Cnotes 2022 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Saturday, July 16

 

[Udog]

NY YANKEES are 58-39 Under (15.1 Units) in home games when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 66-121 SU (-67.1 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 27-46 SU (-23.6 Units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 2-14 SU (-14 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start in the current sea...

KANSAS CITY is 35-44 SU (-16.7 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

COLORADO is 68-48 Under (15.2 Units) when the total is 11 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 55-35 Over (16.5 Units) as an underdog of +150 or more in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 9-1 SU (7.9 Units) in home games as an underdog of +125 to +175 in the current season.

MIAMI is 12-2 SU (9.8 Units) when playing on Saturday in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 85-49 SU (31.1 Units) when the money line is +125 to -125 in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 20-37 SU (-20.7 Units) when playing on Saturday in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 50-41 SU (4.9 Units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 87-61 SU (19.9 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

NY METS are 11-4 SU (6.6 Units) when playing with a day off in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 150-239 SU (-112.9 Units) in home games as a favorite of -150 or more since 1996.

LA DODGERS are 109-77 SU (24.3 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, July 16

 

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, July 16

National League
NY Mets (56-34) @ Cubs (34-55)
— Walker is 4-0, 1.85 in his last six starts.
— Mets are 8-5 in his last 13 starts.
— under 9-3 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-4
— He is 1-2, 4.60 in three starts vs Chicago.

— Scherzer is 2-0, 1.40 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 7-3 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-3
— He is 5-2, 2.81 in ten starts vs Chicago.

— Mets are 8-4 in their last dozen games.
— Mets are 28-19 on road.
— over 29-18-2 last 49 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-90
— record in first 5 innings: 48-25-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-x

— Stroman is 2-0, 2.57 in his last four starts.
— He pitched for the Mets in 2019/2021.
— Cubs are 3-7 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-1
— He gave up six runs in 4.2 IP, in his one start vs New York.

— Smyly is 1-1, 6.00 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 3-7 in his starts.
— under 8-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7
— He is 2-0, 1.84 in four games (2 starts) vs New York.

— Cubs are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
— Cubs are 17-30 at home.
— under 7-3-2 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 34-89
— record in first 5 innings: 34-42-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-x

Philadelphia (47-43) @ Miami (43-46)
— Philly hasn’t named a starter.

— Phillies are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Philly is 23-22 on road.
— under 11-4 last fifteen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-90
— record in first 5 innings: 35-38-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3.1-3

— Rogers is 0-2, 5.59 in his last two starts.
— Miami is 5-12 in his starts.
— over 7-2-2 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11-2
— He is 1-3, 7.26 in seven starts vs Philly.

— Miami is 11-10 in its last 21 games.
— Marlins are 22-20 at home.
— under 11-4-2 last seventeen games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-89
— record in first 5 innings: 34-38-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-1

Atlanta (55-37) @ Washington (30-62)
— Fried is 2-1, 1.71 in his last five starts.
— Atlanta is 9-1 in his last ten starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-18
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-1
— He is 5-4, 4.60 in 13 starts vs Washington.

— Braves are 32-10 in their last 42 games.
— Atlanta is 24-17 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 27-92
— record in first 5 innings: 52-31-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-3.2

— Espino is 0-2, 5.19 in six starts.
— Nationals are 1-5 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
— He is 0-1, 5.87 in nine games (3 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Washington lost 14 of last 15 games.
— Nationals are 14-35 at home.
— under 12-7-1 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-92
— record in first 5 innings: 25-56-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.2-4-4

Cincinnati (34-56) @ St Louis (48-44)
— Lodolo is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He gave up a run in 5.2 IP (79 PT) April 24 vs St Louis.

— Reds won six of last eight games.
— Cincinnati is 16-28 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 21-90
— record in first 5 innings: 26-49-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-3

— Mikolas is 1-2, 3.28 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 11-7 in his starts
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 2-3, 5.40 in ten starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 6-10 in their last 16 games.
— St Louis is 28-20 at home.
— under 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-93
— record in first 5 innings: 41-37-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2.1-4

Pittsburgh (38-53) @ Colorado (42-49)
— Keller is 2-0, 3.75 in his last two starts.
— Pittsburgh is 6-4 in his last 10 starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-4
— He is 1-0, 1.08 in two games (1 start) vs Colorado.

— Pirates won four of last seven games.
— Pittsburgh is 18-30 on road.
— under 9-4 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 19-91
— record in first 5 innings: 32-44-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2.1-3

— Urena is 0-1, 2.13 in two starts.
— Colorado is 0-2 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 1-3, 6.21 in 11 games (4 starts) vs Pittsburgh.

— Colorado won seven of last nine games.
— Rockies are 27-22 at home.
— under 18-11-1 last 30 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-90
— record in first 5 innings: 26-47-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5-2.1

Arizona (39-51) @ San Diego (51-41)
— Gilbert is 0-0, 0.96 in his last two starts.
— Arizona is 2-3 in his starts
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He is 1-1, 1.69 in three games (2 starts) vs San Diego.

— Diamondbacks are 4-9 in last thirteen games.
— Arizona is 17-25 on road.
— under 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 25-90
— record in first 5 innings: 33-35-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-1.1-3

— Manaea is 1-1, 5.61 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 8-8 in his starts.
— over 11-1-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-3
— He is 3-1, 3.18 in six starts vs Arizona.

