Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 6 odds: Timing is everything for Eagles-Vikings spread
Jason Logan
Minnesota -3 has been discounted from -110 flat to as low as +104 at some sports, as bookies try to lure action on the home side without moving off the key number of a field goal after early bets pounded Philadelphia.
Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team, but betting the best number. Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window ? or your mobile ? to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it?s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.
Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best ?Bet Now/Bet Later? games on the NFL board each week.
As we head into Week 6 and the onset of autumn cools off those northern states, more outside factors ? beyond action at the sportsbook ? like mounting injuries and bad weather will be impacting the odds and the line adjustments.
SPREAD TO BET NOW: PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT L.A. CHARGERS (-6.5, 41)
The Steelers could be down to their third-string QB for this Sunday night trip to Los Angeles after second-stringer Mason Rudolph was knocked out cold versus the Ravens in Week 5 and remains in concussion protocol as of the start of the week.
Pittsburgh was left with undrafted QB Devlin Hodges as the passing option and that has the Steelers sitting at +6.5 while the betting world waits. With the way the total is starting to tick down ? 43.5 to 41 points ? it would seem that early Over/Under action is expecting the worst for Pittsburgh?s QB situation.
The Bolts are back home off a rough loss at Denver last Sunday. Los Angeles has just two wins on the year: one in overtime versus the Colts in Week 1 (a game it should have lost if not for bad kicking from Indianapolis) and one over Miami in Week 4 (so, you know?).
But if you believe in the Chargers, who are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games coming off a loss, and given the QB questions in the Steel City, you can grab the home team under the key number of a touchdown. It?s already flashing to Bolts -7 at some books, so make sure you get the fave as low as you can.
SPREAD TO BET LATER: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-3, 43.5)
It would seem the Eagles? win over a terrible New York team holds more weight with the betting public than the Vikings? win over a terrible New York team. At least, that?s what the early adjustment to the vig for this matchup says.
Minnesota -3 has been discounted from -110 flat to as low as +104 at some sports, as bookies try to lure action on the home side without moving off the key number of a field goal after early bets pounded Philadelphia.
This is a tough game to handicap. The Eagles went into Lambeau and took a game from the Packers in the second half, but put in a less-than-impressive effort versus the Jets, relying on two defensive scores to make a 17-6 win look much better as a 31-6 victory.
The Vikes are a tougher test on defense than Gang Green and showed they could actually put force behind the football, let go, and have someone catch it before it hit the ground (also known as a pass) in Week 5. If you?re putting your money on Minny, wait and see if you can get -2.5 ? which is starting to bubble up at some books.
TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 47.5 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS AT CLEVELAND BROWNS
Oh boy, the Browns might just stink again. A week removed from torching the Baltimore defense for 40 points, Cleveland crapped out a lonely field goal in a Monday nightmare at San Francisco, losing 31-3.
It was a tough spot for the Browns, playing back-to-back road games and three away contests in four week, and now the team comes back to Cleveland, where it last left fans wanting after a dismal 13-point effort in a loss to the Rams in Week 3.
Baker Mayfield was a dismal 8 for 22 for just 100 passing yards, throwing two interceptions and fumbling twice (one lost) in the loss to San Francisco. Now, the Browns host Seattle on a short week versus an opponent who has enjoyed a mini bye after winning at home versus L.A. on Thursday.
Seattle is nowhere near its defensive prowess of years past, but the offense can pound the football and chew up the clock. Cleveland allowed the Niners to run for 275 yards on 40 carries and dominate TOP for nearly 38 minutes. The Seahawks handed off 43 times against Los Angeles and hogged the ball for more than 35 minutes in Week 5. That same approach versus the Browns could keep the clock ticking and scoring at a minimum.
If you like a low-scoring finish in Ohio this Sunday, jump on the Under 47.5 as the public will have a nasty smell in their nose after watching the Browns bomb on Monday.
TOTAL TO BET LATER: UNDER 49 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS
On the other side of that Monday Night Football finale in Week 5 are the 49ers, who jumped all over the Browns and didn?t stop until the whistle blew on their 31-3 victory. San Francisco is getting it done on both sides of the ball, especially on offense where they now average 31.8 points per game ? second in the NFL.
The Rams are slow out of the blocks this season (only team in the NFL without a first-quarter touchdown) but seem to shake that slumber in the second half. Los Angeles did just that against Seattle last Thursday, putting up 16 points in the final 30 minutes, and Jared Goff is notorious for his home/road production, boasting a 96.3 QBR in Los Angeles versus an 89.3 QBR as a visitor.
This number is already rising, moving from 48.5 to 49, and some books dealing 49.5. It wouldn?t be surprising to see a 50-plus total by the time this one closes Sunday afternoon. Regardless of that movement, you can?t discount the 49ers defense (ranked second in total yards) or a Rams stop unit that despite allowing some bigger numbers, is giving up 5.4 yards per play to foes (10th lowest).
For those leaning Under, wait it out and see how high the public pushes this one before buying a low-scoring ? or lower-scoring ? finish between these NFC West rivals.
