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Sunday, October 19

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 7

Sunday’s games
Rams (–3.5) vs Jaguars (@ London)
Rams (4-2)
Rams allowed 9-19-20-3 points in wins, 33-26 in losses.
Rams are 4-0 SU/ATS vs AFC teams this season.
Last two weeks, Rams ran ball for only 78-74 yards.
QB Stafford is 43-27 as the Rams’ starter (117-120-1 overall).
McVay is 92-59 as an NFL head coach.


Rams held four of six opponents under 300 total yards.
Rams are 14-8-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Rams are 13-7 ATS in last 20 games as a favorite.
Rams are 10-3-1 ATS last 14 games vs AFC teams.
NFC West non-divisional favorites are 8-4 ATS


Jaguars (4-2)
Jacksonville won three of their last four games.
Jaguars allowed 286+ passing yards in 4 of last 5 games.
Jaguars are 4-2 in last six games in England.
QB Lawrence is 27-41 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 4-2 as an NFL head coach.


Jaguars were +9 in turnovers first four games, minus-1 last two.
Jaguars are 10-5-1 ATS last 16 games as an underdog.
Jaguars are 9-5 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
Jaguars are 8-5 ATS last 13 games vs NFC teams.
Jaguars coach Coen/GM Gladstone used to work for the Rams.


Rams are 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS last five series games.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Raiders @ Chiefs (–12.5)
Raiders (2-4)
Raiders allowed 13-10 points in wins, 20-41-25-40 in losses.
Raiders ran for 106 or fewer yards in five of six games.
Raiders are minus-6 in turnovers in losses, +2 in wins.
QB Geno Smith is 42-48 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 183-135-1 as an NFL head coach.


Raiders went under their team total in four of six games.
Las Vegas is 4-7 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
Last six years, Raiders are 10-8 ATS in AFC West road games.
Las Vegas is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
NFL-wide, home favorites are 8-7 ATS in divisional games.


Chiefs (3-3)
Chiefs won/covered three of their last four games.
Last four games, Kansas City is +5 in turnovers.
Last two games, Chiefs threw ball for 264/318/248 yards.
QB Mahomes is 109-29 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 304-166-1 as an NFL head coach


Chiefs are 18-22 ATS last 40 games as a home favorite.
Chiefs are 16-24 ATS last 40 games coming off a win.
Chiefs are 4-11 ATS last 15 AFC West home games.
Chiefs converted 22 of last 49 third down plays.
Opponents stayed under their team total in 4 of last 5 games.


Chiefs won 17 of last 20 series games.
Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five visits to Arrowhead.
Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.


Dolphins @ Browns (–2.5)
Dolphins (1-5)
Miami lost its last two games, by 3-2 points.
Miami has allowed 28.3 ppg in its 1-4 start.
Dolphins are minus-5 in turnovers losses, +3 in their win.
QB Tagovailoa is 39-30 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 29-30 as a head coach.


Under McDaniel, Miami is 7-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Miami is 0-5 when it allows more than 21 points.
Miami is 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 9-14-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
AFC East teams are 8-7 ATS in non-divisional games.


Browns (1-5)
Browns have scored 17 or fewer points in all six games.
Home teams are 6-0 ATS in Cleveland games this year.
Browns ran for fewer than 100 yards in four of six games.
Browns scored 17-9 points in losing rookie QB Gabriel first two NFL starts.
Stefanski is 42-51 as a head coach.


Browns are favored for the first time this year.
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
Browns are 5-12 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland gained less than 250 yards in three of last four games.
Browns are 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 games as a dog of 3 or fewer points.


Miami won four of last five series games.
Dolphins are 2-4 SU/2-3-1 ATS last six visits to Cleveland.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Patriots (–6.5) @ Titans
Patriots (4-2)
Vrabel was 56-48 as Titans’ coach, from 2018-23;
Patriots are 3-0 on road, winning by 6-3-6 points.
Patriots scored 33-42-23-25 points in wins, 13-14 in losses.
QB Maye is 7-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 60-50 as an NFL head coach.


Patriots won last three games, scoring 42-23-25 points.
Patriots are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
NE is 7-8-2 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Opponents’ team total; under 5-1.
Patriots held four of six foes under 100 rushing yards.


Titans (1-5)
Tennessee is 1-5 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26-10 points.
Titans fired their coach Monday; Mike McCoy is interim coach.
McCoy was 28-38 coaching the Chargers from 2013-16.
Rookie QB Ward is 1-5 as an NFL starter.
In their only win, Titans trailed 21-6 with 11:00 left.


Titans have five TD’s, 14 FG’s on their 67 drives.
Titans were held under 300 TY in five of six games.
Tennessee is 4-13-1 ATS last 18 games coming off a loss.
Titans are 4-13 ATS in last 17 games as an underdog.
AFC South underdogs are 5-6 ATS in non-divisional games.


Tennessee won three of last four series games.
Patriots are 2-3 SU/2-2-1 ATS last five visits to Nashville.
Favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven meetings.


Panthers (-1.5) @ Jets
Panthers (3-3)
Carolina is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on the road.
Panthers allowed 26-27-42 points in road games.
Last two games, Carolina ran ball for 239-216 yards.
QB Young is 9-25 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 8-15 as a head coach.


Panthers are road favorite for first time since 2021.
Under Canales, Carolina is 3-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
Carolina is 7-6-2 ATS in last 15 games with spread of or fewer points.
Last four games, Panthers converted 21-58 third down plays.
NFC South teams are 11-8 ATS in non-divisional games.


Jets (0-6)
Jets lost first six games, four of them by 6 or fewer points.
Jets played in England last week, didn’t take a bye week here.
Jets’ losses are by 2-20-2-6-15-2 points. (opponents over 5-1 team total)
Fields is 14-35 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 0-6 as a head coach.


LW, Jets were outgained 246-82; they ran 57 plays for 82 yards.
In six games, Jets are minus-7 in turnovers.
Jets are 6-13-1 ATS in last 19 games overall.
Jets are 1-9-1 ATS last 11 games as an underdog.
Jets are 9-16-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.
DC Wilks was 5-6 as interim coach for Carolina in 2022.


Carolina is 3-0 SU/2-0-1 ATS last three series games.
Teams split last two meetings played here.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Saints @ Bears (–4.5)
Saints (1-5)
Saints lost their two road games, 44-13/31-19.
Saints were +5 in turnovers in their only win.
Saints allowed 29.2 ppg in their five losses
New Orleans has been outscored 120-65 in first half of games.
Saints are 18-9-1 ATS last 28 games as a road underdog.


Kellen Moore is 1-5 as a head coach.
Rattler is 1-11 as an NFL starting QB.
Saints are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Saints were held under 20 points in four of five losses.
NFC South underdogs are 9-7 ATS in non-divisional games.


Bears (3-2)
Bears won their last three games, scoring 31-25-25 points.
Bears’ last two wins were both by 25-24 score.
In their three wins, Chicago was +10 in turnovers.
Ben Johnson is 3-2 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 8-14 as an NFL starter.


Chicago is 8-4-1 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
Chicago is 7-13-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Bears are 3-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Over is 3-1-1 in their games this season.
NFC North favorites are 4-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


New Orleans is 8-0 SU/5-3 ATS in last eight meetings.
Saints are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS last four visits to Chicago.
Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.


Eagles (–1.5) @ Vikings
Eagles (4-2)
Eagles lost last two games, scoring 17-17 points.
Eagles have been outgained in all six games.
Last four games, Eagles were held to 86-88-45-73 rushing yards.
QB Hurts is 55-25 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 57-25 as an NFL coach.


Eagles are 12-2-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Philly is 6-3 ATS in last eight games as a road favorite.
Under Sirianni, Philly is 7-11 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last four weeks, opponents’ team total: over 4-0
Last four weeks, Eagles allowed 356+ TY in all four games.


Vikings (3-2)
Last 15 years, Vikings are 5-10 SU/4-10-1 ATS in post-bye games.
Two weeks before the bye, Vikings split games in Ireland/England.
Vikings are +3 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
Both QB’s are banged up; check status. Rookie Brosmer is #3 QB.
Wentz is 49-48-1 as an NFL starter, McCarthy is 1-1.


O’Connell is 37-21 as an NFL head coach.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 4-4 ATS as a home underdog
Minnesota is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 28-9 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
NFC North teams are 8-7 ATS in non-divisional games.


Eagles won last two series games, 34-28/24-7.
Home team won six of last seven meetings.
Eagles lost last two visits here; their last win in Minnesota was in 2008.


