Cnotes 2019-2020 College Football Trends-News-Notes-Best Bets & Opinions !

Cnotes53

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College football Week 7 opening odds: Oklahoma draws early money vs. Texas in Red River Rivalry
Patrick Everson

Jalen Hurts has fit in just fine at Oklahoma, leading his new team to a 5-0 SU start (3-2 ATS). The Sooners opened as 9.5-point neutral-site favorites against Texas, and the line quickly moved to -10.5.

Week 7 of the college football season features the Red River Rivalry and a matchup of unbeatens in the Southeastern Conference. We check in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBet USA.

No. 5 Oklahoma Sooners vs. No. 11 Texas Longhorns (+9.5)

Oklahoma aims to keep its College Football Playoff hopes on track in this neutral-site game, at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas. In Week 6, the Sooners (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) gave up the opening touchdown at Kansas, then scored 42 straight points en route to a 45-20 victory as 32-point favorites.

Texas has certainly prepared well for this contest, with a stern Week 2 test in a close loss to Louisiana State and challenging Big 12 games the past two weeks. The Longhorns (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) were challenged through three quarters at West Virginia, then scored 21 points in the fourth to notch a 42-31 victory as 10.5-point faves.

PointsBet USA, with mobile operations in New Jersey and a brick-and-mortar in Iowa, saw some back-and-forth action after posting this line.

?We opened the game Oklahoma -9.5 and saw some early support at that number,? Chaprales said. ?We moved it through 10 to 10.5 and got some resistance, resulting in an adjustment back to 10.?

It didn?t take long for the Sooners to go back to -10.5, though, as the line ticked back up by Monday afternoon.

No. 7 Florida Gators at No. 6 Louisiana State Tigers (-13)

Florida threw its hat firmly into the CFP ring with a big Week 6 victory. The Gators (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) closed as 2.5-point home underdogs to previously unbeaten Auburn and took care of business in a 24-13 victory.

LSU got that aforementioned win at Texas, but otherwise hasn?t been challenged much, and Week 6 was no exception. The Tigers (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) pounded Utah State 42-6 laying 27 points at home.

Despite Florida?s strong showing against Auburn, the Gators are catching double digits in this contest.

?Florida garnered sharp support as a home ?dog vs Auburn last week and won outright, and pros will likely be on the Gators again this week, assuming public LSU money inflates the number,? Chaprales said. ?That?s a plausible scenario, as the Tigers have done nothing but cash tickets thus far.?

No. 9 Penn State Nittany Lions at No. 18 Iowa Hawkeyes (+3)

Penn State also hopes to be in the CFP conversation, currently standing at 5-0 SU (3-2 ATS). The Nittany Lions had little trouble in Week 6, dispatching Purdue 35-7 while falling just short as 28.5-point favorites.

Iowa had a great opportunity to bolster its Big Ten resume and remain unbeaten, but couldn?t find the end zone in Week 6. In an extremely low-scoring contest, the Hawkeyes (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) fell to Michigan 10-3 as 4-point road pups.

?Another stiff test for Iowa after a hard-fought loss to Michigan last week,? Chaprales said. ?Early action has laid the 3 with Penn State, but it will take more to instigate a move, given the key number at play.?

PointsBet?s book at Catfish Bend Casino in Iowa will likely generate a lot of Hawkeyes action, as it did last week against Michigan.
Southern California Trojans at No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-11.5)

Notre Dame is 4-1 SU and ATS, and arguably its best game this season was the lone loss, 23-17 at Georgia getting 15.5 points in Week 4. The Fighting Irish boatraced Bowling Green 52-0 as massive 45.5-point home favorites in Week 6.

Southern Cal hopes to have true freshman Kedon Slovis back from concussion protocol in time for the trip to South Bend. Slovis was hurt in a Week 3 overtime loss at Brigham Young. The Trojans (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) had a bye in Week 6, after third-string QB Matt Fink and Co. lost at Washington 28-14 catching 12.5 points.

?Notre Dame has gotten the better of this matchup in the recent past and has been steadily covering numbers,? Chaprales said. ?Which is to say we?re going to need USC. It?s just a matter of how much.?
 

Cnotes53

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7


Wednesday?s games
Appalachian State is 6-0 vs Louisiana, winning 24-0/35-16 in two visits to Lafayette; ASU beat the Ragin? Cajuns twice LY, 27-17/30-19, with ULL covering both games- the second meeting was in the Sun Belt title game. Mountaineers are 4-0 this year, with a 34-31 win in Chapel Hill in their only road game; ASU covered six of its last seven road games- they also allowed 36.3 in their three I-A wins (average total, 85.0). ULL is 3-1 vs I-A teams with a 38-28 loss to Miss State on a neutral field; Cajuns scored 82 points in winning their last two games, both on the road.

Thursday?s games
UL Monroe won its last three games with Texas State by 6-18-6 points; underdogs covered four of last six series games. WarHawks are 1-3 vs I-A teams this year, allowing 219+ RY in all four games- they also give up 243 RY to a I-AA team. ULM is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games as road favorites- they won two of last three visits to San Marcos. Texas State is also 1-3 vs I-A teams; they beat a I-AA team 24-3 LW. Bobcats allowed 28.5 ppg in their two I-A home games; since 2016, they?re 4-11 ATS as a home underdog.

NC State won six of last seven games with Syracuse, but lost 51-41 (-2.5) in the Carrier Dome LY; underdogs covered seven of last eight series games. Orangemen lost 42-29/33-25 in their last two visits to Raleigh. State lost two of its last three games, allowing 44-31 points; they?re 5-8 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Syracuse split its four I-A games, allowing 200+ YR in last three, when they also allowed 45.7 ppg. Under Babers, Orangemen are 9-4 ATS when getting points on the road. ACC home favorites are 4-5 ATS so far this season.
 

Cnotes53

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 7



Wednesday, October 9

Appalachian St @ LA-Lafayette


Game 101-102
October 9, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
92.918
LA-Lafayette
91.242
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 1 1/2
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 1 1/2
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
(+1 1/2); Over



Thursday, October 10

LA-Monroe @ Texas State


Game 105-106
October 10, 2019 @ 9:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
69.960
Texas State
70.928
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Monroe
by 3 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+3 1/2); Under

Syracuse @ NC State


Game 107-108
October 10, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Syracuse
90.077
NC State
80.751
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 9 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 4 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+4 1/2); Over



Friday, October 11

Virginia @ Miami-FL

Game 109-110
October 11, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
91.342
Miami-FL
84.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 6 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(+2); Under

Colorado State @ New Mexico


Game 111-112
October 11, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado State
69.322
New Mexico
68.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado State
by 1
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado State
by 4
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico
(+4); Over

Colorado @ Oregon


Game 113-114
October 11, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
86.115
Oregon
103.633
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 17 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 20 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+20 1/2); Over



Saturday, October 12

Memphis @ Temple

Game 127-128
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
91.449
Temple
83.608
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 8
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 6
50
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-6); Over

Rutgers @ Indiana


Game 115-116
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rutgers
60.021
Indiana
91.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 31 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 27 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-27 1/2); Over

Michigan @ Illinois


Game 119-120
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
102.985
Illinois
76.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 26
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 21 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan
(-21 1/2); Under

Oklahoma @ Texas


Game 125-126
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
111.606
Texas
104.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 7 1/2
81
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 11
75 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+11); Over

Toledo @ Bowling Green


Game 117-118
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
86.917
Bowling Green
54.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 32 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 24 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-24 1/2); Under

Mississippi St @ Tennessee


Game 157-158
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi St
96.554
Tennessee
78.873
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 17 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 6 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(-6 1/2); Over

South Carolina @ Georgia


Game 155-156
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
89.122
Georgia
116.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 27 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 24 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-24 1/2); Over

Miami of Ohio @ Western Michigan


Game 167-168
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami of Ohio
72.069
Western Michigan
88.420
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 16 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 13
56
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-13); Over

Maryland @ Purdue


Game 135-136
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maryland
91.607
Purdue
84.078
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maryland
by 7 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Maryland
by 4 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Maryland
(-4 1/2); Over

Georgia Tech @ Duke


Game 131-132
October 12, 2019 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
74.296
Duke
93.753
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 19 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 17
48
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(-17); Under

Ball State @ Eastern Michigan


Game 141-142
October 12, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
73.133
Eastern Michigan
68.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ball State
by 5
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ball State
by 1
58
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(-1); Over

Old Dominion @ Marshall


Game 143-144
October 12, 2019 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Old Dominion
65.570
Marshall
73.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 8
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 15
45
Dunkel Pick:
Old Dominion
(+15); Under

New Mexico St @ Central Michigan


Game 145-146
October 12, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
64.141
Central Michigan
73.123
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 9
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 11 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico St
(+11 1/2); Under

