CNOTES 2025-2026 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE + NEWS, NOTES BEST BETS !

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
NBA leaders in net points per game from their bench:
4.3— Miami Heat
3.2— San Antonio Spurs
2.9— Houston Rockets
2.8— Oklahoma City Thunder
2.6— Toronto Raptors
1.4— Portland Trailblazers

Quote of the Day
“The journey began with great expectations with my own vision of how to get there. Sometimes the journey does not end the way we hope.But when I think of our time together, I will remember and appreciate what we did accomplish. … The roar of Death Valley when we beat Alabama. The losses will always hurt, but I will remember all the wins.”
Former LSU football coach Brian Kelly

Friday’s quiz
Who is the all-time leader in passing yards for NC State?

Thursday’s quiz
Before Shohei Ohtani, Albert Pujols was the last player intentionally walked with the bases empty in a World Series game.

Wednesday’s quiz
Bruce Arians was the Arizona Cardinals’ coach the last time they won a playoff game.

**********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……

Broncos 10, Raiders 7
Broncos won their last seven games.
Five of their last six wins were by 4 or fewer points.
Total yardage in game: Denver 220, Raiders 188
Penalty yardage in game: Denver 78, Raiders 83
Raiders’ only TD was on a 41-yard drive, on their 2nd possession.
Raiders the rest of the game: 44 plays, 86 yards, zero points.
Denver’s first four drives: 12 plays, 17 yards, four punts.
QB Bo Nix is 18-10 as an NFL starter.

— More and more, coaches just answer “…..analytics” when they’re asked to explain why they go for it and 4th down or don’t go for it, but here is a piece of analytics that gets ignored.
The team that scores first usually wins; best eight teams scoring first this year and their records:
Cardinals 3-5
Colts 7-2
Eagles 6-2
Lions 5-3
Packers 5-2-1
Houston 3-5
Bears 5-3
Chargers 6-3

— Remember the movie Moneyball, about the Oakland A’s front office? Jonah Hill’s character in that movie is in real life Paul DePodesta, who for the last ten years has worked for the Cleveland Browns in the NFL. He played football in college but worked for the A’s/Dodgers before going to Cleveland and switching to football.

Well, the Colorado Rockies are hiring DePodesta to be their head of baseball operations, after they lost 119 games this past season. Right now, Colorado is the only team without a manager for 2026; they haven’t made the playoffs since 2018 and the last three years, they lost 119-101-103 games.

From what you read, Colorado is way behind other teams in terms of what you need to have to be a successful team, as far as resources, both $$$ and baseball-wise.

By the way, the reason the A’s were really good in the Moneyball era was that they had Hudson, Mulder, Zito as great starting pitchers, and Miguel Tejada was a superstar at shortstop. They kind of left that part out of the movie.

— San Diego Padres named Craig Stammen their new manager; he was pitching in the majors just three years ago, and when the interview process started for this job, Stammen was one of the guys doing the interviewing.
Last two years, Padres went 93-69/90-72; this is a good job. San Diego has made the playoffs four of the last six seasons.

— Chicago White Sox named Zach Bove their new pitching coach; Bove was a hitting coach at the high school/college level (Central Florida) before becoming a pitching coach.
Last three years, Bove served as an assistant pitching coach for the Royals, who ranked sixth in the majors with a 3.73 ERA this past year. White Sox dumped four coaches from last year’s staff after they went 60-102, bossing 100+ games for the third year in a row.

— Arizona Cardinals put QB Kyler Murray on the IR with a foot injury; Jacoby Brissett is the starter, with Kedon Slovis the backup.

— If you need another reason to visit Las Vegas, A’s-Angels are playing a couple of spring training games in Las Vegas March 7-8th.

Famous birthdays, November 7th
Jim Kaat, 87
Tom Moore, 86
Danny Smith, 71
Billy Giilispie, 65
Kris Benson, 51
Sonny Gray, 36

— Georgia Southern 25, Appalachian State 23
Eagles led 19-3 at halftime, hung on for the win.
Georgia Southern QB French threw for 352 yards and a TD
App State QB Swann threw for 348 yards, 2 TD’s.

— South Florida 55, Tex-San Antonio 23
USF scored defensive TD’s on the Roadrunners’ first two drives.
Bulls led 45-10 at halftime.
USF ran the ball 32 times for 238 yards.

— Akron 44, UMass 10
Zips outgained UMass 467-169.
RB Gant ran ball for 153 yards, two TD’s.
0-9 UMass trailed 27-10 at halftime.

— Ohio U 24, Miami 20
Game was 3-3 at halftime.
Bobcats drove 75 yards, scored winning TD with 2:15 left in the game.
Ohio QB Navarro threw for 201 yards and a TD.

— Ball State 17, Kent State 13
Cardinals drove 37 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:53 left.
Kent outgained Ball State 301-238, but had 78 yards in penalties.
Ball State stopped Kent twice on 4th-and-1 situations.

— Toledo 42, Northern Illinois 3
QB Gleason threw for 309 yards, two TD’s.
Rockets led 28-3 at halftime.
Toledo was 9-14 on third down, NIU 2-16.
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
NBA teams whose bench has the worst net points per game:
—8.5- Utah Jazz
—8.3- Cleveland Cavaliers
—7.5- Washington Wizards
—7.3- Indiana Pacers
—6.9- Brooklyn Nets
—6.1- Phoenix Suns

Quote of the Day
“Things in the house, those things can be replaced, and if they can’t be replaced, what does it really matter? This is really what matters. Family, the closest ones, our dog also was safe, thank God. We’re just grateful. We’re grateful that everybody is safe and in a great place.”
Miami Heat coach Erik Spoelstra, whose house burned down this week

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, what actor played A’s manager Art Howe?

Friday’s quiz
Philip Rivers is the all-time leader in passing yards for NC State.

Thursday’s quiz
Before Shohei Ohtani, Albert Pujols was the last player intentionally walked with the bases empty in a World Series game.

************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday…….

— North Carolina 80, Kansas 77
Kansas led 37-29 at halftime.
Tar Heels outscored them 58-37 in the second half.
North Carolina shot 66.7% inside the arc.

— Georgetown 70, Maryland 60
Georgetown led 11-0 right out of the gate.
Lot of fouls; Hoyas were 23-31 on foul line, Maryland 30-37.
Myles Rice scored 19 points in 27:00 off the bench for Maryland.

— Utah State 80, VCU 77
Utah State led by 18 with 11:28 left, hung on at the end.
VCU was only 16-28 on the foul line, in a 3-point loss.
Phil Martelli Jr is VCU’s 5th coach in 12 years; they’ve won at least 18 games every season of that stretch:
2010-15- Shaka Smart, 163-56
2015-17- Will Wade, 51-20
2017-2023- Mike Rhoades, 129-61
2023-25- Ryan Odom, 52-21
2025-26- Phil Martelli Jr, 1-1
It is good to be the basketball coach at a place that doesn’t have football.

— Kent State 110, Cornell 102
Cornell was 19-40 on the arc, 14-23 inside the arc.
Kent State was 18-38 on the arc, 17-27 inside the arc.
78 3-pointers taken, 60 2-point shots. Modern basketball.

— Tulane 38, Memphis 32
7-2 Green Wave led 35-17 at halftime.
QB Retzlaff passed for 332 yards, three TD’s.
Memphis split its last four games, after a 6-0 start.

— USC 38, Northwestern 17
WR Lemon caught 11 passes for 161 yards and a TD
Trojans outgained Northwestern, 482-280
USC ran a successful fake punt, using their 3rd-string QB to throw a pass; he was wearing the same jersey number as USC’s punter. Clever.

— Houston 30, Central Florida 27
Houston drove 62 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 2:31 left.
Cougars outgained UCF, 433-282.
UCF led 24-17 at halftime, scored only three points in second half.