Colts @ Chargers (–1.5)
Colts (5-1)
Colts are 1-1 on road: W41-20 @ Titans, L20-27 @ Rams, in this stadium.
Indy scored 29+ points in all five of its wins.
Colts’ team total: over 5-1
QB Jones is 30-46-1 is as an NFL starter.
Steichen is 22-18 SU in 2+ years as a head coach


Under Steichen, Indy is 6-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Steichen, Indy is 10-10 ATS in games coming off a win.
Colts are 14-6 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Colts are +5 in turnovers this year.
AFC South underdogs are 5-6 ATS in non-divisional games.


Chargers (4-2)
Chargers scored 20+ points in wins, 18-10 in losses.
Bolts are 3-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
QB Herbert is 45-42 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 64-31-1 as an NFL head coach.
Harbaugh was Colts’ QB from 1994-97.


Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 5-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 8-4 ATS in games coming off a win.
Bolts are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last three weeks, Chargers ran ball for 149 yards/game.
AFC West teams are 8-11 ATS in non-divisional games.


Chargers won eight of last 10 series games.
Colts are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five road series games.
Under is 7-1 in last eight meetings.


Giants @ Broncos (–7.5)
Giants (2-4)
Giants are 2-1 in rookie QB Dart’s first three starts.
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.
Giants are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Last two weeks, Giants allowed 88-73 rushing yards.
Daboll is 21-37-1 as an NFL head coach.


Last four weeks, Giants ran ball for 149.8 yards/game.
Giants are 10-6-1 ATS last 17 games vs AFC teams.
Giants are 7-11 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 10-7-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
NFC East teams are 8-8 ATS in non-divisional games.


Broncos (4-2)
Broncos played in England LW, didn’t take a bye this week.
Denver’s two losses were by total of four points.
Denver allowed 12-3-17-11 points in its wins, 28-23 in losses.
QB Nix is 14-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 183-116 as an NFL head coach, 22-19 with Denver.


Five of their six games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Under Payton, Denver is 11-8 ATS as a favorite.
Under Payton, Denver is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Payton, Denver is 10-10 ATS in games coming off a win.
Broncos are 4-2 despite a minus-3 turnover ratio.


Broncos won four of last six series games.
Giants split their last two visits to Denver.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Packers (–6.5) @ Cardinals
Packers (3-1-1)
Green Bay is 3-0-1 when it scores 27+ points.
Packers held four of five opponents under 270 total yards.
Packers are 0-1-1 on road: L10-13 at Browns, T40-40 at Dallas.
QB Love is 22-18-1 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 73-39-1 as an NFL head coach.


Packers are 4-13-1 ATS last 18 games as a road favorite.
Packers are 25-21-1 ATS last 47 games coming off a win.
Green Bay gained 400+ TY in three of its last four games.
Since 2021, Packers are 5-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
NFC North teams are 8-7 ATS in non-divisional games.


Cardinals (2-4)
Cardinals lost last four games by total of nine points.
Last two weeks, Arizona gained 360-400 total yards.
Last three games, Cardinals converted 22-45 third down plays.
Murray is 38-49-1 as an NFL starter. Brissett is 19-35.
Gannon is 14-26 in 2+ years as a head coach.


All six Arizona games were decided by 7 or fewer points,
Cardinals are 7-4 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 18-10 ATS as an underdog.
Arizona is 15-10 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.
NFC West teams are 10-6 ATS in non-divisional games.


Green Bay won four of last six series games.
Teams split their last six meetings in Arizona.
Under is 3-0-1 in last four series games.


Commanders (-1.5) @ Cowboys
Commanders (3-3)
Short week for Washington after 25-24 loss to Bears Monday night.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 4-1 last five games.
Last four games, Commanders scored 41-27-27-24 points.
QB Daniels is 16-8 as an NFL starter.
Quinn is 63-53 as an NFL coach.


Commanders allowed 354+ yards in four of last five games.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 2-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 3 games, Commanders converted 6 of last 23 third down plays.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 5-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Washington is 7-3 ATS in last 10 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


Cowboys (2-3-1)
Last five weeks, Dallas allowed 433.6 yards/game.
Dallas scored 20-14-27 in its losses, 40-40-37 in win/tie/win.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
QB Prescott is 80-54-1 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 2-3-1 as a head coach.


Since 2021, Cowboys are 4-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Cowboys are 4-7 ATS last 11 games coming off a loss.
Dallas is 0-3 when they score less than 37 points.
Last three games, Dallas scored 13 TD’s on 29 drives.
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five games.


Cowboys won five of last seven series games.
Washington is 2-7 SU/ATS in last nine visits to Dallas.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Falcons @ 49ers (–2.5)
Falcons (3-2)
Short week, long travel for Atlanta after Monday’s win over Buffalo.
Falcons held first five foes to 260-198-224-294-291 total yards.
Atlanta scored 22-34-24 points in its wins, 20-0 in losses.
QB Penix is 4-4 as an NFL starter.
Morris is 32-49 as a head coach.


Atlanta is 3-7 ATS last 10 games as a road underdog.
Falcons are 6-11 ATS last 17 games coming off a win.
Atlanta is 8-17 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last two weeks, Falcons gained 435/443 total yards.
Atlanta is 5-10-1 ATS last 16 games on natural grass.


49ers (4-2)
49ers allowed 26-30 points in losses, 23 or less in wins.
Last four games, SF ran ball for 77-73-83-74-67 yards.
Unclear whether Jones/Purdy will start at QB.
QB Purdy is 28-16 as an NFL starter; Jones is 23-31.
Shanahan is 82-68 as an NFL head coach


All four of their wins were by 5 or fewer points.
Last three games, 49ers threw ball for 306/333/296 yards.
49ers are 7-11 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
49ers are 7-8 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
49ers are 9-10 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


Teams split their last six meetings.
Falcons are 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS last four visits to Santa Clara.
Under is 7-4 in last eleven series games.

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday, October 19​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MIA at CLE	01:00 PM	CLE -2.5 O 35.0	+500 +500
NO at CHI	01:00 PM	CHI -4.0***** U 43.5	+500 +500
NE at TEN	01:00 PM	TEN +6.5 O 41.0	+500 +500
PHI at MIN	01:00 PM	PHI -1.5 O 44.0*****	+500 +500
LV at KC	01:00 PM	LV +13.0 O 45.0	+500 +500
CAR at NYJ	01:00 PM	NYJ +1.0 U 40.0	+500 +500
IND at LAC	04:05 PM	LAC -2.0 O 48.5*****	+500 +500
NYG at DEN	04:05 PM	NYG +7.5 U 40.5	+500 +500
WAS at DAL	04:25 PM	DAL -1.5***** U 54.0	+500 +500
GB at ARI	04:25 PM	ARI +7.0***** O 44.5	+500 +500
ATL at SF	08:20 PM	SF -1.0***** U 47.0*****	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES NFL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/19/2025......................7 - 0 - 0........................100.00%...................+ 35.00
10/16/2025......................1 - 1 - 0.........................50.00%....................- 0.50
10/12/2025......................6 - 7 - 0.........................46.15%....................- 8.50
10/09/2025...............,......0 - 2 - 0.........................00.00%....................- 11.00
10/06/2025......................0 - 2 - 0.........................00.00%....................- 11.00
10/05/2025......................9 - 3 - 0.........................75.00%....................+ 28.50
10/02/2025......................1 - 1 - 0.........................50.00%....................- 0.50

TOTALS........................24 - 16 -- 0.........................60.00%................... + 32.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Andy Reid says his 'heart goes out' to Pete Carroll after Chiefs' shutout win over injury-depleted Raiders​

Reid is feeling for his longtime coaching peer​

Imagn Images

Andy Reid's first regular-season shutout was bittersweet, to say the least.

Following the Chiefs' 31-0 win over the Raiders, Reid showed empathy for Pete Carroll, whose team was dominated from the start against a Kansas City team that entered the game as a 13.5-point favorite. The Chiefs led 21-0 at halftime and would go onto record its first regular-season shutout since 2011 and its first since Reid came to Kansas City in 2013.

"My heart goes out to Pete," Reid said afterward. "The injuries are crushing for him. Especially when 98 (Maxx Crosby) goes out of the game. ... I know it's the Raiders, but I hate seeing that happen."

As Reid alluded to, Las Vegas (2-5) been been hit hard by injuries of late. They started the game without several key starters that included tight end Brock Bowers and receiver Jakobi Meyers. Las Vegas then lost Crosby during the game when the perennial Pro Bowl pass rusher left the contest for good during the first half with back and knee injuries.

Despite the injuries, Carroll said afterward he didn't see Sunday's outcome coming. He said the drubbing was a reminder of how much work his team has to do in the weeks ahead.