Michigan State @ Wisconsin


Game 177-178
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
98.456
Wisconsin
105.767
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 7 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 10 1/2
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(+10 1/2); Over

Alabama @ Texas A&M


Game 183-184
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
117.220
Texas A&M
96.517
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 20 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 17
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-17); Over

Cincinnati @ Houston


Game 171-172
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
98.367
Houston
85.922
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 12 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 7
55
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-7); Under

Washington St @ Arizona State


Game 147-148
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington St
86.047
Arizona State
90.372
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 4 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona State
(-2); Under

Brigham Young @ South Florida


Game 169-170
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
84.370
South Florida
75.234
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 9
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 6
51
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-6); Under

Northern Illinois @ Ohio


Game 161-162
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
70.469
Ohio
78.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 8
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 6 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(-6 1/2); Over

Kent State @ Akron


Game 159-160
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
71.586
Akron
51.912
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kent State
by 19 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kent State
by 12
57
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(-12); Over

Florida State @ Clemson


Game 201-202
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
88.183
Clemson
117.960
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 30
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 27
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-27); Over

Connecticut @ Tulane


Game 173-174
October 12, 2019 @ 3:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
53.467
Tulane
91.997
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulane
by 38 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 34 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(-34 1/2); Over

Texas Tech @ Baylor


Game 165-166
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
87.053
Baylor
100.413
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 13 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 9 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(-9 1/2); Under

Rhode Island @ Virginia Tech


Game 207-208
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rhode Island
55.676
Virginia Tech
85.267
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 29 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 25 1/2
65 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-25 1/2); Over

San Jose St @ Nevada


Game 181-182
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose St
72.915
Nevada
64.905
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose St
by 8
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 1 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(+1 1/2); Under

UNLV @ Vanderbilt


Game 175-176
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UNLV
67.339
Vanderbilt
78.941
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vanderbilt
by 11 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vanderbilt
by 14 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
UNLV
(+14 1/2); Under

Iowa State @ West Virginia


Game 137-138
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
104.497
West Virginia
90.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 14
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 10 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(-10 1/2); Under

Middle Tennessee St @ Florida Atlantic


Game 185-186
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
72.085
Florida Atlantic
84.992
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 13
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 10
64
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(-10); Over

Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina


Game 133-134
October 12, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
66.361
Coastal Carolina
76.589
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 10
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 5 1/2
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Coastal Carolina
(-5 1/2); Under

UAB @ TX-San Antonio


Game 187-188
October 12, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UAB
72.103
TX-San Antonio
63.510
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 8 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 11
45
Dunkel Pick:
TX-San Antonio
(+11); Over

North Texas @ Southern Miss


Game 189-190
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Texas
77.429
Southern Miss
78.645
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 1
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 4
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Texas
(+4); Over

Army @ Western Kentucky


Game 191-192
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Army
84.067
Western Kentucky
74.905
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 9
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 4
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Army
(-4); Over

Charlotte @ FIU


Game 193-194
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
68.871
FIU
77.571
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
by 8 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FIU
by 5 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(-5 1/2); Under

Massachusetts @ Louisiana Tech


Game 195-196
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Massachusetts
49.636
Louisiana Tech
76.133
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 26 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 31 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Massachusetts
(+31 1/2); Over

Fresno State @ Air Force


Game 197-198
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
87.168
Air Force
83.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 3 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 4
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(+4); Under

Mississippi @ Missouri


Game 153-154
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi
86.920
Missouri
106.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Missouri
by 20
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 11
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(-11); Under

Nebraska @ Minnesota


Game 129-130
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska
85.911
Minnesota
96.103
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 10
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 7 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-7 1/2); Over

Penn State @ Iowa


Game 203-204
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
114.330
Iowa
103.230
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 11
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 4
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(-4); Over

USC @ Notre Dame


Game 199-200
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
USC
93.602
Notre Dame
107.100
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 13 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 11
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-11); Over

Navy @ Tulsa


Game 123-124
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
85.832
Tulsa
80.713
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 5
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 1
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(+1); Under

Louisville @ Wake Forest


Game 121-122
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
77.610
Wake Forest
94.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 17
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 6 1/2
66
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(-6 1/2); Over

Arkansas @ Kentucky


Game 163-164
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas
75.904
Kentucky
84.480
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 8 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 6 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(-6 1/2); Under

Utah @ Oregon State


Game 149-150
October 12, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
99.008
Oregon State
82.801
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 16
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 13 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-13 1/2); Under

Florida @ LSU


Game 179-180
October 12, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
109.779
LSU
110.516
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 1
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 13
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+13); Under

Hawaii @ Boise State


Game 139-140
October 12, 2019 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hawaii
83.745
Boise State
96.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 14
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 11 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-11 1/2); Over

Wyoming @ San Diego St


Game 205-206
October 12, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
81.307
San Diego St
87.652
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 6 1/2
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 3 1/2
39
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-3 1/2); Under

Washington @ Arizona


Game 151-152
October 12, 2019 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
100.865
Arizona
88.577
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 12 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-6 1/2); Under
 

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Tech Trends - Week 7
Bruce Marshall

Wednesday, Oct. 10

Matchup Skinny
Edge

APP STATE at UL LAFAYETTE
...Cajuns hot, 5-0 vs. line TY, 12-1-2 last 15 reg season since early 2018. App however on 16-4-1 spread run back to late 2017 (3-1 TY). Cajuns covered both vs. App LY including Belt title game.
Slight to ULL, based on team trends.



Thursday, Oct. 11

Matchup Skinny
Edge

ULM at TEXAS STATE
...ULM only 1-6 vs. spread last seven on board, 4-11 last 15 vs. points. Spavital finally got a cover vs. Nicholls but Bobcats were 0-4-1 vs. spread the five previous dating to late last season. Road team has covered last three in series.
Slight to ULM, based on series trends.


SYRACUSE at NC STATE
...Cuse 7-2 vs. spread last nine on ACC road. Babers however only 2-3 vs. spread TY after 10-3 mark in 2018. Pack no covers last 4 vs. spread.
Slight to Syracuse, based on team trends.



Friday, Oct. 11


Matchup Skinny
Edge

VIRGINIA at MIAMI-FLA
...Cavs have now dropped 4 straight vs. line. Mendenhall has covered last two vs. Canes and Hoos 5-2 vs. spread last 7 away from Charlottesville. Miami 2-7 vs points last 9 ACC games, and 1-7 vs. spread last eight as host vs. FBS-level foes.
Virginia, based on team trends.


COLORADO STATE at NEW MEXICO
...Bob Davie is 0-7 SU (1-6 vs. line) with Lobos against CSU since he arrived in 2012. Lobos 1-9 vs. spread last ten at Albuquerque.
Colorado State, based on series and team trends.


COLORADO at OREGON
...Mel Tucker now 2-0 as dog with Buffs, who were just 3-9-1 getting points the past two seasons. Cristobal just 7-12 vs. spread with Ducks (counts LV Bowl 2017) since taking over (6-7 as chalk). Webfoots only 4-6 vs. spread at Eugene for Cristobal.
Colorado, based on team trends.



Saturday, Oct. 12

Matchup Skinny
Edge

RUTGERS at INDIANA
...Scarlet Knights now no covers last four after six-game spread W streak that began late 2018. But Rutgers also now 2-6 vs. spread last 8 as visitor. Hoosiers 7-1 last 8 as Bloomington chalk, and 6-3 last 9 laying DD (2-1 TY).
Indiana, based on team trends.


TOLEDO at BOWLING GREEN
...Nearby rivals! Toledo has won last 9 SU in series but BGSU slipping inside some hefty imposts lately, covering 2 of last 3 meetings. Those are among the few recent covers for Falcs, now 12-30 vs. line since Babers left before 2015 bowl game, and 3-16 vs. spread last 19 at Doyt-Perry. UT 6-1 last seven laying DD.
Toledo, based on team trends.


MICHIGAN at ILLINOIS
...Harbaugh had dropped 7 straight vs. line before wins last two. Wolves just 1-6 vs. line last seven laying points away. Lovie 11-21 last 32 on board, also just 3-8 as DD dog since LY, and 8-15 vs. points at Champaign-Urbana since 2016.
Slight to Illinois, based on team trends.


LOUISVILLE at WAKE FOREST
...Satterfield now 16-5-1 vs. line since late 2017 at App and ?Ville (3-2 for Cards). Clawson covered all five vs. ?Ville since Cards joined ACC in 2014. Deacs however just 3-8 vs. points last 11 as host (2-1 TY).
Slight to Louisville, based on Satterfield marks.