Famous birthdays, November 8th
Mary Hart, 75
Alfre Woodard, 73
Jeff Blauser, 60
Courtney-Thorne Smith, 58
Brevin Knight, 50
Yasmani Grandal, 38
Sam Bradford, 38
Giancarlo Stanton, 36

— Santa Clara 79, McNeese State 67
Soph G Gavalyugov scored 19 points in 22:00 off the bench.
Broncos out-rebounded McNeese, 47-28.

— George Mason 96, Winthrop 90
Patriots were 31-43 on foul line, Winthrop 25-29
Winthrop led by a hoop with 4:34 left in the game.
6-2 junior Mincy scored 29 points, only 2 assists; his job is to score points

— Missouri 89, SE Missouri State 84
Underdog Redhawks led 51-46 at halftime.
Game was 76-76 with 3:34 left to play.
Mizzou shot 66.7% inside the arc.
— Oregon 67, Rice 63
Visiting Owls led 32-27 at halftime.
Oregon was 26-38 on foul line, Rice 8-11.
Ducks are 2-0, also beating Hawaii 60-59

— Wilmington 71, Delaware 62
Ugly loss for the Blue Hens, losing to a D-2 team.

— Nuggets 129, Warriors 104- Over the last six years, Golden State is now 34-41 when Steph Curry doesn’t play.

— Las Vegas Raiders lost 10-7 in Denver Thursday; they had a punt blocked. Friday, they fired their special teams coach. When you’re 2-7, there will be scapegoats.

— Toronto Blue Jays came thisclose to winning the World Series, but manager John Schneider doesn’t have a long-term contract yet. Blue Jays exercised their 2026 option on Schneider, but bench coach Don Mattingly has left Toronto.

— Japanese star 3B Munetaka Murakami entered the posting system this week; his will be one of the most anticipated free agencies this winter.
Murakami leaves the Tokyo Yakult Swallows with 246 home runs over his eight seasons in Japan; he hit 56 homers in 2022.
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Notable starting pitchers who are free agents this winter:
— Dylan Cease
— Zac Gallen
— Shota Imanaga
— Merrill Kelly
— Ranger Suarez
— Framber Valdez

Quote of the Day
“It was the most improbable victory I have ever been a part of, and there couldn’t have been a better place to make it happen.”
Indiana football coach Curt Cignetti

Sunday’s quiz
Which college’s sports teams are known as the Anteaters?

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

Friday’s quiz
Philip Rivers is the all-time leader in passing yards for NC State.

********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

— Indiana 27, Penn State 24
Hoosiers drove 80 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:36 left.
WR Cooper make a great catch in back of the end zone to win the game.
Penn State lost their sixth straight game, after a 3-0 start.

— Vanderbilt 45, Auburn 38 OT
QB Pavia threw for 377 yards, three TD’s, also ran for 112 yards.
Auburn led 20-10 at halftime.
Auburn is 1-6 in SEC, with five losses by 7 or fewer points.

— Oregon 18, Iowa 16
Ducks kicked a 39-yard field goal with 0:03 left, for the road win.
Oregon ran ball 36 times for 261 yards.
Ducks outgained Hawkeyes 373-239 on a rainy day in Iowa City.

— UConn 37, Duke 34
Huskies drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:58 left.
Duke led 28-23 after the third quarter.
Crowd of 38,106 was UConn’s largest home crowd since 2013.

— Iowa State 20, TCU 17
Cyclones scored two TD’s in last 8:12 for a comeback win.
Game-winning TD was a 79-yard punt return with 6:32 left.
TCU outgained the Cyclones 432-272, but had three turnovers.

— Delaware 27, Louisiana Tech 24
Blue Hens scored nine points in the last 0:40, are now 5-4.
Delaware scored TD with 0:34 left, then recovered an onside kick.
Delaware QB Minicucci threw for 304 yards, two TD’s.

— Wisconsin 13, Washington 10
Badgers threw for only 48 yards, half of them on a fake punt.
Washington led 10-3 at halftime, didn’t score in second half.
Wisconsin’s win snaps a six-game losing skid.

Football upsets of the week:
California (+18.5) 29, Louisville 26
Wisconsin (+10.5) 13, Washington 10
Missouri State (+7.5) 21, Liberty 17
Wake Forest (+7) 16, Virginia 9
Iowa State (+6.5) 20, TCU 17
Delaware (+5.5) 25, Louisiana Tech 24


Famous birthdays, November 9th
Virgil Carter, 80
Lou Ferrigno, 74
Teddy Higuera, 68
Adam Dunn, 46
Michael Busch, 28
Sunday would’ve been the 90th birthday for Bob Gibson, the great pitcher

— Alabama 103, St John’s 96
84-possession track meet was like an old Loyola Marymount game.
Crimson Tide led 53-44 at halftime.
St John’s was 28-40 on foul line, Alabama 14-22

— Michigan State 69, Arkansas 66
6-9 frosh Ward scored 18 points in 23:00 off MSU’s bench.
Brickfest: teams combined to shoot 8-42 on the arc.
Razorbacks led 39-36 at halftime.

— Virginia Tech 107, Providence 101 OT
Providence led by 8 early in second half.
6-9 frosh Avadalas scored 33 points, had six assists.
Tech was 12-28 behind the arc, Friars were 11-28.

— Marshall 85, Toledo 73
Rockets led 40-30 at halftime.
Thundering Herd shot 66.7% inside arc, 15-37 on the arc.
Jalen Speer scored 20 points; 14 of his 15 shots were behind the arc.

— Memphis 76, San Francisco 70
Memphis led by 23 early in second half.
Two leading scorers for Memphis scored 25-24 points; both guys are playing for their third team in three years, all different teams.

— Cal-Santa Barbara 85, San Jose State 74
6-3 senior Mahaney is UCSB’s key player; he was a star for two years at Saint Mary’s, when the Gaels went 53-26, 29-3 in WCC games.
Last year he bolted to UConn, where he only played about 12:00/game. Now he is back as a star at a very good mid-major program. He had 17 points, six assists for the Gauchos in this game.

— Tulane 79, Texas State 71
Texas State led by 20 with 4:15 left in the first half.
6-4 junior Brumbaugh was 19-19 on foul line, scored 33 points.
Texas State’s whole team was 11-13 on the foul line.
 

Udog

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Weather Report

Sunday, November 9


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Udog

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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 10

Sunday’s games
Falcons
vs Colts (-6.5) (@ Berlin, Germany)
Falcons (3-5)
Atlanta lost last three games, by 10-24-1 points.
Last three games, Falcons scored five TD’s on 28 drives.
Atlanta is +5 in turnovers in its three wins.
QB Penix is 4-6 as an NFL starter.
Morris is 32-52 as a head coach.


Atlanta is 4-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Falcons are 8-12-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a loss.
Atlanta is 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
Last two games, Falcons ran ball 53 times for 178 yards.
Under is 6-2 in Atlanta games.
NFC South underdogs are 10-11 ATS in non-divisional games.


Colts (7-2)
Colts are 7-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20 in losses)
Indy is minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +10 in wins.
Colts’ team total: over 7-2
QB Jones is 32-47-1 is as an NFL starter.
Steichen is 24-19 SU as a head coach


Under Steichen, Colts are 12-7 ATS as a favorite.
Under Steichen, Indy is 10-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Colts are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games vs NFC teams.
Colts outgained Steelers 368-225 LW, but had six turnovers.
AFC South favorites are 4-4 ATS in non-divisional games.


Colts won five of last seven series games.
Favorites were 6-1 ATS in those games.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Browns (-2.5) @ Jets
Browns (2-6)
Browns have scored 17 or fewer points in seven of eight games.
Home teams are 7-0 ATS in Cleveland games this year.
Browns gave up 10-6 points in their wins.
Rookie QB Gabriel is 1-3 as an NFL starter.
Stefanski is 43-54 as a head coach.


Browns are 0-4 on road, losing by 24-24-14-19 points.
Cleveland is 8-19-1 ATS last 28 games as a road underdog.
Browns are 2-8 ATS last ten post-bye games.
Cleveland gained less than 250 yards in five of last six games.
Last four games, Browns are +6 in turnovers.