"They're a terrific team," Carroll said of the reigning three-time AFC champion Chiefs. "They did everything like they do. They played really well in all phases and kept us totally at bay. We couldn't make a first down and couldn't get off the field. They just did like they do.

"We have a lot of work to do. We have a lot of catching up to do. We've got to get our guys back. The keys guys that missed the game were key guys on our football team, and we weren't able to overcome that."

Carroll commended his team for its effort on Sunday, but the fact was the Raiders were simply outmatched. The Chiefs scored touchdowns on their first four drives and led 31-0 before Patrick Mahomes and several other starters were taken out of the game by the start of the fourth quarter.

The score, while bad, doesn't fully tell the story of how dominate of a win this was for the Chiefs. Kansas City had 30 first downs to the Raiders' three, had 434 total yards to the Raiders' 95, and didn't allow Las Vegas to convert on any of its seven third-down situations.

Kansas City could have easily added to its lead in the fourth quarter, but elected to run the ball on fourth-and-goal after recovering a fumble deep in Raiders' territory. The Chiefs then started kneeling on the ball well before the two-minute warning.

Reid certainly isn't going to apologize for a win, especially one against one of the Chiefs' longtime division rivals. It's clear, though -- based on his decision to not run up the score Sunday in addition to his postgame comments -- that Reid clearly feels for Carroll, his longtime coaching peer who is trying to revive a franchise that hasn't won a playoff game since capturing its most recent Super Bowl berth at the end of the 2022 season.

 

[Cnotes53]

2025 NFL Trade Deadline Tracker: Live updates and analysis​

Stay up to date with every move before the NFL trade deadline​

With the 2025 NFL trade deadline set for Tuesday, Nov. 4, every new deal from here on out will shape the playoff chase or accelerate a rebuild. Already we've seen the Cincinnati Bengals turn to Joe Flacco in an effort to stabilize their quarterback room, and that's just the start of what figures to be a busy few weeks. Expect fringe contenders like the Steelers and Buccaneers to explore upgrades, while teams stuck near the bottom, such as the Jets and Saints, weigh offers for veterans who could bring back draft capital.

To help you track all the NFL trade deals ahead of the deadline, we'll be logging every move in one place with concise analysis highlighting who got better, who got future assets, and what it means for the season ahead. Whether it's a blockbuster involving a former Pro Bowler or a depth move that fills a key injury gap, this page will be your running guide through deadline season.

Jaguars, Browns swap cornerbacks (10/9)​

Jags get: Greg Newsome, sixth-round pick​

Lanky corner in final year of rookie deal

This is a win-now move. Jacksonville gets a solid cornerback in Newsome, who has graded out well this year, allowing just a 52% completion rate as the primary defender, on track to be the best of his career. Through five Weeks, he's Pro Football Focus' 33rd-ranked cornerback out of 85 who have played at least 150 defensive snaps; Campbell is 57th.

Newsome is in the fifth and final year of his rookie deal, so he's set to be a free agent at the end of this season. There's a significant scheme adjustment here, too, as the Browns play the highest rate of man coverage in the league by far, while Jacksonville is 23rd, but clearly the Jaguars see plenty to like in Newsome. Jacksonville does take on a $19.5-million dead cap hit in 2026, but that's a problem for a few months from now.

Browns get: Tyson Campbell, seventh-round pick​

Solid starter getting a fresh start

This is a depth improvement for Cleveland. Campbell had a strong 2024 season after signing a four-year, $76.5 million extension, but the new Jaguars regime clearly wanted to move on from him after a slow start to this season. A significant chunk of that deal has already been paid, meaning the Browns will get to look at Campbell for nearly an entire season and evaluate how he fits both now and in the future.

Campbell has had some injury issues, but when he's healthy, he's a starting-caliber cornerback, and one who's under team control well into the future.

• Trade grades, full analysis

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Harbaughs do defensive business (10/7)​

Chargers get: Odafe Oweh, seventh-round pick​

Athletic but inconsistent edge rusher

This is a win-now move for Los Angeles. Oweh broke out last season with 10 sacks in 2024 -- double his previous career high – but the 2021 first-round pick is yet to record a sack this season. His pressure rate this season – 10.3% – is slightly lower than his 11.7% last year, but neither are particularly impressive numbers; he was at 17.2% in 2023.


Perhaps time had simply run its course for Oweh in Baltimore. He was playing on the fifth-year option of his rookie deal and will be a free agent this offseason. In Los Angeles, he'll play under innovative defensive coordinator Jesse Minter and hope to provide pressure both before and after Khalil Mack returns from an elbow injury. Through five weeks, Los Angeles ranks 19th in pressure rate.

Ravens get: Alohi Gilman, fifth-round pick​

Reliable safety, plus a better draft pick

I see this as a dart throw. Things have already gone majorly off the rails for Baltimore (1-4), and trading away a former first-round pick certainly wasn't on the Bingo card one month ago. But Baltimore has better depth and youth on the edge than it does at safety, where ArDarius Washington tore his Achilles during the offseason and Kyle Hamilton has been dealing with a groin injury. That left undrafted rookie Reuben Lowery to play every defensive snap of a 44-10 Week 5 loss to the Texans.

• Trade grades, full analysis

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Flacco gets new job, stays in Ohio (10/7)​

Bengals get: Joe Flacco, sixth-round pick​

Aging pocket passer hoping to raise the floor

Sometimes, the NFL is about optics, and the Bengals trailing 28-3 at halftime and Jake Browning getting booed off the field after his third interception in an eventual 37-24 loss to the Lions in Week 4 was bad, bad optics. Enter Flacco, whom Cleveland benched after Week 4. Through five weeks, Browning was dead last in expected points added per dropback. Flacco was third-worst.


The Bengals are hoping Flacco can provide a similar boost to the one he provided Cleveland in 2023, when it ended up making the playoffs thanks to a late-season surge. The Bengals don't have near the defense the Browns do, and the offensive line is a mess, but for a cheap price, it's a move that makes sense. If Flacco recaptures the magic, great. If he doesn't, this season was probably lost the moment Joe Burrow got hurt anyway. It's a total dart throw.

Browns get: Fifth-round pick​

A modest gain in draft position

Flacco was no longer part of the plan in Cleveland, which moves up a round in the draft. That's solid business for a team that's had its eye on the future essentially since this season began.

• Trade grades, full analysis

 

[Cnotes53]

NFL Week 7 winners and losers: Chiefs, Eagles rediscover offensive juice as Dolphins, Jets sink to new lows​

Identifying the best (and worst) performers of Sunday's action​

Imagn Images

Another Sunday, another full slate of NFL action nearly in the books. And Week 7 has had no shortage of major storylines so far: After Joe Flacco and the Cincinnati Bengals outdueled Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers to kick off this week's schedule, a couple of other surprising teams stole the spotlight, including the Cleveland Browns against the sinking Miami Dolphins.

Some results were fairly predictable, like Mike Vrabel leading a decisive win over his old team, the Tennessee Titans, thanks to another crisp performance from quarterback Drake Maye. Others were a bit more eye-opening, like the Los Angeles Rams laying waste to the Jacksonville Jaguars overseas, despite the latter entering the international contest with a promising 4-2 record. And then there were the literal no-contest matchups, like the Kansas City Chiefs blanking the rival Las Vegas Raiders in a 31-0 shutout.

Which players, coaches and teams were the biggest winners (and losers) of Week 7? Here are our top picks for the most noteworthy standouts of Sunday's matchups, for both better and worse:

Winner: Bo Nix​

Down 19 points in the fourth quarter? No worries. Nix has built a reputation as a late-game fighter, and it showed up in a big way on Sunday, when the New York Giants looked poised to run away with a road upset against his Denver Broncos. The second-year quarterback led five straight scoring drives and totaled four of his own touchdowns to fuel the Broncos' massive comeback.

Loser: Brian Daboll​

The embattled Giants coach may be best friends with hotshot rookie Jaxson Dart, but his seat may heat up after his squad surrendered 33 points in the fourth quarter of a would-be win over Denver. His handpicked emergency kicker, Jude McAtamney, missed two extra points. And it can be hard to overcome the kind of gut punch the locker room will feel after an "L" like this.

Winner: Brian Schottenheimer​

Why aren't we talking more about what this guy's doing -- or at least enjoying -- at the helm of the Dallas Cowboys? America's Team may still lack a playoff-caliber defense, but Dak Prescott has been slinging it like MVP material for most of the year. That continued against the rival Washington Commanders, with Javonte Williams, CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens all making splash plays.