NAVY at TULSA...Mids 7-1 vs. spread last eight since late 2018. If dog here note Niumatalolo 20-11 in role as visitor since 2009. Mids have also won and covered all four vs. Tulsa since 2015.
Navy, based on team and series trends.


OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS
(At Cotton Bowl, Dallas)...Teams split last season but Horns have covered last six reg season meetings. ?Tom Herman as a dog? now 13-3 at UH and Texas since 2015 after LSU loss.
Texas, based on team and series trends.


MEMPHIS at TEMPLE
...Tigers were 1-5-1 as chalk away from Liberty Bowl entering this season before 2 wins and covers. If Temple a dog note 17-5 mark in role since 2015 (Rhule, Collins, and 1-0 for Rod Carey).
Temple, based on team trends.


NEBRASKA at MINNESOTA
...Frost 0-3 vs. line in Big Ten TY after covering last seven in league play a year ago. These two have taken turns ripping another past two years, host winning and covering each.
Minnesota, based on series trends.


GEORGIA TECH at DUKE...Jackets 0-5 vs. line for Collins TY, no covers last eight since late 2018. Cutcliffe just 2-6 as Durham chalk since LY, but 4-1 SU and 5-0 vs. line last five in series.
Duke, based on series and team trends.


GEORGIA STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA
...GSU 4-9-4 vs. spread since last season (four pushes...whew!). Coastal 3-2 vs. line first five TY for Chadwell.
Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on GS negatives.


MARYLAND at PURDUE
...Brohm kind of struggling, 2-9 vs. line last eleven since late 2018.
Slight to Maryland, based on recent Purdue trends.


IOWA STATE at WEST VIRGINIA
...Last three losses for ISU dating to bowl vs. WSU have been by 2, 1, and 2 points. Matt Campbell still 7-3 vs. spread last ten on Big 12 road. ISU 3-1 as road chalk since 2017.
Iowa State, based on team trends.


HAWAII at BOISE STATE...Rolovich only 5-9 vs. line last 14 on mainland but did blow out Nevada in last game. Boise on 9-3 spread uptick since late 2018. Broncos 18-36 last 54 as blue carpet chalk but have covered last two this season in role.
Slight to Hawaii, based on team trends.


BALL STATE at EASTERN MICHIGAN
...Ball has covered first 3 away from Muncie TY and dropped first two vs. line as host. Cards were just 3-9 vs. line away last two seasons. Eagles 5-5-1 since 2017 vs. line at Ypsilanti. EMU has won and covered last three meetings.
Eastern Michigan, based on series trends.


OLD DOMINION at MARSHALL
...Dog team 4-1 vs. line in ODU games and 6-1 last 7 dating to late 2018 against FBS-level foes. Herd has won and covered big in last 2 and 4 of last 5 in series, but Doc on 4-12 spread skid last 16 reg-season play.
Slight to ODU, based on recent trends.


NEW MEXICO STATE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN
...McElwain has quietly covered last 4 and 5 of 6 this season. Chips 2-0 as home chalk TY after 1-5 mark in role past two years. Ags 3-7 last ten vs. spread as visiting dog.
Central Michigan, based on recent trends.


WASHINGTON STATE at ARIZONA STATE
...No covers now four in a row for Leach, though he still is 13-6 last 19 as dog. Last year he was 4-0 SU and vs. line on Pac-12 road. Herm no covers first three at home in 2019, in fact road team 5-0 vs. line in ASU games TY.
Washington State, based on team trends.


UTAH at OREGON STATE
...Beavs have covered last four TY. Though 2-10-1 vs. points previous 13 in Pac-12 play, OSU 2-0 TY. OSU 1-6 as home dog since LY for Smith, however.
Slight to Utah, based on team trends.


WASHINGTON at ARIZONA
...Huskies 7-2 last 9 overall vs. line. Sumlin 4-1 as Tucson dog since LY.
Slight to Washington, based on recent trends.


OLE MISS at MISSOURI
...Matt Luke 3-0 vs. line in SEC play TY after dropping all nine vs. spread in league play LY. Rebs had dropped 7 straight as dog before slipping inside of huge number vs. Bama. Mizzou has won and covered last four TY.
Slight to Ole Miss, based on recent trends.


SOUTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA
...Muschamp was 6-0 as visiting dog past two years prior to recent loss at Mizzou. Cocks have lost and failed to cover 3 of last 4 vs. Bulldogs. Kirby Smart 3-4 last seven laying 20+.
Slight to South Carolina, based on team trends.


MISSISSIPPI STATE at TENNESSEE
...Pruitt just 6-11 vs. spread with Vols, and UT on 9-19 skid vs. line since 2017. Vols 4-14 vs. points last 17 at Knoxville. Moorhead 9-5 as chalk since taking over Bulldogs LY.
Slight to Miss State, based on team trends.


KENT STATE at AKRON
...Nearby rivals! Akron in trouble for Arth, 0-5 SU and vs. line. Golden Flashes have covered last three meetings, though they haven?t beat Zips SU since 2014.
Kent State, based on team trends.


NORTHERN ILLINOIS at OHIO...Solich only 1-4 vs. line TY, but now he?s back in MAC, where he covered 5 of last 7 LY. Solich 0-2 as Peden chalk TY but was 8-3 in role 2017-18.
Slight to Solich and Ohio, based on extended trends.


ARKANSAS at KENTUCKY
...Cats hurting, but back at home where they covered first three TY. Home team 5-0 vs. line in UK games to date. Stoops was 0-9 as Lexington chalk past two seasons but covered first two in role in 2019. Hogs no covers last six as visitor (0-5 for Morris).
Slight to Kentucky, based on team trends.


TEXAS TECH at BAYLOR
...Red Raiders no covers last five away from Lubbock (0-2 for Matt Wells). Bears were only 1-5 as Waco chalk for Rhule past two years, 1-1 in role TY.
Slight to Baylor, based on recent trends.


MIAMI-OHIO at WESTERN MICHIGAN
...Miami broke 4-game spread L streak in Buffalo win. RedHawks were 5-2 as dog LY. Broncos on 6-14 spread slide since late in 2017.
Slight to Miami-Ohio, based on team trends.


BYU at SOUTH FLORIDA
...Bulls on 5-10 spread skid last 15 vs. FBS foes. Also no covers last six at Tampa vs. FBS foes. Cougs have dropped last two vs. spread but Sitake still on 15-8 spread uptick.
BYU, based on USF negatives.


CINCINNATI at HOUSTON
...Cincy dropped last three vs. line on AAC road LY. If dog note Holgorsen 3-1 in role TY. Interestingly Holgorsen just 4-10-1 as dog at WVU past four years.
Slight to Houston, based on team trends.


UCONN at TULANE
...Wave 5-1 vs. line last five since late LY, including 3-0 as host. Fritz now 4-2 as DD chalk with Wave. Edsall has covered a couple of games TY but Huskies still 4-12 last 15 vs. line.
Tulane, based on team trends.


UNLV at VANDERBILT
...Rebs fading but note Sanchez now 5-0 vs. line as road dog vs. Power 5 since 2015. UNLV 15-7 as road dog for Sanchez. Vandy now on 6-game spread L streak since late LY.
UNLV, based on team trends.


MICHIGAN STATE at WISCONSIN
...Dantonio just 4-5 as dog since 2017 but extended dog marks pretty good (21-10 since 2011). Badgers 3-1 as Madison chalk TY but note 1-6 mark in role LY.
Slight to Michigan State, based on extended trends.


FLORIDA at LSU
...Dan Mullen 17-8 as dog with MSU and Fla since 2014. LSU 5-8 last 13 as Baton Rouge chalk.
Slight to Florida, based on team trends.


SAN JOSE STATE at NEVADA
...Home team has covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 meetings. Spartans, however, on 7-2 spread surge last nine as road dog. Pack 2-5 vs. spread last seven reg-season.
Slight to SJSU, based on recent trends.


ALABAMA at TEXAS A&M
... Saban only 3-4 vs. line against A&M since Ags entered SEC in 2012. Tide has dropped last two vs. line in series. Saban 3-5 vs. spread last 8 as SEC visitor. Jimbo covered 13 of first 16 with Ags but has dropped last 2 vs. line.
Slight to Texas A&M based on team trends.


MTSU at FAU
...Lane Kiffin stirring a bit, though curiously the road team is 5-0 vs. line in Owl games TY. Kiffin was 5-1 as Boca Raton chalk in 2017 but 1-6-1 since. MTSU 2-5 last seven vs. line since late LY.
Slight to FAU, based on team trends.


UAB at UTSA... UTSA on 10-18 spread skid since 2017, 5-12 last 17 on board in C-USA. UAB 21-10-1 vs. line since 2017 (3-2 TY).
UAB, based on team trends.


NORTH TEXAS at SOUTHERN MISS
...Seth Littrell 3-0 SU and vs. line against USM.
North Texas, based on series trends.


