedule. RBs Adrian Killins, Otis Anderson, Taj McGowan and Greg McCrae all get carries and bring different skill sets to the equation, so Cincinnati will earn its upset if its able to keep this ground attack from finding legs. Milton terrorized the Bearcats last season, accounting for five touchdowns in a game that ended up not being graded despite crusing past the posted total since thunderstorms ended the Knights? dominant 51-23 win prematurely. Perfect weather in the low-to-mid 60s is expected for tonight?s clash.

Arizona at Washington State (-13/54.5), 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN: It?s going to be nice in Pullman too, freezing temperatures aside. Wind won?t be a factor amid the 28-degree weather that the Cougars and Wildcats will have to endure. From the standpoint of being more acclimated to the cold, Washington State should benefit from getting out there under the lights in one of Saturday?s late games. A defense that has dominated in wins over Oregon, Cal and Colorado over the past month will do their best to keep Khalil Tate from warming up. Tate dominated last year?s 58-37 win in Tucson as he and RB J.J Taylor combined to run for nearly 300 yards. He?s turned the corner over the past few weeks after getting his ankle healthy and showing a stronger grasp of the Kevin Sumlin/Noel Mazzone offense he was tasked with learning upon their arrival. The Wildcats have won consecutive games by topping the 40-point mark at home against Oregon and Colorado, so we?ll see if their game translates to the road, where they?ve won only once in four tries.

The Cougs beat Arizona 69-7 in 2016 and are hoping for a similarly large cosmetic win considering they?re stuck on the outside looking in due to the lack of strength in the Pac-12 this season. Although an Apple Cup win next Friday over Washington would provide a boost, Washington State will have to hope multiple teams in front of them lose in order to be considered for the CFP semis. QB Gardner Minshew has a much better shot at being invited to New York for the Heisman Trophy and ceremony as he looks to continue a brilliant season by punishing an Arizona defense that has been brutalized for over 600 yards of total offense in each of the last two meetings and typically don?t fare well against the Air Raid. Minshew leads the country with 20 red zone TDs and will have most everyone at Martin Stadium sporting fake mustaches in his honor, so don?t expect him to be slowed down.

Duke at Clemson (-18.5/58.5), 7 p.m. ET, ESPN: Duke QB Daniel Jones is experienced and isn?t easily rattled, so there?s that. David Cutcliffe?s prized prot?g? is healthy enough to play and coming off consecutive wins over Miami and North Carolina after missing time following shoulder surgery. Last week?s win over UNC saw him run for 186 yards as he set a school record for total offense with 547 yards in 42-35 shootout victory in Durham. The Tigers rank second in the nation in total defense (253.6) and have completely shut down the run, surrendering 82.3 yards per game, the third-fewest in the nation. Clemson?s front four is headed to the NFL and contributed to knocking out BC?s Anthony Brown to make last week?s game much easier, so Jones will have to be smart about taking hits in order to see the fourth quarter here to give his team a chance to even cover, much less compete for an upset. Defensively, Duke is hoping standout LB Joe Giles-Harris can return to lend a hand but a knee injury may keep him sidelined. The Blue Devils have already lost top corner Mark Gilbert, safety Dylan Singleton and standout DT Edgar Cerenord.

West Virginia (-6.5/68) at Oklahoma State, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC: The Cowboys have cleared star RB Justice Hill to play despite injured ribs, so that should clear up how interested Mike Gundy?s team is in bouncing back from another Bedlam disappointment in last week?s shootout loss to the Sooners. Oklahoma State needs an upset in today?s home finale or a win next Saturday at TCU just to get bowl eligible. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers have continued bouncing back from a tough loss at Iowa State a month ago and will look to enter next week?s crucial home game against Oklahoma with momentum by taking care of business as a road favorite for the fourth time in five tries. QB Will Grier is in the Heisman mix and has thrown nine touchdowns and just one interception on this run of victories over Baylor, Texas and TCU. Dana Holgorsen has lost his last three meetings against OK State, winning in Stillwater last in 2014. The Mountaineers surrendered 50 points in Morgantown last season, so they?ll be looking to rebound by stifling Taylor Cornelius, who has had his ups and downs replacing Mason Rudolph but tasted victory in his most recent home date, quieting critics in an upset of Texas.