— Padres lost 14 of last 21 games.
— San Diego is 24-20 at home.
— under 9-7 last sixteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-92
— record in first 5 innings: 44-28-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-2

Milwaukee (50-41) @ San Francisco (46-43)
— Lauer is 0-0, 4.11 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 10-6 in his starts
— over 7-4-2 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-5
— He is 3-0, 3.61 in seven starts vs San Francisco.

— Brewers are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Milwaukee is 29-22 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 30-91
— record in first 5 innings: 40-35-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2.2-2.2

— Cobb is 0-2, 4.22 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 5-8 in his starts
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-4
— He is 1-1, 1.29 in two starts vs Milwaukee.

— Giants are 9-16 in their last 25 games.
— San Francisco is 24-22 at home.
— under 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 21-88
— record in first 5 innings: 38-36-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-5-4.1

 

[Udog]

American League
Kansas City (36-54) @ Toronto (48-43)
Kansas City will be without TEN PLAYERS this weekend, who have not been vaccinated, including Merrifield/Benintendi. They can’t go into Canada.

— Lynch is 1-1, 3.38 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 4-7 in his last 11 starts
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7
— He is 0-2, 6.94 in two starts vs Toronto.

— Kansas City is 6-3 in its last nine games.
— Royals are 17-27 on road.
— under 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 26-90
— record in first 5 innings: 33-44-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4

— Toronto hasn’t named a starter.

— Blue Jays lost 10 of their last 14 games.
— They fired their manager this week.
— Toronto is 28-19 at home.
— over 35-15 last 50 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-91
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-2

Baltimore (45-45) @ Tampa Bay (50-40)
— Kremer is 2-0, 1.59 in his last five starts.
— Baltimore is 5-2 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-2
— He is 0-1, 3.23 in three starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Orioles won 10 of their last 11 games.
— Baltimore is 20-28 on road.
— under 15-8-2 last 25 games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-90
— record in first 5 innings: 35-41-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-2.1

— Yarbrough is 0-4, 5.82 in eight games (6 starts) TY.
— Tampa Bay is 1-5 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He is 5-2, 3.93 in 14 games (7 starts) vs Baltimore

— Tampa Bay won its last five games.
— Rays are 30-17 at home.
— over 13-8-2 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-90
— record in first 5 innings: 41-30-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-5.2

Detroit (37-54) @ Cleveland (45-44)
— Pineda is 1-2, 4.70 in three starts this month.
— Tigers are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4
— He is 3-0, 3.14 in five starts vs Cleveland.

— Tigers lost seven of last eight games.
— Detroit is 14-30 on road.
— under 7-4 last eleven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-91
— record in first 5 innings: 25-51-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.1-3

— Quantrill is 1-1, 5.87 in his last four starts.
— Cleveland is 7-9 in his starts.
— over 7-0-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-4
— He is 1-2, 3.54 in six games (3 starts) vs Detroit

— Guardians are 9-16 in their last 25 games.
— Cleveland is 24-19 at home.
— under 13-7 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-89
— record in first 5 innings: 32-38-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-1-5.1

White Sox (45-45) @ Minnesota (49-43)
— Lynn is 0-2, 7.89 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
— He is 2-0, 3.18 in six starts vs Minnesota.

— White Sox are 11-7 in their last 18 games.
— Chicago is 26-20 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 23-90
— record in first 5 innings: 38-41-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-4

— Bundy is 2-1, 3.10 in his last five starts.
— Minnesota is 6-9 in his starts.
— over 6-1-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-2
— He is 5-0, 3.27 in seven starts vs Chicago.

— Minnesota is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Twins are 26-21 at home.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 32-91
— record in first 5 innings: 46-32-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-5.1-6

Seattle (49-42) @ Texas (41-47)
— Gilbert is 3-0, 5.09 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 8-1 in his last nine starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-1
— He is 2-0, 2.70 in five starts vs Texas.

— Mariners won their last 12 games.
— Seattle is 25-22 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 27-91
— record in first 5 innings: 35-40-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8.2-3-2.1

— Howard is 1-0, 9.00 in three starts.
— Texas is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 0-0, 9.00 in two starts vs Seattle.

— Rangers are 5-10 in last 15 games.
— Texas is 21-24 at home.
— over 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-88
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-5

A’s (31-60) @ Houston (58-31)
— Koenig is 1-2, 6.50 in four starts.
— A’s are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— A’s are 6-7 in their last 13 games.
— Oakland is 20-29 on road.
— under 21-7-2 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-91
— record in first 5 innings: 29-49-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-2-3

— Verlander is 3-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 12-4 in his starts.
— under 13-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-4
— He is 14-7, 2.66 in 25 starts vs Oakland.

— Astros won 22 of their last 30 games.
— Houston is 27-13 at home.
— over 8-6 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 28-89
— record in first 5 innings: 52-25-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-2.2

Boston (48-43) @ New York (62-28)
— Pivetta is 0-1, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 10-2 in his last 12 starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-4
— He is 0-2, 8.50 in four starts vs New York.

— Red Sox lost eight of last 11 games.
— Boston is 25-23 on road.
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-91
— record in first 5 innings: 38-30-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-6.1

— Taillon is 1-1, 8.57 in his last four starts.
— New York is 13-4 in his starts.
— over 8-5-1 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-3
— He is 2-0, 3.03 in five starts vs Boston.