Jets (1-7)
Jets won last game 39-38, outscoring Bengals 23-7 in 4th quarter.
Five of Jets’ seven losses were by 7 or fewer points.
Jets traded two of their best defensive players for draft picks this week.
Fields is 15-36 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 1-7 as a head coach.


Jets ran the ball for 254 yards in their win
Jets are 10-17 ATS last 27 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 7-14-1 ATS in last 22 games overall.
Jets are 1-7 ATS last eight post-bye games.
Jets are minus-9 in turnovers this season.


Line moved from Jets -2.5 to Jets +2.5 after Tuesday’s trades.
Teams split last six series games.
Browns lost three of last four road series games.
Favorites are 9-3 ATS in last 12 meetings.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Jaguars (-1.5) @ Texans
Jaguars (5-3)
Jacksonville is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Jaguars held six of last seven foes under 100 yards rushing.
Jaguars are 4-1 when they score 26+ points.
QB Lawrence is 28-42 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 5-3 as an NFL head coach.


Jaguars were +9 in turnovers first four games, minus-1 last four
Last 3+ years, Jaguars are 5-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Jaguars are 15-13 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in last nine AFC South road games.
Jaguars are 5-0 when they run for 100 yards, 0-3 when they don’t.


Texans (3-5)
Backup QB Mills starts here; Stroud has concussion issues.
Texans scored 26+ points in wins, 9-19-10-19-15 in losses.
Houston is 0-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points,
QB Mills is 5-19-1 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 25-21 in as an NFL head coach.


Texans are 7-16-1 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 10-8 ATS last 18 games coming off a loss.
Texans gained 353+ yards in wins, 271 or fewer yards in losses.
Houston is 3-0 in games decided by 11+ points, 0-5 in games decided by 8 or less.
Texans are 14-13-1 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


Jaguars (-1.5) beat Houston 17-10 at home in Week 3.
Texans won 12 of last 15 series games.
Teams split last four meetings played here.
Jaguars are 4-2 ATS last six visits to Houston.
Six of last seven series games stayed under the total.


Bills (–8.5) @ Dolphins
Bills (6-2)
Buffalo scored 28+ points in wins, 20-14 in losses.
Buffalo is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Bills have four wins by 10+ points.
QB Allen is 89-42 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 98-54 as an NFL head coach.


Bills are 5-3 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Bills are 24-23-1 ATS in last 48 games coming off a win.
Bills are 8-5 ATS in last 13 AFC East road games.
Last two weeks, Buffalo gained 410-404 yards.
Last two weeks, Buffalo converted 14-24 3rd down plays.


Dolphins (2-7)
Miami lost four of its last five games.
Miami allowed 27+ points in all six of its losses.
Last four games, Dolphins are minus-8 in turnovers.
QB Tagovailoa is 40-32 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 30-32 as a head coach.


Miami is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
Miami is 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Dolphins are 0-5 when they win for less than 100 yards.
Dolphins went over their team total five of last seven games.
NFL-wide, home underdogs are 5-6 ATS in divisional games.


Bills (-12) beat Miami 31-21 at home in Week 3.
Bills won 13 of last 14 series games.
Buffalo is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS last six visits to Miami.
Over is 8-5 in last 13 meetings.


Patriots @ Buccaneers (-2.5)
Patriots (7-2)
Patriots won their last six games (5-1 ATS).
Patriots were held to 13-14 points in their losses.
Patriots held last four foes to 296-255-213-288 total yards.
QB Maye is 10-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 63-50 as an NFL head coach.


Patriots are 10-12-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
NE is 9-9-2 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Opponents’ team total; under 7-2.
Patriots held seven of nine foes under 100 rushing yards.
New England is 3-9-1 ATS last 13 games vs NFC teams.
AFC East teams are 14-10 ATS in non-divisional games.


Buccaneers (6-2)
Bucs are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-2 giving up 24+.
Last two games, Bucs ran ball for only 41-88 yards.
Last four games, Tampa Bay is +7 in turnovers.
Mayfield is 58-58 as an NFL starter, 26-19 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 60-70 as a head coach, 34-29 with Tampa Bay.


Tampa Bay is 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
Bucs are 4-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Bucs held six of eight opponents under 100 rushing yards.
Last eight years, Bucs are 2-6 ATS in post-bye games.
Tampa Bay is 10-6-1 in last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
NFC South teams are 13-15 ATS in non-divisional games.


New England won/covered four of last five series games.
Patriots won 19-14/35-7 in last two visits to Tampa.
Under is 6-0 in last six meetings.


Giants @ Bears (–4.5)
Giants (2-7)
Giants lost last three games, giving up 33-38-34 points.
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.
Giants are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Jaxson Dart is 2-4 as an NFL starter.
Daboll is 21-40-1 as an NFL head coach.


Giants are 8-12 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 19-17 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Giants went over team total in five of Dart’s six starts.
Giants’ last four games went over the total.
NFC East underdogs are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.


Bears (5-3)
Bears won five of their last six games.
Bears are 5-0 scoring 25+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
In wins, Chicago was +16 in turnovers; minus-3 in losses.
Ben Johnson is 5-3 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 10-15 as an NFL starter.


Chicago is 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Chicago is 8-14-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Bears are 4-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears gave up 449 passing yards to the Bengals LW.
Chicago is 4-0 when it allows less than 27 points.


Home team won last eight series games.
Giants lost last six visits to Chicago (3-1 ATS last four)
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.


Ravens (-4) @ Vikings
Ravens (3-5)
Baltimore won its last two games, scoring 30-28 points.
Last three games, Ravens allowed 17-16-6 points.
Ravems held last three opponents under 100 yards rushing.
QB Jackson is 75-32 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 188-120 as an NFL head coach.


Ravens are 14-8 ATS last 22 games as a road favorite.
Last two games, Ravens are +4 in turnovers.
Ravens are 15-11 ATS last 26 games coming off a win.
Baltimore is 0-4 when they allow more than 17 points.
Ravens are 11-7 ATS last 18 games vs NFC teams.
AFC North favorites are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.


Vikings (4-4)
Vikings are 3-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Vikings are +3 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Last five games, Minnesota is minus-6 in turnovers.
McCarthy is 2-1 as an NFL starter.
O’Connell is 38-22 as an NFL head coach.


Vikings were held under 100 yards rushing in 5 of last 7 games.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 4-5 ATS as a home underdog
Minnesota is 11-6-2 ATS in last 19 games vs AFC teams.
Last six Minnesota games went over the total.
Vikings are 14-7-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.


Home team won last six series games.
Ravens lost 24-16/33-31 in last two visits to Minnesota.
Last five meetings went over the total.


Saints @ Panthers (-5.5)
Saints (1-8)
Saints lost their last four games, scoring 11.5 ppg.
Saints were +5 in turnovers in their only win.
Saints allowed 29.6 ppg in their eight losses
New Orleans has been outscored 167-85 in first half of games.
Saints are 16-11-1 ATS last 28 games as a road underdog.


Kellen Moore is 1-8 as a head coach.
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 0-1 as an NFL starter.
Saints are 4-13 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Last five games, Saints ran ball for 62 yards/game.
Saints are 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 NFC South road games.

Panthers (5-4)
Carolina won four of its last five games.
Last three weeks, Panthers scored 13-9-16 points.
Last two games, Carolina was held to 244/265 total yards.
QB Young is 11-25 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 10-16 as a head coach.


Since 2020, Panthers are 1-9 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Canales, Carolina is 4-4 ATS in games coming off a win.
Carolina is 1-4 when it allows more than 24 points.
Last three games, Panthers converted 16-46 third down plays.
Carolina is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten NFC South home games.


New Orleans won 13 of last 18 series games.
Saints lost three of last four visits to Charlotte.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.