Others to watch: Northwestern at Minnesota, Boston College at Florida State, Indiana at Michigan, Miami at Virginia Tech, Wisconsin at Purdue, Utah at Colorado, Pittsburgh at Wake Forest, Ohio State at Maryland, USC at UCLA, South Florida at Temple, Middle Tennessee at Kentucky, Michigan State at Nebraska, Missouri at Tennessee, Pittsburgh at Wake Forest, Arkansas at Mississippi State, Texas Tech at Kansas State, N.C. State at Louisville, UAB at Texas A&M, Ole Miss at Vanderbilt, TCU at Baylor, Kansas at Oklahoma

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 17
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MTU at UK 12:00 PM
MTU +16.5
O 47.0

PSU at RUTG 12:00 PM
RUTG +28.5
O 51.5

MSU at NEB 12:00 PM
MSU +0.0

NW at MINN 12:00 PM
NW +3.0

USF at TEM 12:00 PM
TEM -14.0

PITT at WAKE 12:00 PM
PITT -6.0
U 62.5

ARK at MSST 12:00 PM
ARK +23.0
U 47.0

TCU at BAY 12:00 PM
BAY +1.5

OSU at MD 12:00 PM
OSU -13.5

NCST at LOU 12:20 PM
NCST -15.0

*************************

UTAH at COLO 01:30 PM
UTAH -7.0
U 45.0

USU at CSU 02:00 PM
USU -29.0

FIU at CHAR 02:00 PM
FIU -3.5

SYR at ND 02:30 PM
ND -10.5

UTSA at MRSH 02:30 PM
UTSA +28.0
O 47.5

GSU at APP 02:30 PM
GSU +27.5

*******************

NEV at SJSU 03:00 PM
NEV -15.0

ULM at ARST 03:00 PM
ARST -7.0

TLSA at NAVY 03:30 PM
NAVY -6.0

UVA at GT 03:30 PM
UVA +5.5
U 52.0

LT at SOMIS 03:30 PM
SOMIS -2.5
O 45.5

IOWA at ILL 03:30 PM
IOWA -15.0
U 60.0

WVU at OKST 03:30 PM
WVU -6.5
O 73.5

WIS at PUR 03:30 PM
PUR -3.5

USC at UCLA 03:30 PM
UCLA +2.5

MIZZ at TENN 03:30 PM
TENN +6.5

TTU at KSU 03:30 PM
TTU -6.0
O 55.0

TXST at TROY 03:30 PM
TROY -22.0

BGSU at AKR 03:30 PM
AKR -6.5

BC at FSU 03:30 PM
BC +0.0
U 49.5

MIA at VT 03:30 PM
MIA -7.0
U 54.0

*****************

AFA at WYO 04:00 PM
WYO -2.5

IND at MICH 04:00 PM
MICH -28.5

MASS at UGA 04:00 PM
MASS +41.5
O 66.5

LIB at AUB 04:00 PM
AUB -29.5
U 63.5

ORST at WASH 04:30 PM
ORST +33.5

*************

USA at ULL 05:00 PM
ULL -20.0

GASO at CC 05:00 PM
GASO -8.0

 

[Cnotes53]

CFB EVENING BEST BETS:

UAB at TAM 07:00 PM
UAB +17.0

DUKE at CLEM 07:00 PM
DUKE +29.5

RICE at LSU 07:30 PM
U 52.5

UTEP at WKU 07:30 PM
O 47.5

MISS at VAN 07:30 PM
VAN -3.0

KU at OKLA 07:30 PM
U 69.5

**********************

ISU at TEX 08:00 PM
TEX -2.5
U 49.5

CIN at UCF 08:00 PM
UCF -7.5

******************

NMSU at BYU 10:15 PM
O 57.5

SDSU at FRES 10:30 PM
FRES -13.0

ASU at ORE 10:30 PM
O 64.0

ARIZ at WSU 10:30 PM
ARIZ +10.5

UNLV at HAW 11:00 PM
HAW -6.0
O 71.0

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday's best
November 17, 2018
By The Associated Press

STARS

-Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin, rushed for a career-high 321 yards and scored three times, including the decisive 17-yard run in triple overtime, to give the Badgers a 47-44 comeback victory at Purdue.