— New York lost five of last six games.
— New York is 35-12 at home.
— over 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 30-90
— record in first 5 innings: 47-22-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-3-5

Interleague game
Dodgers (58-30) @ Angels (39-52)
— Urias is 4-0, 3.91 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 9-8 in his starts.
— under 11-4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-2
— He is 0-1, 6.27 in two starts against the Angels.

— Dodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 games.
— Los Angeles is 29-17 on road.
— under 12-7-2 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-89
— record in first 5 innings: 51-24-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-1

— Suarez is 0-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Dodgers.

— Angels are 12-35 in their last 47 games.
— Angels are 22-26 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 27-91
— record in first 5 innings: 44-37-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4.1

 

[Udog]

MLB

Saturday, July 16

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Trend Report
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Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox

Cincinnati @ St. Louis
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

NY Mets @ Chi Cubs
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Kansas City @ Toronto
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 11 games when playing Toronto
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Pittsburgh @ Colorado
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 16 games when playing Atlanta

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games

Detroit @ Cleveland
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oakland's last 12 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

Philadelphia @ Miami
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home

Milwaukee @ San Francisco
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Boston @ NY Yankees
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 9 games

NY Mets @ Chi Cubs
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Arizona @ San Diego
Arizona
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Diego is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arizona

LA Dodgers @ LA Angels
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games


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[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, JULY 16

CHW at MIN	02:10 PM	CHW +110 O 9.0	+500 +500
CIN at STL		STL -159 O 8.5	+500 +500
NYM at CHC		NYM -135	+500
KC at TOR	03:07 PM	KC +262	+500
PIT at COL	03:10 PM	COL -127 O 11.5	+500 +500
ATL at WAS	04:05 PM	ATL -235 U 8.5	+500 +500
SEA at TEX	04:05 PM	SEA -134 O 8.5	+500 +500
DET at CLE	04:10 PM	DET +148 O 8.5	+500 +500
PHI at MIA	04:10 PM	PHI +100	+500
OAK at HOU	04:10 PM	OAK +309	+500
BAL at TB	04:10 PM	BAL +109	+500
MIL at SF	07:15 PM	SF -128 O 8.0	+500 +500
BOS at NYY	07:15 PM	NYY -156 O 8.5	+500 +500
NYM at CHC	08:05 PM	NYM -210	+500
ARI at SD	08:40 PM	SD -181 O 8.0	+500 +500
LAD at LAA	10:07 PM	LAD -186 U 8.5	+500 +500

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 7-pack
NFL teams that ran the ball the least on 2nd down LY, after they threw an incomplete pass on first down:
18%— Cincinnati
21%— Kansas City
22%— Arizona
24%— San Francisco
25%— Rams, Green Bay, New England

Quote of the Day
“My dad taught me that a ‘role player’ isn’t a bad thing. You can make a lot of money being a role player. You can be a starter being a role player. A lot of people don’t embrace that. So that’s going to be an advantage for me.”
Jabari Walker

Sunday’s quiz
Which current major league manager was the first manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks?

Saturday’s quiz
When Hall of Fame QB Jim Kelly played in the USFL, he played for the Houston Gamblers.

Friday’s quiz
Before moving to Milwaukee, the Braves called Boston home from 1912-1952.

******************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) All-Star break starts Sunday night; they need to push the All-Star Game back earlier in July; lot of tired players/coaches right now, maybe more mentally tired than physically. Teams have played over 90 games; halfway mark is 81, so moving things back a week makes more sense.

Plus, that would allow the NBA Summer League to fill the four-day sports void, but summer league ends tonight, so this coming week Monday-Wednesday will be a 3-day sports void (there are some make-up baseball games Thursday). Bad planning by baseball.

12) Juan Soto turned down a 15-year. $440M contract this weekend; he can’t be a free agent until after the 2024 season, so Washington has to hold on to him for at least the rest of this season. What will teams be willing to give up to acquire one of the best players in baseball?

11) Minnesota Twins retired Jim Kaat’s number 36 this weekend; Kaat will be inducted into the Hall of Fame next weekend in Cooperstown. A great pitcher who won 283 games; his number 1 achievement in sports might be this:

When he was 75 years old, Kaat shot 75 in two different rounds of golf. Shooting your age in golf is damn impressive, but here’s the thing.

One round he played right-handed, the other one left-handed!!!

Wonder how times that has happened.

10) Clayton Kershaw took a perfect game into the 8th inning Friday, the second time he’s done that this season. Kershaw is the first pitcher since 1961 to take a perfect game into the 8th inning twice in the same season.

9) Mets-Cubs are having issues with the umpires in their series this week; Cubs manager David Ross has been thrown out of two games. Ian Happ got tossed last night.

Ramon DeJesus, who worked the plate in Game 1 Saturday, is a pitchers’ ump, which is putting it mildly. He searches for strikes to call, which obviously annoys hitters. So far this season, the under is 9-5 when DeJesus is behind the plate.

8) Seattle 3, Texas 2— Mariners have won 13 games in a row; they’re 21-12 in one-run games, after going 33-19 in one-run games last year. Scott Servais is a very good manager.

If the playoffs started today, Seattle would be one of the Wild Card teams.

7) Who decides which jersey a baseball team wears for a game? Some teams have 2-3 different jerseys; the A’s used to let that day’s starting pitcher decide which jersey to wear, but not sure if they do that anymore.