ARMY at WESTERN KENTUCKY
...Tops 7-3-1 as dog since 2018. Army 7-1 vs. number last eight away from Michie.
Slight to Army, based on team trends.


CHARLOTTE at FIU
...Butch Davis 1-4 vs. points to start 2019, though he was 15-6 previous 21 on board.
Slight to Charlotte, based on recent trends.


UMASS at LA TECH
...Minutemen 1-7 last 8 as road dog Skip Holtz just 4-8 last 12 as Ruston chalk, 3-5 last 8 as DD chalk.
Slight to La Tech, based on team trends.


FRESNO STATE at AIR FORCE
...Fresno 8-0-1 as dog for Tedford since 2017. Note Force just 4-14 vs. spread past nine years in game immediately after Army or Navy.
Fresno State, based on team trends.


USC at NOTRE DAME
...Clay Helton 0-2 vs. line away TY, 2-7 last nine vs. spread away. Trojans on 10-22 spread skid since late 2016. SC 1-9 vs. spread last ten against non Pac-12. Irish have covered last three TY, and home side has covered last six in series.
Notre Dame, based on team trends.


FLORIDA STATE at CLEMSON
...Dabo has now won last 4 SU in series and covered last 2. Dabo 4-1 vs. points last five as ACC host. FSU has covered last 3 after 4-10 spread slump.
Slight to Clemson, based on extended trends.


PENN STATE at IOWA
...Home team 2-0-1 vs. line last three years in series. Ferentz on 14-5-1 spread uptick since late 2017.
Iowa, based on team trends.


WYOMING at SAN DIEGO STATE
...Bohl 4-1 vs. line TY, on 9-1 spread run since late 2018. If getting points, note Bohl 16-9 last 25 as dog. Rocky no covers last five as MW host.
Wyoming, based on team trends.
 

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Appalachian State vs. Louisiana
October 8, 2019
By Matt Blunt

Appalachian State vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Venue/Location: Cajun Field, Lafayette, LA
Time/TV: Wednesday, Oct. 9 (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Line: Appalachian State -1, Total 71


We have arrived at the time of year where there is essentially football action (college or pro) available to bettors on nearly everyday of the week. Soon we will have MACtion on Tuesdays and Wednesday's as well, but for now it's all about the Sun Belt taking center stage on Wednesday this week, as the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns welcome an undefeated Appalachian State team to town.

There are no rest advantages either way with this being the first Wednesday night game of the year, and it will be interesting to see which team made the most of their 10 days of prep time. Based on early market action, there is plenty of belief out there that it will be App State who ends up seeing the positive results, as this line has flipped into the Mountaineers becoming the slight favorites. To flip through zero like that is something to always take notice of, so will App State get the money and remain undefeated straight up, or will Louisiana manage to give App State their first loss of the year and remaining perfect themselves ? at least against the spread.

Both programs have been money makers overall this year, as Louisiana's 4-0 ATS record is nearly matched by App State being 3-1 against the number. Given that the Mountaineers only ATS loss came via a 15-point win as -23 home chalk, and three of their four SU wins this year have been by at least 15 points, App State has well outperformed early season projections at least against the line.

That's got to be part of the reason behind so much early App State love for this game, especially when they opened up as underdogs, as this team did enter the year as a contender for the Sun Belt title this season and they've done nothing to dispel those thoughts as of yet. Head-to-head history between the two has a decided edge to App State as well, as they are 5-0 SU against Louisiana the past five meetings, all have been decided by at least 10 points, and that includes a win over the Ragin Cajuns in last year's Sun Belt title game. So you can understand why the line has shifted App State's favor like it has, but will following it get you to the pay window?

Well, like I said earlier, a line move through zero is always important to take note of, as it's the embodiment of a popular saying that many (myself included) like to use in that ?the wrong team is/was favored? here. The market made that quick to be known given the move leading into Wednesday night, and the support forced the oddsmakers to adjust quickly.

And while disagreeing with the oddsmakers is the basis for every selection a handicapper makes, they get paid to do their jobs too, and judging by the lack of casinos and sportsbooks closing down everywhere, they tend to be pretty good at what they do. To flip the thought process around and ask yourself why they would have opened Louisiana as a 1-point favorite ? one that even got bet up to ?2.5 or higher at some shops initially ? is another important question to ask yourself. After all, Louisiana closed at +17.5 in the Sun Belt title game last year, and now they opened as a favorite in the next meeting. That's all not related to the Cajuns being at home this time around.

While recent history has shown that App State has dominated this rivalry, the power rankings on Louisiana this year aren't soft for them to simply open as favorites here. Sure, much of the early market has disagreed with that assessment and backed said line of thought, but a team like Louisiana that's outperformed their line each week so far in 2019 seems to have earned quite a bit of respect from the oddsmakers to be a small favorite at open. That's not something I'm looking to take lightly or flat out ignore either.

Last year's Sun Belt Championship was one that finished with a 30-19 score, but Louisiana was in it all the way until the end. Losing the turnover battle 2-0 was a big part of the Ragin Cajuns loss that day, as was their inability to turn scoring drives into TD's. But they won the time of possession battle, were basically even in total and net rush yards, and held the Mountaineers to fewer first downs (13) and just 25% conversion rate on 3rd down. Those are all big time positives to take from the game as a 17-point underdog, and if they are brought with the Cajuns this week, and those mistakes are cleaned up, then is an outright win by the home team really out of the cards?

I don't believe going against significant line moves like that should be gone against often, but I do believe we see Louisiana step up here and hand App State their first loss of 2019. Considering how bad the Cajuns were against the run last year, to hold App State down the way they did on the ground suggests that schematically they knew what they were doing against this team.

A year older, and hopefully a year wiser for most of those Cajun defensive players could make all the difference this year in terms of much cleaner execution, and with a good chunk of Louisiana's starters back on the team this year, getting revenge for not being conference champions is something that I'm sure still sits in the depths of their memory banks.

Sometimes your initial read on a game is the most accurate one, and I believe that the oddsmakers weren't as wrong as the market wants to believe in terms of opening up Louisiana as the home favorite here. Give me the Ragin Cajuns.

Best Bet: Louisiana ML
 

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Pac-12 injuries lead to shuffling QBs
October 8, 2019
By The Associated Press


The nickname Conference of Quarterbacks has taken on a new meaning as injuries have led to a revolving door between starters and backups for many Pac-12 teams.

From USC reaching down into its depth chart, to the absences of established veterans K.J. Costello at Stanford and Khalil Tate at Arizona, this has been a rough season for quarterbacks.

Eighteen different quarterbacks have started games so far this season in the league, compared to 20 for all last season.

One of the newcomers is Devon Modster, who is taking the reins at California (4-1, 1-2) while Chase Garbers recovers from an apparent shoulder injury. Garbers is out indefinitely.

Modster, a UCLA transfer who had to sit out Cal's first three games after committing to the Golden Bears in December, was pressed into service when Garbers was injured during a 24-17 loss at home to Arizona State. Modster struggled, throwing for 23 yards and an interception in the end zone.

He fared better last weekend, when Cal put up a fight against No. 13 Oregon at Autzen Stadium before falling 17-7. Modster threw for 190 yards and the Golden Bears' lone touchdown of the game. But he also threw two picks.

''I thought he handled himself really well. There were a couple of throws in there that he can make, that we didn't quite connect on, but I thought he was calm, I thought his demeanor was good,'' Cal coach Justin Wilcox said. ''I think he's going to keep improving the more that he plays.''

The Golden Bears have a bye this weekend.

A look at some of the other teams that have faced injuries at QB:

USC:
The Trojans are the most extreme example when it comes to the position. Sophomore JT Daniels started in the opener against Fresno State but he was injured in the first half and needed season-ending surgery to repair a torn ACL. Freshman Kedon Slovis made his debut in a surprise victory the next week over Stanford, throwing for 377 yards and three TDs. But then Slovis was knocked out of USC's game at home against Utah with a concussion, forcing the Trojans to turn to third-string QB Matt Fink.

Fink led the team to victory against the Utes but struggled in a 28-14 loss to Washington with three interceptions.

The junior had been on the brink of transferring at the start of the summer but decided to stick it out.

''I did some research, I went to some schools. Had some unofficial visits and an official visit with Illinois and met some great coaches and great players and built some good relationships. But this team is stacked. You have the best players in the nation here. I'm saying that SC is on the rise,'' Fink said. ''We have guys that are going to push us to the top here.''

It is likely Slovis will return this weekend when USC (3-2, 2-1) visits No. 9 Notre Dame on Saturday.