-Joshua Kelley, UCLA, ran for 289 yards on 40 carries and scored two touchdowns to lead the Bruins past USC 34-27.

-Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama, passed for 340 yards and three TDs to help the No. 1 Crimson Tide pull away from The Citadel for a 50-17 victory.

-Jalen Morton, Prairie Vew A&M, accounted for 486 yards and six TDs in a 66-13 win over Alabama State.

-Colin McGovern, Stetson, threw for school records of 498 yards and six TDs in a 45-31 win over Valparaiso.

-John Lovett, Princeton, passed for 255 yards and three touchdowns, rushed for 123 yards and a score in a 42-14 victory over Pennsylvania that clinched its first perfect season since 1964.

-Pierre Strong Jr., South Dakota State, ran for 253 yards and three TDs on 17 carries to lead the Jackrabbits to a 49-27 victory over South Dakota.

-Kenny Pickett, Pittsburgh, threw for career-highs of 316 yards and three TDs as the Panthers beat Wake Forest 34-13 to clinch their first berth in the Atlantic Coast Conference championship game.

-Kenji Bahar, Monmouth, threw for a career-high 407 yards and five TDs in a 56-42 victory over Gardner-Webb.

-Jake Maier, UC Davis, threw for 478 yards and four TDs, and the Aggies claimed a share of its first Big Sky Conference title with a 56-13 victory over Sacramento State.

-Harris Roberts, Furman, threw five TD passes in a 35-30 victory over Mercer on Saturday to clinch a share of the Southern Conference title.

---

BUCKEYES RALLY

Relentlessly zipping up and down the field, ninth-ranked Ohio State and upstart Maryland were racking up yards and points at a dizzying pace.

Finally, the Terrapins were presented with the chance to end it - one way or another.

A gutsy decision by Maryland interim coach Matt Canada did not achieve the desired results, and the Buckeyes avoided one of the most stunning upsets in this college football season by squeezing out a 52-51 victory in overtime.

After a 5-yard touchdown run by Dwayne Haskins gave the Buckeyes a seven-point lead to start overtime, Tayon Fleet-Davis scored for the Terrapins. Canada opted to keep his offense on the field to attempt a 2-point conversion, and Tyrrell Pigrome's pass to Jeshaun Jones was off target.

Favored by 14 1/2 points, Ohio State trailed by two touchdowns in the third quarter and 45-38 with under two minutes left before rallying.

The victory kept the Buckeyes in the hunt for the Big Ten title and a spot in the College Football Playoff. Ohio State concludes the regular season next week in a game against Michigan that will decide the Big Ten East winner.

---

NUMBERS

10-Years since Auburn's last FBS shutout before beating Liberty 53-0.

56-Years since Columbia had consecutive winning seasons before this year.

72-Points scored between Harvard and Yale, most in the 143-year history of The Game.

122-Years since Illinois set the all-time mark for margin of defeat, matched by its 63-0 loss to Iowa.

14,584-Career passing yards by Samford's Devlin Hodges to surpass Steve McNair's all-time FCS record.

---

TIDE SLOW ROLLS

No. 1 Alabama finally found a team that could play toe to toe with the Crimson Tide, at least until halftime.

The surprise twist: It was The Citadel, an FCS team, not a Southeastern Conference rival.

Tua Tagovailoa passed for 340 yards and three touchdowns, but the Tide struggled for 30-plus minutes before putting away The Citadel in a 50-17 victory.

Alabama, which had coasted against SEC opponents, went into halftime tied at 10 with the Bulldogs. It wasn't until `Bama scored two touchdowns in a 12-second span on its way to a 27-point third quarter that the Tide could rest easy.