If I’m a pitcher and I’m on a roll wearing one jersey, I sure as hell would want to wear that jersey whenever I pitched. Superstitions are a big part of baseball.

6) Unusual stuff in the NBA:
— Nike boss Phil Knight wants to buy the Portland Trail Blazers.
— The NBA wants Phil Knight to buy the Trail Blazers.
— The late owner Paul Allen’s trust requires that the team be sold.
— Portland owner Jody Allen insists the team is not for sale.

Being commissioner of a sports league isn’t as easy as it looks.

5) Young man named Marko Simonovic scored 17 points in nine games for the Chicago Bulls last year, playing mostly in the G-League, where he scored 17 ppg; he is having big summer league this month, as he tries to earn a spot on the Bulls’ roster this coming season. Simonovic had 17 points, 13 rebounds in a game against Charlotte the other day.

Funny how guys who don’t have roster spots locked up play every game, they don’t take games off for load management.

4) Russell Westbrook, entering the final season of a five-year maximum deal; fired his agent this week, a guy who had been his agent for the last 14 years. The agent apparently thinks Westbrook should stay with the Lakers, and Westbrook disagrees.

According to Basketball-Reference.com. Westbrook has earned $291,976,692 in his playing career, not counting this coming season, when he will bank another $47M. The agent’s take, if 5%, would be $14,598,835, so the agent/player helped each other become very wealthy.

Hopefully they parted friends.

3) Had to look this up twice; I knew it was true, but it just seems odd that the Miami Dolphins haven’t won a playoff game since 2000.

2) Only one team that won the Super Bowl gave upon more points than they scored during that regular season; the 2011 New Jersey Giants scored 394 points, gave up 400 points, which does not matter, because they won four playoff games, but it is the only time it has happened.

1) Detroit Lions were an odd team last year; they went 11-6 against the spread, which is pretty good, but the thing is, they were an underdog in all 17 games- they were 3-13-1 SU, which is really bad.

As of a few days ago, Detroit was an underdog in its first three games this season, but is listed at -2 for its Week 4 game with Seattle.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Sunday, July 17

 

[Udog]

KANSAS CITY is 114-116 SU (-13.6 Units) as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 49-77 SU (-35.7 Units) when the money line is +125 to -125 in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 12-3 SU (9.1 Units) vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 21-45 SU (-28.5 Units) in road games as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 12-1 SU (10.9 Units) in July games in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 179-127 Under (39.3 Units) in home games when playing on Sunday since 1996.

OAKLAND is 29-14 Under (13.6 Units) in July games in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 134-182 SU (-66.2 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 358-363 SU (-41.3 Units) in home games in day games since 1996.

NY METS are 42-26 SU (18.9 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the current season.

SEATTLE is 8-0 SU (8 Units) when playing with a day off in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 32-13 Under (17.7 Units) when playing on Sunday in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 88-61 SU (20.9 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 151-239 SU (-111.9 Units) in home games as a favorite of -150 or more since 1996.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, July 17

 

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, July 17

National League
Atlanta (56-37) @ Washington (30-63)
— Strider is 1-0., 0.79 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 5-4 in his starts.
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-2
— He is 1-0, 3.00 in two games (1 start) Washington.

— Braves are 33-10 in their last 43 games.
— Atlanta is 25-17 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 53-31-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.2-2

— Nationals haven’t named a starter.

— Washington lost 15 of last 16 games.
— Nationals are 14-36 at home.
— under 12-8-1 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-93
— record in first 5 innings: 25-57-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-3.2

Philadelphia (48-43) @ Miami (43-47)
— Nola is 1-3, 4.08 in his last four starts.
— Philly is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— under 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-5
— He is 4-8, 3.53 in 18 starts vs Miami.

— Phillies are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Philly is 24-22 on road.
— under 11-5 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-91
— record in first 5 innings: 36-38-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-4

— Rogers is 0-2, 5.59 in his last two starts.
— Miami is 5-12 in his starts.
— over 7-2-2 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11-2
— He is 1-3, 7.26 in seven starts vs Philly.

— Miami is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
— Marlins are 22-21 at home.
— under 11-5-2 last eighteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-90
— record in first 5 innings: 34-39-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-3.2

Cincinnati (34-57) @ St Louis (49-44)
— Ashcraft is 0-1, 8.10 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 7-3 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He allowed four runs in 4.2 IP vs St Louis June 12.

— Reds won six of last nine games.
— Cincinnati is 16-29 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 22-91
— record in first 5 innings: 26-50-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-6

— Matz is 0-2, 8.56 in his last four starts.
— His last start was May 23.
— St Louis is 6-3 in his starts
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3
— He is 2-0, 2.95 in three starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 7-10 in their last 17 games.
— St Louis is 29-20 at home.
— under 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-94
— record in first 5 innings: 42-37-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4-2

NY Mets (58-34) @ Cubs (34-57)
— Peterson is 1-1, 4.09 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 9-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-2-3
— He is 1-1, 2.89 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Mets are 10-4 in their last 14 games.
— Mets are 30-19 on road.
— over 29-20-2 last 51 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-92
— record in first 5 innings: 48-25-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-7.2

— Sampson is 0-1, 4.64 in four starts.
— Cubs are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Cubs lost their last nine games.
— Cubs are 17-32 at home.
— under 9-3-2 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-91
— record in first 5 innings: 34-42-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-x-9

Pittsburgh (38-54) @ Colorado (43-49)
— Pittsburgh hasn’t named a starter.