Loser: The Commanders​

Sunday was a double whammy for Washington. Not only did Dan Quinn's team, which finished 2024 on the doorstep of the Super Bowl, look increasingly old and slow playing catch-up with the Cowboys, but star quarterback Jayden Daniels also left with a hamstring injury. That's Daniels' second significant injury of the year, and we're not even to the midway point of 2025 just yet.

Winner: Andy Reid​

Reid's Chiefs looked like they might finally be returning to title-caliber form in a prime-time rout of the Detroit Lions in Week 6. Everything finally clicked against the Raiders, though, with Patrick Mahomes greatly benefiting from the 2025 debut of Rashee Rice. The formerly suspended wide receiver showed up with seven catches and two scores to balance out Reid's offensive arsenal.

Loser: Tua Tagovailoa​

Each week has basically been a new low for the Miami Dolphins quarterback, both on and off the field. Fresh off a public apology for implying his teammates were slacking off in the building, Tagovailoa tossed three picks in a hapless blowout loss to none other than the Cleveland Browns. Back-breaking turnovers have been his 2025 calling card.

Winner: Matthew Stafford​

No Puka Nacua? No problem for the Los Angeles Rams quarterback, who gave London a show for the ages despite rainy conditions against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Stafford may be 37, but he slung it like he was 27 on the international stage, tossing five scores, including three to Davante Adams. He also felt zero pressure, getting elite defensive support to the tune of seven sacks.

Loser: Aaron Glenn​

Look, we're not going to sit here and suggest all rebuilds are effective overnight; Glenn's old team, the Detroit Lions, endured lots of bumps before emerging as a real contender. But after Sunday's ugly 13-6 loss to the Carolina Panthers, in which he finally benched Justin Fields despite repeatedly assuring reporters he would not, Glenn became the first Jets coach to ever start 0-7.

Winner: The Eagles' passing game​

Philadelphia produced some scarily erratic passing work in a two-game skid prior to Sunday, especially considering the wealth of talent in their lineup. Up against Brian Flores' exotic Minnesota Vikings defense, however, Jalen Hurts really settled in, distributing one timely dart after another to both A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. They enjoyed their most fluid aerial attack in a long time.

Loser: The Titans​

Was Tennessee right to move on from Mike Vrabel after the 2023 season? You can still make that case. But there's no denying Vrabel finds himself in a much better place than his former organization. Making their first appearance under the interim direction of Mike McCoy, the Titans once again lost the ball with rookie Cam Ward under center, gifting an easy win to Vrabel's Patriots.

Winner: Ben Johnson​

The Chicago Bears aren't necessarily winning pretty. But any Chi-Town resident would've signed up for a 4-2 start in a heartbeat. Even with quarterback Caleb Williams posting a so-so stat line against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday, Johnson kept the ground game churning through both D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai, while his defensive guru, Dennis Allen, also showed up.

 

[Cnotes53]

Cover 32: Jets officially on 0-17 watch after Justin Fields benching, plus games balls and gaffes from Week 7​

Tyler Sullivan dives into all the biggest items from Week 7 in the NFL, including Rashee Rice's explosive return​

Photo by Harry
Murphy/Getty Images

On the trip toward putting together a winning product, the New York Jets remain on perpetual standby. The club has yet to taste victory in 2025, dropping to 0-7 under first-year head coach Aaron Glenn. And Sunday's 13-6 defeat at the hands of the Carolina Panthers may have been rock bottom. The 0-7 mark is tied for the worst start to a season in franchise history through the first seven weeks, and there may be no relief in sight.
After managing just three points in the first half, Glenn pulled the escape hatch with Justin Fields, benching his veteran quarterback in place of Tyrod Taylor for the second half. Fields' day ended with him completing six of his 12 passes for 46 yards to go along. 22 yards rushing. With Taylor, the results weren't any better. The team managed another field goal, while Taylor tossed two interceptions and completed 10 of his 22 throws for 126 yards and zero touchdowns.

No matter which way you slice it, New York has the worst quarterback room in the NFL. Combine that with a defense that continuously surrenders an ill-timed big plays, a mountain of injuries (including Sauce Gardner being evaluated for a concussion in the midst of Week 7) piling up, and poor coaching, and it leads us to one question: Will the New York Jets win a game in 2025 or go 0-17?

It would mark the first time a team has gone winless in the NFL's 17-game format, and the first winless squad since the 2017 Cleveland Browns (0-16) and 2008 Detroit Lions (0-16).

What's so dire about New York's current situation is the road head. The first half of its schedule was front-loaded with home games. Four of their first seven games were played at MetLife Stadium, and they were also considered the home team in Week 6 when the Jets "hosted" the Denver Broncos in London. From here on out, the Jets play just four of their remaining 10 games at home.

On top of that, half of their remaining 10 opponents are .500 or better. While that may not seem so traitorous, just two of those under .500 clubs catch New York at MetLife Stadium: the Cleveland Browns (one of the best defenses in the NFL) in Week 9 and the Miami Dolphins (who beat them in Week 4) in Week 14. New York's other "soft" matchups include the Cincinnati Bengals next week on the road, the Ravens in Baltimore in Week 12 and the Saints in New Orleans in Week 16. None of those should be considered a gimmies.

Jets' remaining regular-season schedule​

Week	Opponent
Week 8	at Cincinnati Bengals
Week 9	BYE
Week 10	vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 11	at New England Patriots
Week 12	at Baltimore Ravens
Week 13	vs. Atlanta Falcons
Week 14	vs. Miami Dolphins
Week 15	at Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 16	at New Orleans Saints
Week 17	vs. New England Patriots
Week 18	at Buffalo Bills

The two games that could prevent New York from making this type of negative history come in Week 14 when they host Miami and when they host Buffalo in the regular season finale.

The Dolphins are arguably just as abysmal as the Jets this season, but their lone win came against New York back in Week 4. With that game being at MetLife Stadium, it does present a realistic lane towards a win, and that may be the only game New York is favored in for the rest of the year. However, the Dolphins will be relatively well-rested for that matchup after recently being on the bye in Week 12.

Meanwhile, the Week 18 game is purely circumstantial. If the Bills (4-2) have their playoff seeding locked into place before taking the field in the finale, the Jets could be squaring off against backups and reserves. If Buffalo still has something to play for and New York remains winless heading into that game, history will be made. Outside of those two contests, we have the Jets firmly on 0-17 watch.

Even if New York finds a way into the win column at some point, it feels like this organization is once again going to be hitting the reset button, possibly from the front office down to the coaching staff and the quarterback.

These aren't the "Same ol' Jets."

They're worse.

Game balls​

Rashee Rice
KC • WR • #4
TAR10
REC7
REC YDs42
REC TD2
FL0
View Profile

• Week 7 stats: 7 catches, 42 yards, 2 TDs

Welcome back, Rashee Rice! The Chiefs wideout made his 2025 season debut following his six-game suspension, and it's safe to say Patrick Mahomes was happy to have his top wideout back. Rice was targeted a team-high 10 times in the club's 31-0 win over the Raiders. The receiver hauled in seven of those looks for 42 yards and two touchdowns. Those 10 targets were double the amount of any other pass-catcher on the day.

For the first time this season, Kansas City is above .500 and suddenly looks like the biggest threat in the AFC. As if there was any doubt.

Davante Adams
LAR • WR • #17
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• Week 7 stats: 5 catches, 35 yards, 3 TDs

Not one, not two, but THREE touchdowns for Davante Adams. With Puka Nacua sidelined, Adams was the go-to target for Matthew Stafford in the Rams' blowout win over the Jaguars in London. This was the third career game for Adams with a hat trick. Adams also became just the second player to score three touchdowns in an international game, joining Marcedes Lewis.



Matthew Stafford
LAR • QB • #9
CMP%66.1
YDs1866
TD17
INT2
YD/Att7.71
View Profile

• Week 7 stats: 21 of 33 passing, 182 yards, 5 TDs

For the first time in the history of the NFL's international series, we have a five-touchdown passer, and his name is Matthew Stafford. The Rams QB erupted in London, tossing five scores on the day. This was the fifth career five-passing touchdown day for Stafford, which is tied for the eighth most in NFL history. Just as impressive, Stafford spread the ball out, completing at least one pass to 10 different pass-catchers.

Don't look now, but Stafford is a surging MVP candidate.

Drake Maye
NE • QB • #10
CMP%75.2
YDs1744
TD12
INT2
YD/Att8.63
View Profile

• Week 7 stats: 21 of 23 passing, 222 yards, 2 TDs

The Patriots are 5-2 on the year and getting elite play from Drake Maye. The second-year quarterback has had a knack for being hyper-efficient, and Week 7 was no exception. In the 31-13 demolition of the Titans, Maye completed 21 of his 23 passes. Per Patriots Communication, Maye set a franchise record for the highest completion percentage (91.3) in a single game (min. 20 attempts). The previous record was held by Tom Brady. Speaking of Brady, Maye has tied the legendary quarterback from his most prolific season.