 

[Cnotes53]

November's Cbb Opinions Record and Best Bets:

DATE .......W-L-T......... % UNITS

11/17/2018 36-32-0 52.94% +4.00
11/16/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
11/15/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
11/14/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/10/2018 28-29-0 49.12% -19.50
11/09/2018 3-1-0 100.00% +10.00
11/08/2018 0-5-0 0.00% -27.50
11/07/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
11/06/2018 29-22-3 56.86% +24.00

Totals............103-98-3.....51.24%......-23.50


DATE......................ATS.............UNITS... .............O/U............UNITS............TOTAL

11/17/2018...........11 - 12.........-11.00...............4 - 4............-2.00............-13.00
11/16/2018............1 - 1............-0.50.................1 - 1............-0.50............-1.00
11/15/2018............1 - 1............-0.50.................1 - 1............-0.50...........-1.00
11/14/2018............1 - 1............-0.50.................0 - 2............-11.00.........-11.50
11/10/2018...........10 - 13.........-21.50................3 - 2............+4.00..........-17.50
11/09/2018............1 - 1............-0.50.................2 - 0............+10.00........+9.50
11/08/2018............0 - 3............-16.50...............0 - 2.............-11.00.........-27.50
11/07/2018............1 - 0............+5.00................2 - 1............+4.50..........+9.50
11/06/2018............6 - 5............+2.50................1 - 6............-11.50...........-9.00

Totals.................32 - 37..........-43.50...............14 - 19...........-18.00..........-61.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday?s 6-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 11 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Chiefs +3.5 (1,332)

2) Vikings +2.5 (1,283)

3) Panthers -4 (920)

4) Texans -3 (890)

5) Colts -2 (841)

6) Eagles +8.5 (823)

Season record: 32-25-3

Quote of the Day
?So much more fun to play with these guys? Everybody wants to win and when somebody messes up, you talk to them, they don?t take it personal and they do their job.?
Jimmy Butler, after his first home game with the 76ers

Sunday?s quiz
Duke football coach David Cutcliffe used to be the head coach at which SEC school?

Saturday?s quiz
Paul Westhead was basketball coach at Loyola Marymount when they made the Elite 8 of the NCAA?s in 1990; he also coached the Lakers and Nuggets in the NBA.

Friday?s quiz
Gonzaga University is located in Spokane, WA.


*******************************


Sunday?s List of 13: Wrapping up a college sports Saturday

13) Ohio State 52, Maryland 51 OT? This was the strangest of games??..
? Maryland?s QB tore his knee up last week, is out for the year; they gained 535 yards in a game where their backup QB played the whole game.
? Terps had TD runs of 81-75 yards, just in the first quarter- they ran the ball for 339 freakin? yards, which we?ll get back to later.
? Urban Meyer looks stressed out on sidelines, like he could keel over for good at any minute.
? Buckeyes have allowed 31+ points in three of their last four games.
? Maryland scores in OT to make score 52-51; did we mention they ran the ball for 339 yards? They go for 2 points and the win, but they throw a pass with their backup QB. No bueno.
? 47 of their first 61 plays were runs, but they threw a pass with the game on the line.

I was thoroughly entertained by this game, but the end just ticked me off. Do what you do best!!!! Run the damn ball. Maryland wins this game, and the interim coach might become the full-time coach. Now? Good luck interviewing for jobs this winter.

12) Oklahoma State 45, West Virginia 41? Not everyone who plays college football is going to the NFL; senior QB Tyler Cornelius threw a total of 24 passes in his first three years at OSU, but he is the starter this year and this was a big day for him on Senior Day, going 30-46 for 338 yards and three TD?s as they upset West Virginia.

Here are the distances between West Virginia and their Big X rivals:
? Iowa State 872 miles; Kansas 902, Kansas State 983
? Oklahoma State 1,086, Oklahoma 1,137, TCU 1,238
? Baylor, 1,299, Texas 1,401, Texas Tech 1,467

Why the bleep is West Virginia in this league and not the Big 14 or the ACC?