STANFORD: Davis Mills has started a pair of games for Costello, including last Saturday's 23-13 upset of Washington. Mills threw for 293 yards and a touchdown in the game but came out in the fourth quarter with what appeared to be a calf injury, making way for sophomore Jack West.

On Tuesday, Stanford coach David Shaw provided a preliminary update for the Oct. 17 game against UCLA: Mills is in pain but there's no major damage so he'll be questionable for the game, as will Costello. West will take most of the reps in practice in the coming days.

ARIZONA: The Wildcats weathered the one-game absence of Tate when freshman Grant Gunnell took over and threw for 352 yards and a touchdown in a 20-17 victory over UCLA. Tate returned last weekend from an ankle and hamstring injury and threw for a career-high 404 yards and three touchdowns in a 35-30 win on the road over Colorado.

Arizona (4-1, 2-0) hosts Washington (4-2, 1-2) on Saturday.

UCLA: Sophomore Austin Burton made his first start in the Bruins' 48-31 loss at home to Oregon State last weekend. He threw for 236 yards and a touchdown, while also running for a score, in place of Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who was knocked out of the loss to the Wildcats the week before with an apparent ankle injury.

''Did OK. I think I left some plays on the field, moved the ball, and I know we had some long drives. But at the end of the day, it comes down to winning and losing as a quarterback,'' Burton said. ''Especially as the quarterback, you have to be the leader of the team, and I personally don't think I got the job done.''

The Bruins (1-5, 1-2) have a bye this weekend before visiting Stanford on Oct. 17.

STAYING HEALTHY: Among the quarterbacks who have reached the halfway point of the season unscathed are Oregon's Justin Herbert, Oregon State's Jake Luton, Washington State's Anthony Gordon and Washington's Jacob Eason in the North Division. In the South, there's Arizona State's Jayden Daniels, Colorado's Steven Montez and Utah's Tyler Huntley.
 

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WHEN THE SCHOOL DON'T PAY YOU ENOUGH YOU DO THIS.


Police: High school coach stole money from player's wallet
October 9, 2019
By The Associated Press


CLOVIS, N.M. (AP) A New Mexico football coach is facing charges after authorities say he was spotted on video taking money from a player's wallet.

State Police arrested John D. Roanhaus on Saturday following a review of the footage showing the 42-year-old coach entering the school's locker room and grabbing the money. Police say $40 was taken from the wallet.

Gallup-McKinley County Schools Superintendent Mike Hyatt told the Gallup Independent that Roanhaus has been fired.

Roanhaus had been the head coach of Miyamura High School in Gallup, New Mexico, since 2018.

Roanhaus is the youngest son of New Mexico Hall of Fame coach Eric Roanhaus.

He faces larceny and non-residential burglary charges. It is not known if Roanhaus had an attorney.

Miyamura fell Friday to 1-6 after a 55-14 loss at Bloomfield.
 

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WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


APP at ULL 08:00 PM

ULL -2.5

U 69.5
 

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App State tops ULL 17-7 in rematch of Sun Belt title game
October 9, 2019
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LAFAYETTE, La. (AP) Zac Thomas scored twice on 7-yard sneaks, the last coming with 1:56 remaining, and Appalachian State beat Louisiana-Lafayette 17-7 on Wednesday night in a rematch of the Sun Belt championship game.

Appalachian State (5-0, 2-0 Sun Belt) broke a tie with Florida for the third-longest active winning streak in the FBS with 11, trailing Ohio State (12) and Clemson (20).

Both of Thomas' touchdown runs capped 95-plus yard drives. He opened the scoring in the first quarter with a run to the left side of the end zone on a 95-yard drive and capped it with a 19-play, 97-yarder.

Thomas completed 11 of 17 passes for 147 yards and had 15 rushes for 63 yards. Darrynton Evans added 69 yards on the ground as the Mountaineers rushed for 196 yards on 53 carries.

Levi Lewis threw for 131 yards and a touchdown for Louisiana-Lafayette (4-2, 1-1). ULL tied it at 7 with eight second left in the first half as Lewis found fullback Nick Ralston open over the middle for a 14-yard score.
 

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CFB OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


10/09/2019................1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
10/05/2019.............34-31-0..........52.30%...........-0.50
10/04/2019................2-2-0...........50.00%..........-1.00
10/03/2019................1-3-0...........25.00%..........-11.50


Totals.......................38-37-0.........50.66%.........-13.50


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS


10/09/2019.............0 - 1............-5.50................1 -0..............+5.00..............-0.50
10/05/2019............23 - 21..........-0.50..............12 - 8.............+16.00...........+15.50
10/04/2019.............1 - 1............-0.50................1 - 1..............-0.50..............-1.00
10/03/2019.............0 - 2............-11.00..............1 - 2..............-6.00..............-17.00


Totals....................24 - 25..........-17.50.............15 - 11..........+14.50..............-3.00
 

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Syracuse at N.C. State
Joe Nelson

The ACC is back on this week?s national TV contest Thursday night as two quality teams from the ACC Coastal face off in a critical battle as Syracuse and NC State both look for a first conference win of the season.

Neither squad is on pace to match last season?s success and this closely-lined contest will go a long way towards confirming another possible bowl season for the victor.

Syracuse Orange at N.C. State Wolfpack
Venue: Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina
Time/TV: Thursday, October 10, 8:00 p.m. ET ESPN
Line: NC State -4?, Over/Under 55
Last Meeting: 2018 at Syracuse (+2) 51, NC State 41


Syracuse and NC State combined for 19 wins last season with both teams in the conversation for the second best team in the ACC behind the eventual national champions. Right now Syracuse and NC State share the basement in the ACC Coastal standings however. With matching 3-2 records both teams have reasonable bowl prospects but the loser of this game will already fall to 0-2 in ACC play.

Challenging remaining schedules are waiting as well though Syracuse already has its loss to Clemson out of the way. The Orange host Pittsburgh next week before facing Florida State ahead of a November run with no easy outs battling through four teams likely alongside these teams in the middle of the ACC picture.

Urgency may be greater for NC State with the next two games on the road albeit with an off week in-between while the home game with Clemson still remains in November.

A decline in quarterback play has been a big factor in the decreased potential of these teams. Ryan Finley had excellent numbers for the Wolfpack last season and made the roster for the Bengals as a 4th round draft pick.

For Syracuse Eric Dungey was one of the top dual-threat quarterbacks in the country last season when he was healthy, though current quarterback Tommy DeVito did see significant action last year as well. DeVito has adequate numbers this season with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions and after taking a hard hit in the last game he is back at practice and expected to play this week with both teams having a bye week last week.

For NC State sophomore Matthew McKay opened the season at quarterback and the numbers were solid in wins over East Carolina and Western Carolina. He struggled in the loss to West Virginia and threw his first interception in the win over Ball State.

He was replaced early in the ugly loss at Florida State to close September and sophomore Bailey Hockman came in relief. Hockman is expected to start this week?s game despite now just 50 pass attempts in his career, 40 of them which came in the Florida State game after his team had fallen behind.

Dave Doeren coached two seasons at Northern Illinois before taking over at NC State in 2013. After a mediocre first four seasons with a 9-23 ACC record, the 2017 and 2018 seasons brought matching 9-4 overall records with winning ACC campaigns as Doeren went from a potential hot seat to being targeted by other programs last winter. It looks like a very difficult road for Wolfpack to turn in another nine-win season however and a sixth straight bowl season isn?t guaranteed at this point.

Dino Babers also came to the ACC after a successful two-year MAC run, winning the 2015 MAC title with Bowling Green. After back-to-back 4-8 seasons but with the big upset over Clemson in 2017, Syracuse broke through with a 10-3 2018 season capped off by a Camping World Bowl win over West Virginia.

At the moment Babers is 21-21 at Syracuse and a second straight bowl trip could hinge on this game with six more potentially closely-lined ACC games ahead to close out the schedule after this road game.

Having played Clemson already this season gives Syracuse a massive strength of schedule edge in comparing these 3-2 teams and also in part accounts for the statistical disparities between these 3-2 teams.

NC State rates dramatically superior defensively, particularly against the run but allowing 612 yards to Clemson weighs on those figures heavily for the Orange. In NC State?s lopsided loss to Florida State they actually had a 370-369 yardage edge but a 3-0 turnover deficit.

Series History:

NC State won a pair of meetings in the late 1990s and meeting in the past six seasons as ACC Coastal foes, NC State has won four of six meetings S/U but going just 2-4 ATS.

NC State won four in a row before falling 51-41 last season at the Carrier Dome as a slight road favorite.