DeVonta Smith
PHI • WR • #6
TAR35
REC29
REC YDs321
REC TD1
FL0
View Profile

• Week 7 stats: 9 catches, 183 yards, 1 TD

All the talk about the lack of a passing attack from the Eagles will be silenced for a least one week after the Eagles' 28-22 over the Vikings. A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith exploded for a combined 304 yards receiving and three touchdowns. That is the second-most receiving yards in a game as teammates (307 in 2022 at Bears). Smith carried the bulk of the load, logging a career-high 183 yards receiving. That included a 79-yard touchdown catch (the longest of his career).

Micah Parsons
GB • DE • #1
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• Week 7 stats: 5 tackles, 3 sacks, 4 tackles for loss, 5 quarterback hits

The Green Bay Packers brought in Micah Parsons to be a game-wrecker and that was on full display in Week 7 as they outlasted the Cardinals. On the day, Parsons tallied three sacks, which came at key moments of the game. Specifically, Parsons was able to take down Jacoby Brissett during Arizona's final drive of the afternoon, helping Green Bay snuff the Cardinals' upset hopes. Those three sacks were the most in a single game in his career.

Oronde Gadsden II
LAC • TE • #86
TAR19
REC15
REC YDs144
REC TD0
FL1
View Profile

• Week 7 stats: 7 catches, 164 yards, 1 TD

The Chargers rookie tight end was a menace in Week 7. His 164 yards are the most receiving yards in a game by a rookie in franchise history. They are also the fourth most by a rookie tight end since 1960. Get ready for the waiver wire talk in Fantasy to start with Gadsden this week.

Christian McCaffrey
SF • RB • #23
Att108
Yds336
TD1
FL0
View Profile

• Week 7 stats: 24 carries, 129 yards rushing, 2 TDs; 7 catches, 72 yards receiving

It was a vintage performance by McCaffrey as he helped San Francisco move to 5-2 on the season with a prime-time win over the Falcons. On top of finding the end zone twice, the star back also made some NFL history. He broke his tie with Marshall Faulk and Priest Holmes for the most games with 100-yards rushing and 70-yards receiving in NFL history with seven.

Notable Week 7 gaffes​

Giants collapse twice​

The New York Giants entered the fourth quarter with a 19-0 lead over the Denver Broncos at Mile High. From there, chaos ensued. Denver scored 33 points in the final period to pull off the 33-32 victory in dramatic fashion. Initially, it looked like the Broncos' comeback attempt was going to come in vein. After taking a 30-26 lead with 1:51 left to go in the game, a DPI penalty helped set the Giants up at the goal line to retake the lead.

However, after Jaxson Dart rushed for the score, kicker Jude McAtamney missed his second extra point of the afternoon. Suddenly, all Denver needed was a field goal to win the game.

It then took Denver just four plays to travel 56 yards down the field to set Will Lutz up for the game-winning 39-yard field goal, sending New York to 2-5.

Cam Ward drops the ball​

Cam Ward
TEN • QB • #1
CMP%57.6
YDs1356
TD4
INT5
YD/Att5.75
View Profile
The Titans shook things up this week by firing Brian Callahan, but there was still some sloppiness on the part of Ward. Despite playing New England tight for about two and a half quarters, the wheels fell off of due to Ward letting the ball slip out of his hands as he faced pressure from Patriots pass rusher K'Lavon Chaisson. He picked up the fumbled ball for a touchdown, creating a 31-13 deficit for Tennessee.

Tua's time is running out​

Tua Tagovailoa
MIA • QB • #1
CMP%67.8
YDs1313
TD11
INT10
YD/Att6.4
View Profile
While the Jets are garnering most of the negative headlines in the AFC East, the Dolphins' implosion is right up there. Specifically, Tua Tagovailoa has put together dreadful performances, and Sunday's showing against the Browns may have been the worst. Tagovailoa completed 12 of his 23 passes for just 100 yards and three interceptions in what was a 31-6 defeat. His 24.1 passer rating is the lowest by any quarterback in a game this season (min. 15 pass attempts).

Kenny Pickett fumbles opportunity​

The Raiders are broken on offense, and Geno Smith doesn't seem to be the answer. With seven minutes left in the 31-0 blowout against the Chiefs, Pete Carroll sent Smith to the bench for Kenny Pickett. One would think Pickett would want to use this opportunity to possibly push the conversation towards him getting a crack as the starter and put his best foot forward. Well, the opposite happened. On his very first snap, Pickett bobbled it, the ball hit the ground, and Kansas City recovered the fumble. Not exactly a compelling case for a quarterback change.

Michael Penix Jr.'s intentional grounding forces halftime​

The Falcons continue to find odd ways to get us to halftime. This week, Atlanta found itself at the San Francisco 22-yard line and threatening to cut into the 10-3 lead before the break. With 17 seconds left on the clock, however, Michael Penix Jr. dropped back, faced pressure from the Niners rush, and threw the ball out of bounds. He was still in the tackle box, which triggered an intentional grounding penalty. Because the ball hit the ground at the 10-second mark, it meant that the corresponding 10-second runoff from the penalty ended the half. So, instead of a touchdown or, at least, a field goal, the Falcons ended up with no points for the drive.

Two-minute drill​

Here are some of my quick-hitting takeaways/notes from Week 7:

• Veteran coaches typically don't get much love in the Coach of the Year race, but it's hard to ignore Kyle Shanahan in 2025. Despite all the injuries to key members of the roster, the Niners are 5-2 and in first place in the NFC West coming out of Week 7. That includes a 3-0 record against their division rivals thus far.
• Jacksonville should just commit to Travis Hunter (9-101-1 vs. Rams) as a wide receiver. The hybrid receiver-corner seems too messy, and the offense needs him more than the defense does.
• Every contender needing help at wide receiver -- cough ... Buffalo Bills ... cough -- should be knocking down the door for Chris Olave. His deep-threat ability was on full display vs. Chicago, catching five of his seven targets for 98 yards and two touchdowns.
• Carson Wentz's play (2 INTs vs. Philly) may require Kevin O'Connell to bring back J.J. McCarthy a little bit earlier than he'd like -- maybe as soon as Thursday night vs. the Chargers.
• Quinshon Judkins is the most impressive offensive rookie I've seen in 2025.
• You may want to sell high if you have Bears stock. Their road ahead -- at Ravens, at Bengals, vs. Giants, at Vikings -- is not for the faint of heart. And it only gets tougher from there.
• Rico Dowdle (79 yards rushing on 17 carries) should start for Carolina over Chuba Hubbard going forward.
• Jonathan Taylor is making three-touchdown game look normal. Today was his third such game THIS SEASON! He should be the favorite for OPOY coming out of Week 7.
• It may not matter that the Cowboys defense can't stop a nosebleed. Their offense can hang 40 on just about anyone, especially with CeeDee Lamb back in the fold.
• The Cardinals have tired the 1984 Browns and 2017 49ers for the most consecutive losses by four or fewest points in NFL history (4). All seven of Arizona's games this season have been decided by 7 or fewest points.
• Teams on the bye in Week 7: Buffalo and Baltimore.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for next week:
— Baylor @ Cincinnati (-4)
— Ole Miss @ Oklahoma (-4)
— Auburn @ Arkansas (even)
— Kansas State @ Kansas (-2)
— Texas (-7) @ Mississippi State
— Texas A&M (-1) @ LSU

Quote of the Day
“It’s a blast. Sometimes travel is tough, but once you get out here, the fans are great, people are great.”
Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford, on playing in London Sunday

Monday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, who has the most hits?

Sunday’s quiz
Joe Kapp was QB for the Vikings, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Saturday’s quiz
The Sun Bowl is played in El Paso, TX every December.

*************************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Sunday……..

— Blue Jays 6, Mariners 2
Addison Barger went 2-for-3 with a homer, three RBI
Trey Yesavage allowed two runs, got 17 outs.
Blue Jays led 4-0 in third inning, coasted home from there.
Winner-take-all Game 7 for the AL title is Monday night at 8:00.

— Broncos 33, Giants 32
Giants led 26-8 with 6:00 left in the game.
Denver is first 3 quarters: 42 plays, 112 yards, no points.
Denver in 4th quarter: 35 plays, 295 yards, 33 points.
Broncos kicked a 39-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.