— Pirates lost their last four games.
— Pittsburgh is 18-31 on road.
— under 10-4 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 19-92
— record in first 5 innings: 32-45-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-2

— Gomber is 2-0, 4.32 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 7-8 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-4
— He is 0-2, 5.51 in six games (2 starts) vs Pittsburgh.

— Colorado won eight of last ten games.
— Rockies are 28-22 at home.
— under 19-11-1 last 31 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-91
— record in first 5 innings: 27-47-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.1-3

Arizona (39-52) @ San Diego (52-41)
— Kelly is 2-0, 2.61 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 9-9 in his starts
— under 10-8
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 7-2, 2.43 in 11 starts vs San Diego.

— Diamondbacks are 4-10 in last fourteen games.
— Arizona is 17-26 on road.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 25-91
— record in first 5 innings: 34-35-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-3-3

— Clevinger is 1-2, 4.15 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 6-2 in his starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-3
— He is 1-0, 0.90 in two starts vs Arizona.

— Padres are 8-14 in last 22 games.
— San Diego is 25-20 at home.
— under 10-7 last seventeen games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-93
— record in first 5 innings: 44-29-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-3

Milwaukee (50-42) @ San Francisco (47-43)
— Alexander is 1-1, 7.98 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 4-3 in his starts
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.

— Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 games.
— Milwaukee is 29-23 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 30-92
— record in first 5 innings: 40-35-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2.2-1

— Webb is 3-1, 1.80 in his last six starts.
— Giants are 11-7 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He is 0-0, 1.38 in two starts vs Milwaukee.

— Giants are 4-1 in their last five games.
— San Francisco is 25-22 at home.
— under 4-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 21-89
— record in first 5 innings: 38-36-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4.1-1.2

 

[Udog]

American League
Kansas City (36-55) @ Toronto (49-43)
Kansas City will be without TEN PLAYERS this weekend, who have not been vaccinated, including Merrifield/Benintendi. They can’t go into Canada.

— Bubic is 0-2, 6.64 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 4-9 in his starts
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Kansas City is 6-4 in its last ten games.
— Royals are 17-28 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 26-91
— record in first 5 innings: 33-44-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-7

— Berrios is 2-0, 3.18 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 7-2 in his last nine starts
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 6-4, 4.54 in 18 starts vs Kansas City.

— Blue Jays lost 10 of their last 15 games.
— They fired their manager this week.
— Toronto is 29-19 at home.
— over 36-15 last 51 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-92
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-7

Boston (48-44) @ New York (63-28)
— Sale allowed no runs in 5 IP (78 PT) in his first ‘22 start.
— Red Sox are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 6-8, 2.98 in 18 starts vs New York.

— Red Sox lost nine of last 12 games.
— Boston is 25-24 on road.
— over 9-3 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-92
— record in first 5 innings: 38-31-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-6.1-3.2

— Cole is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.
— New York is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-1-6
— He is 6-3, 4.30 in 12 starts vs Boston.

— New York lost five of last seven games.
— New York is 36-12 at home.
— over 9-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 31-91
— record in first 5 innings: 48-22-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3

Baltimore (46-45) @ Tampa Bay (50-41)
— Lyles is 2-0, 1.86 in his last three starts.
— Baltimore is 7-11 in his starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-2
— He is 0-1, 4.29 in three starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Orioles won 11 of their last 12 games.
— Baltimore is 21-28 on road.
— under 15-9-2 last 26 games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-91
— record in first 5 innings: 35-42-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-6

— Kluber is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Tampa Bay is 9-8 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-1
— He is 5-2, 3.06 in 13 starts vs Baltimore

— Tampa Bay won five of last six games.
— Rays are 30-18 at home.
— over 14-8-2 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-91
— record in first 5 innings: 42-30-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.2-4.2

Detroit (37-55) @ Cleveland (46-44)
— Brieske is 2-0, 2.19 in his last two starts.
— Tigers are 6-9 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 8-15
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Tigers lost eight of last nine games.
— Detroit is 14-31 on road.
— under 7-5 last dozen road games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-92
— record in first 5 innings: 25-52-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-6

— Bieber is 1-1, 3.92 in his last three starts.
— Cleveland is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 1-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-3
— He is 7-4, 2.61 in 11 starts vs Detroit

— Guardians are 10-16 in their last 26 games.
— Cleveland is 25-19 at home.
— under 13-8 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-90
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-5.1-3

White Sox (45-46) @ Minnesota (50-43)
— Cease is 3-1, 0.91 in his last five starts.
— White Sox are 13-5 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 1-4, 7.64 in seven starts vs Minnesota.

— White Sox are 11-8 in their last 19 games.
— Chicago is 26-21 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 23-91
— record in first 5 innings: 38-42-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3

— Archer is 2-1, 2.00 in his last six starts (27 IP).
— Minnesota is 7-8 in his starts.
— under 5-0-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He is 4-2, 4.27 in ten starts vs Chicago.

— Minnesota is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Twins are 27-21 at home.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 33-92
— record in first 5 innings: 47-32-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-6-3.2

Seattle (50-42) @ Texas (41-48)
— Flexen is 4-0, 2.79 in his last five starts.
— Seattle is 4-1 in his last five starts.
— under 11-6 (over 3-0 last three)
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 4-0, 2.53 in five starts vs Texas.