Lions (–8.5) @ Commanders
Lions (5-3)
Detroit is 5-0 when it runs for 100+ yards, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
Lions are 1-3 when they score less than 34 points.
Detroit was held to 13-17-24 points in its losses.
QB Goff is 90-60-1 as an NFL starter, 48-33-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 52-40-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Lions are 12-2 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.
Lions held last two opponents to 251/258 total yards.
Detroit is 8-0 ATS last eight games coming off a loss.
Favorites covered three of their four road games this year.
Last seven games, Lions are +7 in turnovers.


Commanders (3-6)
Commanders lost last four games, last three by 22-21-24 points.
Washington gave up 25-44-28-38 points in last four games.
Washington gave up 25+ points in its losses, 24 or less in wins.
QB Mariota is 36-43 as an NFL starter; Josh Johnson is the backup.
Quinn is 63-56 as an NFL coach.


Commanders allowed 354+ yards in seven of last eight games.
Commanders are 1-5-1 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 6-2 last eight games.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 5-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Washington’s three wins were by 15-17-17 points.


Lions won six of last eight series games.
Detroit lost two of its last three visits to Washington.
Over is 3-0 in last three series games.


Rams (–3.5) @ 49ers
Rams (6-2)
Rams won last three games, allowing 3-7-10 points.
Last two games, Rams allowed two TD’s, two FG’s on 28 drives.
Last three games, Rams are +4 in turnovers.
QB Stafford is 45-27 as the Rams’ starter (119-120-1 overall).
McVay is 94-59 as an NFL head coach.


Last four games, Rams outscored opponents 60-19 in first half.
In their losses, Rams allowed 33-26 points.
Rams are 15-7 ATS in last 22 games as a favorite.
Since 2021, Rams are 10-2 ATS in NFC West road games.
Rams are 15-8-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.


49ers (6-3)
49ers allowed 26-30-26 points in losses, 24 or less in wins.
SF ran ball for less than 85 yards in six of last eight games.
In their three losses, 49ers were minus-6 in turnovers.
QB Jones is 25-32 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 84-69 as an NFL head coach


49ers went under their team total five of last seven games.
Since 2022, 49ers are 0-2 ATS as a home underdog.
49ers are 1-10 ATS last 11 games coming off a win
49ers are 1-6 ATS in last seven NFC West home games.
49ers are 4-1 in games decided by 5 or less points.


49ers (+4) beat Rams 26-23 in OT in Week 5.
Rams threw for 378 yards, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Teams split last six series games.
Rams won 12-6/21-20 in last two visits to Santa Clara.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Cardinals @ Seahawks (–6.5)
Cardinals (3-5)
Cardinals lost five of their last six games.
Arizona’s five losses are by a total of 13 points.
Last five games, Cardinals converted 36-72 third down plays.
Brissett is 20-36 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 15-27 in 2+ years as a head coach.


Seven of eight Arizona games were decided by 7 or fewer points,
Cardinals are 9-1 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 20-10 ATS as an underdog.
Arizona is 5-7 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Cardinals are 4-6 ATS in last ten NFC West road games.


Seahawks (6-2)
Seahawks won/covered six of last seven games.
Seattle’s two losses were by 3-4 points.
Seattle split its four home games.
Darnold is 41-41 as an NFL starter.
MacDonald is 16-9 as a head coach.


In its wins, Seattle held its foes under 300 TY.
In its losses, Seahawks gave up 384-426 total yards.
Seattle is 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.
Seattle is 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a bye.
Opponents’ team total: under 6-1-1
Last four games, Seattle is minus-4 in turnovers.


Seahawks (+1.5) won 23-20 at Arizona in Week 4.
Seattle outgained the Cardinals 384-253 in that game.
Seahawks won last seven series games.
Cardinals are 1-4 SU/ATS in their last five visits to Seattle.
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.


Steelers @ Chargers (-2.5)
Steelers (5-3)
Steelers are 4-0 when they allow less than 31 points.
Last three games, Steelers allowed 430.7 yards/game.
Pittsburgh is +12 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
QB Rodgers is 169-100-1 as an NFL QB
Tomlin is 196-121-2 as an NFL head coach.


Steelers are 24-14 ATS last 38 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh is 17-11-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.
Steelers allowed 32-31-35 points in their three losses.
Steelers went over their team total the last five games.
Over is 5-3 in their games this year.


Chargers (6-3)
Chargers won three of their last four games.
Last four games, Chargers scored 29-24-37-27 points.
Bolts are 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
QB Herbert is 46-43 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 65-32-1 as an NFL head coach.


Chargers are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 9-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
Bolts are 5-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Last seven games, Chargers are minus-6 in turnovers.
Last two games, Chargers allowed 164/206 yards.


Teams split the last six series games.
Steelers won four of last six road series games.
Over is 4-3 in last seven meetings.
 

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Sunday, November 9

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NO at CAR01:00 PMCAR -5.5*****+500
NYG at CHI01:00 PMCHI -4.5*****
U 45.0*****
+500 +500
BUF at MIA01:00 PMO 50.0******+500
JAC at HOU01:00 PMHOU -1.0
U 37.5*****
+500 +500
BAL at MIN01:00 PMO 49.0*****+500
NE at TB01:00 PMTB -2.5*****
O 48.0*****
+500 +500
CLE at NYJ01:00 PMCLE -2.0+500
ARI at SEA04:05 PMARI +7.0*****+500
LA at SF04:25 PMSF +6.0*****+500
DET at WAS04:25 PMDET -8.0*****+500
PIT at LAC08:20 PMPIT +2.5*****+500
 

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CNOTES NFL BEST BETS !

11/09/2025................3 - 9 - 0.............25.00%.............-34.50
11/06/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/02/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%.............- 24.00

TOTALS......................8 -18 - 0............30.76%.............- 59.00
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Baylor 78, Washington 69- Bears shot 57.1% inside the arc.
— Indiana 100, Marquette 77- Hoosiers shot 14-28 on the arc, scored 1.32 ppp
— Oklahoma State 87, Texas A&M 63- Cowboys shot 62.5% inside the arc.
— North Texas 64, Loyola Chi 62- Mean Green led by 14 at half, had to rally late.
— Liberty 88, FSU 68- Flames are 3-0, with wins over Charleston/FAU.
— Harvard 86, New Hampshire 75- UNH led 48-28 late in the first half.

Quote of the Day
“He’s just been in total command. It’s a continuation of a guy that really works his tail off throughout the course of the week. He uses the accumulation of knowledge and experience, and he’s just playing really confident. It looks like the game is really in slow motion to him right now.”
Rams coach Sean McVay, talking about Matthew Stafford

Monday’s quiz
Where did Colts’ QB Daniel Jones play his college football?

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Irvine’s sports teams are known as the Anteaters.

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

******************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Rams 42, 49ers 26
Rams’ first drive: 10 plays, 64 yards, TD
Rams’ second drive: 7 plays, 86 yards, TD
Rams’ third drive: 9 plays, 59 yards, TD
Matthew Stafford is 9th QB ever to throw 400+ TD passes.
Rams’ first three drives in 2nd half: 23 plays, 166 yards, 3 TD’s
Rams are 16-7 ATS in last 23 games as a favorite.
Mac Jones threw for 319 yards, three TD’s.
49ers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a win.

Texans 36, Jaguars 29
Jaguars led 29-10 after the third quarter.
Houston drove 93 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:31 left.
Houston was 10-15 on third down, Jacksonville 4-11.
Texans won 13 of last 16 series games.
Houston is 4-0 when it scores 26+ points, 0-5 when it doesn’t.
Texans outgained Jacksonville, 412-213.
Jaguars led 17-0 after they scored on a 73-yard punt return.
Backup QB Mills threw for 292 yards, two TD’s.

Dolphins 30, Bills 13
Dolphins snap a seven-game losing streak vs Buffalo.
Miami led 16-0 after the third quarter.
Bills’ first seven drives: 38 plays, 172 yards, zero points.
Buffalo has scored 28+ points in wins, 20-14-13 in losses.
Dolphins ran the ball 32 times for 197 yards.
Miami is 10-6 ATS last 16 games as a home underdog.
Miami is 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Dolphins went over their team total in six of last eight games.