Giants drove 65 yards, scored TD to take 32:30 lead with 0:37 left.
Giants missed two extra points, which proved costly.
Rookie QB Dart threw for 283 yards and three TD’s.
Denver survived committing 12 penalties for 127 yards.

— Packers 27, Cardinals 23
Cardinals led 20-13 after the third quarter.
Packers had TD drives of 67-48 yards in the 4th quarter.
Packers are 4-14-1 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
Green Bay is 4-0-1 SU when it scores 27+ points.

Cardinals lost last five games by total of 13 points.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 19-10 ATS as an underdog.
Last four games, Cardinals converted 29-59 third down plays.
TE McBride caught 10 passes for 74 yards, two TD’s.

— Eagles 28, Vikings 22
DeVonta Smith caught nine passes for 183 yards and a TD.
Eagles are 5-2, but have been outgained in all seven games.
Eagles are 13-2-1 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or fewer points
Last four games, Philly was held to 86-88-45-73-45 rushing yards.

Minnesota was in red zone six times: one TD, five FG’s.
Vikings were 7-15 on third down, Eagles 3-10.
Vikings in first half: 31 plays, 127 yards, six points.
Vikings in second half: 42 plays, 214 yards, 16 points.

— Famous birthdays, October 20:
Juan Marichal, 88
Isaac Curtis, 75
Dave Collins, 73
Dave Krieg, 67

Herman Moore, 56
Eddie Jones, 54
Calvin Broadus, 54 (Snoop Dogg)
Jose Soriano, 27

Today would’ve been the great actor Jerry Orbach’s 90th birthday.

— Rams 35, Jaguars 7
Stafford threw 5 TD passes; Davante Adams caught 3 of them.
Rams first four drives: 27 plays, 199 yards, 21 points.
Jaguars’ first four drives: 23 plays, 58 yards, mo points.
Rams allowed 9-19-20-3-7 points in wins, 33-26 in losses.

Rams are 5-0 SU/ATS vs AFC teams this season.
Rams are 14-7 ATS in last 21 games as a favorite.
Jaguars committed 13 penalties for 119 yards.
Jaguars are +7 in turnovers in their wins, only plus-1 in losses.

— Panthers 13, Jets 6
Panthers are over .500 this late in year for first time since 2019.
QB Young left late in 3rd quarter with a sprained ankle.
Panthers were only 5-17 on third down, but 3-4 on fourth down.
Carolina won its last three games, by 3-3-7 points.

Jets lost first seven games, five of them by 7 or fewer points.
Last two weeks, Jets lost 13-11/13-6.
In those games, Jets were outgained 548-302.
Fields threw for 46 yards in first half; Taylor threw for 126 yards in 2nd half.

— Colts 38, Chargers 24
Colts led 23-3 at halftime, improved to 6-1.
Colts’ first seven drives: 49 plays, 368 yards, 38 points (5 TDs/FG).
Indy scored 29+ points in all six of its wins.
Colts are 15-6 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Herbert threw INTs on two of Chargers’ first four drives.
Bolts ran ball 16 times for only 54 yards.
Chargers’ first three drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 222 yards, 21 points.
Last three games, Chargers allowed 27-27-38 points.

— Chiefs 31, Raiders 0
Chiefs in first half: 48 plays, 270 yards, 21 points.
Raiders in first half: 14 plays, 39 yards, no points.
For game, KC ran 77 plays for 434 yards, Raiders 30 for 95 yards
Raiders have run for 106 or fewer yards in six of seven games.

Chiefs won/covered four of their last five games.
Last five games, Kansas City is +6 in turnovers.
Chiefs converted 31 of last 64 third down plays.
Last 4 games, Chiefs threw ball for 264/318/248/282 yards.

— Browns 31, Dolphins 6
Cleveland led 17-6 at halftime.
Tagovailoa threw a pick-6 on first drive of third quarter.
Dolphins in 2nd half: 33 plays, 109 yards, 3 turnovers.
Miami was 1-13 on 3rd down, had 11 penalties for 103 yards.

RB Judkins ran ball 25 times for 84 yards and three TD’s.
Browns’ first four drives: 29 plays, 193 yards, 17 points.
Cleveland is 7-2 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
Home teams are 7-0 ATS in Cleveland games this year.

— Movie of the Day: American Underdog (2021)- The true story of NFL QB Kurt Warner, who went from playing Arena Football and working in a supermarket, to being the Super Bowl MVP, and later getting inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

Zach Levi, Anna Paquin, Dennis Quaid, Bruce McGill are in the cast; this movie is better than Moneyball because…….well, the good guys win in the end.

— Patriots 31, Titans 13
NE outgained Tennessee 387-255 in Vrabel’s return to Nashville.
New England outscored the Titans 17-0 in the second half.
Patriots won last four games, scoring 42-23-25-31 points.
Patriots are 8-3-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.

Tennessee is 1-6 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26-10-18 points.
Titans in second half: 24 plays, 60 yards, two turnovers.
Tennessee only ran the ball 12 times for 39 yards.
Titans have five TD’s, 14 FG’s on their 67 drives.

— Bears 26, Saints 14
Bears won their last four games, scoring 31-25-25-26 points.
RB Swift ran ball 19 times for 124 yards and a TD.
Bears have forced 3+ turnovers in their last four games.
Chicago is 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.

Saints ran the ball 17 times for only 44 yards.
Saints lost their three road games, 44-13/31-19/26-14.
New Orleans has been outscored 140-72 in first half of games.
Saints are 4-11 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.

— Cowboys 44, Commanders 22
First four Dallas drives: 12 plays, 170 yards; 2 TD’s, FG, safety
Prescott threw for 264 yards and three TD’s.
Lamb caught five passes for 110 yards, including a 74-yard TD.
DaRon Bland scored on a 68-yard pick-6.

Cowboys led 27-15 at halftime.
Washington’s foes’ over/under total: over 5-1 last six games.
QB Daniels hurt his hamstring, left late in third quarter.
Commanders are 2-8 SU/ATS in last ten visits to Dallas.

— 49ers 20, Falcons 10
49ers ran the ball 39 times for 174 yards.
McCaffrey ran ball for 129 yards, also had 72 receiving yards.
San Francisco led 10-3 at halftime.
49ers allowed 26-30 points in losses, 23 or less in wins.

Falcons’ only TD drive was 48 yards, on first drive of 3rd quarter.
Atlanta ran ball 20 times for only 62 yards.
Under is 5-1 in Falcons’ games this season.
Atlanta scored 22-34-24 points in its wins, 20-0 in losses.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Monday, October 20

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 7

Monday’s games
Buccaneers @ Lions (-6.5)
Buccaneers (5-1)
Five of Tampa Bay’s six games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Buccaneers’ only loss was 31-25 at home to the Eagles.
Last four games, Tampa Bay scored 30.5 points/game.
Mayfield is 57-57 as an NFL starter, 25-18 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 59-69 as a head coach, 33-28 with Tampa Bay.


Tampa Bay is 13-2 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
Bucs have four wins by 3 or fewer points.
Bucs held five of six opponents under 100 rushing yards.
Bucs are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
Last four Tampa Bay games went over the total.


Lions (4-2)
Detroit won four of its last five games.
Lions scored 40.3 points/game in wins, 13-17 in losses.
Detroit scored 52-34 points in its two home games.
QB Goff is 89-59-1 as an NFL starter, 47-32-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 51-39-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Lions are 16-8 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
Lions held four of six opponents under 90 yards rushing.
Detroit is 11-0 ATS last 11 games coming off a loss.
All six Detroit games have been decided by 8+ points.
Last five games, Lions are +7 in turnovers.


Teams split their last eight meetings.
Road team won five of last six series games.
Under is 4-2 in last six series games.


Texans @ Seahawks (-3.5)
Texans (2-3)
Texans won last two games 26-0/44-10, after an 0-3 start.
Texans scored 9-19-10 points in their losses.
Houston converted 13 of last 27 third down plays.
QB Stroud is 23-18 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 24-19 in 2+ years as an NFL head coach.


Texans are 12-8-1 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
Texans are 8-15-2 ATS last 25 games vs NFC teams.
Houston is 7-4 SU/6-5 ATS in last 11 post-bye games.
Texans outgained last two opponents, by 178-210 yards.
Texans held four of five opponents under 300 TY.


Seahawks (4-2)
Road team is 5-1 SU/ATS in Seahawks’ games
Seattle’s two losses were by 3-4 points.
Darnold is 39-41 as an NFL starter.
Seahawks are his 4th team the last four years.
MacDonald is 14-9 as a head coach.


Seattle held last four foes to 71 rushing yards/game.
Seattle is 7-13-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.
Seattle is 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1
Seahawks are 4-5-3 ATS last 12 games vs AFC teams.