11) UCLA 34, USC 27? Joshua Kelley ran ball 40 times for 289 yards, the most yards for any UCLA RB since 2004; Bruins are 3-8, USC is 5-6. Last time both of these schools finished with losing records was 1958, before I was born. Trojans have to upset Notre Dame next week to get to 6-6 and be bowl eligible? ain?t gonna happen.

Where does USC look for a new coach? Would they dare consider Lane Kiffin again? How about John Harbaugh or Mike Leach?

USC has had three former football players (Garrett, Haden, Swann) as AD?s; how about hiring an experienced administrator and running things the right way?

10) Nebraska 9, Michigan State 6
? Neither team scored a TD, or completed half their passes.
? Total yardage was 289-248 MSU
? Spartans converted 9-20 on 3rd down, but only scored three points?
? Nebraska won four of its last five games after an 0-6 start.
? This is first time Nebraska had won a game without scoring a TD since a 3-0 victory over Kansas State in 1937.

9) Utah 30, Colorado 7? When I was in Las Vegas last month, my only college football bet was Colorado over Arizona State; the Buffs won/covered, but they haven?t won since, turning a 5-0 start into a 5-6 debacle. Colorado blew a 31-3 lead in an awful home loss to Oregon State late last month, and they haven?t recovered from that.

In their last five games, Buffaloes were outscored 101-20 in the 2nd half.

8) Wisconsin 47, Purdue 44 OT? Boilermakers led 27:13 with 7:00 left in game, but they let game slip away and lost to the Badgers for 7th time in a row. Wisconsin had 13 penalties for 171 yards, but ran the ball for 385 yards.

Purdue is 5-6, with four losses by 4 or fewer points; they need a win at Indiana next week to go to a bowl game.

7) Upsets of the Week:
? Ball State (+9.5) 42, Western Michigan 41 OT
? Bowling Green (+7) 21, Akron 6
? Kansas State (+6.5) 21, Texas Tech 6
? Miami OH (+6.5) 13, Northern Illinois 7
? Oklahoma State (+5) 45, West Virginia 41

6) Utah State 29, Colorado State 24? Aggies were a 27-point road favorite, but host Rams scored with 1:36 left to take a 24-23 lead. Utah State then drove 71 yards on six plays for the GW TD, scoring on a 33-yard pass with 0:43 left to play.

Colorado State appeared to score a TD on a Hail Mary on the last play of the game, but the kid who caught the ball had stepped out of bounds running down the field, so he was ineligible to touch the ball first, so that nullified the TD, luckily for 10-1 Utah State.

5) Temple 27, South Florida 17? USF led this game 17-0 at halftime; their last two scores came on a punt return with 10:35 left and then a defensive score with 1:37 left.

4) Florida State 22, Boston College 21? Seminoles hit on a 74-yard pass with 1:49 left to snap a 3-game skid and stay bowl eligible; they play the Florida Gators next week.

In itself, going to a bowl isn?t that big a deal, especially a minor bowl, but the practices teams have before those bowls are important? it helps coaches develop their younger players who might be starters next year. Also, it appeases the boosters, at least a little bit.

The 3-4 hours the bowl is on TV also helps for recruiting; it is free advertising for the program.

3) Furman 76, Villanova 68 OT? Paladins were a 16-point underdog; looks like the defending national champs might be in for a tough year. Wildcats took 44 3-pointers, only 27 2-point shots against a Southern League team, which doesn?t bode well for Big East play.

Villanova is the first defending national champ since 1996 to start the next season 2-2 or worse.

It is November 18 and Furman has already beaten two of last year?s Final Four teams; they won at the buzzer at Loyola, Chi earlier this month.

2) Clemson 35, Duke 6? These teams are in same league, but since 2009, Clemson has had 52 players drafted by NFL teams; Duke has had four. David Cutcliffe is doing an excellent job of keeping the Blue Devils going to bowl games with lesser talent.

1) Vanderbilt 36, Ole Miss 29 OT? This was a fun game to watch; a sketchy replay reversal nullified the Rebels? tying TD in OT. Vandy plays Tennessee next week; the winner will be bowl eligible.

 

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