Colts 31, Falcons 25 OT
Jonathan Taylor ran for 244 yards, three TD’s.
Colts kicked a 44-yard FG with 0:25 left to force overtime.
Inday’s last four drives: 26 plays, 201 yards, 18 points.
Colts’ team total: over 8-2
Indy is 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20 in losses)
Colts outgained Atlanta, 519-290.
Colts were 2-12 on third down, Atlanta 0-8.
Falcons lost their last four games, by 10-24-1-6 points.

Jets 27, Browns 20
Jets ran kick back for TD, punt back for TD, both in first quarter.
Jets won last two games, scoring 39-27 points, after an 0-7 start.
QB Fields was 6-11/54 passing, for the whole freakin’ game.
Total yardage: Cleveland 278, Jets 169.
Home teams are 8-0 ATS in Cleveland games this year.
Browns are 0-5 on road, losing by 24-24-14-19-7 points.
Overall, Browns have lost their last 13 road games.
Cleveland gained less than 280 yards in six of last seven games.

Ravens 27, Vikings 19
Ravens’ first four drives: 20 plays, 58 yards, 3 points.
Ravens rest of game: 50 plays, 293 yards, 24 points.
Baltimore won its last three games, scoring 30-28-27 points.
Last four games, Ravens allowed 17-16-6-19 points.
Vikings were 3-14 on third down, turned ball over three times.
Last six games, Minnesota is minus-9 in turnovers.
Vikings had an 86-yard TD drive to start the game.
Vikings rest of game: 58 plays, 276 yards, 12 points.

Famous birthdays, November 10th:
Larry Parrish, 71
Jack Clark, 69
Mackenzie Phillips, 67
Isaac Bruce, 53
Shawn Green, 52
Zach Ertz, 34
Teddy Bridgewater, 32
JJ Bleday, 27

Bears 24, Giants 20
Down 20-10, Chicago had TD drives of 91-53 yards in last 3:56.
Bears are 6-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears won six of their last seven games.
In its wins, Chicago is +17 in turnovers; they’re minus-3 in losses.
Giants outgained Chicago, 431-391.
QB Dart (concussion) sat out the 4th quarter; threw for 242 yards, ran for 66 more.
Giants lost last four games, giving up 33-38-34-24 points.
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.

Patriots 28, Buccaneers 23
Patriots won their last seven games (6-1 ATS).
Patriots had TD plays of 72-55-69 yards.
QB Henderson ran ball 14 times for 147 yards, two TD’s.
Vrabel is 64-50 as an NFL head coach, 8-2 this year.
Bucs are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-3 giving up 24+.
QB Mayfield threw ball for 273 yards, three TD’s.
WR Egbuka caught six passes for 115 yards and a TD.
NFC South teams are 14-16 ATS in non-divisional games.

Saints 17, Panthers 7
Rookie QB Shough threw for 282 yards, two TD’s.
Saints outgained Carolina, 388-175.
Saints are 17-11-1 ATS last 29 games as a road underdog.
New Orleans is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 NFC South road games.
Saints were 8-17 on third down, Carolina 3-9.
Last four weeks, Panthers scored 13-9-16-7 points.
Last three games, Carolina was held to 244/265/175 total yards.
Since 2020, Panthers are 1-10 ATS as a home favorite.

Lions 44, Commanders 22
Lions scored on all eight drives: 55 plays, 537 yards.
Detroit outgained Washington, 546-288.
Lions are 13-2 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
Detroit is 6-0 when it runs for 100+ yards, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
Commanders lost last five games, last four by 22-21-24-22 points.
In those five games, Washington gave up 35.8 ppg.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 7-2 last nine games.
Commanders are 1-6-1 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.

Seahawks 44, Cardinals 22
Seattle scored two defensive TD’s in the first 16:00 of the game.
Seahawks’ first three drives: 22 plays, 222 yards, 21 points.
Seattle led 35-0 with 8:33 left before halftime.
Seahawks won/covered seven of their last eight games.
Seattle averaged 13.4 yards/pass attempt.
Seahawks ran ball 46 times for 198 yards.
Cardinals lost six of their last seven games.
This was Arizona’s first loss by more than four points.

Chargers 25, Steelers 10
WR McConkey caught four passes for 107 yards and a TD.
Chargers won four of their last five games.
Chargers are 7-3 ATS last ten games as a home favorite.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 10-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
Steelers in first half: 27 plays, 71 yards, 3 points.
Chargers outgained Pittsburgh, 314-221.
Steelers were 2-11 on third down, turned ball over three times.
Pittsburgh is +12 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Monday, November 10


UZnEJ1d.png





NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 10

Monday’s game
Eagles
@ Packers (-2.5)
Eagles (6-2)
Eagles are 6-0 when they score 20+ points.
Eagles have been outgained in seven of eight games.
Eagles ran ball for 276 yards LW (under 100 in previous five games)
QB Hurts is 57-25 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 59-25 as an NFL coach.


Under Sirianni, Eagles are 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Philly is 12-6 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
Last two weeks, opponents ran ball for only 89-68 yards.
Last six weeks, opponents’ team total: over 6-0
Eagles are 13-2-1 ATS last 16 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


Packers (5-2-1)
Green Bay is 5-0-1 when it scores 27+ points.
Packers held six of eight opponents under 100 rushing yards.
In their two losses, Packers were held to 10-13 points.
QB Love is 24-19-1 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 75-40-1 as an NFL head coach.


Packers are 8-6-1 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
Green Bay held last two opponents to 295/265 yards.
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five games.
NFC North home favorites are 5-2 ATS in non-divisional games.


Eagles beat Green Bay 34-29 in last year’s playoffs.
Philly won last three series games, by 5-12-7 points.
Teams split last six meetings in Green Bay.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.
 

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Monday, November 10

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PHI at GB08:15 PMGB -1.0*****
U 45.0*****
+500 +500
 

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CNOTES NFL BEST BETS !

11/10/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/09/2025.................3 - 9 - 0............25.00%.............-34.50
11/06/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/02/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%.............- 24.00

TOTALS......................9 -19 - 0............32.14%.............- 59.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 11 NFL spreads:
— Jets @ New England (-11.5)
— Commanders vs Dolphins (-2.5) (@ Madrid, Spain)
— Bengals @ Pittsburgh (-4.5)
— Chargers (-2.5) @ Jacksonville
— Buccaneers @ Buffalo (-5.5)
— Bears @ Minnesota (-3.5)

Thought of the Day
“It’s important to make someone happy, but it’s most important to start with yourself.”

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Rewrite, Hugh Grant plays an Oscar-winning screen writer who leaves Hollywood when his career takes a downturn; he gets a job teaching writing at which eastern college?

Monday’s quiz
Colts’ QB Daniel Jones played his college football at Duke.

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Irvine’s sports teams are known as the Anteaters.

***************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Eagles 10, Packers 7
NFL’s first scoreless first half in two years.
Eagles in first half: 31 plays, 94 yards, no points.
Eagles first 3 drives in 2nd half: 17 plays, 136 yards, 10 points.
Eagles are 14-2-1 ATS last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Green Bay averaged only 4.0 yards/pass play.
Green Bay is 0-3 when they score less than 27 points.
In their three losses, Packers were held to 10-13-7 points.
Packers are 5-9-1 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.

— New Jersey Giants fired coach Brian Daboll Monday; Giants were 9-7-1 in Daboll’s first season, but were 11-33 since then, including 2-8 this season. Daboll was making $5M/year, os he gets roughly $7.5M to take a hike.
Daboll was doing a good job bringing along rookie QB Jaxson Dart this year; will be interesting to see who the Giants hire as their new coach.

— Jaxson Dart, by the way, is the first QB EVER with a rushing TD in five straight games.

— Rookie QB’s who start get coaches fired; Tennessee fired its coach this year, while they’re starting rookie Cam Ward. It is almost like the rich humans who own these teams cannot comprehend that it takes time to develop a quarterback who wins games.