Seahawks are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS last five series games.
Texans lost 41-38/42-10 in last two visits to Seattle.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday, October 20​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
TB at DET	07:00 PM	TB +6.0 U 53.0	+500 +500
HOU at SEA	10:00 PM	HOU +3.0 O 41.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES NFL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/20/2025......................2 - 2 - 0..........................50.00%...................- 1.00
10/19/2025......................7 - 0 - 0........................100.00%...................+ 35.00
10/16/2025......................1 - 1 - 0.........................50.00%....................- 0.50
10/12/2025......................6 - 7 - 0.........................46.15%....................- 8.50
10/09/2025...............,......0 - 2 - 0.........................00.00%....................- 11.00
10/06/2025......................0 - 2 - 0.........................00.00%....................- 11.00
10/05/2025......................9 - 3 - 0.........................75.00%....................+ 28.50
10/02/2025......................1 - 1 - 0.........................50.00%....................- 0.50

TOTALS........................26 - 18-- 0.........................59.09%................... + 31.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for this week:
— Vikings @ LA Chargers (-2.5)
— Jets @ Cincinnati (-6.5)
— Bears @ Baltimore (-6.5)
— Dolphins @ Atlanta (-7.5)
— Bills (-7.5) @ Carolina
— Giants @ Philadelphia (-7.5)

Quote of the Day
“The at-bats before me. If it’s not for those guys, that at-bat doesn’t happen. I’m just so happy for our team, out fans, our city, our country. I’m so happy right now.”
George Springer

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time the Blue Jays were in the World Series, who did they play?

Monday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, Ichiro Suzuki has the most hits.

Sunday’s quiz
Joe Kapp was QB for the Vikings, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

*************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— Blue Jays 4, Mariners 3
George Springer hit a 3-run homer in the 7th inning.
Toronto’s bullpen got 16 outs, allowed only one hit.
Blue Jays are in the World Series for first time since 1993.
Game 1 of the World Series is Friday night

— Lions 24, Buccaneers 9
Jahmyr Gibbs had 20 touches for 218 yards, two TD’s.
Lions outgained Tampa Bay, 379-251.
Detroit has won five of its last six games.
Lions are 17-8 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.
Bucs’ first seven drives: 20 plays, 54 yards, 5 punts, 2 turnovers.
Tampa Bay lost WR Evans (broken collarbone)
Bucs ran the ball only 12 times for 41 yards.
Previous four games, Tampa Bay had scored 30.5 points/game.

— Seahawks 27, Texans 19
Seattle’s first 3 drives: 18 plays, 133 yards, 14 points.
Seattle scored 17 points on 3 drives that started in Seattle territory.
Seahawks held last four foes to 66 rushing yards/game.
Texans had 10 penalties for 105 yards, Seattle 12 for 93
Houston’s first four drives: 18 plays, 19 yards, 4 punts.
Texans ran the ball only 17 times for 56 yards.
Houston was 2-15 on 3rd down, 1-4 on 4th down.
Texans were +3 in turnovers and still lost; unusual.

— NFL divisional trends:

AFC East
Home teams 12-4 ATS divisional games
8-9 ATS non-divisional games

AFC North
Home teams 4-0 ATS divisional games
6-13 ATS non-divisional games

AFC South
4-2 ATS non-divisional favorite

AFC West
4-9 ATS non-divisional favorite

NFC East
Home teams 4-2 ATS divisional games
10-8 ATS non-divisional games

NFC North
5-2 ATS non-divisional home favorite

NFC South
12-11 ATS non-divisional games

NFC West
13-6 non-divisional games

— College football trends, conference games:
American
Favorites 17-8 ATS

ACC
Road teams 19-11 ATS

Big 18
Underdogs 21-15 ATS

Big X
Favorites 18-13 ATS

Conference USA
Home teams 9-6 ATS

Mid-American
Home teams 16-5 ATS

Mountain West
Home teams 8-9 ATS

SEC
Home teams 18-11 ATS

Sun Belt
Home teams 14-8 ATS

— Famous birthdays, October 21st:
Bill Curry, 83
Bill Russell, 77 (Dodgers’ SS)
Franklin Stubbs, 65
Zack Greinke, 42
Ricky Rubio, 35
Greg Robinson, 33

— 10 college football head coaches have been fired already this season; Florida, Colorado State are the most recent schools to tell their coach to take a hike.

— Florida State has lost its last nine ACC games, but coach Mike Norvell’s buyout is $54M, so he ain’t going anywhere until that number comes down a little.

— Texas A&M’s football team is 7-0 for the first time since 1994.

— Arkansas has lost five games in a row, only one by more than six points.

— I’d like to thank the NFL for doing such a lousy job designing the coaches’ baseball caps this season; saves me $40. Ugly hats, hard to even see the logos.

— NFC is 25-12 SU against the AFC so far this season.

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for this week:
— Browns @ New England (-6.5)
— Buccaneers (-3.5) @ New Orleans
— Titans @ Indianapolis (-14.5)
— Cowboys @ Denver (-3.5)
— Packers (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Commanders @ Kansas City (-10.5)

Quotes of the Day
“They found a little spark with that quarterback (Jaxson Dart) . I was talking to John Mara not too long ago, and I said we were hoping that that change would have happened long after our game.”
Sean Payton
“Classless … but not surprised … Didn’t realize you’re still bounty hunting 15+ years later through the media.”
Russell Wilson, who played briefly for Payton in Denver
Apparently, Payton/Wilson aren’t friends.

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Kevin Durant play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time the Blue Jays were in the World Series, they beat the Phillies.

Monday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, Ichiro Suzuki has the most hits.

****************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Going off on a tangent…….​

October 22 has been a memorable day for me:
Flash back to October 22, 1972; I was 12 years old, the A’s were playing Game 7 of the World Series in Cincinnati. Big day; when Joe Rudi caught a fly ball in left field for the last out, the A’s had won their first of three consecutive World Series. 12-year old me was very happy.
Some stuff about that game:

— Game 7 of that World Series started at 1:00 on a Sunday afternoon; things have changed. All seven games in this year’s World Series will start at 8:00- none of the games are on a Sunday.

— Rollie Fingers got the last six outs for the save; back then, closers often got more than three outs to get a save. So when you hear people describe Mariano Rivera as “the best closer ever” remember that he almost always got three outs per game. Guys like Fingers and Bruce Sutter did more than that.

— Hall of Famer Catfish Hunter got eight outs and the win in Game 7, two days after he started Game 5; he was 7-2, 2.55 in 14 playoff games with the A’s. He threw a perfect game in May 1968.
So the A’s won the World Series, then the 4:00 NFL games came on TV; Rams wound up beating the Bengals 15-12 on a last-second field goal. All in all, October 22, 1972 was a very good day.
12-year old me was really, really happy.

Flash forward to October 22, 2019; on October 12, the retina in my right eye detached while I was in Las Vegas. I knew it was bad, but I had no idea what the problem was; I saw a few doctors when I got home, and on October 22, Dr Mallick fixed my retina.
Thanks for my cousins for driving me to the hospital that day.
I am forever grateful to Dr Mallick and Dr Lemanski (she did my cataract surgery 10 months later) for fixing my eye. Must be a cool job, helping people to see again.
Anyway, that is why October 22 stands out on the calendar for me.

— Famous birthdays, October 22nd:
Christopher Lloyd, 87
Wilbur Wood, 84
Jeff Goldblum, 73
Jamie Quirk, 71
Bob Odenkirk, 63
Carmen Ejogo, 52
Ichiro Suzuki, 52
Jeff McInnis, 51
Leonard Marshall, 44
Robinson Cano, 43
Corbin Burnes, 31
Geraldo Perdomo, 26

— Thunder 125, Rockets 124, 2 OTs
Gilgeous-Alexander had 5 points at halftime, wound up with 35.
Thunder shot 13-52 on the src, 33-52 inside the arc.
Houston had 21 turnovers, Thunder only 11.
Alperen Sengun scored 39 points for Houston

— Kennesaw State 45, Florida International 26
Owls led 24-14 at half, snapped a 13-game road losing streak.
Both teams ran ball for 200+ yards.
Kennesaw played two QB’s, averaged 16.7 yards/pass attempt
QB Jenkins threw for 296 yards and a TD for FIU

— Western Kentucky 28, Louisiana Tech 27 OT
WKU scored TD, then scored on a 2-point conversion for the OT win.
Hilltoppers led 20-7 at halftime.
Tech outgained WKU 449-340; they were 10-19 on third down.
WKU is 6-2 and is now bowl eligible.