— Mariners won their last 13 games.
— Seattle is 26-22 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 27-92
— record in first 5 innings: 36-40-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-5

— Otto is 0-3, 9.39 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 5-7 in his starts.
— over 6-6
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8
— He is 1-0, 3.60 in one start vs Seattle.

— Rangers are 5-11 in last 16 games.
— Texas is 21-25 at home.
— over 13-6 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-89
— record in first 5 innings: 33-39-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-5

A’s (31-61) @ Houston (59-31)
— Oller is 0-3, 12.60 in four starts.
— A’s are 0-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— A’s are 6-8 in their last 14 games.
— Oakland is 20-30 on road.
— under 22-7-2 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-92
— record in first 5 innings: 29-50-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-1

— Odorizzi is 4-0, 2.14 in his last six starts.
— Astros are 6-3 in his starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4
— He is 2-4, 3.58 in 11 starts vs Oakland.

— Astros won 23 of their last 31 games.
— Houston is 28-13 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 28-90
— record in first 5 innings: 53-25-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.2-3

 

[Udog]

MLB

Sunday, July 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Kansas City @ Toronto
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Washington's last 17 games when playing Atlanta

Boston @ NY Yankees
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 10 games

Detroit @ Cleveland
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Detroit

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Philadelphia @ Miami
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games

Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oakland's last 13 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Oakland
Houston is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Cincinnati @ St. Louis
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

NY Mets @ Chi Cubs
NY Mets
NY Mets is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
NY Mets is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Chi Cubs is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing NY Mets

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 9 games

Pittsburgh @ Colorado
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Milwaukee @ San Francisco
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Arizona @ San Diego
Arizona
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Diego is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
Las Vegas Westgate’s odds to win this season’s Super Bowl:
6-1— Buffalo, Tampa Bay
9-1— LA Rams, Green Bay
12-1— Kansas City, San Francisco
14-1— Baltimore, LA Chargers
18-1— Dallas
20-1— Cincinnati, Denver

Quote of the Day
“I mean, It’s not like I’m not breaking news here that Mike Zimmer did not like Kirk Cousins. And I think that showed in the way that Kirk behaved and the way that he carried himself. The team was never given to him, or he was never allowed to earn the trust of the team, because the head coach I think just didn’t like him.”
Former Vikings LB Ben Leber

Monday’s quiz
Where did Kirk Cousins play his college football?

Sunday’s quiz
Buck Showalter was the first manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Saturday’s quiz
When Hall of Fame QB Jim Kelly played in the USFL, he played for the Houston Gamblers.

**************************

Monday’s Den: Baseball thoughts at the All-Star break

13) I’m still amazed that the pitching coach of the Minnesota Twins was making $350,000, so he quit and became the pitching coach at LSU, where he now makes $750,000.

13 pitchers on a team that has 26 players on it; pithing coach is basically the manager for half the team, and he makes half what the minimum wage is for a player ($700,000)? Wow.

12) Can we just give Baltimore skipper Brandon Hyde Manager of the Year right now? Last year, Orioles were 52-110, a dreadful team. This year, they head to the All-Star break 46-46.

Part of the improvement goes to management, which made left/left-center in Camden Yards way bigger, which has to have helped their pitchers’ confidence.

11) Further evidence of the excellent job Hyde is doing:

Baltimore’s total payroll for 2022: $32,918,626
Max Scherzer’s salary for 2022: $43,333,333

10) All five teams in the American League East are .500 or better; last time a division had all of its teams at .500 or better on July 17? Back in 2005, the National League East.

9) Freddie Freeman heads into the All-Star break 16 for his last 24; he is probably sad not to play again until Thursday.

8) Red Sox P Chris Sale has been on the injured list seven times since 2018; he is headed for trip [NODE="8"]Private Messages[/NODE] A line drive broke the pinky on Sale’s pitching hand Sunday- it didn’t look good.

7) Apparently the business of baseball is doing well:
— Aaron Judge turned down a contract $31M a year.
— Juan Soto turned down a 15-year, $440M deal

Agents for both players obviously think their client will wind up making more $$$.

6) Since June 28, Los Angeles Angels are 3-0 when Shohei Ohtani pitches, 0-13 when anyone else is the starting pitcher.

5) Texas Rangers’ SS Corey Seager has a .976 OPS in his home games, which is really good; his OPS on the road is .634, which is terrible. Weird thing is that Texas has a pitchers’ ballpark, so you figure he would hit better on the road.

OPS is on-base %age plus slugging %age.

4) Boston Red Sox are 12-26 against their division rivals, 36-19 against everyone else. Boston has fallen out of the playoff picture; they’re still really close, but they need to pick it up against their AL East rivals.

3) Philadelphia Phillies are 27-14 since they changed managers, 11-8 since Bruce Harper broke his hand.

2) Colorado is 28-22 at home, 15-27 on the road; do opposing teams struggle playing in Denver, and if so, why? Rockies haven’t gotten much from newly-signed Kris Bryant until recently; will they be a better team after the All-Star break?

1) Trade deadline is August 2nd; with 12 teams making the playoffs now, will be interesting to see which teams sell off players for prospects and which teams try to fortify their roster.

 

[Udog]

All Star break.... play resumes Thursday.