— Minnesota Vikings had eight false starts Sunday, in a home game, the most by any NFL home team since 2009.

NFL divisional trends:

AFC East
Underdogs 5-2 ATS divisional games
10-6 ATS non-divisional underdog

AFC North
Home teams 4-0 ATS divisional games
10-19 ATS non-divisional games

AFC South
Favorites 4-1 ATS divisional games
12-13 ATS non-divisional games

AFC West
7-4 ATS non-divisional home favorite
1-6 ATS non-divisional road favorite

NFC East
4-7 ATS non-divisional home games
6-8 ATS non-divisional underdog

NFC North
Favorites 3-1 ATS divisional games

NFC South
6-9 ATS non-divisional home games

NFC West
Home teams 1-5 ATS divisional games
17-6 ATS non-divisional games

College football trends, conference games:
American
Favorites 24-15 ATS

ACC
Road teams 31-20 ATS

Big 18
Home favorites 14-18 ATS
Home underdogs 14-10 ATS

Big X
Favorites 33-17 ATS

Conference USA
Home underdogs 9-5 ATS

Mid-American
Home teams 26-8 ATS

Mountain West
Home favorites 10-9 ATS
Home underdogs 5-5 ATS

SEC
Home teams 25-21 ATS

Sun Belt
Home teams 21-16 ATS

Famous birthdays, November 11th:
Stanley Tucci, 65
Demi Moore, 63
Leonardo DiCaprio, 51
Mark Sanchez, 39
Stedman Bailey, 35
Ladd McConkey, 24

— RIP to Lenny Wilkens, who passed away over the weekend at age 88; he is one of only five people who was inducted into the Basketball Hall of Fame as both a player and a coach.

He scored 16.5 ppg in a 15-year playing career, then coached for 30 more years, winning 1,412 games, including the 1979 NBA title with the Seattle SuperSonics.

He is the only person to be in both the NBA’s 75th season celebration lists, as a player and as a coach.
RIP, sir.

— Guy in California won $2.04B (that’s billion, with a B) last week; after taxes, he took home $628M. Dude paid $1.42B in taxes.

— North Carolina senior captain Seth Trimble broke his left arm in practice Sunday, will have surgery this week. No word on how long he’ll be out of the Tar Heels’ lineup. North Carolina is off to a 2-0 start, including a win over Kansas.

— Iowa State 96, Mississippi State 80
Cyclones shot 65% inside the arc, led by 18 at the half.
Miss State had 26 turnovers, Cyclones only 9.
Game was played on a neutral court in South Dakota.
Game like these are important to see early in the season, as we try to get a handle on which teams and which leagues are the best this season.

— Santa Clara 87, Xavier 68
Musketeers shot only 37% inside the arc in an ugly home loss.
Xavier had only three players score more than four points.
Impressive win for the WCC here.
 

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Week 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 13

New York VS New England

The total has gone OVER in 12 of NY Jets' last 16 games.
NY Jets is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
NY Jets is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games against New England.
NY Jets is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games against New England.
New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games.
New England is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games against NY Jets.

Sunday, November 16

Washington VS Miami

Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Miami.
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games.
Miami is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games against Washington.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 11 games at home.

Chicago VS Minnesota
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
Chicago is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games against Minnesota.
Chicago is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games against Minnesota.
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games.
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games against Chicago.

Houston VS Tennessee
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games.
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Tennessee.
Tennessee is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games.
Tennessee is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games against Houston.

Carolina VS Atlanta
Carolina is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Carolina's last 20 games.
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Atlanta.
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games.
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games against Carolina.

Tampa Bay VS Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games.
Tampa Bay is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games.
Tampa Bay is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games against Buffalo.
Tampa Bay is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games against Buffalo.
Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games.
Buffalo is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games.
Buffalo is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home.

Los Angeles VS Jacksonville
LA Chargers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 5 games.
LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
LA Chargers is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games against Jacksonville.
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games against LA Chargers.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home.

Cincinnati VS Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games.
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games against Cincinnati.
Pittsburgh is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 16 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

Seattle VS Los Angeles
Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games.
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
Seattle is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games against LA Rams.
LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams' last 6 games.
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams' last 5 games against Seattle.

San Francisco VS Arizona
San Francisco is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games.
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Arizona.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games on the road.
Arizona is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games.
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games against San Francisco.

Kansas City VS Denver
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games.
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Denver.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 12 games.
Denver is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games against Kansas City.
Denver is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games at home.

Baltimore VS Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 games.
Baltimore is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games against Cleveland.
Baltimore is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games against Cleveland.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Baltimore's last 15 games on the road.
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games.
Cleveland is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games against Baltimore.

Monday, November 17

Dallas VS Las Vegas

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games.
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas' last 5 games.
Las Vegas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
Las Vegas is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games at home.
Las Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Odds on guys to be the Giants’ next coach:
7-1- Mike McCarthy
8-1- Klint Kubiak
9-1- Steve Spagnuolo
19-2- Lou Anarumo
10-1- Kliff Kingsbury
12-1- Jesse Minter, Jeff Hafley

Quote of the Day
“We believe our pitching is a strength. Doesn’t mean we wouldn’t want to add more pitching. We will certainly be opportunistic on the pitching side. There are some things that we’d like to do on the pitching side, but run scoring was the thing that got in our way more than anything. And we’ve got to add to that.”
Pirates’ GM Ben Cherington

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the basketball coach at Boston College, last time they made the NCAA Tournament?
(Hint: He played in the ABA and NBA)

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Rewrite, Hugh Grant plays an Oscar-winning screen writer who leaves Hollywood when his career takes a downturn; he gets a job teaching writing at SUNY-Binghamton.

Monday’s quiz
Colts’ QB Daniel Jones played his college football at Duke.

**********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……

— Michigan 85, Wake Forest 84
Deacons led 77-70, missed nine of last 10 shots from floor.
Michigan was 25-37 on foul line, Wake 16-21
Michigan big man Mara had 18 points, 13 rebounds, six assists.
Watching this game, it felt a lot like March. Excellent game.

— Illinois 81, Texas Tech 77
Stojakovic scored 23 points in 26:00 off the bench.
JT Toppin scored 35 points for Tech
Illinois was 16-23 on foul line, Red Raiders 3-4

— Gonzaga 90, Creighton 63
Zags outscored Creighton 46-25 in second half.

Rough start to season for Big East:
DePaul lost to Buffalo
Xavier lost to Santa Clara
Marquette lost by 23 to Indiana
St John’s lost to Arizona, giving up 103 points.
Villanova lost to BYU.
Providence lost to Virginia Tech

— Florida 78, Florida State 76

Gators were favored by 16.5 points.
Florida out-rebounded the Seminoles, 58-36
Florida shot 57.6% inside the arc, was minus-8 in turnovers.

— Louisville 96, Kentucky 88
Louisville had only six turnovers, shot 62.1% inside the arc.
Cardinals were 13-40 on the arc, 18-29 inside the arc.
Louisville led 53-46 at halftime.

— Cincinnati 74, Dayton 62
Dayton shot 2-26 behind the arc.
Cincinnati led 27-11 early, turned ball over 24 times (minus-11)

— Ole Miss 83, Memphis 77
Ole Miss made 8 of their 13 3-point shots.
Rebels were 21-33 on foul line, Memphis 14-20.

— Cal-Santa Barbara 92, Sacramento State 87
Gauchos shot 13-27 on arc, scored 1.26 points/possession.
Thru three games, UCSB’s eFG% is 62.6% (#17 in country)

— Arkansas State 86, Missouri State 85
Missouri State led by 16 late in the first half.
Arkansas State scored 33 points in 1st half, 53 in 2nd half.

— Central Connecticut 60, Boston College 59
Eagles have already lost to FAU and now this game. Not good for a program that hasn’t had a winning record in the ACC since 2011. BC led this game by 11 early in the second half.