Last Season:

Syracuse started 4-0 last season and they were nearly 7-0 when they eventually hosted NC State in late October. At 5-2 the two losses were a 27-23 loss at Clemson in which the Orange had a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter and then a 44-37 overtime loss at Pittsburgh the following week. NC State entered the Carrier Dome at 5-1 but it was a second straight road game following a brutal 41-7 loss at Clemson that erased the 5-0 start. NC State was still in the top 25 for this matchup last October but early on it appeared clear that wouldn?t last as Syracuse led 24-7 after the first quarter. NC State rallied to get within seven by halftime and was within three in the fourth quarter before a late Orange touchdown after a Finley interception for the game?s only turnover.

Historical Trends:

Since taking over in 2016 Syracuse is 9-4 ATS as a road underdog under Babers with three outright upsets, Both ACC road upsets have come at Boston College with the Orange winning only three ACC road games in 12 tries. NC State is 28-16 S/U and 20-24 ATS at home since 2013 under Doeren. The Wolfpack are 5-10 ATS in the past 15 instances playing as a home favorite while 14-2 S/U at home since 2017.
 

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Virginia at Miami, Fl.
Matt Blunt

No. 20 Virginia at Miami, Fl.
Venue/Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Fl.
Time/TV: Friday, Oct. 11 (ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Line: Miami -2, Total 44


Recent Meetings:

2018: Virginia (+7) vs. Miami, Fl. 13, Under 46.5
2017: Miami, Fl. (-19.5) 44 vs. Virginia 28, Over 49
2016: Miami, Fl. (-9.5) 34 at Virginia, Under 54.5

Two ranked teams are in action on Friday night, but it's the one that's out on the road that I'm looking at today.

Virginia ? fresh off their first loss of the year two weeks ago to Notre Dame ? head down to Miami to take on a Hurricanes team that's seemingly already underperformed relative the lofty goals the Hurricanes and their fanbase put on the team every year. At 2-3 SU, Miami fans probably figured their team's record would look much better at this point of the year, but that's clearly not the case. Sometimes a football team just isn't as good as many expected them to be, for a myriad of reasons, and that's the question many handicappers are asking themselves about the Miami Hurricanes this week.

Miami did open as a small favorite for this game and saw some early support to bump the spread up a touch. But after narrowly escaping with a win against Central Michigan as 30-point favorites two games ago, Miami lost again ? after having two weeks to prepare ? as big favorites, this time laying 14 points to Virginia Tech.

So, is Miami being the favorite and getting some early support warranted? Or will this Hurricanes team that's already 0-3 ATS as favorites against FBS competition be a money burner again?

CFB Odds: Virginia vs Miami (-2.5); Total set at 44

Now that conference play is in full swing across the country, I know there will be talk of games like this each week where we've got an unranked squad like Miami laying points to a ranked team. Generally speaking, there is a theory that laying the points in those situations turns out better then not, but that's the problem with talking in generalities when dealing with specifics.

The specifics for this game is that Miami is a struggling team with much less rest, and probably getting considered more for the program's historical reputation then what they've shown on the football field thus far. The Hurricanes hung tough with Florida on opening day back in late-August, but since then it's really been nothing but downhill for this team against the number. Having played last Saturday and now turning around to play on a Friday ? against a team that had last week off ? isn't a brutal scheduling spot, but it's not great either.

The time off for Virginia likely negates any sort of hangover effect the Cavaliers may have after suffering their first loss of the year, and it probably humbled them to a degree. Working that much harder during two weeks of practice is probably not a bad thing for a Virginia team that's still ranked in the polls and looking to remain there. And given what film study has shown them the past two weeks, chances are they'll have an edge mentally as well for this game.

Taking the line and the total together as one suggests that points will be at a premium in this game, and that we probably won't get anyone coming back from anything like an early two-TD deficit. Given that Virginia's defense holds edges in nearly every category other then rush yards allowed per attempt and per game, and Miami has allowed at least 24 points to all three Power 5 programs they've faced this season, I believe you've got to favor Virginia's prospects offensively in this game as well.

Rest-wise things line up on Virginia's side, record-wise things line up Virginia's way, and the Cavaliers hold the edge in the majority of statistical categories on both sides of the ball as well. Add it all up and then throw in Miami's underperforming nature this year, and you get a game where it may not be one of those ?wrong team is favored? contests per se, but the favorite sure has a lot working against them to get a W.

With the underdog 13-2 ATS in the last 15 meetings between these two games ? including 8-1 ATS the last nine ? and a perfect 4-0 ATS when the line has been single digits in that span, give me the Cavaliers in this game on Friday night.
 

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by: Monty Andrews


ORANGE SEEING RED

The Syracuse Orange have already had an interesting season, and it's not even half over. Oddsmakers think the Orange will finally be in a close game, setting them as 4.5-point underdogs for their Thursday night showdown with the N.C. State Wolfpack. Syracuse has been in only one game decided by less than 20 points, and its two losses have come by a combined score of 104-26. But most pressing for Thursday's game: major struggles in the red zone, where the Orange have converted just 73.7 percent of their trips into points (tied for 107th overall). By comparison, the Wolfpack are one of the top red zone teams in the country, having gone 22-for-23 (95.7 percent, 10th in FBS).

With the line for this game so tight, the team that performs better in the red zone will have an enormous ATS advantage ? and given recent track records, we're leaning toward the Wolfpack to convert the cover.


A TEXAS-SIZED EDGE?

Texas State stumbled to start the season, but can get back to .500 this week with a home victory over Louisiana-Monroe. The host Bobcats have thrown the ball a ton so far in 2019, with their 60.68-percent pass rate vs. FBS teams ranking them fourth in the country. And they've been relatively successful in that regard, completing 62.4 percent of their attempts (47th) while ranking around league average in yards per game. Look for Texas State to use a similar approach against a Warhawks team that has permitted teams to complete 67.5 percent of their attempts (118th) at a whopping 9.1 yards per pass (117th).

While Texas State has excelled at the short pass, look for the Bobcats to take more shots downfield against a susceptible UL-Monroe secondary. We see the Bobcats as a good Over play on their team total.


ARMANI NOT SUITED TO START

UNLV will once again turn to redshirt freshman Kenyon Oblad as their starting quarterback this weekend against the Vanderbilt Commodores. Junior QB Armani Rogers will not start for the Rebels due to a lingering knee injury that kept him off the field for last week's 38-13 drubbing at the hands of the Boise State Broncos ? and while he might see action this week, it won't be in a starting capacity. Oblad finished with decent numbers against the Broncos (262 passing yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT) but needed 55 pass attempts to get there as the Rebels found themselves down by 17 points at the half.

Oblad isn't nearly the rushing threat that Rogers is, which is a major reason why BSU was able to limit UNLV to 2.2 yards per carry last week. And while Vanderbilt is allowing 5.14 YPC on the season, the downgrade in running ability between Oblad and Rogers makes the Rebels a fade as two-TD underdogs vs. the host Commodores.


BRYANT SET TO RETURN?

Missouri quarterback Kelly Bryant says he's "90 percent" sure he'll be able to play this week against Ole Miss. Bryant left last week's victory over the Troy Trojans with what was diagnosed as a left knee sprain, but he has participated in practice this week and told reporters he's good to go for the weekend encounter with the Rebels. While not a true dual-threat quarterback, Bryant has 47 carries for 123 yards and a touchdown on the season to go along with 1,246 passing yards and 11 touchdowns (against three interceptions). More importantly, he has been sacked just eight times through the Tigers' first five games.

It's doubtful that Bryant will be 100 percent when he takes the field this weekend, and that could be a concern against an Ole Miss defense that averages 2.8 sacks per game (24th-best in the country). Whether Bryant plays or not, we like the Rebels to cover as a double-digit road underdog.
 

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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Trends for this week?s NFL games:

? New England is 7-1 ATS in last eight games as a non-divisional home favorite.

? Jets are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games vs NFC teams.

? Miami covered twice of last nine games vs NFC teams.

? Bengals are 9-3 in last 12 games as a road underdog.

? Dallas is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games as a non-divisional road favorite.

? Falcons covered three of last 16 games outside their division.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud??

I had a good writeup all set for this spot today, then I watched the Dodgers? game Wednesday night and had to start all over again??.

13) Nationals 7, Dodgers 3 (10)? Tough night for LA fans; Dodgers blew a 3-1 8th inning lead, giving up back/back home runs. Howie Kendrick hit a 10th inning grand slam for the win.

Clayton Kershaw has never allowed home runs on consecutive pitches in the regular season; it has happened to him twice in playoff games.

12) There have been two extra inning grand slams in playoff history; Howie Kendrick last night and Nelson Cruz in Game 2 of the 2011 ALCS.

Max Scherzer was at both games; he was the starter for the losing Tigers in that 2011 game.

Twins exercised Cruz? $12M team option for 2020; the way he hit this year, that is a bargain.

11) Kendrick has played 14 years in the major league and has hit two grand slams, both of which came in extra innings.