 

[Udog]

Odds to win the Home Run Derby

Player Odds to win
Pete Alonso +200
Kyle Schwarber +330
Ronald Acuna Jr. +600
Juan Soto +600
Corey Seager +900
Julio Rodriguez +1,000
Jose Ramirez +1,600
Albert Pujols +2,200


Odds to reach the Home Run Derby final

Player Odds to win
Pete Alonso -120
Kyle Schwarber +135
Juan Soto +230
Ronald Acuna Jr. +260
Corey Seager +350
Julio Rodriguez +425
Jose Ramirez +600
Albert Pujols +800


Weather report

It should be a gorgeous night in Los Angeles on Monday, with the temperature expected to hover around 84 degrees for the start of the Derby. The forecast is calling for a sunny and mostly clear sky.

The near-perfect baseball weather should only help the hitters and if the wind (with gusts of 6 mph expected) is blowing out, it's only going to aid them further.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in RBI:
78— Pete Alonso, NYM
75— Jose Ramirez, Clev
70— Paul Goldschmidt StL, Aaron Judge NYY
69— CJ Cron, Colo
68— Trea Turner, LA
66— Francisco Lindor, NYM

Quote of the Day
“It’s like a payroll in baseball. What teams win over a long period of time? Teams that have high payrolls and can pay players a lot. We’re in a situation not any different than that. I’m sure other people said it. I said Day 1, you legalize cheating, so get ready for the people that have the most money to get players.”
Ole Miss football coach Lane Kiffin

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Pittsburgh Pirates’ manager the last time they made the playoffs?
(Hint: He had previously a different NL team in the World Series)

Monday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State

Sunday’s quiz
Buck Showalter was the first manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

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Tuesday’s Den: Notes, trends for AFC teams…….

Baltimore Ravens
— Won Super Bowl in 2012; since then, they’re 2-4 SU in playoffs.
— Last three years, they’re 9-0-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Harbaugh is 13-9-1 ATS as a road favorite in division games, 24-29-1 out of division.
— 5-1 ATS in last six series openers.

Buffalo Bills
— Last two years, they’re 3-2 in playoffs; previous 18 years, they were 0-2.
— Last four years, they’re 9-0-1 ATS as an underdog of 3 or less points.
— Under McDermott, Bills are 24-14-2 ATS on the road.
— Last two years, over is 10-4-2 in their road games.

Cincinnati Bengals
— Last year was first time they won a playoff game on the road. Ever.
— Bengals were even in turnovers LY; previous two years, they were minus-21.
— Last two years, they’re 6-3-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last seven years, they’re 13-7-1 ATS in AFC North road games (2-0 as road favorite)

Cleveland Browns
— Last 20 years, they’re 1-2 in playoff games; Baker Mayfield was QB for the win.
— Under Stefanski, they’re 7-12-4 ATS as a favorite.
— Last three years, they’re 7-14-2 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last ten years, Browns are 10-19-1 ATS in AFC North home games.

Denver Broncos
— Denver hasn’t been in the playoffs since 2015.
— In his 10-year career, Russell Wilson is 9-7 in playoff games.
— Last five years, Broncos are 6-12-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last five years, Denver is 4-10-1 ATS in AFC West road games.

Houston Texans
— Last two years, they’re 8-25 SU; Smith is their third HC in three years.
— Last three years, Texans are 2-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2016, they’re 1-5-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Smith went 89-87 as head coach of the Bears (3-3 in playoff games)

Indianapolis Colts
— Ryan will be the Colts’ 6th different starting QB the last six years.
— Last seven years, they’re 1-2 in playoff games.
— Last two years, Colts are +24 in turnovers; they were 9-8 LY with a +14 ratio.
— Last five years, they’re 14-3-1 ATS as a favorite of 3 or less points.

Jacksonville Jaguars
— Last four years, Jags are 15-50 SU; Pederson is their 3rd coach in three years.
— Last three years, they’re 8-15 ATS in Jacksonville.
— Last four years, they’re 3-7-2 ATS in AFC South road games.
— Pederson went 42-37-1 coaching the Eagles, and won a Super Bowl.

Kansas City Chiefs
— Mahomes is 50-13 SU in regular season, 8-3 in playoffs.
— In the 16 years before Mahomes, KC was 1-7 in playoff games.
— Last six years, they’re 13-5 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Reid, Chiefs are 43-26-1 ATS on the road.

Las Vegas Raiders
— Since losing Super Bowl in 2002, Raiders are 0-2 in playoff games.
— Last two years, Raiders are 18-15 SU, despite minus-20 turnover ratio.
— Last five years, they’re 2-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— In two years in Las Vegas, over is 11-5-1 in Raider home games.

Los Angeles Chargers
— Chargers made playoffs twice in the last 12 years.
— Last seven years, they’re 12-8-1 ATS in AFC West road games.
— Last 10 years, they’re 22-34-5 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last 20 years, their starting QB’s: Brees-Rivers-Herbert. Pretty good QB’s (5-7 in playoffs)

Miami Dolphins
— Last 20 years, Miami is 0-1 in playoff games (game was in 2008)
— Last two years, Dolphins are 19-14 SU, missed playoffs both times.
— Last three years, they’re 20-14 ATS as an underdog.
— Last four years, they’re 11-6-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Week 17 last two years: lost 56-26 at Buffalo/lost 34-3 at Tennessee.

New England Patriots
— 17-16 SU in two years since Brady left town.
— Last seven years, they’re 31-17-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 10 years, they’re 34-16-1 ATS in non-divisional home games.
— Last eight years, under is 35-19-1 in their road games.