Famous birthdays, November 12th:
Al Michaels, 81
Neil Young, 80
Jody Davis, 69
Ryan Gosling, 45
Anne Hathaway, 43
Charlie Morton, 42
Russell Westbrook, 37
Marcell Ozuna, 35
Dexter Lawrence, 28
Terrell Burgess, 27
Addison Barger, 26
Paolo Banchero, 23

— New Jersey Jets are the only team since 1950 with zero or one takeaway in their first nine games of a season.
Since 1950, fewest takeaways in first nine games:
1- Jets, 2025
3- Jets, 2014
4- Falcons, 2019
4- Steelers 2011

— Tampa Bay Bucs’ rookie WR Emeka Egbuka was the 2011 national champion in the Pitch, Hit and Run baseball competition, when he was 10 years old.

— When the Houston Texans rallied to beat the Jaguars 36-29 Sunday, it was the first-ever NFL game that ended with a 36-29 score.

— LSU fired football coach Brian Kelly when he had $54M left on his contract; now the school is trying to weasel out of paying Kelly what they owe him, A lawyer who is familiar with cases like this says that when all is said and done, it is highly unlikely that Kelly won’t get all that money.

— Listening to lot of early season college basketball games, have already heard 3-4 guys say that this is the best freshman class in college basketball in the last 20 years..

— St John’s is expected to be a Top 5/Top 10 team this year, but they only have one player from New York City, which is unusual for them.

— ESPN is putting out Bracketology already, predicting the 68-team brackets for the NCAA Tournament, which starts more than four months from now. Give it a rest guys, let the kids play some games before projecting the tournament.
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for this week:
— Clemson @ Louisville (-2.5)
— South Florida (-9.5) @ Navy
— Arizona @ Cincinnati (-6.5)
— Arkansas @ LSU (-5.5)
— Oklahoma @ Alabama (-5.5)
— Iowa @ USC (-6.5)

Quote of the Day
“If you got me on fantasy, get rid of me.”
Eagles WR AJ Brown, upset with his usage this season

Thursday’s quiz
What team did Shaquille O’Neal finish his year 19-year NBA career with?

Wednesday’s quiz
Al Skinner was the basketball coach at Boston College, last time they made the NCAA Tournament.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Rewrite, Hugh Grant plays an Oscar-winning screen writer who leaves Hollywood when his career takes a downturn; he gets a job teaching writing at SUNY-Binghamton.

***********************************

Thursday’s Den: Happy Felix Unger Day!!!

“On November 13, Felix Unger was asked to leave his place of residence. That request came from his wife……..”
So began every episode of The Odd Couple, one of the funniest TV shows ever, about a finicky photographer sharing an apartment in New York City with a sloppy sportswriter.

I spent countless hours watching re-runs on Odd Couple reruns on TV; the show is still out there on TV, on Paramount+ or Prime Video. Great stuff.

Happy Felix Unger Day!!!!

By the way, the late Garry Marshall was one of the creators of The Odd Couple; November 13 was his birthday.

— Jameis Winston is starting at QB for the Giants this week, when they host Green Bay in their first game under interim coach Mike Kafka.
Winston has a 36-51 record as an NFL starter; he was 2-5 starting for Cleveland last year.

— Cardinals’ WR Marvin Harrison Jr had an appendectomy, is out for a few weeks; Harrison has caught 31 passes for 492 yards and three TD’s.

— You think about the NFL games in Europe that start at 9:30am here in New York, then think about the poor souls that work in Las Vegas sports books. Those games start at 6:30am out there, so the people who take the bets probably have to be there at 5:30 or so. Not great; the casinos are open 24 hours a day, the sports books are not.

Famous birthdays, November 13th:
Wes Parker, 86
Joe Mantegna, 78
Chris Noth, 71
Whoopi Goldberg, 70
Rex Linn, 69
Jimmy Kimmel, 58
Pat Hentgen, 57
Gerard Butler, 56
Ron Artest, 46
Asdrubal Cabrera, 40
Trevor Rogers, 28
Brett Baty, 26

— Central Michigan 38, Buffalo 19
Chippewas scored two defensive touchdowns.
Buffalo gained 398 yards, but turned ball over five times.
Central Michigan is bowl eligible for first time in four years.

— Northern Illinois 45, UMass 3
Huskies led 31-0 at halftime.
NIU outgained UMass, 433-262.
Huskies ran for 318 yards, only threw 8 passes the whole game.

— Toledo 24, Miami 3
Both teams turned ball over three times.
With the win, Toledo is bowl eligible.
Miami was 5-16 on third down, 2-6 on fourth down.

— Kent State 42, Akron 35 OT
Kent State led this game 35-17 in the 4th quarter.
Akron forced OT, scoring a TD with 1:59 left in regulation.
Kent QB DeShields threw for 317 yards, five TD’s.

— Western Michigan 17, Ohio U 13
Western Michigan becomes bowl eligible with the win.
Both teams ran ball for over 200 yards.
Teams combined to convert only 3-19 third down plays.

Movie of the Day: PS I Love You (2007)- A young widow discovers that her late husband left her ten messages intended to help ease her pain, and to help her start a new life.

Gerard Butler plays the husband, Hillary Swank the widow; also in the cast: Gina Gershon, Lisa Kudrow, Kathy Bates, Harry Connick Jr. Very good movie.

— Michigan-Northwestern have a football game at Wrigley Field this week; Northwestern’s home stadium is being renovated this year. Wildcats are 5-4 right now, Michigan 7-2.

— Dallas Mavericks fired GM Nico Harrison after the team started out 3-8; Dallas traded star Luka Doncic to the Lakers last year, then went 39-43, aggravating a lot of the fanbase; they won the draft lottery and took Cooper Flagg this year, but the team is off to another rough start.

— NBA trends, dealing with teams playing back/back nights:
Home teams who played on road night before are 1-8 ATS
Home teams who played at home night before are 15-9 ATS
Road teams who played at home night before are 5-3 ATS
Road teams who played on road night before are 11-10 ATS
 

Udog

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NFL
Weather Report

Thursday, November 13


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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 11

Thursday’s game
Jets
@ Patriots (-12.5)
Jets (2-7)
Jets won last games, scoring 39-27 points.
Five of Jets’ seven losses were by 7 or fewer points.
Jets ran both a kick/punt back for a TD last week.
Fields is 16-36 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 2-7 as a head coach.


Jets threw the ball for only 42 yards in last week’s win.
Jets are 3-1 ATS as a road underdog this year.
Jets are 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 AFC East road games.
Jets are 8-14-1 ATS last 23 games coming off a win.
Jets are minus-10 in turnovers this season.


Patriots (8-2)
Patriots won their last seven games (6-1 ATS).
Patriots were held to 13-14 points in their losses.
Opponents’ team total: under 7-1 last eight
QB Maye is 11-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 64-50 as an NFL head coach.


Patriots are 2-5 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
NE is 10-9-2 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Patriots held seven of ten foes under 100 rushing yards.
Patriots held four of last five under 300 total yards.
New England is 5-7 ATS last 12 AFC East home games.


New England won 17 of last 19 series games.
Jets are 1-9 SU/2-7-1 ATS in last 10 visits to Foxboro.
Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
NFL-wide, home favorites are 13-10 ATS in divisional games.
 

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for this week:
— Packers (-7.5) @ NJ Giants
— 49ers (-2.5) @ Arizona
— Ravens (-7.5) @ Cleveland
— Chiefs (-3.5) @ Denver
— Lions @ Philadelphia (-2.5)
— Cowboys (-3.5) @ Las Vegas

Quote of the Day
“The city of Dallas, the fans, the players, they’ll always have a special place in my heart. I thought I was going to stay there forever, but I didn’t. So that will always be a special place for me. I will always call it home. But right now, I’m focused on the Lakers and trying to move on. But obviously, always there will be a part of me there. But just trying to move on and focus on what I’m doing here.”
Luka Doncic

Friday’s quiz
Who is the all-time leader in passing yardage for Iowa State?