Jason Logan
Minnesota -3 has been discounted from -110 flat to as low as +104 at some sports, as bookies try to lure action on the home side without moving off the key number of a field goal after early bets pounded Philadelphia.
Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team, but betting the best number. Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window ? or your mobile ? to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it?s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.
Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best ?Bet Now/Bet Later? games on the NFL board each week.
As we head into Week 6 and the onset of autumn cools off those northern states, more outside factors ? beyond action at the sportsbook ? like mounting injuries and bad weather will be impacting the odds and the line adjustments.
SPREAD TO BET NOW: PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT L.A. CHARGERS (-6.5, 41)
The Steelers could be down to their third-string QB for this Sunday night trip to Los Angeles after second-stringer Mason Rudolph was knocked out cold versus the Ravens in Week 5 and remains in concussion protocol as of the start of the week.
Pittsburgh was left with undrafted QB Devlin Hodges as the passing option and that has the Steelers sitting at +6.5 while the betting world waits. With the way the total is starting to tick down ? 43.5 to 41 points ? it would seem that early Over/Under action is expecting the worst for Pittsburgh?s QB situation.
The Bolts are back home off a rough loss at Denver last Sunday. Los Angeles has just two wins on the year: one in overtime versus the Colts in Week 1 (a game it should have lost if not for bad kicking from Indianapolis) and one over Miami in Week 4 (so, you know?).
But if you believe in the Chargers, who are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games coming off a loss, and given the QB questions in the Steel City, you can grab the home team under the key number of a touchdown. It?s already flashing to Bolts -7 at some books, so make sure you get the fave as low as you can.
SPREAD TO BET LATER: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-3, 43.5)
It would seem the Eagles? win over a terrible New York team holds more weight with the betting public than the Vikings? win over a terrible New York team. At least, that?s what the early adjustment to the vig for this matchup says.
Minnesota -3 has been discounted from -110 flat to as low as +104 at some sports, as bookies try to lure action on the home side without moving off the key number of a field goal after early bets pounded Philadelphia.
This is a tough game to handicap. The Eagles went into Lambeau and took a game from the Packers in the second half, but put in a less-than-impressive effort versus the Jets, relying on two defensive scores to make a 17-6 win look much better as a 31-6 victory.
The Vikes are a tougher test on defense than Gang Green and showed they could actually put force behind the football, let go, and have someone catch it before it hit the ground (also known as a pass) in Week 5. If you?re putting your money on Minny, wait and see if you can get -2.5 ? which is starting to bubble up at some books.
TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 47.5 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS AT CLEVELAND BROWNS
Oh boy, the Browns might just stink again. A week removed from torching the Baltimore defense for 40 points, Cleveland crapped out a lonely field goal in a Monday nightmare at San Francisco, losing 31-3.
It was a tough spot for the Browns, playing back-to-back road games and three away contests in four week, and now the team comes back to Cleveland, where it last left fans wanting after a dismal 13-point effort in a loss to the Rams in Week 3.
Baker Mayfield was a dismal 8 for 22 for just 100 passing yards, throwing two interceptions and fumbling twice (one lost) in the loss to San Francisco. Now, the Browns host Seattle on a short week versus an opponent who has enjoyed a mini bye after winning at home versus L.A. on Thursday.
Seattle is nowhere near its defensive prowess of years past, but the offense can pound the football and chew up the clock. Cleveland allowed the Niners to run for 275 yards on 40 carries and dominate TOP for nearly 38 minutes. The Seahawks handed off 43 times against Los Angeles and hogged the ball for more than 35 minutes in Week 5. That same approach versus the Browns could keep the clock ticking and scoring at a minimum.
If you like a low-scoring finish in Ohio this Sunday, jump on the Under 47.5 as the public will have a nasty smell in their nose after watching the Browns bomb on Monday.
TOTAL TO BET LATER: UNDER 49 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS
On the other side of that Monday Night Football finale in Week 5 are the 49ers, who jumped all over the Browns and didn?t stop until the whistle blew on their 31-3 victory. San Francisco is getting it done on both sides of the ball, especially on offense where they now average 31.8 points per game ? second in the NFL.
The Rams are slow out of the blocks this season (only team in the NFL without a first-quarter touchdown) but seem to shake that slumber in the second half. Los Angeles did just that against Seattle last Thursday, putting up 16 points in the final 30 minutes, and Jared Goff is notorious for his home/road production, boasting a 96.3 QBR in Los Angeles versus an 89.3 QBR as a visitor.
This number is already rising, moving from 48.5 to 49, and some books dealing 49.5. It wouldn?t be surprising to see a 50-plus total by the time this one closes Sunday afternoon. Regardless of that movement, you can?t discount the 49ers defense (ranked second in total yards) or a Rams stop unit that despite allowing some bigger numbers, is giving up 5.4 yards per play to foes (10th lowest).
For those leaning Under, wait it out and see how high the public pushes this one before buying a low-scoring ? or lower-scoring ? finish between these NFC West rivals.