New Jersey Jets
— Haven’t made playoffs since 2010, when Rex Ryan was coach.
— Last six years, they’re 27-70 SU (39-54-4 ATS)
— Last five years, Jets are 0-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last four years, they’re 2-10 ATS in AFC East home games.

Pittsburgh Steelers
— Last four years, Steelers are 0-2 in playoff games (previous 16 years- 15-8).
— Last four years, they’re 4-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last six years, they’re 20-13 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Last three years, they’re 7-2 ATS in AFC North home games.

Tennessee Titans
— Last two years went 23-10 SU, but were 0-2 in playoffs, both at home.
— Last five years, they’re 9-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three years, over is 17-7 in their road games.
— Last five years, they’re 18-12 ATS in AFC South games.

 

[Udog]

xx

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Odds for the PGA’s 3M Open this week :
16-1— Finau, Im
18-1— Matsuyama
20-1— McNealy
25-1— Davis, Hadwin, Riley, Theegala
30-1— Steele, Tringale
Over/under on winning score: 265.5

Quote of the Day
“The most important decision you make is to be in a good mood.”
Voltaire

Wednesday’s quiz
On the old game show Hollywood Squares, who sat in the center square most of the time?

Tuesday’s quiz
Clint Hurdle was the Pittsburgh Pirates’ manager the last time they made the playoffs.

Monday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State

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Two Lists for Wednesday: the first, Mid-week musings…..

13) My favorite part of the All-Star Game is the player introductions; you see guys who are All-Stars for the first time- has to be a tremendous thrill to hear your name while you stand with the best players in the business.

12) Every team has to be represented in the All-Star Game; this year, the A’s representative is P Paul Blackburn, who was scheduled to fly commercial from Houston to Los Angeles after the A’s series in Texas over the weekend.

Astros heard about it, and offered Blackburn a seat on their team’s charter from Houston to LA, pretty classy move.

11) I felt pretty old Sunday night, when Jackson Holliday was first player taken in the amateur baseball draft. His dad is Matt Holliday, who was a terrific ballplayer for Rockies/Cardinals.

Our fantasy baseball league started in 2005; it is a dynasty league— you keep the same players from year-to-year. Our first draft took 81 days to finish; we started before Christmas, and my first pick was Matt Holliday. Now his son is a pro ballplayer. Time flies.

Later on, I wound up with Rays’ LF Carl Crawford on my team for 3-4 years; his son got drafted in the first round by the Phillies Sunday night. Carl Crawford played in the 2008 World Series, against the Phillies. Go figure.

10) Ironic that Sunday, the day the draft started, Detroit Tigers sent Spencer Torkelson down to AAA.

Torkelson was the first player taken in the 2020 draft; they rushed him to the majors, but he struggled, batting .197 with a .577 OPS. Now he is back in AAA, and has to regroup.

Being a top draft pick is great, but no matter who you are, once you get to The Show, you have to produce to stay there. It is a production-based business, after all.

9) Washington Nationals lost the first game in 16 of their last 20 home series; they have a big star in 23-year old Juan Soto, but it looks like he isn’t going to sign with Washington long-term, so eventually they’ll have to trade him. Tough times.

He turned down a 15-year, $440M offer last week.

Nationals won the World Series in 2019, but when your stars are turning down $30M a year deals, how can you sustain success?

8) I know next-to-nothing about video games, but when I see that Ja’Marr Chase is the vBCms Comments WR in the Madden ratings, it just seems wrong.

81 catches, 1,455 yards, 13 TD’s. There are not 17 WR’s who are better than Chase, whether in video games or real football.

7) I like that Lamar Jackson is serving as his own agent; saves him the 3% agent fee, and from what you read, he is well-versed on what he wants in his next contract. Will be fascinating to see what he winds up making. If Jackson does well with his contract, will more players follow his lead and be their own agent?

6) Circa Casino in Las Vegas advertises a lot on San Diego Padres’ TV games; they have an amazing sportsbook, part of which is outside on the 3rd floor of the casino, with lounge chairs scattered amongst pools, with a lot of distractions walking around.

Video screens take up a wall above the betting windows; it is amazing to see.

You have to be 21 years old to stay at Circa; no kids allowed.

5) Watching the British Open, the person who invented pot bunkers is a sadistic bastard.

4) In case you were wondering, Portland Trailblazers won the Las Vegas Summer League.

3) Poker player from Norway named Espen Jorstad won this year’s Main Event at the World Series of Poker, banking $10M in the process. Total of 8,663 people competed in this year’s Main Event.

2) Pittsburgh Steelers changed the name of their stadium from Heinz Field to Acrisure Stadium. Over the last 20 years, Heinz paid the Steelers $57M for naming rights; Acrisure is going to pay the Steelers $10M a year.

1) Bills/Raiders started their training camps Monday; eight other teams started Tuesday. When is the NFL going to announce their decision on Deshaun Watson? Cleveland Browns start camp July 30; would be nice if they knew who their quarterback was going to be.

If Watson gets suspended, Jacoby Brissett will be their QB; three years ago, Brissett replaced Andrew Luck as the Colts’ QB, when Luck abruptly retired. He also was in New England for a year, and Miami last year, when the coach got fired after a 9-8 season.

Brissett could write a hell of a book someday.