Thursday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal finished his year 19-year NBA career with the Celtics.

Wednesday’s quiz
Al Skinner was the basketball coach at Boston College, last time they made the NCAA Tournament.

************************************

Friday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

— Patriots 27, Jets 14
Jets drove 72 plays on 14 plays on first drive, led 7-0.
Jets’ next four drives: 15 plays, 25 yards, four punts.
Jets averaged only 3.6 yards/pass attempt.
QB Fields is 16-37 as an NFL starter.

Patriots won their last eight games (7-1 ATS).
New England outgained the Jets, 336-245.
New England won 18 of last 20 series games.
Jets are 1-10 SU/2-8-1 ATS in last 11 visits to Foxboro.

— Old Dominion 33, Troy 0
QB Joseph threw for 147 yards and a TD, ran for 90 yards, 2 TD’s
7-3 Old Dominion ran ball 47 times for 351 yards (7.5 yards/carry).
Monarchs outgained Troy, 503-138.

— Purdue 87, Alabama 80
Alabama led by 4 with 11:34 left in the game.
Crimson Tide shot 16-44 on the arc, 12-22 inside the arc.
Senior G Smith scored 29 points for Purdue.

— West Virginia 71, Pittsburgh 49
Solid win for the Big X against an ACC team.
4-0 Mountaineers led 34-25 at halftime.
Pitt shot just 5-20 on the arc, was only 4-6 on foul line.

— Wednesday night at Oregon State, Beavers were tied 64-64 vs North Texas with 0:05 left; UNT had the ball- they called timeout, but they didn’t have a timeout, so Oregon State made the foul shots and won a game they trailed 59-46 with 7:11 left, 64-57 with 2:10 left.
Oregon State is 3-0, with wins by 2-3-2 points.

— Kansas State 99, California 96
Cal lost despite shooting 15-28 on the arc.
K-State shot 70.7% inside the arc, scored 1.27 points/possession.
Thru three games, 3-0 K-State is shooting 37-68 (54.4%) on the arc.

— Tennessee-Martin is off to a 3-0 start, with wins at UNLV, Bradley.
Skyhawks were a 16-point underdog at UNLV
Skyhawks were a 15-point underdog at Bradley
All five of Tennessee-Martin’s starters are from eastern Europe; their poster has guys from 11 different countries. The NIL era has made college ball more appealing to foreign players.

— Louisville beat Kentucky 96-88 the other night; Cardinals are 3-0 this season and in 1+ years under Pat Kelsey, Louisville is 30-8, after going 25-71 the three years before Kelsey was hired.
Louisville is playing #26 pace so far this year, shooting 68.8% inside the arc (#6). ACC teams are a combined 49-6 so far this season; it is still early, but ACC looks like a much-improved league.

Famous birthdays, November 14th:
Jack Sikma, 70
Patrick Warburton, 61
Curt Schilling, 59
Josh Duhamel, 53
Aaron Taylor, 53
Xavier Nady, 47
Matt LaFleur, 46
Kyle Orton, 43
Francisco Lindor, 32
DeVonta Smith, 27

— Cal Raleigh hit 60 home runs this year as a switch-hitting catcher, playing home games in a ballpark that is a lousy hitter’s park, but he didn’t win MVP, Aaron Judge did.
Judge is a great player, no doubt, but Raleigh led Seattle to its first division title in over 20 years; if he did what he did in New York, he might’ve been a unanimous MVP.

— Dodgers have won the last two World Series; they have $87M coming off their payroll this winter, which will allow them to re-stock the shelves with some more good players, and they generally get whoever they want in free agency.

— There were 54 relief pitchers this season with 5+ saves.

— Free agent Kyle Schwarber is going to break the bank this winter; he hit 23 home runs against lefty pitchers this season, the most homers EVER by a lefty hitter against lefty pitchers.

— The family of the late San Diego Padres owner Peter Seidler is looking into selling the team; Padres have made the playoffs three times in the last four years and won 90+ games in back-to-back seasons- they drew 3M+ fans the last three years.

— Stephen Curry and sneaker company Under Armour are parting ways and ending their long-standing partnership; Curry left Nike and signed with Under Armour in 2013. Curry’s new brand, Curry Brand, will move forward independently- he’ll be a sneaker free agent.
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
NBA leaders in minutes/game:
36.6- Luka Doncic, LAL
36.1- Alperen Şengün, Hous
36.0- Austin Reaves, LAL
35.5- Amen Thompson, Hous
35.3- Kevin Durant, Hous
35.2- Zach LaVine, Sac

Quote of the Day
“I’m evaluating everything, to be honest with you. Obviously, we have to do a better job in the passing game and that has a lot to do with Justin (Fields) getting the ball to the right guys.”
Jets coach Aaron Glenn

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the Jets’ coach, the last time they made the playoffs?

Friday’s quiz
Brock Purdy is the all-time leader in passing yardage for Iowa State.

Thursday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal finished his year 19-year NBA career with the Celtics.

********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday night…….

— Arizona 69, UCLA 65
UCLA led by 8 with 7:18 left in the game.
Bruins shot only 39% inside the arc.
Arizona is 4-0, with wins over Florida/UCLA.
It is ridiculous that these teams aren’t in the same league anymore.

— Gonzaga 77, Arizona State 65
Graham Ike scored 20 points, had nine rebounds.
Gonzaga out-rebounded the Sun Devils, 45-31
ASU coach Bobby Hurley continues to be a jerk where refs are concerned; he never stops bitching at the officials. Gonzaga was 27-35 on the foul line, because Arizona State commits a lot of fouls. Ike was 12-15 on the foul line, ASU’s whole team was 13-23.

— Central Florida 86, Texas A&M 74
Aggies led by 13 points with 9:25 left to play.
UCF outscored A&M 40-15 in the last 10:00 of the game.
Knights are shooting 52.4% behind the arc, #2 in the country.

— Michigan 67, TCU 63
TCU led by six with 11:30 left in the game.
Michigan out-rebounded the Horned Frogs, 44-23
Wolverines are 3-0; they won last two games, by total of five points.

— Colorado 97, Providence 88
Colorado outscored Providence 58-50 in the second half.
Buffs’ subs outscored Providence’s bench, 45-20.
Colorado out-rebounded the Friars, 43-32.

— Washington 81, Washington State 69
Huskies shot 60% inside the arc.
Wazzu’s subs scored 37 points, their starters 32.
Why aren’t these teams in the same league? College sports have gone crazy.

— Georgia 92, Georgia Tech 87
Dawgs were 32-44 on foul line, Tech 17-28.
Yellow Jackets led by 8 with 14:01 left in the game.
6-1 soph Wilkinson scored 18 points in 24:00 off the bench.

Famous birthdays, November 15th:
Sam Waterston, 85
Bob Dandridge, 78
Beverly D’Angelo, 74
Greg Anthony, 58
Ethan Westbrooks, 35
Trevor Story, 33
Karl-Anthony Towns, 30
Wyatt Langford, 24

Clemson 20, Louisville 19
Clemson drove 56 yards, scored game-winning TD with 7:16 left
Louisville missed a PAT and a 46-yard field goal.
Cardinals outgained Clemson 385-308, but had 84 penalty yards.

— Oregon 42, Minnesota 13
Oregon QB Moore was 27-30/306 passing, with two TD’s.
Ducks outgained Minnesota 510-200.
Only nine of Oregon’s 63 plays were on third down (6-9).

— Warriors 109, Spurs 108
Seth Curry scored 49 points, was 9-17 on the arc.

— Knicks 140, Heat 132
Karl-Anthony Towns scored 39 points, Landry Shamet 36

— Rockets 140, Trail Blazers 116
Houston has won eight of its last nine games.

— Lakers 118, Pelicans 104
Lakers are 9-4 and Lebron James hasn’t played yet.

— Clippers 133, Mavericks 127, 2OT
James Harden scored 41 points, had 14 rebounds, 11 assists.
 
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