— Los Angeles Angels hired Kurt Suzuki as their new manager; Suzuki hit .255 in his 16-year career as a catcher, for five different teams. He was with the Washington Nationals when they won the 2019 World Series.
Suzuki has no professional coaching experience; the Angels have the longest playoff drought in the major leagues- they last made the postseason in 2014. Suzuki is the Angels’ fifth manager in eight years.

— Dodgers are -210 to win the World Series; Blue Jays are +175.

— Toronto P Trey Yesavage started this season in Class A ball; he threw 98 IP for four different minor league teams this year, then pitched 14 innings for Toronto in the regular season and has now thrown 15 more innings in the playoffs. Impressive season for the 21-year old.

— Blue Jays OF Vladimir Guerrero Jr is hitting .442 in this year’s playoffs, with 12 RBI in 11 games.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 8

 

[Udog]

NFL

Week 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Thursday, October 23
Minnesota VS Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games.
Minnesota is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games.
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against LA Chargers.
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Chargers' last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 5 games against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Chargers' last 9 games at home.

Sunday, October 26
San Francisco VS Houston
San Francisco is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games.
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
San Francisco is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Houston.
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games.
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home.

Miami VS Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 6 games.
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
Miami is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games against Atlanta.
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 8 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

Chicago VS Baltimore
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Chicago is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against Baltimore.
Chicago is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road.
Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games.
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games against Chicago.

Buffalo VS Carolina
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Buffalo's last 18 games.
Buffalo is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against Carolina.
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 11 games.
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Carolina is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home.

New York VS Cincinnati
NY Jets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Jets' last 14 games.
NY Jets is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games.
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Cincinnati.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games.
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 10 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing at home against NY Jets.

Cleveland VS New England
Cleveland is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games.
Cleveland is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games.
Cleveland is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against New England.
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games against Cleveland.
New England is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games at home.

New York VS Philadelphia
NY Giants is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games.
NY Giants is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games.
NY Giants is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games against Philadelphia.
NY Giants is 0-9 SU in its last 9 games on the road.
Philadelphia is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games.
Philadelphia is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games against NY Giants.

Tampa Bay VS New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games.
Tampa Bay is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games.
Tampa Bay is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games against New Orleans.
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans' last 13 games.
New Orleans is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans' last 7 games against Tampa Bay.

Dallas VS Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games.
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Denver.
Dallas is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games against Denver.
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games.
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games against Dallas.

Tennessee VS Indianapolis
Tennessee is 3-17 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games.
Tennessee is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games.
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against Indianapolis.
Indianapolis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indianapolis' last 10 games.
Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
Indianapolis is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games at home.

Green Bay VS Pittsburgh
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Green Bay is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Pittsburgh.
Green Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games against Green Bay.
Pittsburgh is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home.

Monday, October 27
Washington VS Kansas City
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
Washington is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games.
Washington is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games against Kansas City.
Washington is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games against Kansas City.
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games against Washington.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 8

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 8

Thursday’s game
Vikings @ Chargers (–3.5)
Vikings (3-3)
Short week, fairly long travel for Vikings.
Minnesota won only true road game, 27-24 in Chicago.
Vikings are +3 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Wentz is 49-49-1 as an NFL starter; rookie Brosmer is #3 QB.
O’Connell is 37-22 as an NFL head coach.

Vikings were held under 100 yards rushing in 4 of last 5 games.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 5-5-1 ATS as a road underdog
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in last eight games vs AFC teams.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 28-10 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
NFC North teams are 10-9 ATS in non-divisional games.

Chargers (4-3)
Chargers lost three of their last four games.
Last three games, Chargers allowed 27-27-38 points.
Bolts are 3-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
QB Herbert is 45-43 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 64-32-1 as an NFL head coach.

Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 5-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 6-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Bolts are 5-7 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC teams.
Last five games, Chargers are minus-5 in turnovers.
AFC West teams are 8-13 ATS in non-divisional games.

Minnesota won three of last four series games.
Vikings won 27-20/39-10 in last two road series games.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for this week:
— Minnesota @ Iowa (-8.5)
— San Diego State (-2.5) @ Fresno State
— Baylor @ Cincinnati (-3.5)
— Texas A&M (-2.5) @ LSU
— Tennessee (-7.5) @ Kentucky
— Houston @ Arizona State (-6.5)

Quote of the Day
“I don’t have any animosity toward the organization. Obviously, I wish that things had been better in our last year there, but I have a great relationship with a lot of people still in that organization, and this is not a revenge game for me.”
Aaron Rodgers, whose Steelers host Green Bay Sunday night

Thursday’s quiz
Who is the only baseball player that hit 100+ home runs for both the Blue Jays and the Dodgers?

Wednesday’s quiz
Kevin Durant played his college basketball at Texas.

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time the Blue Jays were in the World Series, they beat the Phillies.

*********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..​

— San Francisco Giants hired former Tennessee Vols coach Tony Vitelloas their new skipper, the first time a big league team has hired a manager directly from a college program without any experience as a professional coach. Vitello won the College World Series with the Vols in 2024.
Giants have missed the playoffs the last four years; they went 81-81 this past season.

— Sounds like there will be two Japanese sluggers moving to the major leagues next year.

Munetaka Murakami is a 3B/1B who has hit 246 home runs in 892 games for the Yakult Swallows, including a 56-homer season in 2022.
1B/3B Kazuma Okamoto has hit 248 home runs for the Yomiuri Giants, hitting 30+ homers six years in a row, from 2018-23. Okamoto hit two homers, had 7 RBI when Japan won the World Baseball Classic in 2023.

— Freddie Freeman has homered in six of his last seven World Series games.

— Baseball is expected to expand by two teams in the next four years; MLB hasn’t expanded since 1998 (Arizona/Tampa Bay). When the expansion happens, will realignment happen too?
Geographic realignment would cut down on travel costs, and probably raise attendance with more games between regional rivals.

— Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels (hamstring) won’t play when the Commanders play in Kansas City Monday night. Backup Marcus Mariota will start his third game this year.

— NFL coaches’ instant replay challenges have succeeded 60% of time this year, compared to 39.6% at this time last year.
This season, coaches and club staffers in the coaching booth can watch the same camera feed as the replay official at the game, which has helped them make better decisions.

— Miami Dolphins won consecutive Super Bowls in the early 70’s; when they beat the Vikings 24-7 in the Super Bowl after the 1973 season, their QB, Bob Greise, threw only seven passes the whole game. Griese was 6-7/73 passing. Total yardage in the game was 259-238, Miami.
Football sure has changed a lot.

— Famous birthdays, October 23rd:
Weird Al Yankovic, 66
Doug Flutie, 63
Mike Tomczak, 63
Keith Van Horn, 50
Ryan Reynolds, 49
John Lackey, 47
Kyle Gibson, 38
Jordan Crawford, 37
Dylan Carlson, 27

— Delaware 31, Middle Tennessee 28
QB Minicucci threw for 276 yards, four TD’s.
Blue Hens led 24-14 at halftime.
Delaware improves to 4-3 in its first year as a I-A team.

— Missouri State 24, New Mexico State 17 OT
NM State scored TD with 1:49 left to force overtime.
Missouri State outgained Aggies, 409-289.
Bears won despite committing 12 penalties for 110 yards..

— 76ers 117, Celtics 116
VJ Edgecombe scored 34 points in his debut, the most points anyone scored in his first NBA game since Wilt Chamberlain scored 43, in 1959.
Tyrese Maxey scored 40 points to lead the 76ers.
76ers were +18 in the 32:00 Quentin Grimes played.

— Spurs 125, Mavericks 92
Victor Wembanyama scored 40 points, had 15 rebounds.
Spurs outscored Dallas 65-41 in the second half.
Dallas was minus-29 with rookie Cooper Flagg on the floor.
ESPN’s announcers wouldn’t shut up about Flagg, who shot 4-13 “He’s done nothing but win”; the kid played one year in college and Duke didn’t win the national title. Let him play some before you induct him into the Hall of Fame.

— Knicks 119, Cavaliers 111
OG Anunoby had 24 points, 14 rebounds.
Knicks led 65-50 at halftime.
Knicks were 31-36 on the foul line, Cleveland 12-18.

— Jazz 129, Clippers 108
10-point underdog Utah led 43-19 after first quarter, 78-47 at half.
Walker Kessler had 22 points, nine rebounds.
Jazz made 17 of 44 3-point shots.

— Timberwolves 118, Trail Blazers 114
Minnesota outscored Portland 30-19 in the fourth quarter.
Anthony Edwards scored 41 points, had one assist (his job is to score points)
Timberwolves made 15 of 30 shots on the arc.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Thursday, October 23