10) Road teams are now 4-9 all-time in winner-take-all games that went to extra innings, with three of the four wins coming in the last four years.

9) Cardinals 13, Braves 1? St Louis is fourth team ever to score 10+ runs in an inning in a playoff game:

1929? Philadelphia A?s Game 4 of WS vs Chicago (B7)
1968? Detroit Game 6 of WS vs St Louis (T3)
2002? LA Angels Game 5 of ALCS vs Milwaukee (B7)
2019? St Louis Game 5 of NLDS vs Atlanta (T1)

8) Atlanta Braves hold a dubious major league record; they?re the only team to be eliminated from the playoffs at home for five consecutive seasons (2000-04).

7) Home teams in winner-take-all playoff games:
MLB? 56-60 (48.3%)
NHL? 133-91 (59.4%)
NBA? 177-62 (74.1%)

6) San Antonio Spurs have gone over their season win total 11 of the last 14 years.

5) Someone at the Westgate SuperBook wagered $5,000 at 8-1 odds this week that New England will finish the regular season 16-0.

4) Since 2016, teams coming off a loss are 5-21-1 ATS when playing the Patriots.

3) When Oregon trailed the Cal Bears 7-0 at halftime Saturday, it was the first scoreless 1st half for the Ducks since a 30-24 home loss to Indiana in 2004.

2) Why did the Houston Rockets used to be the NBA franchise worth the most money? Because Yao Ming played for Houston, and the Rockets? resulting lucrative connection to China was worth a boatload of cash. Notice I said ?was?

One critical tweet from Rockets? GM Daryl Morey has turned the Chinese government against the NBA and it is unclear whether the damage can be undone, which is going to cost everyone associated with the league a lot of money. A lot. Mucho dinero.

1) There were reports Wednesday that NBA teams preparing for the 2020-21 season are thinking the salary cap could drop as much as 15% after this season, all because of one 6-word tweet.
 

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Total Moves - Week 7
October 10, 2019
By Matt Blunt


College Football Week 7 Total Moves

It was a Saturday of a few nervous moments with the total moves last week, as each of them landed right around the numbers. Maryland/Rutgers finished with 55 points which was good enough to stay 'under' the 56 number at time of writing, while the Oklahoma/Kansas game landed on 65 points when we needed 68. As close as those plays got, a 1-1 record isn't anything horrible.

It's on to Week 7 though, and now that there is a decent data size from all the teams after a month-plus of action, these total moves are nowhere near the range they were a month ago. Gone are the numerous games with 3+ point moves on the total as that's become reserved for just a select few games each week. More data means numbers are getting tighter, which in turn can make it harder to find an edge. So this week's plays aren't necessarily the biggest moves out there, but they are the ones that appear most notable.

YTD: 7-5 ATS

Week 7 Total move to disagree with:

Florida State/Clemson from 61.5 to 59.5


Both of these teams had last week off, and the rest was probably more needed for this Clemson team who survived a serious scare against North Carolina last time out. The Tigers needed to stop a 2-point conversion at the end of the game to escape with a one-point victory that day, in a game they were favored by about 28. And while they nearly got caught, and did drop out of the #1 spot in the CFB rankings, Clemson's still undefeated and continues on their path of making yet another CFB playoff.

For Florida State, the bye week could have come at a better time, as this Seminoles team had started to find something on both sides of the ball. Their much maligned defense that started the year allowing 30+ in three straight games, held Louisville and NC State to 24 and 13 points respectively in double-digit victories. FSU's offense has put up 30+ in four of their five games overall, and you just hope as a Florida State fan that the week off didn't allow them to get complacent, sloppy, and feeling their oats a bit. Chances are that wasn't the case knowing they had Clemson on deck, but when teams are in a groove the last thing they want is time away from the football field.

If that time away does affect FSU, it's likely going to be on the defensive side of things for multiple reasons. One, they are up against Clemson, by far the best team they've faced this year, and getting Clemson off a lackluster performance that resulted in a serious scare can't be ideal for an opposing defense.

Second, FSU's defense only really found something for about two games, compared to their offense being productive in four of the five. If you are going to revert back to your old ways after time away, the 'old' ways of the offense is still putting up 30+, while the 'old' ways of the defense is at least allowing that many. Coupled with the talented offense they are up against, Clemson should be able to put up 40+ in this game.

FSU should be able to hang around for at least a half or most of three quarters in that sense to put up 20+ themselves, and if not, and the game turns into a Clemson rout, that leaves open the possibility of some garbage time TD's from FSU to help the 'over' sneak in the back door.

So while I understand this support for the 'under' here with both teams likely well prepared off a bye week and the last memory of Clemson's offense for most not being good, a total of 60 or less is just too low for these two rivals that have a 10-4-1 O/U record the past 15 meetings. FSU's on a 10-4 O/U overall run themselves dating back to last season, and with 5-1 O/U runs for FSU after a SU win or allowing 19 or fewer points in their last outing, chalk this game up as something like a 48-24 win for Clemson as it sails well 'over' the number.

Week 7 Total move to agree with:

Navy/Tulsa from 52 to 54

Can't imagine this Tulsa defense has too much confidence right now after they blew a 30-9 lead going into the 4th last week against SMU. Tulsa had that game in the bag as big underdogs, before allowing 21 points in the final frame to go to OT, and allowing two more TD's in the extra session to end up on the losing side of things. Those kind of losses can be crushing and may take weeks to fully recover from.

The problem with that is now they have to turn around a week later and deal with Navy's triple-option attack which can be a bitch to deal with in general. It's not unfamiliar to Tulsa being a conference rival of the Midshipmen, but picking themselves off after that tough loss and knowing that their lower-extremities are going to take a beating this week against Navy, can't bring that much enthusiasm.

Therefore, I don't expect Tulsa's defense to be at their best, and may even resemble the one that allowed SMU to walk up and down the field on them in the 4th quarter and beyond. However, with that game being the first 'over' of the year for this Tulsa team, the full body of work still forced this total to come out too low, and even with the move it is probably a point or two short still.

Now, it never feels good betting into a bad number (something I've mentioned a few times before in this section), especially when it crosses through a key number like 53 in this case. But Navy is far from the quality of team they were just a few seasons ago, and defensively I believe they'll have a tough time slowing down Tulsa's attack as well. Navy's allowed an average of 30 points per game over their last two outings ? both 'overs' ? and you give this Tulsa team that kind of production ? they average 24.6 points per game ? and in a projected close game with a point spread hovering around pick'em, any number in the low 50's should get surpassed.
 

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THURSDAY, OCTOBER 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


SYR at NCST 08:00 PM
SYR +4.5
O 56.0


ULM at TXST 09:15 PM
TXST +3.5
O 60.5
 

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NC State's defense gets 8 sacks in 16-10 win over Syracuse
October 10, 2019
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RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) North Carolina State's defense battered Syracuse quarterback Tommy DeVito for eight sacks, including one by Larrell Murchison in the final seconds to seal a 16-10 win Thursday night.

The Wolfpack (4-2, 1-1 Atlantic Coast Conference) led all night and by as much as 16-0 in the third quarter before having to come up with a final stop to maintain its hold on the win.

DeVito connected with Trishton Jackson for a 2-yard touchdown with 3 minutes left for Syracuse (3-3, 0-2), then the Orange forced an immediate three-and-out to get the ball back with a chance to win.

But that drive only got a few yards past midfield before Murchison brought down DeVito on a third down. Syracuse had no timeouts as time dwindled then was called for a false start penalty with 2 seconds left, causing a clock runoff to end the game.

N.C. State's defensive showing bought plenty of cover for the Wolfpack's offense under quarterback Bailey Hockman, who came out a winner in his first start despite leading an offense that lacked any big-play potential.

N.C. State's only touchdown came on a double-pass, with receiver Thayer Thomas connecting downfield with Trent Pennix for a 32-yard score shortly before halftime. Hockman's first two drives ended in field goals from Christopher Dunn, who added another kick in the third quarter for the Wolfpack's 16-0 lead.

THE TAKEAWAY

Syracuse: The Orange had at least regrouped from lopsided losses to Maryland and then-No. 1 Clemson with blowout wins against Western Michigan and Holy Cross, though they had been dealing with numerous injury concerns. That included DeVito, who left the last game early in the fourth with an upper-body injury - then took a beating in this one behind an offensive line that struggled to block anyone. DeVito gutted it out to give the Orange a chance late, though they managed just 41 yards rushing on 37 attempts (1.1 per carry).

N.C. State: The Wolfpack emerged from an open date with a new quarterback and plenty of practice reps to fix problems from the losses to West Virginia and Florida State. It was good enough on this night to win, though Hockman completed just 16 of 27 passes for 205 yards with an interception.

UP NEXT

Syracuse: The Orange host Pittsburgh in a cross-divisional league game next Friday.

N.C. State: Boston College hosts the Wolfpack on Oct. 19.


******************************


UL-MONROE 24 - TEXAS ST. 14
 

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Friday, October 11, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:00 PM Virginia Cavaliers Miami-Florida Hurricanes
8:00 PM Colorado State Rams New Mexico Lobos
10:00 PM Colorado Buffaloes Oregon Ducks

********************************

CFB OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


10/10/2019................0-4-0...........0.00%............-22.00
10/09/2019................1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50
10/05/2019.............34-31-0..........52.30%.............-0.50
10/04/2019................2-2-0...........50.00%............-1.00
10/03/2019................1-3-0...........25.00%...........-11.50
..

Totals.......................38-41-0.........48.10%............-35.50


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS


10/10/2019.............0 - 2............-11.00..............0 - 2..............-11.00............-22.00
10/09/2019.............0 - 1............-5.50................1 -0..............+5.00..............-0.50
10/05/2019............23 - 21..........-0.50..............12 - 8.............+16.00...........+15.50
10/04/2019.............1 - 1............-0.50................1 - 1..............-0.50..............-1.00
10/03/2019.............0 - 2............-11.00..............1 - 2..............-6.00..............-17.00


Totals....................24 - 27..........-28.50.............15 - 13..........+3.50..............-25.00
 
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Friday?s 6-pack

Odds to win the NBA title this year:

3-1? Lakers

4-1? Clippers

5-1? Bucks

8-1? Warriors, Rockets, 76ers

12-1? Jazz

15-1? Celtics, Nuggets


Quote of the Day
?Nobody cares. Nobody cares about your feelings. Nobody cares if you?re hurt. Nobody cares if you?re broke, rich. Nobody cares. Who cares? Be you. Go to work. Peace.?
Cowboys? DE DeMarcus Lawrence

Friday?s quiz
Tom Brady was drafted in the 18th round of the 1995 baseball draft by which major league team?

Thursday?s quiz
Tony Eason started, was replaced at QB by Steve Grogan in New England?s first Super Bowl, a 46-10 loss to Chicago.

Wednesday?s quiz
Burgess Meredith was famous for playing Rocky Balboa?s trainer in the Rocky movies; he was the Penguin on the old Batman TV series.

*******************

Friday?s List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind??.

13) Astros 6, Rays 1? Clock strikes midnight for the Cinderella Rays, who took Houston to the brink in this series, but Astros scored four runs in the first inning and that was that. ALCS will be New York-Houston, which should be very interesting.

12) Astros? ace Gerrit Cole had struck out at least one batter in 73 consecutive innings before he didn?t get a strikeout in the third inning last night; not only is that the longest such streak in the majors since 1961, the next highest streak was only 40 (Pedro Martinez, 1999).

11) Patriots 35, Giants 14? New England scored TD?s on a blocked punt and a fumble return; Giants also scored a TD on a fumble return. Game was 21-14 with 9:00 to play.

Total yardage was 427-213 NE; Giants had 10 first downs, four turnovers (-2).

10) South Point Casino in Las Vegas has interesting prop bets; what college team scores the first TD of the day, and then which team scores the most points.

Favorites for first TD:
7-1: Georgia, Oklahoma, Toledo
8-1: Indiana, Michigan

Favorite to score the most points Saturday: Louisiana Tech 8-1

9) Steph Curry scored 40 points in an exhibition game Thursday; Golden State has a much different roster as they open their new arena this fall- no Klay Thompson, Durant is gone, so there will be nights where Curry will have to go off for the Warriors to win.

8) Villanova/Seton Hall are the favorites to win Big East basketball this winter.

UCLA is picked to finish 8th in the Pac-12, which seems weird to type.

7) Over last 12 years, unbeaten NFL teams who are an underdog from Week 6 on are 7-6 ATS. 49ers fit that bill Sunday.

6) Pittsburgh Steelers apparently had a full-contract practice Wednesday, with the team 1-4 and sinking fast; that is unusual in the NFL. Looks like their #3 QB gets his first NFL start against the Chargers Sunday, in a game between two struggling franchises.

5) Phillies fired manager Gabe Kapler after two mediocre seasons where his players went in the tank on him in September both years. Oddly, the Phillies fired both trainers and their pitching coach, but invited all the other coaches back for next season.

If a new manager doesn?t get to pick his own coaches, that usually signals a bad job.

4) No idea why, but the last three years, San Jose State?s leading scorer has transferred out of the program all three years, which is why the Spartans are 9-45 in Mountain West games during that time.

Over the last 22 years, San Jose State has never won half its conference games, though they were 17-16 overall in 2010-11. Seems like a school in California should have at least some success.

3) UL-Monroe 24, Texas State 14? 3-3 WarHawks clinched the win/covered the spread with a TD with 1:46 left; Texas State completed 20-39 passes, but for only 92 yards.

2) 30 or so years ago, had some problems with my teeth and as a result I gave up Snickers bars, switching to the softer Three Musketeers candy bars.

This week, I had my first Snickers bars since then; they still taste great!!!

1) One of the best parts of coming to Las Vegas is meeting new people/making new friends, from all over the country. Thursday was a good day/night for that, making new friends from Ohio, New Jersey, Georgia and a few who live here in the desert. Overall, an excellent day.
 

Cnotes53

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Virginia at Miami, Fl.
Matt Blunt

No. 20 Virginia at Miami, Fl.
Venue/Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Fl.
Time/TV: Friday, Oct. 11 (ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Line: Miami -2, Total 44


Recent Meetings:

2018: Virginia (+7) vs. Miami, Fl. 13, Under 46.5
2017: Miami, Fl. (-19.5) 44 vs. Virginia 28, Over 49
2016: Miami, Fl. (-9.5) 34 at Virginia, Under 54.5

Two ranked teams are in action on Friday night, but it's the one that's out on the road that I'm looking at today.

Virginia ? fresh off their first loss of the year two weeks ago to Notre Dame ? head down to Miami to take on a Hurricanes team that's seemingly already underperformed relative the lofty goals the Hurricanes and their fanbase put on the team every year. At 2-3 SU, Miami fans probably figured their team's record would look much better at this point of the year, but that's clearly not the case. Sometimes a football team just isn't as good as many expected them to be, for a myriad of reasons, and that's the question many handicappers are asking themselves about the Miami Hurricanes this week.

Miami did open as a small favorite for this game and saw some early support to bump the spread up a touch. But after narrowly escaping with a win against Central Michigan as 30-point favorites two games ago, Miami lost again ? after having two weeks to prepare ? as big favorites, this time laying 14 points to Virginia Tech.

So, is Miami being the favorite and getting some early support warranted? Or will this Hurricanes team that's already 0-3 ATS as favorites against FBS competition be a money burner again?

CFB Odds: Virginia vs Miami (-2.5); Total set at 44

Now that conference play is in full swing across the country, I know there will be talk of games like this each week where we've got an unranked squad like Miami laying points to a ranked team. Generally speaking, there is a theory that laying the points in those situations turns out better then not, but that's the problem with talking in generalities when dealing with specifics.

The specifics for this game is that Miami is a struggling team with much less rest, and probably getting considered more for the program's historical reputation then what they've shown on the football field thus far. The Hurricanes hung tough with Florida on opening day back in late-August, but since then it's really been nothing but downhill for this team against the number. Having played last Saturday and now turning around to play on a Friday ? against a team that had last week off ? isn't a brutal scheduling spot, but it's not great either.

The time off for Virginia likely negates any sort of hangover effect the Cavaliers may have after suffering their first loss of the year, and it probably humbled them to a degree. Working that much harder during two weeks of practice is probably not a bad thing for a Virginia team that's still ranked in the polls and looking to remain there. And given what film study has shown them the past two weeks, chances are they'll have an edge mentally as well for this game.

Taking the line and the total together as one suggests that points will be at a premium in this game, and that we probably won't get anyone coming back from anything like an early two-TD deficit. Given that Virginia's defense holds edges in nearly every category other then rush yards allowed per attempt and per game, and Miami has allowed at least 24 points to all three Power 5 programs they've faced this season, I believe you've got to favor Virginia's prospects offensively in this game as well.

Rest-wise things line up on Virginia's side, record-wise things line up Virginia's way, and the Cavaliers hold the edge in the majority of statistical categories on both sides of the ball as well. Add it all up and then throw in Miami's underperforming nature this year, and you get a game where it may not be one of those ?wrong team is favored? contests per se, but the favorite sure has a lot working against them to get a W.

With the underdog 13-2 ATS in the last 15 meetings between these two games ? including 8-1 ATS the last nine ? and a perfect 4-0 ATS when the line has been single digits in that span, give me the Cavaliers in this game on Friday night.
 
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